China claims orbital test of EM drive! Confirm

Thursday 22 Dec 2016:  Claim confirmed. Chinese Academy of Science claims EmDrive working on Chinese Space Station.. See Below.

 

The question becomes, given the magnitude of this, why is it a surprise? We have 21 expensive intelligence agencies; not one of them knew the Chinese orbited an EM Drive? Of course it will be a while before we can do orbital tests. We have no rockets.  That’s preparedness. Perhaps Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos can help? This is a signal larger than Sputnik. If the Intelligence Community knows about Russian hacking, why doesn’t it know about Chinese testing of a reactionless drive? 

More tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

Wednesday, 12/21/2016

China claims to have a working version of NASA’s impossible engine orbiting the Earth – and will use it in satellites ‘imminently’

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4052580/China-claims-built-working-version-NASA-s-impossible-engine-says-s-orbiting-Earth.html

China claims to have a working version of NASA’s impossible engine orbiting the Earth – and will use it in satellites ‘imminently’

 

The scientists say they’ve created a working prototype and are testing in orbit

They’ve revealed plans to implement it in satellites ‘as quickly as possible’ 

They say it is ‘currently in the latter stages of the proof-of-principle phase’

EmDrive creates thrust by bouncing microwaves around a chamber

The system has caused a stir as it it ‘goes against’ the laws of physics

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4052580/China-claims-built-working-version-NASA-s-impossible-engine-says-s-orbiting-Earth.html#ixzz4TSTZ8v5F

 

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Scientists in China claim they’ve created a working prototype of the ‘impossible’ reactionless engine – and they say they’re already testing it in orbit aboard the Tiangong-2 space laboratory. [snip]

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4052580/China-claims-built-working-version-NASA-s-impossible-engine-says-s-orbiting-Earth.html#ixzz4TSTqBv3S
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

 

 

I have no more information, but this is staggering.  Movable satellites requiring a power source but no reaction fuel. The implications are enormous. Think Thor for a start. The Em Drive wouldn’t reduce launch costs, but it makes satellites much more useful.  No station keeping reaction mass needed.

 

 

A fuel-free engine, described as 'impossible' to create, may now be a step closer to reality, according to leaked Nasa documents. Pictured is a prototype of the EMDrive

 

 

 

Hey Doc:

You said:

I have no more information, but this is staggering.  Movable satellites requiring a power source but no reaction fuel. The implications are enormous. Think Thor for a start. The Em Drive wouldn’t reduce launch costs, but it makes satellites much more useful.  No station keeping reaction mass needed.

It seems to me that not having to launch any reaction mass with the satellite would reduce launch costs somewhat. For the same functionality there’d be a smaller launch load or for the same load the package could include much more capability,

We need to view the Chinese doing this in the same light we viewed the Sputnik launch when I was a kid. This should be a call to action for our space program(s).

John

John Harlow

 

Right on both counts; and of course if it can get more than 1 milliNewton per KW it would be even more valuable.  But I still have no other information on the validity of this claim.  The “Intelligence Community” has yet to say anything, nor has the President, though one would think this an important matter.

 

I’m very skeptical of the supposed EM-Drive news from China.

And I hope I’m wrong – but the PRC has a history of making all kinds of outlandish claims about supposed scientific breakthroughs which turn out to be absolute nonsense.

Again, I hope I’m wrong.

—————————————

Roland Dobbins

Pretty well me sentiments. (I am looking for other sources.  I have heard nothing from mainstream media, although I have some people checking.  It has been a busy day.

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Roberta went to the hairdressers and got her hair done.  She looks great.

image5

 

China claims it’s already started testing an EM Drive in space

http://www.sciencealert.com/china-is-claiming-it-s-already-started-testing-an-em-drive-in-space 

Peer review or it didn’t happen.

FIONA MACDONALD

22 DEC 2016

  The whole world got excited last month when NASA published the first peer-reviewed paper on the ‘impossible’ electromagnetic, or EM, Drive, which appears to somehow defy physics by producing thrust without a propellant.

Their verdict was that it seems to work, although a lot of physicists still think the results are flawed. But now researchers in China have announced that they’ve already been testing the controversial drive in low-Earth orbit, and they’re looking into using the EM Drive to power their satellites as soon as possible.

Big disclaimer here – all we have to go on right now is a press conference announcement and an article from a government-sponsored Chinese newspaper (and the country doesn’t have the best track record when it comes to trustworthy research).

So until we see a peer-reviewed paper, we really can’t say for sure whether the researchers are even testing the drive in space, let alone what their results have shown.

But what the China Academy of Space Technology (CAST) team is saying also corresponds with information provided to IB Times from an anonymous source. According to their informant, China already has an EM Drive on board its version of the International Space Station, the space laboratory Tiangong-2.

We do know from previous papers that Chinese researchers have at least constructed an EM Drive and have been studying it for more than five years now. But there are no published results that we’ve been able to find that show how positive the results have been.

At the press conference, CAST claim they’d seen the EM Drive producing similar thrust to the NASA team’s version.[snip]

 

 

EmDrive: China claims success with this ‘reactionless’ engine for space travel

NASA also has high hopes for the theoretical engine

By Jeffrey Lin and P.W. Singer

http://www.popsci.com/emdrive-engine-space-travel-china-success

It’s a piece of space tech that sounds almost too good to be true. The “reactionless” Electromagnetic Drive, or EmDrive for short, is an engine propelled solely by electromagnetic radiation confined in a microwave cavity. Such an engine would violate the law of conservation of momentum by generating mechanical action without exchanging matter. But since 2010, both the United States and China have been pouring serious resources into these seemingly impossible engines. And now China claims its made a key breakthrough.

Dr. Chen Yue, Director of Commercial Satellite Technology for the China Academy of Space Technology (CAST) announced on December 10, 2016 that not only has China successfully tested EmDrives technology in its laboratories, but that a proof-of-concept is currently undergoing zero-g testing in orbit (according to the International Business Times, this test is taking place on the Tiangong 2 space station).[snip]

 

 

You’d think one or another of our expensive intelligence agencies would have warned us, or that the White House would have comments.

 

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/byron-york-intel-report-wont-end-russia-hacking-fight/article/2609959

Electoral College Votes . Russian Hacks. Cold despite Global Warming. And Christmas is coming, without civil war.

Sunday, December 18, 2016

The Electoral College votes Monday. 19 December, 2016

bubbles

bubbles

According to the New York Times, “President Obama on Friday described the Electoral College — originally a compromise between those who wanted Congress to choose the president and those who favored a popular vote — as a ‘vestige’.” The clear indication is that the Electors ought to “vote their conscience”, but it is unlikely that they would do this in sufficient numbers to affect the outcome.

There is a small but concerted group inviting the Electors to vote for anyone but Trump. This would probably not result in a majority for Mrs. Clinton, but if enough Trump electors failed to vote for him but did not vote for Mrs. Clinton, the result would be to throw the election into the House, where each state delegation votes for one of the Nominees. Each State has one vote, and a majority of state votes is needed for election. The likelihood that the House would choose Mrs. Clinton is negligible.

We will not have a President Elect until January, when a joint meeting of the House and Senate will witness the votes of the Electoral College, but we should know by Monday night how they voted; we can hope that ends the drama.

There is a small but I suppose finite chance that we will be in a state of Constitutional crisis by Monday evening, even verging on civil war, but that is a story for novelists, not for rational discussion. I do not believe there are anywhere near that many faithless electors.

