Search Results for: SFWA

Randall Garrett and the Arthur Clarke Prediction about love and marriage

View 781 Sunday, July 07, 2013

I took most of the week off. Niven and I got some work done on our next book, and Friday we spent the day at the Los Angeles Zoo in search of inspiration for some scenes. More on that another time.

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The Arthur C. Clarke Prediction of Sexual Behavior

Meanwhile, over at the SFWA (Science Fiction Writers of America) members site, there began a complicated conversation about sexual harassment. The discussion was heated but mostly involved hypothetical cases. Then there came a report of an incident involving an editor I once worked with and a female editor I have never met, at a convention party. The offended party posted something on line, and a SFWA official reposted that in the SFWA discussion. Since neither party was a member of SFWA and the event was not an SFWA event, I failed to understand why this was SFWA business; and in what must have been a fit of absence of mind, I said so.

There was a storm of response, at which point I seem to have lost the rest of my senses because I got involved: so far no one had specified what the accused had done, merely that it was sexual harassment. There were other discussions, none of any actual incidents; and since no one seemed to know any actual cases, I decided to supply one in which the facts are not at all in dispute, it was all very well known to nearly everyone fan or professional in the science fiction community thirty years ago, and the principals were pretty well beyond being harmed by talking about it since the major figure has been dead for decades.

I did have an interest in the subject, because in his 1953 book Childhood’s End Arthur C. Clarke had predicted that the development of reliable contraceptives and a foolproof paternity test would end marriage and sever the connection between procreation and sex: it would bring Western Civilization (and thus everyone else) into a culture of sex for pleasure and recreation unrelated to marriage and child raising. I had discussed this with him a couple of times in the 1980’s, and his comment was “Well, I was right wasn’t I? Isn’t that where we are going?” ( http://the-american-catholic.com/2012/04/03/arthur-c-clarke-on-how-to-destroy-marriage/ )

At the time Arthur was writing Childhood’s End he met, courted, and married Marilyn Mayfield, a young American divorcée with a young son. They lived together for less than six months, and separated before the publication of Childhood’s End; the divorce proceedings took a decade, and involved legal and financial issues to the point that Arthur avoided coming to the United States lest he be served with demands for money. When his friends asked him about his marriage, he indicated that he did not want to talk about the subject, although he did tell me once that “She was very young and I was set in my ways, and it was all doomed from the beginning.” He made it very clear that he was not blaming her, and I never heard him say an unkind word about her; of course he didn’t say very much at all about the subject. Arthur was unfailingly kind to his friends, but he seldom discussed his personal life even with much closer friends than I was.

But as I look at the changes in Western sexual customs and courtship I am often reminded of Clarke’s sociological prediction. Apparently the extent of the hookup culture is disputed, but every month or so I seen another article on casual sex, hooking up, and current college practice both at Spring Break and normal times. And of course there are the Tom Wolfe books Hooking Up and I Am Charlotte Simmons. But there was nothing about hookup culture in the SFWA discussions either inside the SFWA membership forums, or in the open discussions resulting from the distorted picture put together by the ‘leak’.

The discussion of sexual harassment at SF events was mostly abstract, and for some reason I decided to inject into it a well known story that seemed relevant. The facts were never in dispute and the whole story was widely known in the 1970’s and early 1980’s. To wit: Randall Garrett, a popular science fiction author with a large number of publications to his credit – he made a living at SF even before his Too Many Magicians novels, selling tons of stories at a few cents a word – was a very popular figure at SF conventions. He was often asked to perform, which he did: he sang ballads interpretively. A couple of favorites were “Have Some Madeira, my Dear”, and “Thais” (actually a poetic review of the opera Thais turned into a ballad). His performances were usually accompanied by a volunteer from the audience, some young woman who would dance interpretively as the ingénue in the Madeira song, or the courtesan in Thais.

Randall had another very well known practice. After a few drinks, he would roam the convention parties looking for women he did not know, making certain that this was someone of age ( most often late twenties or older ). He would then approach, stand well out of reach without any physical contact, bow, and say “HI. I’m Randall Garrett. Let’s F—.” This happened many times at many conventions between 1970 and about 1980, after which he was disabled until his death in 1987. His habit was known to nearly everyone of importance in the science fiction community. I know of no one who encouraged him, and many told him to stop it, but he persisted, giving the argument that he never made physical contact, he never pursued or persisted unless he was actively encouraged to continue, and he was doing no more than offering casual recreational sex. He would also cite the argument that women had as much right to desire non-relationship recreational sex as men – he could cite articles from women’s magazines stating that idea.

The one time he came to a convention that I had any authority over – a SFWA Nebula Awards event I chaired – I looked up Randall and told him to cool it, and was greeted with a hurt look for suggesting that he would act that way at that sort of event. I don’t know what he would have done if a fan convention chairman had given him the same instruction. For all I know that happened and he obeyed. It was not a common topic of discussion with us. In those time, before the Internet and cheap long distance telephone calls, there were many friendships among science fiction writers who met mostly or even exclusively at science fiction conventions, and communicated at other times chiefly through US Post Office letters, which is to say, not very often. I had many such friends, and Randall was one of them. In addition I saw him at SCA events, and when I visited my close personal friend Poul Anderson in the Bay Area. Randall was a frequent visitor at Poul’s home.