 

Monday, Dec 19, 1800 PST

The results are in, and there were few faithless electors despite all the furor.  We have a President Elect, and  Donald Trump will be sworn in on inauguration day. A few celebrities continue, whether to draw attention to their cause or to themselves being unclear, but the fear of a coup was, as I suspected, only a fear.

bubbles

Observation: no one watching the developments in Syria imagines that there are any good guys in charge of anything over there. Russia and the Syrian regime have decided to end the revolt once and for all, in the only way they know how. Their side of the story can only be one of defending their actions lest the war go on endlessly; better simply to end it no matter the cost. This is not an argument that appeals to Americans, who believe there is some way to pull the rabbit out of the hat. I do not purport to make their case; I merely say it is the only one I can imagine them making. They see ISIS as an even greater horror.

 

This with Saturday’s post (below) should be enough about the hacks and the election; the Electors will vote now. [And have. For Trump.]

bubbles

Russian hack

Why is everyone still talking about the “Russian hack”? Julian Assange, who, after all, released the emails through Wikileaks, and is therefore in the best position to know whence they came, has repeatedly assured us that it was not the Russians, it was someone inside the DNC. A leak, not a hack. Unless my skimming of the “news” on this subject has missed some important bits, this would seem to settle the matter.

But I guess this doesn’t fit the media narrative well, so they have no interest in it.

Richard White

Surely we have all heard the bizarre story of the meeting in a wooded area where a DNC staffer passed the leaks to an Assange associate?

Russians and the election

Addendum: Here is an additional comment by Craig Murray, Assange associate, who calls the CIA report hogslop, in that elegant British way.

https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2016/12/cias-absence-conviction/

“I have watched incredulous as the CIA’s blatant lie has grown and grown as a media story – blatant because the CIA has made no attempt whatsoever to substantiate it. There is no Russian involvement in the leaks of emails showing Clinton’s corruption. Yes this rubbish has been the lead today in the Washington Post in the US and the Guardian here, and was the lead item on the BBC main news. I suspect it is leading the American broadcasts also.

A little simple logic demolishes the CIA’s claims. The CIA claim they “know the individuals” involved. Yet under Obama the USA has been absolutely ruthless in its persecution of whistleblowers, and its pursuit of foreign hackers through extradition. We are supposed to believe that in the most vital instance imaginable, an attempt by a foreign power to destabilize a US election, even though the CIA knows who the individuals are, nobody is going to be arrested or extradited, or (if in Russia) made subject to yet more banking and other restrictions against Russian individuals? Plainly it stinks. The anonymous source claims of “We know who it was, it was the Russians”

are beneath contempt.

As Julian Assange has made crystal clear, the leaks did not come from the Russians. As I have explained countless times, they are not hacks, they are insider leaks – there is a major difference between the two.

And it should be said again and again, that if Hillary Clinton had not connived with the DNC to fix the primary schedule to disadvantage Bernie, if she had not received advance notice of live debate questions to use against Bernie, if she had not accepted massive donations to the Clinton foundation and family members in return for foreign policy influence, if she had not failed to distance herself from some very weird and troubling people, then none of this would have happened.”

Respectfully,

Brian P.

And of course if the leaks had not contained anything to be ashamed of, they would not have had to be leaked; the Times and other papers would have carried the stories. This is sufficiently obvious that I have not bothered with it, but perhaps that was a mistake.

Deep Throat 2

· Craig Murray, former British ambassador to Uzbekistan and associate of Julian Assange, told the Dailymail.com  he flew to Washington, D.C. for emails

· He claims he had a clandestine hand-off in a wooded area near American University with one of the email sources

· The leakers’ motivation was ‘disgust at the corruption of the Clinton Foundation and the  ’tilting of the primary election playing field against Bernie Sanders’

· Murray says: ‘The source had legal access to the information. The documents came from inside leaks, not hacks’

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4034038/Ex-British-ambassador-WikiLeaks-operative-claims-Russia-did-NOT-provide-Clinton-emails-handed-D-C-park-intermediary-disgusted-Democratic-insiders.html

Those pro-Trump “Russian hackers” had to be good!  They gave Hildabeast the popular vote, but Trump the Electoral vote.  NOW that’s “good”!
Or maybe, it was the voters that defeated the Clinton Crime Family.

bubbles

Russian Hacks

Plenty of other good commentary on the “Russian hack”, but a couple of points occur to me:

1) Russia could not have been trying to elect Donald Trump. I assume they believed, like the rest of us, that he would lose. If it was them, seems much more likely to me that they were just trying to weaken the expected winner.

2) Your commenters so far have not mentioned the clear statements by Assange of Wikileaks and Craig Murray that the leaks were an inside job. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4039310/Wikileaks-founder-Julian-Assange-goes-offensive-claims-Russia-Clinton-emails-saying-Kremlin-NOT-source.html​ Take it for what it’s worth.

3) I really have no idea how much Wikileaks mattered, nor does anyone. It seemed to hurt the DNC more than Clinton particularly, and there was so _much_ going on in the campaign. FBI investigations on emails, Clinton Cash, Bernie Sanders, her collapsing and stuff that made people think she was sick, a really lackluster campaign that focused on all the wrong states, a lot of enthusiasm from voters that everyone but Donald Trump wrote off. That’s just in the anti-Clinton column and I expect I’ve forgotten a few. Wikileaks probably helped Trump cement the Crooked Hillary Crooked Democratic Party Same-old-same-old attitude, but there were plenty of other things too. Hard to know how many voters were just on the margins.

It’s easy to think with Mr. Trump’s remarkable negatives that any other Republican candidate would have won handily, but I really do not know if any other candidate could have emphasized Ms. Clinton’s vulnerabilities so well. They might have played nice, and he sure didn’t. Interesting times.

As for what happens now, I don’t have a good picture of what a President plus Congress minus an ability to overcome filibusters can accomplish. They can defund anything they want, I guess: how precise is that scalpel? Can they get rid of regulations, or large numbers of superfluous entrenched fiercely Democratic civil servants? It’s really interesting that Trump has put so many of their enemies in charge of particular Departments.

The DofEnergy, for instance, has already refused to answer some of Mr. Trump’s people’s questions. The obvious response to that is that any sections of DoE that will not cooperate _fully_ with the new administration will immediately be completely unfunded, gone. I imagine that’s what Mr. Trump would do with a part of his company that decided not to cooperate. Doesn’t sound hard; sounds rather that some bureaucrats just fell into an obvious trap. Guess we’ll see.

Best wishes on your wife’s continued recovery,

mkr

bubbles

Jerry

Has anyone heard of dissipative structures? I was reading a piece in a CME “newspaper” on Asian vs. Western medicine. In the overview part of his article, the author mentioned quantum field theory, chaos theory, complexity and dissipative structures in the same sentence. I’ll admit I had not heard of dissipative structures before, so I looked it up on the Web. A Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dissipative_system) entry says, “A dissipative system is a thermodynamically open system which is operating out of, and often far from, thermodynamic equilibrium in an environment with which it exchanges energy and matter.” I also found links here and here.

Has this concept been helpful to anyone? Or is this another case of false equivalence, where this theory may not be as fundamental as the other concepts cited?

Ed

The real reason for the CIA focus on Trump?

Jerry, I was exploring the website of John Robb, the guy who posted on dissipative structures and in another post quote John Boyd as he considered thermodynamics. His latest post was this:

“Thursday, 15 December 2016

The US is Officially a Banana Republic: the CIA is trying to topple the Government

There’s an electoral coup underway.

The number of potentially faithless Republican electors is now up to 50, more than enough to deny Trump the votes he needs for an EC win and/or give Hillary Clinton the votes she needs to win.

The stealth effort, led by liberals who believe Trump is a danger to the US, has been underway since the election.

That effort only gained traction with Republican electors when the CIA leaked that Russia had intervened in the US election to help Trump win.

Of course, the timing of the CIA’s leak wasn’t random.

It was something much more sinister.  It was an opening salvo by the CIA to actively influence the Electoral College and stop Donald Trump from becoming President.

In other words, the CIA is trying to topple Trump.

Why?  Self-preservation.