Randall had friends all over the world, whom he met yearly at the World SF Conventions. I doubt many of them approved of his unique form of courtship, which became famous as it continued year after year.

I related this in a closed SFWA discussion. I mention it now because someone within the organization has, in direct violation of the rules, copied my post along with others contributed by other participants including past presidents, into an open web site. I found out about it thanks to email from some of my readers.

Well before I knew there was any interest in this matter outside the SFWA web site, I regretted ever getting involved in the ‘sexual harassment’ discussions inside SFWA. There was a storm of condemnation heaped upon my head. Most of it accused me of approving of Randall’s performance, which I did not, or of insufficiently condemning him. Did I not understand that leaving aside his explicit language, the very offer he made was demeaning, and treated the woman as an object whose only purpose was sex, and was definitely sexual harassment, and anyone who did not agree to that view was disgusting, and Garrett ought to have been thrown out of SFWA and thrown out of SF fandom, and anyone who did not agree to that was a disgusting sexist. Generally this was stated in stronger language than I use here.

There weren’t a lot of people saying this. Few, actually. But they said it often, and in answer to any attempt on my part to explain what I thought I was doing – I told you I temporarily took leave of my senses.

I found all this rather depressing which is one reason I haven’t been commenting on much of anything this week.

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My point in bringing up this case was to try to persuade my fellow SFWA members that whatever they cared to say or do about sexual harassment at SFWA events, it was not our job or our place to try to dictate rules for SF conventions because SF writers don’t put on the conventions. They are put on by fans, and science fiction fans have a very long, and very strong, tradition of tolerance of almost anything except violence. Con convention parties are, to use Jack Chandler’s phrase, Liberty Hall. You can spit on the mat and call the cat a bastard. (Which sounds silly when I say it, so I guess you have to read one of Chandler’s Rim novels). Fans welcomed diversity before diversity was considered a good thing to welcome. Sex, race, gender, manner of dress, language, everyone is pretty well welcome in SF events and parties. And the fans knew all about Randall, did for years, and did nothing whatever about him.

The question becomes one of defining harassment. We can all agree that no woman – or man, or child, or anyone else – should have to put up with sexual harassment. Bad manners, rudeness, and the like are another story. I recall one fan party in Canada which was busted by the Regional Police because there was a performance of a folk singing group that involved an obscene pillow (known as the penisaurus) witnessed by mundane hotel guests (who weren’t allowed in the party because they hadn’t badges, but one pleaded to be allowed to watch, after which she called the cops in disgust). The people with the penisaurus were not condemned. The Regional Police were. Fandom is tolerant.

And Randall would and did insist that whatever else you could say about him – outrageous was acceptable – it was not harassment. To harass someone is to persist with unwanted attention, and he didn’t persist. He didn’t grope. He didn’t touch. He wasn’t threatening in any way. He offered recreational sex with no compensation. When asked what responses he got he said a few less than 10% accepted or at least discussed the possibility, about 10% tried to slap his face (he was agile so most weren’t successful), and about equal numbers said No rather nervously, said no with laughter, or said no thank you or even No, but thank you for the offer. I have neither confirmation nor challenge of his data. One correspondent said her husband tells her that the 10% acceptance is an old urban legend. If so I suspect that it derives from Randall because I never heard that claimed by anyone else.

It was also insisted that the language itself was harassment. I can’t argue with that, because I don’t use that language in the first place. Certainly in Randall’s day one might go weeks without hearing what has become known as the F-bomb; but that is hardly true now. Now probably hears several per minute in some concerts and parties. It’s just not rare. To which the argument is made that the very offer is harassment and demeaning and rude and –

I certainly won’t argue against naming it outrageous, rude, bad manners; the question is whether it rises to the level of harassment. When I was mad enough to care I was trying to make that distinction: there are plenty of things happening around us that are discomforting and unpleasant, but are they so harmful that there ought to be rules and enforcements prohibiting them? Clearly the Regional Police thought the penisaurus rose to that level and sent a squad of cops out to protect everyone from the penisaurus, but I suspect not many readers here would agree that this was a good use of police resources. I know few SF fans would think so.

For the record, I know of no one who encouraged Randall to continue this experiment, and I know many who tried to persuade him to give it up. I don’t know his motive for continuing it. It wasn’t intimidation or some kind of power play. There’s no evidence that he got any enjoyment out of dominance or anything resembling it. Nearly everyone who knew him including many who condemned this particular practice agreed that all around he was a nice guy with a contemptible quirk. In any event I’m not his advocate and I am not defending him. My whole point in bringing him up is that if you can’t come up with a reasonable consensus on what ought to have been done about Randall Garrett, then abstract discussions of rules and penalties aren’t likely to be useful. At least I think that was my point. By now I am sufficiently weary of the subject that I don’t really know.

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It’s late and I ought to be in bed. I will leave this for the night, and with luck perhaps forever. It does remind me of Clarke’s prediction of the future of human sexual relations. Given fool proof paternity identification, and reasonably efficient contraception (not involving abortion) the emotional connection between sex and procreation will dissolve, and the very notion of chastity as a virtue will disappear.

And while I was thinking along those lines, I got mail accusing me of wishful thinking about the hookup culture. There really isn’t one. It’s just wishful thinking on the part of boys who can’t get dates, and a way of insulting a whole group of young women by calling them promiscuous. Although the writer of that note was infuriated with me, I found it hopeful, because it insisted that promiscuous was not virtuous, and implied that chastity remained a virtue, and thus that Clarke’s prediction was wrong. But then I picked up a copy of the LA free paper the LA Weekly with some of its articles about hooking up, and Vogue had a lead item on how the star of a bachelorette reality show was shocked to discover that none of the 9 young men courting her on TV was really interested in a permanent marriage, and I wonder about it all.

We may continue this discussion another time, but I don’t really plan to. I just want to get the whole depressing subject out of my system.

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And I do note that even the mainstream press is beginning to realize I didn’t make up my stories about bunny inspectors.

Salve sclave.

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Ground Game Scandal. Office View

View 776 Thursday, June 06, 2013

Anniversary of D Day, the most complex and expensive event in the history of mankind.

I have been bogged down all week. I started this two days ago. Still just checking in.

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Every time we think the IRS scandal is as bad as it gets, it gets worse. Given that the IRS was used to cripple the get out the vote efforts of the Tea Party and all organizations claiming to be patriotic or civic duty directed, and all religious operations, and given that it was Obama’s ground game that won, it is hard not to conclude that this was the key to Obama’s win.

It also means that we know how to win in 2014 and 2016.

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This was recommended to me some time ago. I read it and thought it worth recommending, but various distractions intervened. Rather than keep this as a Firefox tab, I recommend it to your attention without comment.

http://pjmedia.com/victordavishanson/it-can-happen-here/?singlepage=true

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I find myself increasingly approaching the state of the famous absent minded professor, who one day was walking through the Yard and was approached by some students who wanted an expansion of a lecture. They were impressed. Then he asked, “Gentlemen, in which direction was I going when you stopped me?” They pointed. He said, “Thank you. Good. I’ve had my lunch.”

I find I can focus on the subject at hand and give myself a good accounting, but I often have to refer to the Internet for details such as names and dates. The other day I could remember a phrase, and I knew who had said it, but I could not remember his name, or the name of the book in which it was said. Fortunately I could remember he had written A Tale of Two Cities. As I was Googling that work I realized that he had also written A Christmas Carol and that was written by Charles Dickens so I didn’t have to complete the search. It was an odd experience. On the other hand I can sometimes remember incidents that took place forty years ago. I gather it’s not uncommon. Fortunately I now live in the Internet age…

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I am doing the last intro work for the California Reader. Thanks to those who have expressed interest in it. Real Soon Now

 

I’ll try to do a bit of mail tonight.  And if you haven’t read my rather ancient essay on the Voodoo Sciences recently, this would be a good time.  It’s still extremely relevant.

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I was asked in another conference to show some pictures of where I work, and having done that I was about to erase the file when I realized that it might be of interest to some of you, so I paste it on to the bottom of tonight’s View.

My office has grown over the years, and the downstairs office suite where John Carr and any temporary associate editors worked is now my wife’s.

We rebuilt the front part of the house with this upstairs office suite for me. I actually do a good bit of creative work on a laptop in what used to be the room of the oldest son resident, but now that all four of them have moved into quarters of their own it is a combination guest room and monk’s cell – a room without Internet or distractions like telephones, and most of the books are high school text books. But I spend most of my time here,

I’ve been a bit under the weather and this place has slowly settled into the muck – it’s a real mess.

View of my work chair and the three computer screens I keep open. The window faces onto a second floor veranda where I keep humming bird feeders, and two big ceramic dishes that serve as bird baths and watering stations. There’s a brick waist high wall around the veranda and I put out bird seed most days. There has been the same family of California Jays since we moved here in 1968, and they have learned that if they yell loud enough I will go out and give them peanuts. The squirrels have learned to listen for the jays and come running. The resulting contest between jays and squirrels is a more even match than you might suppose. The chair is by Henry Miller and is expensive and I recommend anyone spending many hours in a chair to get one.

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View from my chair into the conference room. Alas the conference table is covered with stuff. That’s the room in which we held the meeting that resulted in the SSX presentation to the White House. It eventually became a scale model of SSX called DC/X. That mess on the left is a counter on which I keep the chemistry lab of vitamins and other supplements. I am sure that about half of them do me good and the other half make expensive urine, but I don’t know which ones are effective and which aren’t so I take them all.

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View of the conference room looking east from the west end.

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And the same room looking west from the reading corner in the bay window on the east end.

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Sorry the place is such a mess. I really do intend to clean it up and have a nice tea party for local SFWA members. My wife says I can’t invite anyone over until I do some cleanup and throwing out. I have to agree she’s right.