The real reason is that Trump was working with Peter Thiel to corporatize the intelligence gathering of the United States around companies, like Palantir, that can adopt and employ technology much faster and with more efficacy.  In other words, Trump is planning to turn the CIA and the NSA into peripheral collection systems.

That was unacceptable to the CIA, an agency with a strong sense of self-importance.

They acted again today when the head of the CIA refused to brief the House Intelligence Committee on the their claims because the chairman of the committee, Devin Nunes, was part of Trump’s transition team.  

Instead, the CIA leaked more information this afternoon to influence electors:

“new intelligence shows that Putin personally directed how hacked material.. was leaked”

However, due to tight legal restrictions on the use of the information the CIA gathers and who it gather it on (i.e. US citizens), I anticipated that any new leak would be from allied sources not covered by these restrictions.

That proved to be correct:

“The intelligence came from diplomatic sources and spies working for U.S. allies.”

What’s next?

We can expect to see more leaks this weekend, before the EC votes on Monday.

What kind of info?  A shred of evidence (a taped conversation would be best), gathered by US allies and not the CIA, that shows that Trump knew about the hack or came to an agreement with Putin.

At that point, the EC will definitely flip and Trump will be denied an electoral college win on Monday.

After that we head to the courts and start down the road to street level violence.

To avoid the chaos of merely unseating Trump, the electors may award Hillary Clinton the win since she is best able to gather the establishment around her to fight off Trump’s bid.

Regardless, we have moved another step towards what looks more and more like another US civil war.

It’s not a long trip, now that we are a Banana Republic.”

I would hope he is wrong about the EC. I think that in the US we don’t care much about the EC. But I like the “banana republic” analogy.

Ed

I would say we have been spared from becoming a banana republic; the US is still capable of being the City on a Hill. A shining example to the world. Most of our traditional leadership rejects that notion, and the Establishment has forgotten they ever knew of it, but a sufficient number of citizens have changed that. We’re not finished yet, and we do not have to be. But I may underestimate the desperation of the establishment. We may know tonight.

bubbles

Meanwhile, I think it ominous that Obama is allowing his CIA, and now his Press Secretary also, to weigh in on the Brief-The-Electors hysteria. It sounds way too much like building rationale for some sort of preemptive action.

Federal “briefers” descend on all electors simultaneously, with the removals to secure briefing sites a mere courtesy detail?

These things are always inconceivable, until they happen. I would hope for squads of state troopers to be there first – Electors are after all very much a vital matter for the states involved.

Obama, fortunately, remains the ditherer-in-chief. I take his maintaining deniability still – no official CIA testimony, yet, nor anything definitive from Obama himself, yet – as an indication he’s not ready to kick over the table, yet – or one hopes, ever.

Interesting times, when the best case is that the lame duck is merely covertly supporting an organized effort to undermine and delegitimize his successor. May all involved be both massively disappointed, and remembered poorly by history.

Scary, but I do not think that’s in the cards. The Marines would resent it…

The Marines, and a whole lot of other people with guns and training too.

Unless, of course, someone first blows enough smoke to confuse the issues sufficiently to produce inaction, or at least division.

I do doubt such a coup would succeed in the long run.

But I fear that the people currently blowing exactly that smoke (many openly talking about such a coup as a good thing) could conceivably self-delude to the point where they make the attempt. (When all else fails, take people at their word.)

Far more likely, of course, is open bureaucratic insurrection. That’s already underway. How much of that will it take before draconian Civil Service reform passes?

I expect more than one novelist and scriptwriter is madly at work on this story, but I cannot take it seriously. Perhaps I am just too old. But I do have this (obviously from another reader):

Regarding the recent buzz about suggestions for an electoral college revolt: perhaps this is just the liberal analog to the conservative meme that Obama wasn’t really a legit president, being a Kenyan born secret muslim, and all that. It serves to weaken the incumbent President politically, and fires up the opposition base. Plus, the Democrats may have learned a lesson from Trump’s successful campaign tactic of making controversial or apparently outrageous statements that simultaneously rile the opposition media, and fire up the base. Since it was a winning tactic, I suppose it may become the new normal in politics.
Regarding the substance of the hacking reports: Putin clearly would like to disrupt and weaken the NATO alliance. Given Mr. Trump’s statements about NATO, his professed respect for Putin’s leadership, and his willingness to make deals, it isn’t hard to guess who Putin’s preference was for the US election. That he might have directed his assets to release dirt on Clinton is hardly surprising. Whether that additional information made much difference in an election already awash in domestic fake news, innuendo, and spin, is debatable.
But I do wonder if Mr. Putin might have some additional tricks up his sleeve should the incoming President be less accommodating than Putin expects. Perhaps a wikileak dump of damaging RNC emails during an international crisis? Or a release of falsely planted information that shows collusion between the Trump campaign and Russian hackers? Or what if the Russians did manage to compromise a few voting machines in the US. A release of that information at an opportune moment could create a Constitutional crisis in the US at a time when Putin wanted maximum distraction on the part of his enemy. The possibilities are endless, and we seem particularly vulnerable now to this kind of manipulation.

So we will just have to wait and see.

bubbles

Russian National Identity and Foreign Policy

Report:

https://www.csis.org/analysis/russian-national-identity-and-foreign-policy

Launch event video and audio:

https://www.csis.org/events/russian-national-identity-and-foreign-policy

[quote]

In 2016, [Russian Foreign Minister Sergey] Lavrov put his signature under the most unusual article ever attributed to a Russian foreign minister titled “Russia’s Foreign Policy: Historical Background.”31 It provides an excellent glimpse into the framework of current Russian foreign policy, its philosophical foundations, and general worldview of the Russian elite. It does not matter if individual members of the Russian officialdom sincerely believe in concrete postulates of this philosophy. What matters is that they feel obliged to develop and implement their policies in a way that would not contradict the main narrative.

Relying on intellectual legacy of the most conservative Russian thinkers of the nineteenth century, including the Slavophiles, Konstantin Leontiev and Nikolay Danilevsky, and adding questionable terminology, Lavrov argues that Russia is fundamentally different from the West.

According to Lavrov, “Russian people possessed a cultural matrix of their own and an original type of spirituality and never merged with the

West.”32 Developing Putin’s argument about an existential threat of losing Russian national identity, Lavrov points to the source of this threat, the European West that has attempted “to put Russian lands under full control and to deprive Russians of their identity.” 33 Lavrov praises Russia’s centuries-old resistance to these attempts invoking, once again, an extremely controversial concept: “I am confident that this wise and forward-looking policy is in our genes.”

[end quote]

Rod Montgomery==monty@starfief.com

Fascinating.

bubbles

Subj: Boston – Coldest December 16 in 133 years

Read the comments, too.
https://www.iceagenow.info/boston-coldest-december-16-133-years/

Snowstorm In Chicago Delays Hundreds Of Morning Murders

 

 

image

The city of Chicago is steadily recovering from an overnight snowstorm that delayed hundreds of murders on Saturday and Sunday morning and will likely continue to push numerous homicides across the city drastically behind schedule, public authorities announced. “As we speak, maintenance crews are working diligently to restore public transportation, de-ice roads, and clear back alleyways so that Chicagoans can quickly resume murdering again,” Department of Streets and Sanitation spokesman Dave Michelson said of the heavy blizzard, which caused numerous homicide cancellations this morning at peak murder times. “Unfortunately, we’re backed up by about 35 deadly shootings at the moment, but we hope to restore regular death tolls as soon as possible. We apologize to anyone forced to postpone shootings or other killings today and assure concerned murderers that they will be able to resume slayings by the early afternoon.” At press time, authorities reported that murders were up and running in many parts of the city, with four teenagers already gunned down on Chicago’s South Side.