There’s a bit more, a room originally intended for the printer because this was designed before Laser printers and the Diablo was so loud you didn’t want to be in the same room with it, and another room of the northeast side of the conference room (dubbed the Great Hall) which is a pure store room. The printer room now holds the network server and cable modem and lots of tools, as well as a microwave and small refrigerator. It’s larger and more complicated than I need now, but in the 80’s we had meetings of the Space Advisory Council, and I was turning out a number of anthologies as well as fiction and three monthly science/computer columns, so all those facilities made more sense than they do now. But it’s a comfortable place to work, and a nice place to have friends over for tea.

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Martha Stewart and the Boston Bombing; andrew j. offutt, RIP; Tarquin and the Poppies; funeral games; and officers of the state and citizens of a republic.

View 772 Wednesday, May 01, 2013

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I don’t do breaking news, but sometimes a breaking story triggers a thought. The breaking news is that three suspects have been detained in matters related to the Boston Marathon bombing. I put it that ambiguously because the exact connection with the bombing isn’t clear, but television is showing them shackled and in civilian clothes being perp-walked into a courthouse. Presumably we will learn what they are charged with.

Early reports said that they were charged with lying to federal agents about removing property/evidence from the room of Dzhokhar Tsarnaev. The early report didn’t say anything about being charged with removing anything, only for saying they had not removed anything. This may well have been incorrect – early reports often fudge things – but it reminded me of the Martha Stewart case. Ms. Stewart was charged with lying to a federal officer by denying that she had done something that was not a crime even if she had done it. The conclusion to draw from the Martha Stewart case is that you should not cooperate with any federal officer for any reason whatever, lest you end up in a jail cell. When I was growing up we were taught that the authorities were our friends and we had a civic duty to cooperate with them; but surely not at the peril of being sent to Club Fed because you said you hadn’t done something that wasn’t a crime to begin with? Unless you have perfect memory, you are likely to get a detail wrong. If you have a detail wrong, you can end up in jail.

As this story breaks the story is more clear cut, involving a backpack and laptop being removed from the room, with the backpack eventually being recovered from a junkyard. I haven’t heard anything about the laptop. The story on the news is that the three new suspects found firecrackers whose powder had been removed in Tsarnaev’s room, and removed those as well.

The question here is not trampling on the rights of the suspects, two of whom appear to be “undocumented” or “expired document” immigrants aka illegal immigrants, but the wisdom of the Martha Stewart prosecution. Once Washington proves beyond doubt that they can get you once they decide to do it, you need to think twice about cooperating with the feds for any reason. That conflicts with normal civic habits – which is the point. When you set out to prove that you have arbitrary power and intend to use it, it sends a message. The message in this case is that cooperating with the feds may have a very bad outcome; lawyer up and plead the fifth, even if all they ask you is for the time of day.

This is of course not a favorable attitude for a republic, and actually it’s even worse for the plebiscitary democracy a lot of intellectuals hope we will evolve into. But that’s another essay.

We await actual charges in the Boston Marathon case. We can predict that the authorities will do almost anything to avoid attention on the fact that the Russian repeatedly warned us about Tamerlan Tsarnaev.

Death by database.

<http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2314048/Tamerlan-Tsarnaev-placed-U-S-terrorist-watch-list-multiple-warnings-Russian-authorities-FBI.html>

Roland Dobbins

We were told that the Patriot Act and the Bush-Cheney security actions had made this sort of thing impossible. Has something changed since January 2009?

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andrew j offutt, RIP

Andrew Jefferson Offutt, 78, of Haldeman Heights, passed away on April 30, 2013 at his home after an extended illness. He was born August 16, 1934 in Louisville, KY, the son of the late AJ and Helen Spaninger Offutt.

Offutt spent his childhood years in Taylorsville, Ky.  He graduated the University of Louisville in 1955, which he attended on a Ford Foundation scholarship. He began a full time writing career in 1969 and published more than fifty books.

Offutt served two terms as President of the Science Fiction Writers of America, and was a consultant to Writers’ Digest Criticism Services. He was Guest of Honor at more than eighty science fiction conventions.

Offutt is survived by his wife of 56 years, Mary Joe (Jodie) McCabe Offutt and four children: Chris (Melissa) of Oxford, MS; Jeff (Jian) of Fairfax, VA; Scotty Hyde (Jim) of Bowling Green; and Melissa of San Diego, CA. Other survivors include five grandchildren; Sam, James, Stephanie, Joyce and Andrew Offutt.  He is also survived by his sister, Jane Offutt Burns, of Lubbock, TX.

Chris

I never approved of his preference for lower case spelling of his name, and sometimes teased him about it. He was an old friend and was Treasurer when I was President of SFWA, and remained Treasurer for some years until he became President. We only met at conventions, and over the years the times when we were at the same convention became fewer and fewer, but we generally found time for a short meeting when we did. Farewell old friend.

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I was looking around the old View column and came upon http://www.jerrypournelle.com/archives2/archives2view/view476.html which has the story of Tarquin and the Poppies.  At one time everyone knew that story – it was taught before eighth grade – but I expect it is not so much known now.  If you have a moment it is worth your time. Further down as some other items from the time that are still rather current.

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Dear Jerry.

While I share your dismay at the disappearance of Greek and Latin from core curricula, I am proud to report that the Classical spirit lives on in this university’s response to the Olympian tragedy that overtook the Boston Marathon,

Harvard has just staged funeral games in memory of the fallen:

http://vvattsupwiththat.blogspot.com/2013/05/the-funeral-games.html

Russell Seitz

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A story of the land of the free.  Of course California is further along the road than many. but here is what the rest of you have to look forward to in this brave new world that has such people in it.

http://www.today.com/health/parents-police-removed-our-child-after-we-sought-second-medical-6C9708419

It is, I suppose, the business of the state to protect the innocent, unless they are not yet born; and mere parentage does not allow one to question the duly appointed authorities, lest children be harmed (so long as they have been born). Child protection services have a job to do, and they must do it. And yet, one wonders. If the people are not qualified to make their own decisions should they be allowed to vote? If one is not qualified to question the experts, then how is one qualified to choose them?  And where does egalitarian democracy lead us? History would say rule by bureaucrats who have qualified to hold their jobs, and who can form unions. The public schools might be an example.

Freedom is not free. Who shall pay the prices? But if you limit freedom in the name of some higher end such as the protection of children from their parents, where is the end of that? The state wants a monopoly on all the means of violence, and puts the protection of its officers ahead of almost anything else: the Long Beach Police who shot a man dead on the front porch of his friend where he had gone because he felt impaired to drive and was playing with a garden hose nozzle as if it were a pistol have been found to have acted within policy, although at no time had they made their presence known to the man who was playing with the hose nozzle.  One has no right to sit on the front porch and play with a toy pistol. Best to shoot him dead before he harms an officer of the state.  And had the parents of the child resisted, in this land of the free–

Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

And on that score

“They wanted to keep Mr. Curtis in custody while they built a case. They knew early on he wasn’t the right guy, but they fought to hold on to him anyway.”

<http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/original-ricin-suspect-was-held-despite-evidence-pointing-to-another-man/2013/05/01/ad4dab40-b192-11e2-bbf2-a6f9e9d79e19_print.html>

Roland Dobbins

Criminal justice experts said the political pressure from Washington to solve the ricin case would have been intense, particularly since the president was targeted and it occurred around the same time as the Boston Marathon bombing. Some experts said the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks taught law enforcement officials to do everything possible to prevent attacks, even if it means arresting the wrong person.

“There would have been unlimited armchair quarterbacking if he was the guy and more letters went out while they continued to investigate him,” said Chris Swecker, who retired as chief of the FBI’s criminal division in 2006. “When the stakes are this high, they have a sense of urgency to move faster.”

 

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A Word on Security; Dark matter stories; Space Access; NASA revives the F-1; SAGE; Tax Time; and other important matters.

Mail 770 Wednesday, April 17, 2013

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First a few words on security:

WordPress Attack

Dr. Pournelle:

It appears there is an attack against WordPress installations that is placing a phony ‘500’ error page on the site that allows additional commands to be executed. I don’t have all the details yet, but one report indicates that there is a brute-force password guessing attack against the ‘admin’ user of a WordPress site.

The ‘admin’ user is created by default on a WordPress installation; that user has full privileges to the WordPress installation. If the owner has chosen a weak password, or ohe that is easily guessed, then the attacker would get full admin privileges to the WordPress site, including the administrative area.

WordPress login process allows for brute force attacks; an unsuccessful login will just let you try again. There might be some delays if you try brute-force logins, but it is possible to keep on trying a WP login.

The attack will put a phony ‘500.php’ file in your site root (and perhaps other places). So a search for those files might be prudent. Delete any that contain unfamiliar code.

Initially, it looks like many sites that have been successfully attacked are also not current in their WordPress version level. So, prevention would indicate these steps:

1) Create a new ‘admin-level’ user with a strong non-dictionary type password.

2) Log in as that user to ensure that all is OK

3) When logged in as the new admin-level user, demote the user ‘admin’ to the lowest level. Leave the user there just to irritate the hacker.

4) Ensure that your hosting account, and any FTP accounts, have strong passwords. Strongly consider changing FTP passwords.

5) Don’t use an FTP client that stores passwords in plain text. (WinFTP does this.). I recommend WinSCP (open source, free) which encrypts FTP credentials.

6) Ensure your WordPress installation is current. Update all themes and plugins on a regular basis.

And the usual precautions on your home computer: Windows updates, Application updates (Secunia Personal Software Inspector is recommended), uninstall Java (if it is not needed; Javascript is OK), don’t clck or open unfamiliar attachments, etc.

(BTW, your site is OK. I already did the mitigations noted above when I set up the WordPress installation.)

Regards, Rick Hellewell, Security Geek and your faithful web guy

HEAR AND BELIEVE

I view all mail in plaintext and never follow links until I have some reason to assume it’s safe; and I see a lot of intriguing new phishing schemes lately. It’s getting bad out there.

And this just in:

Identity Theft

Hi Jerry,

We hear a lot about identity theft but here’s a statistic to chill the blood, from the Senate committee testimony of National Taxpayer Advocate Nina Olson on April 16 —

"Yet despite the revamped identity theft victim assistance procedures, more stringent filters, and improved cooperation with the private sector, the volume of identity theft returns continues to grow at an alarming rate. The IRS had more than 1.25 million identity theft cases in inventory as of the end of February 2013, a sharp increase from a year ago, when the volume was less than 235,000 cases."