But I thought 2016 was the warmest year in hundreds of years?

bubbles

Making America Strong Again

Interesting comment in View today in the Kasparov article:
“But first we must rebuild the West, and to do that we need to make America strong again. Without American strength, little is possible.”
Well if there’s one thing that we’ve learned in the last 8 years, it’s this. We’ve done the experiment in withdrawing America from the world stage (starting with the Apology Tour), and we know where it leads, and it’s Aleppo.
This is rather like a fair bit of military SF, which tends to be set in the borderlands of great empires. (I’m thinking especially of Drake’s work: “Hammers Slammers” and the rest of that universe, but there’s a lot of SF in this vein). Set in the areas at the edges of power, where everything is up for grabs and the worst instincts of Man come to the fore, usually in a violent way.
Well we see this today in Aleppo. That’s the way forward if we continue to weaken and withdraw from the world. We know the Europeans will not replace us at any reasonable speed, we’ve done the experiment and they failed. The European Union is not a superpower, or even a regional power and it will take decades to centuries for it to become one if it ever does. And this says nothing of Asia, where the borderlands are now the South China Sea.
In the meantime, how many more Aleppos out in the borderlands? Because that truly is the price of American disengagement. If a liberal is thinking, they should get this. Aleppo didn’t happen because we elected a President-elect who is Putin puppet (they say), it happened because we withdrew. Or as Kasparov says, because we didn’t care.
We know how this works out, SF authors have written those books. Time to make another choice, if we care…

We used up our strength in causes we couldn’t win. We could have taught the lesson: don’t be beastly. We did not. Now like Yosemite Sam we draw line after line as we retreat, each time daring someone to step over it. Diplomatic policy is a check drawn against the power we have; and we are getting dangerously low.

One cuts one’s coat to the measure of one’s cloth.

bubbles

Tankman – China Tiananmen square – behind the shot

Deception and One Last Roll of Film: The Story Behind the Tank Man Photo http://petapixel.com/2016/12/16/deception-one-last-roll-film-story-behind-tank-man-photo/

This is Jeff Widener’s story of how he got that one iconic shot of a lone man with two shopping bags holding up a line of tanks in Tiananmen Square.

{^_^}

bubbles

On Mike Flynn’s Piece

Mike Flynn wrote an excellent piece. While one could add some material from general semantics to further demonstrate the nuances and complexity of what Mr. Flynn described, one point seems absent. Thomas Campbell once pointed out that a theory requires a set of assumptions.

He said he prefers a theory with one assumption or perhaps two assumptions. He said that once you start making three, four, or five assumptions then you’re theory is weak. These assumptions — even one

— constitute the reason why a single fact can invalidate an established theory, as Mr. Flynn said.

So, while I agree with Mr. Flynn’s point that we might best view theory as a narrative, we would also do well to remember that narrative contains assumptions that are not refuted by the facts — but this may change as new facts arrive so we must be ready to discard these models. And there is no shame in this; we created these models and we do not need to keep them around as graven images.

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

bubbles

 

Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

bubbles

bubbles

Does the West care? Who hacked what? Free Trade; and a word from Porkypine

Saturday, December 17, 2016

John Glenn must surely have wondered, as all the astronauts weathered into geezers, how a great nation grew so impoverished in spirit.

Our heroes are old and stooped and wizened, but they are the only giants we have. Today, when we talk about Americans boldly going where no man has gone before, we mean the ladies’ bathroom. Progress.

Mark Steyn

If Republicans want to force through massive tax cuts, we will fight them tooth and nail.

Senator Elizabeth Warren

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

“Deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.”

Immigration without assimilation is invasion.

bubbles

bubbles

Well, if it’s not one thing it’s another.

First, I couldn’t hear. I got COSTCO to look at my hearing aids, but they didn’t do much, and I still couldn’t hear. Next I got my son Phillip, who has just retired from the Navy and who’s visiting for the week, to take me out to Kaiser urgent care, where a nurse spent half an hour flushing wax out of my ears. The left ear was so blocked that I heard nothing at all in it, and the right wasn’t a lot better. Now the left hears with the hearing aid about as well as it ever did, so the wax buildup was definitely responsible; but the right, normally my good ear, hears more without the hearing aid than with it. That’s good news, since I hear things about as well as I did before the hearing aids, and getting them was great; so if they can’t fix this one, I’ll buy new ones.

I expect they’re out of warranty, but they have lasted over three years, so the annual cost is $600 a year, and believe me, hearing is worth that. So Monday I’ll get Mike Galloway to drive me out to COSTCO and see what they can do; and I’ll pay a lot more heed to wax buildups in future.

Today Eugene, my main machine, had a small and unannounced upgrade of the operating system. It was unexpected; I thought Firefox was acting very slow, and decided to restart, which seemed to go well although it did take longer than I expected. When it came up there was some kind of very brief announcement in the lower right hand corner of the screen to the effect that we just had an upgrade. The screen lock display was what I expected to see. I hit RETURN and the screen went black, but there was the little window demanding the password. I gave it and there was what we used to call the tray, now called the taskbar, and the desktop icons, but the screen was black; no picture. Just a black screen with icons on it. No wallpaper.

I punched in ‘wallpaper’ and was told to go to ‘change the picture on your lock screen’, which of course did nothing. The main screen was still black. Eventually I figured it out. Microsoft no longer recognizes ‘wallpaper’; it’s now the ‘background screen’. If you ask for that you get the right place in the settings. Mine was set to ‘black’. Now I have never set my wallpaper or background screen to black, so the minor upgrade must have done it for me. And there are no more ‘apply’ and ’ok’ buttons on that settings screen; you close it with the x in the upper right hand corner and apparently it knows to apply changes you made in the settings. That did it. An hour wasted, with an upgrade I hadn’t asked for making settings changes I didn’t want.

At which point I still couldn’t just sit down and work. We have a couple, Ryan and Kelly, who have moved in upstairs and take care of Roberta who isn’t recovering from her stroke as fast as I managed to; and of course I am still mostly in a walker, so while she could manage without 24 hour a day help taking care of me, I can’t do that for her. But they need some time off, so we have a health care agency send out a helper for the weekend to give them a break; only today the agency girl’s sister was in a car accident, and Alex had to drive her to the hospital and arrange to get someone else while Phillip and I looked after Roberta. All’s well, but if it’s not one thing it’s another…

So that got settled and now I could work; but I looked away from the screen and when I looked back Eugene had shut down and there was this blue screen telling me not to turn my computer off, it was updating, 18% done… All in all, another half hour or so. I never told it to restart, it just did. Eventfully it was done, and I typed in the password and up came “Hi” and the rest of that, and a couple of minutes later I could use Eugene. Both the lock screen and the background screen were what I expected to see, and all was well, but by then it was near dinnertime, and the new Agency girl was here.

So now it’s after dinner, Eugene works well, I have a new build, my settings were not changed, and all’s well. Oh. Sometime in the last month the spell checker started offering me words with definitions as alternatives to what Word thinks are misspelled words, as opposed to a simple list of words it thinks I might have meant. I never asked for that and don’t want it, but I wasn’t told it was coming and of course I don’t know how to turn it off and go back to the old ways. One more thing to use up my time; Microsoft wants to slow productivity.

And the ‘low battery’ alarm just went off in one of my hearing aids. If it’s not one thing it’s another…

bubbles

The furor over the Russian hacks continues, and President Obama says he holds Mr. Putin responsible because at least one member of the intelligence community says it must have been Putin’s responsibility. I don’t recall Mr. Clapper saying that, and Clapper is by law the only one authorized to speak for the ‘intelligence community’, but I suppose the President is above that law. Mr. Obama says he will retaliate ate a time and place of his choosing. President Eisenhower used to say that during the Cold War, but he meant it, and has SAC to carry it out; not sure the United States has escalation dominance at all levels any more.