Then, imagine how many more there are that don’t lead to an IRS contact.

–Mike

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Re Dark Matter & Dark Energy

Dr Pournelle,

At <http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=1068>, Eric Raymond relates this anecdote:

“In 1992 I was an invited speaker at the Institute for Advanced Study.

Yes, this was five years before I was famous; what I was doing there was a seminar on advanced Emacsing. My sponsor, the astrophysicist Piet Hut, took me around to meet a number of the stellar eminences at the Institute.

“One of them was a cosmologist whose name I don’t remember. We chatted for a while – he was doing interesting work on the apparent quantization of red-shift distributions. Then I said to him, ‘Oh, by the way, I know what dark matter is made from.’

“Eying me dubiously, he said, ‘What?’

“I said, ‘Phlogiston.’

“He damn near fell out of his chair laughing.”

—Joel Salomon

I can I suppose accept dark matter, although it’s a stretch – why isn’t there a lot of it around here, and why isn’t it making the solar system deviate from Newton? – but dark energy isn’t anything I can get my head around. I still believe in experimental evidence rather than the beauty of equations or lack thereof…

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Henry Vanderbilt on last weekend’s Space Access conference and the future of man in space:

Despair is a sin, as you’ve mentioned more than once. Worse, in this case it’s an error. We’re actually doing remarkably well as far as development of reusable transport goes, at least compared to where we were fifteen years ago when X-33 had just eaten everything. It’s just that it’s mostly not in the government, most of it subject to the eccentricities of its private sponsors, and much of it grossly underfunded.

That last is my immediate worry – Armadillo has already been set back a year because they couldn’t afford to build the canonical three copies of their "Stig-B" test vehicle, XCOR will shortly be betting the company on the one copy of Lynx they can afford, and even the (relatively) lavishly funded Virgin will have problems if they break their first "SpaceShip 2".

SpaceX’s reusability tests strike me as sincere but still secondary; they’re funded at a level justifiable by the FUD they inspire in competitors, not (yet at least) as something primary to the company. And Blue Origin remains an enigma. What little comes out does not convey to me a sense of urgency, FWIW.

Jess Sponable going back to DARPA is potentially good also, though he’s been frustrated in his attempts to do something useful before. Mitchell Burnside Clapp, by the way, is also at DARPA these days, running an air-launched reusable project called ALASA – he was going to come out and talk about it till his travel budget got sequestered.

My chief hope is still the small startups, the XCORs, Armadillos, and Mastens – they’re the ones most closely focused on low-cost fast-turnaround reusability. Chronically underfunded, as I said. If you know someone who might want to support a non-profit strategic investment fund to the tune of a few tens of millions, I could do a huge amount of good there. (It’d probably make a considerable profit too, in the long run, which could then be applied to the next step outward.)

I’m recovering from a bug that hit me Monday – the perils of being one of your own mike-runners; I effectively traded bugs with 50% of everyone who had a question at the conference. I’ll have to check and see how Tim Kyger is doing; he drove out from Albuquerque to help out this year, and collected the other 50%. Having mike-runners who know the players is priceless, though.

I’m currently reading "Lenin, Hitler, and Stalin – The Age Of Social Catastrophe" by Gellately – part of my last few years walkabout through twentieth century history. Very interesting so far for the tactical details; that sort of thing tends to get glossed over.

Hmm, well, I must be feeling better; I’ve gone on far too long.

Henry

 

In other words, little has changed, and actually that’s progress. Moore’s Law continues: of the three major fields in space exploration, control and avionics gets better whether we like it or not, structures get stronger and lighter as everyone experiments with materials, and there are advances in reliability and manufacturing of propulsion. Operations improve.

Bob Bussard said a long time ago that we already did the easy stuff. He was prophetic, but we seem through some of that phase. In the 70’s we underestimated how hard things would be, but we also had the costs of the standing army to bear. Now the Navy and Air Force need mission capabilities and NASA doesn’t even pretend to be able to make them. This is the right time for real X program: develop the technology and let industry apply it to mission oriented spacecraft. Some of those missions will turn out to be commercial.

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: How NASA brought the monstrous F-1 “moon rocket” engine back to life

Here’s an article you may be interested in reading:

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/

and another related article on the developing F-1B engine:

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/new-f-1b-rocket-engine-upgrades-apollo-era-deisgn-with-1-8m-lbs-of-thrust/

– Paul

Rocketdyne F-1 lives!

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/

An absolutely brilliant article. Puts many rumors to rest about the plans for Apollo being lost–and underscores yet again how Apollo was an amazing achievement in both design and execution.

I was shocked to hear up-rated F-1B was not only done, but tested.

The details on the gas generator and the turbopumps was astonishing.

Apollo lives!

a wonderful article on bringing the F1 engine back to life

You’ll love it.

Phil

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/

Indeed. And they’re cheaper now. In that sense Apollo was an X project. We learned a lot from Apollo. Propulsion wasn’t my thucktun, but I got to watch some of that development. We learned a lot about human factors until NASA froze the spacesuit designs and lost a lot of the progress the Ames people had made. Not lost forever, though.

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And I would love to have some reports on this one:

Space program simulation game

I thought that you may find this interesting. From the review; “You’re given rocket parts, a space center, a solar system of planets and moons, and you’re left to find your own fun. Orbit the planet? Go to the moon? Throw a kerbanaut into the sun? Build a space-jet? Make a giant tower of fuel tanks and blow them up? Whatever.”

http://www.shamusyoung.com/twentysidedtale/?p=19396

Edward Armstrong

If I get a chance I’ll try it, but perhaps someone has more time…

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SAGE,

Jerry

Cold War-era command center that once guarded the nation up for sale in Cicero, NY:

http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2013/04/cold_war-era_command_center_th.html

And why is this interesting? It’s an old SAGE complex.

“Keeping with the goal of survivability, the buildings have no windows. Not a single one. From the outside, they look like big concrete bunkers that could survive nearly anything the old Soviet Union could have thrown at it.” “Evertz said records storage is still probably the best use for the buildings.”

Kind of a follow-up to last week.

Ed

I recall visiting operating SAGE installations. They did it all with brute force.

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Looking at the Rocketdyne F-1 Engine Again

Jerry,

Very interesting article.

Regards, Charles Adams, Bellevue, NE

<http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/>

"….Watching the test

On the morning of February 20 I found myself perched on a set of metal bleachers under an iron-gray Huntsville sky, with the thermometer reading 33ºF-quite a bit cooler than this Texas boy is used to enduring, especially since the wind wouldn’t stop gusting. The payoff was that the observation area sat only a short distance from the gas generator test stand. Through a clearing in a row of evergreens and scrub, separated from us by a dirt path, I saw the test stand itself: a jungle-gym pile of metal and pipes, with personnel scurrying around to make last-minute adjustments.

The gas generator test firing I was there to witness was neither the first nor the last, but it still drew a hefty crowd of folks-civil servants, family members, and no small number of Dynetics/PWR employees. As the clock ticked down toward firing, we packed ourselves into the rickety bleachers and the buzz of conversation gradually quieted; I focused on holding my camera steady and trying not to touch any of the exposed metal of the heavy (and freezing) telephoto lens.

And see:

New F-1B rocket engine upgrades Apollo-era design with 1.8M lbs of thrust <http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/new-f-1b-rocket-engine-upgrades-apollo-era-deisgn-with-1-8m-lbs-of-thrust/>

Gallery: Behind the scenes at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center <http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/gallery-behind-the-scenes-at-nasas-marshall-space-flight-center/>

More on the F-1B monster. If we need them we can build them.

* * *

Fast trip to Mars

Interesting news: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/04/10/nasa_fusion_engine_fast_mars_trip/

Michael Lund Markussen

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airplanes, cell phones and Ordnung.

One more email on using cell phones/electronic devices on airplanes and Ordnung.

Recently I took a flight on American airlines from Atlanta to Miami. We stopped short of the gate and the pilot announced that another plane was still at our assigned gate and we would wait just short of the gate until it was free. You could see the gate and plane. I was sitting in an aisle seat. A man on the other side aisle seat and two rows up, pulled out a cell phone and started to make a call. The stewardess scurried up to him and told him to turn it off. She said that Federal regulations prohibit using cell phones until the cabin doors were opened. She went on to say that he was endangering our lives because the phone could cause problems with the avionics. He laughed at her and said we can see the gate, if my phone messes up the avionics, tell the pilot to maintain current altitude and go to VFR. I started laughing (remember we are sitting on the ground), getting a glare from the stewardess. At that point she threatened to have security arrest him when he deplaned for interfering with the flight crew, if he did not comply. He wisely turned the phone off while shaking his head at the stupidity.

Mike J.

Wise move on his part. The flight attendants aren’t engineers…

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a case of importance and horror

http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2013/04/13/gosnellgate/?singlepage=true

The main stream media is suppressing it so that people don’t question their pro-choice stance.

Phil

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Boston Marathon Bombing

Another possible connection; Israel’s Independence Day began at sunset on April 15. Allowing for time zone changes, the bomb went off just about the time that Independence Day began in Jerusalem. (In the Hebrew calendar, the new "day" begins at sunset.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yom_Ha%27atzmaut

Ken Mitchell

Presumably someone will come take credit for it. We’ll just have to wait.

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It’s Tax Time

Hello Jerry,

"It’s tax week, and I’m up to the ears."

When a citizen of your undoubted competence is ‘up to their ears in taxes’ for a week (or more), trying to comply with a tax code that NO ONE understands, it kinda reminds me of this, from ‘Dr. Floyd Ferris’:

"“There’s no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren’t enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible for men to live without breaking laws. Who wants a nation of law-abiding citizens? What’s there in that for anyone? But just pass the kind of laws that can neither be observed or enforced nor objectively interpreted – and you create a nation of law-breakers – and then you cash in on guilt.”

I think that ‘Dr. Ferris’ would be very pleased with the ‘progress’ that the US has made in the 56 years that it has been ‘progressing’ since he made the above observation in 1957. The tax code provides a prime example of WHY.