Eisenhower meant nuclear war if the Red Army crossed into West Germany. He did not intervene in the Russian suppression of Hungary. We left that land to its cruel masters, as we left the Czechs. And the Hungarians acted like Poles, the Poles acted like Czechs, and the Czechs acted like swine in 1956, while the US suppressed the Anglo-French-Israeli operation to seize the Suez Canal; peace was bought with bitter fruit in those days.

I don’t know what Mr. Obama has I mind, but he does not have long to do it.

bubbles

I met Gary Kasparov in Moscow in 1989, and we had dinner twice. He was very young then, younger than I thought he was, but I was impressed with the breadth and depth of his understanding. He has an article in today’s Wall Street Journal:

The U.S.S.R. Fell—and the World Fell Asleep

Twenty-five years after the Soviet Union ceased to exist, plenty of repressive regimes live on. Today, the free world no longer cares.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-u-s-s-r-felland-the-world-fell-asleep-1481930888

By

Garry Kasparov

A quarter-century ago, on Dec. 25, 1991, as the last Soviet premier, Mikhail Gorbachev, resigned after a final attempt to keep the Communist state alive, I was so optimistic for the future. That year and the years leading up to that moment were a period when anything felt possible. The ideals of freedom and democracy seemed within the reach of the people of the Soviet Union.

I remember the December evening in 1988 when I was having dinner with friends and my mother in Paris. My family and I still lived in Baku, capital of the then-Soviet Republic of Azerbaijan, where I was raised, but I had become accustomed to unusual freedoms since becoming the world chess champion in 1985. I was no longer accompanied by KGB minders everywhere I went, although my whereabouts were always tracked. Foreign travel still required special approval, which served to remind every Soviet citizen that this privilege could be withdrawn at any time.

My status protected me from many of the privations of life in the Soviet Union, but it did not tint my vision rose. Instead, my visits to Western Europe confirmed my suspicions that it was in the U.S.S.R. where life was distorted, as in a funhouse mirror.

That night in Paris was a special one, and we were joined by the Czech-American director Miloš Forman via a mutual friend, the Czech-American grandmaster Lubomir Kavalek. We were discussing politics, of course, and I was being optimistic as usual. I was sure that the Soviet Union would be forced to liberalize socially and economically to survive.

Mr. Forman played the elder voice of reason to my youthful exuberance. I was only 25, while he had lived through what he saw as a comparable moment in history. He cautioned that he had seen similar signs of a thaw after reformer Alexander Dubček had become president in Czechoslovakia in 1968. Eight months after Dubček’s election, his reforms ended abruptly as the U.S.S.R. sent half a million Warsaw Pact troops into Czechoslovakia and occupied the country. Many prominent Czechs, like Messrs. Forman and Kavalek, fled abroad.

“Gorbachev’s perestroika is another fake,” Mr. Forman warned us about the Soviet leader’s loosening of state controls, “and it will end up getting more hopeful people killed.” I insisted that Mr. Gorbachev would not be able to control the forces he was unleashing. Mr. Forman pressed me for specifics: “But how will it end, Garry?”

I replied—specifics not being my strong suit—that “one day, Miloš, you will wake up, open your window, and they’ll be gone.”[snip]

In Moscow I saw no handlers or people following us, but Garry made it clear that there probably were some. We talked of the coming changes in the USSR, and in those times all hoped for Mr. Gorbachev’s reforms; none of us knew that the Soviet Union itself would be gone on the third Christmas yet.

I lost track of Garry during the years after the collapse of the USSR, as did a lot of Cold Warriors. Liberals and NeoCons saw farther into the future, or thought they did. It would be the end of history, the final triumph of liberal democracy, and it would happen soon.

[snip]

A year after that 1988 dinner in Paris, Miloš Forman called me from Prague. He said, “Garry, you were right. I opened the window one morning and they were gone.”

Within two years, the U.S.S.R. would also vanish beneath my feet. Yet 25 years later, the thugs and despots are flourishing once again. They still reject liberal democracy and the free market—not because of a competing ideology like communism, but because they understand that those things are a threat to their power.

The internet was going to connect every living soul and shine a light into the dark corners of the world. Instead, the light has reflected back to illuminate the hypocrisy and apathy of the most powerful nations in the world. Crimea is annexed, Ukraine is invaded, ISIS is rallying, Aleppo is laid waste, and not a one of us can say that we did not know. We can say only that we did not care.

Globalization has made it easy for the enemies of the free world to spread their influence in ways the Soviet leadership couldn’t have imagined, while the West has lost the will to defend itself and its values. It’s enough to make you afraid to open the window.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-u-s-s-r-felland-the-world-fell-asleep-1481930888

The Cold War ended, and we had won. I like to think we Cold Warriors did our part. But Garry thinks the West no longer cares.

I do not see how this weakened United States, this weakened NATO, this Western Civilization that has lost its nerve, its resolve, and its self confidence can do more. But I can still hear Garry, speaking slowly but in a strong voice, in that Moscow restaurant in 1989, still in the USSR.. He is still worth listening to.

    But first we must rebuild the West, and to do that we need to make America strong again.  Without American strength, little is possible.

 

bubbles

Free Trade

P.M. Lawrence seeks to make my arguments for free trade “circular” by smuggling in and attributing a premise to me that I did not assume or state, and will not concede: namely, that redistributionism and federal government interference in the economy are or can ever be moral, or that they are at least a necessary evil.
It is true, unfortunately, that tariffs have been part of the American landscape since colonial times, and were authorized by the Constitution, a holdover from the misguided mercantilist period, and that this compromised free trade in this country from the beginning. But the early American economy, much like the modern economy, was soon creating, exporting, and importing new products faster than the government could interfere with their commerce, and but for that we would never have attained the preeminence that we did by the mid-twentieth century. Rather than turning to government to protect obsolescent and no longer viable industries, while provoking economically devastating retaliation, and ultimately war, it would have been far better to remedy this flaw in the Constitution by passing an amendment getting the government out of the business of protectionism altogether – a business that has nothing to do with promoting industry or the economic well-being of the people at large, and everything to do with the influence peddling rackets that are the principal business of the politicians and bureaucrats in Washington, and that serve only to promote the well-heeled special interests that can afford the necessary bribes.
I unequivocally reject the presumption that it is either moral or necessary to use government coercion to force anyone to contribute to the welfare of others whom they don’t even know, and may not wish to help even if they knew them. And it is certainly illegal (because unconstitutional) to do this at the federal level. We had none of this welfare claptrap in this country before FDR’s “New Deal”, which he pushed through with demagoguery as a necessary antidote to the supposed failure of capitalism, when the 1920s stock market bubble (much like the many financial bubbles of our era) was caused by the federal government itself, specifically by the Federal Reserve (established in 1913) exceeding its legal mandate as a last resort liquidity provider by providing unconstitutional credits to foreigners to promote domestic industry that needed no promotion beyond its own excellence, which counterfeit money flowed instead into the US stock market, causing the bubble (the exact same game is being played today, and it will have the same outcome by and by). We were then set up for an indefinite depression by another branch of government: the passage in 1930 of the highly protectionism Smoot-Hawley tariffs, which predictably, led to further economic misery for the average American, and ultimately to war.
How any of this can be considered moral, or even justified by the most liberal interpretation of the general welfare clause, I fail to see.
During the first 150 years of the US, when it rose from Third World status to parity in the early 20th century with the most prosperous nations of the world, there was no welfare crisis and no jobs crisis, except in the “reconstructed” South – and that too was an economic disaster caused by an overweening federal government. Not only did no one starve, not only was their work for anyone who wanted it, but the US was able to welcome and accommodate an enormous population of immigrants, and even benefit from those immigrants, all without government welfare programs.
Americans have always been the most generous people, and even today, in an economy crushed by taxation and regulation, there are plenty of private charities and initiatives to help those in need. And without government appropriating and mostly wasting more than half of all our incomes through taxation at various levels, and inflation that has been averaging better than 5%/year for the last 20 years regardless of what the heavily doctored CPI index says, we would be able to be far more generous, not only with our money, but with our time. As it is, since the 1970s, when taxation and inflation became so onerous that wives as well as husbands had to go to work to make ends meet, we have seen a massive rise in social pathology, especially in disadvantaged black communities whose economic circumstances had been improving faster than those of whites during the 1940s and 1950s before Johnson’s disastrous “Great Society” programs began preempted private self-help efforts.
The social welfare externalities that P.M. Lawrence thinks I’m not taking into consideration are the direct consequence of the costs of government redistributionism – high taxes, inflation, regulation, and yes, protectionism. The abolition of all forms of protectionism, and an open invitation to “dumping” would be one of the best things that could be done for those Americans who are struggling the most to make ends meet – stretching their Wal-Mart dollars further – and, if accompanied by less regulation and lowered taxes on small businesses and startups, ultimately by opening up higher paying jobs to many of them in the many kinds of new personal service businesses that are crying to be created.
John B. Robb

I am sure Dr. Friedman would agree with most of what you say. Still, will there not be many who simply cannot contribute? A true proletariat: a class that contributes only its prodigy?

bubbles

Russia’s role in political hacks: What’s the debate?

https://www.cnet.com/news/russias-role-in-political-hacks-whats-the-debate/?ftag=CAD090e536&bhid=21042754377865639731827326151938

The US is wrestling with what we really know about hacks during the presidential campaigns. Here’s why it’s so hard to pin down — and why it matters.

Never mind voters. In the 2016 US presidential election, the biggest force for change may have been hackers.

At least, that’s the way things are shaping up as we learn more details about the hacks, which focused on publicly releasing emails and other strategy documents reportedly written by key Democrats and party officials, including presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. Everyone, from the US’s leading spy agencies and politicians to the public at large, is caught up in disagreement about who the hackers are and what they wanted to accomplish.

The past two weeks have brought five separate calls from Congress for investigations to learn how much the hacks really influenced the elections. Add to that public comments this week by the White House, the US Department of Homeland Security and the US Department of State on who knew Russia was involved and when. What’s more, stories from the New York Times and Washington Post hint at disagreements between the CIA and the FBI over why Russia conducted the hacks.

To round it all off, one notable public figure is arguing we don’t know for sure that Russia and its president, Vladimir Putin, were behind the hacks: President-elect Donald Trump. He maintains that opinion, even though the US intelligence community and the forensic experts who first examined the hacked systems are highly confident Russia is the bad guy here. NBC News reported Wednesday that US intelligence officials believe “with a high level of confidence” that Putin was personally involved in the effort to interfere in the election.

President Barack Obama has little doubt the Russians were behind the hacks. And in an interview with NPR published Friday, he said that the US would respond.

“When any foreign government tries to impact the integrity of our elections … we need to take action,” Obama said. “And we will — at a time and place of our own choosing. Some of it may be explicit and publicized; some of it may not be.”

The Russian government, in turn, has called the US accusations groundless. “They should either stop talking about that or produce some proof at last,” said a spokesman for Putin, according to CNN, citing Russian state news agency Tass.

The debate has now shifted from what happened to why, with questions over how much a foreign power might have influenced this year’s divisive and controversial presidential election. The thing is, we never learn all the details.

“There’s no sign in a computer saying, ‘Haha, we’re the Russians — we did it!'” said Sumit Argawal, a former senior adviser for cyber innovation in the US Department of Defense. Argawal now serves as vice president of product at cybersecurity company Shape Security. “There has to be an interpretation and a judgment rendered by experts.”

But, as I understand it, there are “signs” indicating that the Russians were there. The question becomes, why? Surely the Russians do not have to leave signs; yet someone did. If the Russians, why? Why would they want us to know they had hacked into DNC computers, or Hillary’s basement server? And if they did not want us to know, was that sheer incompetence on their part? Hard to believe. It is easier to believe in false flags than blind international incompetence.

bubbles

Russian hacking

Dear Mr. Pournelle,
I think you may be dismissing Russian hacking too quickly. Set the U.S. election aside: one of my news sources is the (London) Times, which I read partly because as far as I can tell it’s outside any of our U.S. echo chambers. For some months now I’ve been reading news from the U.K. about Russian attempts to undermine confidence in Western representative governments. Apart from hacking, Russian “news” outlets in the U.K. frequently float fake news casting doubt on things like British elections, trusting that some of it will be picked up under the “people are saying” category and enter the legitimate news stream.
This has nothing to do with Hillary Clinton. It has to do with whether Western citizens have any confidence in their own system, and whether other world cultures see Western representative government as worth emulating.
I’m also reading, in the Times, reports that Germany is concerned about Russian attempts to mess with German elections. This is not just about us; we are not necessarily the center of the universe. It is about a government which prefers autocracy, and would like to restore the Russian empire; and which sees us as an impediment.
In this context, I take reports of Russian hacking rather seriously. Obviously, since anything like this is clandestine, it’s going to be hard to document conclusively. But I’m quite confident that governments which *can* engage in internet subversion probably *will*; remember the episode of the Iranian centrifuges. As you know, Putin has a rather long history, rooted in the KGB. I see no reason to believe his protestations of innocence.
And quite apart from Putin: in the long run, the interests of the Russian state are not ours, and some of this is zero-sum. Yes, I know it’s in the interests of the Democratic Party to find excuses for Hillary Clinton’s defeat. (Personally, I suspect the Democrats’ abandonment of the labor movement is the biggest factor.) But that’s not particularly relevant. It would, I believe, be a dangerous error to see the reports of hacking through a partisan lens. I suspect we are under attack. And it would be unwise to close our eyes.
Yours,
Allen

bubbles

After Reading the Mail

After reading the mail, I found one article interesting and a few lines — if true — make it possible for us to put this Russian hacking inquest to rest:

<.>

An ODNI spokesman declined to comment on the issue.

“ODNI is not arguing that the agency (CIA) is wrong, only that they can’t prove intent,” said one of the three U.S. officials. “Of course they can’t, absent agents in on the decision-making in Moscow.”

The Federal Bureau of Investigation, whose evidentiary standards require it to make cases that can stand up in court, declined to accept the CIA’s analysis – a deductive assessment of the available intelligence – for the same reason, the three officials said.

</>

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-intelligence-idUSKBN14204E?il=0

ODNI failed to comment, but some other official has an opinion. So let’s ignore that opinion and move on to the FBI saying that it won’t accept the case because it won’t stand up in court. Well, that being the case, it probably isn’t any good to use domestically is it? It’s not as if CIA is operating overseas where American legal standards are not necessarily employed. Basically, CIA’s assessment does not meet American legal standards according to FBI and now ODNI. ODNI stood behind other intelligence assessments but will not comment on this one beyond saying they cannot agree with CIA. That’s about as much distance as you’re going to see between ODNI and CIA, publicly, under most conditions.

And the basis of CIA’s belief that Russia hacked the DNC and RNC?

<.>

The CIA conclusion was a “judgment based on the fact that Russian entities hacked both Democrats and Republicans and only the Democratic information was leaked,” one of the three officials said on Monday.

“(It was) a thin reed upon which to base an analytical judgment,” the official added.

</>

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-intelligence-idUSKBN14204E?il=0

CIA thinks that Russia doesn’t like Clinton very much and must be part of that vast conspiracy against her that we heard about during her campaign. And this is being used to influence the electoral college?

Something is not right here..

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

bubbles

Comey Says No Russian Influence

The Intelligence Community has a consensus on Russia hacking the election, somehow. We’re not told how; we’re not given evidence.

It’s the bogeyman, we are told. FBI Director Comey is in charge of the Intelligence Branch, which is one of the 16 entities under ODNI that constitute the IC. What does he think?