But, as we have learned to our sorrow, the ‘progressives’ who now rule us can always find new facets of our lives which require additional governmental ‘progress’, so they continue beavering away, apparently ad infinitum. One thing about progressives: they are all about progress, but as long as there is ONE citizen out there who insists on inhaling and exhaling on his own schedule, they will never have ‘arrived’.

Bob Ludwick

I won’t argue. Liberals are worried that someone, somewhere, is doing something without permission. That was Bill Buckley’s mot juste a long time ago. It seems to be true, but add that they worry that someone is doing something without paying a tax on it.

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This should have been posted last week, but I was busy.

debt limits and hyperventilation

Dear Mr. Pournelle;

I’ve been reluctant to comment on a recent posting, but it continues to disturb me. To quote several paragraphs:

"You may get death threats, so many you’ll lose count, and there may well be actual attempts on your life. Don’t forget, the Chicago gang is in town and they play very rough. The more public you are, the less they may target you. The CorruptMedia will oppo-research every hidden nook and cranny of your life to smear and expose whatever dirt they can find on you.

You must understand that America now has a government run by gangsters – by crooks, thieves, looters, and thugs who will be utterly ruthless in ruining you if you try to be in their way. Putin’s Russia, Chavez’s Venezuela, has come to America; and the Chicago gang and the cartels have come to D.C.

So if you don’t have the courage to band together and stand up to them, quit now. They can’t spend money you don’t give them. They will do whatever it takes, legal or illegal, to force you to give it to them."

I’m aware that you noted it needed to be toned down; thank you. However, I think extravagant rhetoric like this is highly destructive. As citizens, we are NOT each other’s enemies; rhetoric like this seems to me to serve no purpose except to estrange us.

Also, I note that the original posting was apparently anonymous. My experience is that anonymous letters deserve neither attention nor publicity. They are not an invitation to discussion; there’s no way to reply. They’re more on the order of a tantrum.

Regarding the actual topic of the note: while I agree that spending needs to be brought under control, I believe that the time to do that is *before* we spend the money, not after. Anyone considering not raising the debt limit enough for us to pay the bills ought to consider the probable unintended consequences of such a strategy.

Okay, we’ll be paying the bills with borrowed money. That irritates me; but, again, the time to fix that is before we make the expenditures. Not honoring our debts is *not* heroic; it would simply mean that the "full faith and credit" of the United States was thenceforth worthless. The consequences of such a declaration would, I think, be rather abruptly ruinous.

Thank you for your consideration —

Allan E. Johnson

Something like this is needed once in a while…

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Scott Turow’s take on the ‘publishing revolution’

Jerry:

I came across this article in my daily readings and it appears that the American author is indeed becoming an endangered species.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/08/opinion/the-slow-death-of-the-american-author.html?pagewanted=all&_r=3&

Mr. Turow’s conclusion is a bit chilling –

"Last October, I visited Moscow and met with a group of authors who described the sad fate of writing as a livelihood in Russia. There is only a handful of publishers left, while e-publishing is savaged by instantaneous piracy that goes almost completely unpoliced. As a result, in the country of Tolstoy and Chekhov, few Russians, let alone Westerners, can name a contemporary Russian author whose work regularly affects the national conversation.

"The Constitution’s framers had it right. Soviet-style repression is not necessary to diminish authors’ output and influence. Just devalue their copyrights"

John L.

I am going to leave this in the queue because I still have hopes of commenting on it, but it has waited long enough. I don’t know the current status of Solzhenitsyn and Pasternak in Russia today. It is a chilling thought. Turow is president of the author’s guild. I have not noticed significant comment on this from SFWA.

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And we end with

A Coyote Tale…

The Governor of California is jogging with his dog along a nature trail. A coyote jumps out and attacks the Governor’s dog, then bites the Governor.

The Governor starts to intervene, but reflects upon the movie "Bambi" and then realizes he should stop because the coyote is only doing what is natural.

He calls Animal Control. Animal Control captures the coyote and bills the State $200 testing it for diseases and $500 for relocating it.

He calls a veterinarian. The vet collects the dead dog and bills the State $200 testing it for diseases.

The Governor goes to hospital and spends $3,500 getting checked for diseases from the coyote and on getting his bite wound bandaged.

The running trail gets shut down for 6 months while Fish & Game conducts a $100,000 survey to make sure the area is now free of dangerous animals.

The Governor spends $50,000 in state funds implementing a "coyote awareness program" for residents of the area.

The State Legislature spends $2 million to study how to better treat rabies and how to permanently eradicate the disease throughout the world.

The Governor’s security agent is fired for not stopping the attack. The State spends $150,000 to hire and train a new agent with additional special training regarding the nature of coyotes.

PETA protests the coyote’s relocation and files a $5 million suit against the State.

TEXAS:

The Governor of Texas is jogging with his dog along a nature trail. A coyote jumps out and attacks his dog.

The Governor shoots the coyote with his State-issued pistol and keeps jogging. The Governor has spent $0.50 on a .45 ACP hollow point cartridge.

The buzzards eat the dead coyote.

And that, my friends, is why California is broke and Texas is not.

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