<.>

In telephone conversations with Donald Trump, FBI Director James Comey assured the president-elect there was no credible evidence that Russia influenced the outcome of the recent U.S. presidential election by hacking the Democratic National Committee and the emails of John Podesta, the chairman of Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign.

</>

https://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/comey-fbi-russia-trump/2016/12/14/id/764008/

So, we have no consensus because here is one less than 16. And, let’s consider FBI is in charge of counterintelligence and operates domestically. So, if they are not seeing any Russian interference, who else is doing domestic intelligence?

CIA is not supposed to be doing domestic intelligence according to NSC

2/1 and related directives. However, according to EO13470, CIA now has responsibility for counterintelligence. This is an interesting shift. So, CIA’s opinion is valid in this matter — I just found this out today. I wasn’t aware of EO 13470.

As I said the other day, most of the other entities have nothing to do with counterintelligence, electronic intelligence, or signals intelligence and would have no professional opinion. That FBI does not see something here and CIA does is significant. Someone is wrong and someone needs to adjust.

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

bubbles

Trump & Putin

Trump is “making friends” w/Putin because Russia is all but a basket case, economically, in addition to being in a demographic death spiral. If there’s any kind of clear signal coming from Trump’s nominee picks so far, it’s that energy will be a major focus. When Trump unleashes America’s energy economy, it will bankrupt Russia. Trump is pulling an anti-Nixon – getting closer to the lesser threat (Russia vice China) in order to counter-balance the now greater threat (China vice Russia).

Vlad would be wiser to start worrying about Chinese moving north across that ill-defined Siberian boundary.

Hoping all trends are positive w/you & yours,

Icepilot
Port Ludlow, WA

And China continues its threats in the seas off the Philippines

bubbles

World’s first SF novel

Dear Dr. Pournelle,

I saw this in the Smithsonian:

http://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/intergalactic-battle-ancient-rome-180961416/#Z7P9upgXbhhqj9Rs.01

The Intergalactic Battle of Ancient Rome

Hundreds of years before audiences fell in love with Star Wars, one writer dreamt of battles in space

image: http://thumbs.media.smithsonianmag.com//filer/aa/41/aa4163fc-5858-4be8-8023-ded44b977eb8/spiders-in-space-wr.jpg__800x600_q85_crop.jpg

Lucian’s space travelers witness a battle between the forces of the Sun and the Moon, which includes outlandish creatures like three-headed vultures and space spiders. (Lucian’s True History, Illustrated by Willian Strang, J. B. Clark and Aubrey Beardsley. A.H.

Bullen, 1894)

By Lorraine Boissoneault

SMITHSONIAN.COM

DECEMBER 14, 2016

82 19 2 6 9 4 282

8219692282

A long time ago, in a world not so far away, a young man who longed for adventure was swept up in a galactic war. Forced to choose between two sides in the deadly battle, he befriended a group of scrappy fighters who captained… three-headed vultures, giant fleas and space spiders?

Nearly 2,000 years before George Lucas created his epic space opera Star Wars, Lucian of Samosata (a province in modern-day Turkey) wrote the world’s first novel featuring space travel and interplanetary battles. True History was published around 175 CE during the height of the Roman Empire. Lucian’s space adventure features a group of travelers who leave Earth when their ship is thrown into the sky by a ferocious whirlwind. After seven days of sailing through the air they arrive on the Moon, only to learn its inhabitants are at war with the people of the Sun. Both parties are fighting for control of a colony on the Morning Star (the planet we today call Venus). The warriors for the Sun and Moon armies travel through space on winged acorns and giant gnats and horses as big as ships, armed with outlandish weapons like slingshots that used enormous turnips as ammunition. Thousands die during the battle, and blood “[falls] upon the clouds, which made them look of a red color; as sometimes they appear to us about sun-setting,”

So one part Gulliver’s travels (complete with political satire), one part Odyssey, one part imaginative romp. It’s a pity he lived before there were Hugo awards.

The Smithsonian happily included a link to the English translation.

https://archive.org/details/lucianstruehisto00luciiala

Respectfully,

Brian P.

There goes Mary Shelley’s record…

I had heard of the writer, but not this work.

bubbles

 

 

image

Police: NYC Muslim woman’s claim of attack by Trump supporters was false

A Muslim woman who reported that three men taunted her aboard a New York City subway train, yelling “Donald Trump” and calling her a terrorist, has apparently made it all up. Police say 18-year-old Yasmin Seweid was arrested Wednesday on charges of filing a false report and obstructing governmental administration.

bubbles

NSA Hacked DNC? & Obama Intel Thoughts 

Jerry,

Congressman Peter King, House Intel Committee, is now saying that the CIA has never said a word to the Committee about Russia favoring one candidate over the other.

Given last week’s leak of that alleged CIA position to the Washington Post, and this week’s extraordinary CIA refusal to brief the Intel Committee on the matter, he goes on to say

“It’s almost as if people in the intelligence community are carrying out a disinformation campaign against the President-elect of the United States.”

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/12/14/rep_peter_king_almost_like_cia_is_carrying_out_a_disinformation_campaign_against_donald_trump.html

It begins to sound very much like I’m right that it’s Hillaryite bitter-enders at CIA behind this story. (I speculate that current CIA management isn’t quite ready either to repudiate or to publicly back this claim, and thus refused this short-notice Intel Committee briefing to buy time to get their story sorted out.)

I’ve mentioned privately to you more than once that, if he wants to get anything useful done, Trump will first need to go through the bureaucracies with fire and sword to root out the many burrowed-in militant progs.

Between this and the recent DOE refusal to answer Trump transition-team questions (I won’t even mention DOJ or the IRS) it sounds to me as if the politicized bureaucrats are doing their unintentional best to get Congress to back the new President in that.

More on the DOE matter, including the actual quite reasonable list of questions asked, over at

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/12/10/the-doe-vs-ugly-reality/

Porkypine

On 12/13/2016 8:17 AM, Porkypine wrote:

> Jerry,

> In the realm of drawing logical conclusions from sparse facts, where I

> occasionally have my moments…

> RE:

>> Napolitano: NSA hacked Clinton emails after revelation of secrets

>> 

>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TZWkjQn5oo

>> 

>> Take with whatever size grain of salt you prefer.

> I had this as my second most likely explanation months ago, but I

> lacked confirmation from any “30-year NSA official.” Judge Napolitano

> is now a media figure, to a considerable degree provocative by

> profession, but not previously prone to simply making such things up.

> I may now have to bump this theory up to number one. (Albeit still a

> ways from proven, as one “30-year NSA official” could easily have his

> own axes to grind, or simply be mistaken.)

> FWIW, my previous leading likely explanation was that a deeply angered

> Sanders supporter might have contracted out the DNC hack. (In the

> nature of such things it would then be entirely possible the

> contractor would be Russian-connected.)

> On a related subject, it strikes me that Trump’s recently expressed

> disdain for his daily intel briefings as overly repetitious quite

> likely relates to Obama’s reported campaign to influence Trump to

> overturn as little as possible of O’s “legacy”.

> The tell: As part of saying Trump really should swallow his daily

> briefings like a good boy, Obama just (apparently gratuitously)

> asserted straight-faced that intel has been kept utterly separate from

> politics these last eight years.

> Oh, really? I assume you saw the numerous reports from mid-level

> intel types a few months back of word coming down the chain of command

> not to contradict the preferred narrative in Iraq and Afghanistan.

> I take Obama’s gratuitous and massively disingenuous claim that intel

> is NOT being politicized as a strong hint he’s politicizing Trump’s

> daily briefings for all he’s worth. Else, why say that? Trump has

> not said a thing about tendentious politicization of those briefings,

> just that they’re somewhat repetitious. (If I’m right, this was

> remarkably diplomatic of him.)

> Viewed in this context, both the CIA’s (alleged) well-beyond-the-facts

> position that Russia actively intended to elect Trump and the leak of

> it also look like a direct bureaucratic challenge to him. General

> Flynn is already on public record that the CIA is overly politicized.

> Conventional wisdom is that nobody wins, alligator-wrestling the CIA.

> We may soon get to see if that’s true.

> Porkypine

 

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Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

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Russian Hacking, Free Trade, and a Marvel in the Universe; Apple Discomfort


Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

“Deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.”

Immigration without assimilation is invasion.

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I wish I could return all my Apple devices for refunds. Actually, that isn’t true; I like my Apple iPhone 6, and I’ll keep it; but the iPad is far more trouble than it’s worth, and the MacBook Pro, while useful, suffers from the same security mania that makes the iPad useless. I can’t even install free apps on the iPad. I tell it to install; it asks for my Apple account password; I go find that and mistype it, but eventually I get it right; whereupon it tells ,me it has sent a security number to a trusted device. I go looking for trusted devices. Naturally they have to be Apple. Eventually I remember that the iPhone is an Apple device and I trust it, and lo! I find there is a message with a code number. I type that into the iPad. It is rejected. I try again. Still rejected.

I give up. I have an iPad with almost no apps because it takes all afternoon and another Apple device to get an app for it, and that doesn’t work because – I don’t know why. It took me a while to figure out that the trusted device was the iPhone; could the delay be it.? I suppose I will have to go to the Apple Store and see if anyone can fix this, but at this season that’s not a practical thing to do, and I’m not really all that mobile at my age anyway.

I thought the Surface Pro was a fussbudget and it is, but it’s got to be better than having to own two Apple devices before you can use one of them, and then having them send you a security number that doesn’t work, with no instruction as to what to do next. Congratulations. My iPad is now so secure I can’t use it, and I don’t know what to do next.

I like the MacBook Pro. I like the keyboard. But the security paranoia with the need for two devices to do the most trivial tasks like installing a free app is too much for me. And the message with the code seems to have vanished from the iPhone now; it’s neither in mail nor in messages. I suppose I must have dreamed it?

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Roland tells me

Steve Sailer cites you in Taki’s Magazine.

<http://takimag.com/article/bordering_on_success_steve_sailer/print>

—————————————

Roland Dobbins

I didn’t find the reference in my first look, but then I got

Dr Pournelle,

You were mentioned in an article by Steve Sailor in Takimag today, referencing your 

“At the end of the 1990s, as the Clinton administration gave the green light to American firms to shut down their plants and subcontract with China, I became intrigued by sci-fi author Jerry Pournelle’s compromise suggestion that Congress simply impose a 10 percent across-the-board tariff on all imports. This might be enough to make corporations at least think twice about laying Americans off. And a flat tariff would reduce the kind of political corruption that traditionally accompanied setting tariffs.”
http://takimag.com/article/bordering_on_success_steve_sailer/print#ixzz4SqbIjVSu

Matt Kirchner

I wrote that in quick response to Walmart’s efforts to get their suppliers to go manufacture stuff in Mexico because it would be cheaper to make there and import it; that way Walmart could charge lower prices, and the government could pick up all the costs associated with lost jobs, welfare, unemployment, and the rest of it. I also stopped going to Walmart, which I suspect they never noticed. It does seem a quick and dirty solution to many of the Free Trade problems. It is very likely that some kind of unrestricted Free Trade will result in lower consumer prices, at the cost of higher unemployment, a larger welfare burden, some social problem, and community disruption. Precisely how those costs balance out I can’t say, but a 10% tariff on all imports of any kind would seem a good first step. Of course it will never happen. Lobbyists will seek exceptions, and pretty soon we’ll have an enormous tome describing the customs and import fees; but perhaps we could try?

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Which brings us to:

Your recent post https://www.jerrypournelle.com/chaosmanor/modern-times and other protectionism issues

I have researched the area for a monograph someone commissioned, and I have been trying to boil down something readable from that to send you, now that you have been covering the area. Meanwhile, I can give you some things relating to John B. Robb’s points at https://www.jerrypournelle.com/chaosmanor/modern-times.

The points he calls fallacious, in Keegan’s and Lincoln’s earlier stuff, aren’t so much fallacious as only complete and accurate in special cases – special cases that don’t obtain as, when and if the conditions for free trade theory hold. But he can’t use that to rebut Keegan and Lincoln because that builds in a hidden circular argument, i.e. that the conditions for free trade theory do hold now, whether here in Australia or where you are in the U.S.A., and that is the very thing that is at issue. It isn’t “settled science” after all. As it happens, many of the conditions for Lincoln to be right did apply in his time and place, though it would be wrong to take his position as universally applicable. (I can’t substantiate much if any of this here and now, for reasons of length; it will have to wait for my fuller

material.)

John B. Robb is getting distracted when he responds to “Shylock Holmes’s argument that free trade is contrary to the interests of many individuals”, that you linked to. It’s perfectly correct, as Robb points out, that the same is true of any business that does less well or any person who doesn’t make the best of things, and that none of this leads to any of those deserving being bailed out.

But there are two things he has slid past without noticing:-

– There isn’t just a moral case for welfare, there’s also a pragmatic one, the same one that brought in the Elizabethan Poor Laws and Bismarck’s welfarism (I think I touched on this area in earlier economics material I sent you). If you don’t buy off trouble that way, you get trouble a different way as crime of necessity goes up, the whole “nine meals away from anarchy” thing that is nearly proverbial.

So if you don’t buy off trouble you have to pay for policing or put up with even more damaging kinds of crime. Bearing that in mind, one important question isn’t so much whether protectionism is less efficient than free trade without the cost of welfare as whether it is more efficient than free trade with the cost of welfare, if you are going to be keeping people out of dire poverty one way or another anyway (or paying anyway, for not doing that).

– There’s a circular argument hidden in his own argument there too.

Yes, none of the losers under free trade deserve compensation in the same way that they would if they had things they owned taken. But the very fact that they don’t own the resources is part of what is damaged, if there is damage. It is what socialises the losses in the first place – yet his argument assumes a properly functioning market, so that there can be no such damage. Not only is that “bad” in a pragmatic sense, by allowing net losses through the externalities involved, from some perspectives it is unethical too, i.e. it is wrong that there isn’t that ownership; in fact, that is just precisely where Distributists are coming from (and I know you know something about them). Adam Smith’s first use of his “hidden hand” phrase was in arguing that the self interest of businessmen wouldn’t let them offshore their business as they wouldn’t be able to oversee it properly if they did (there wasn’t so much “corporate veil” then, which ties in to this whole issue of alienation of individuals from ownership – but, again, I have to leave that for the fuller material).

Shylock Holmes himself did observe that compensation often isn’t provided, but he is slightly in error in thinking that it can be in principle if free trade delivers. He is looking at a situation involving just two countries, and things get a lot weirder when three or more are involved, particularly when financial structures stop it being plain barter and/or there are absentee ownership mechanisms (and there are). In particular, a country might not have the option of free trade with compensating welfare after all, if it can’t access the gainers in other countries to get them to pay for it (think “Mexico will pay for the [fill in the blank]”). But again, that needs that fuller treatment I mentioned…

May I close by wishing you and yours a Merry Christmas and improvements in health? I’ve just had a few health problems of my own, so I do sympathise.

Yours sincerely,

P.M.Lawrence

There is considerable food for thought in this, including a revival of thinking about distributism. The first thing to understand about distributism is that it is not another excuse for confiscation and reward for the confiscators. The goal is not to enrich the recipients, but to distribute the means by which they can become independent of the wage system. This is a complex subject, and one we don’t have time and space for here. One example: widely distributed – available at low or no cost – education is a form of distributism, but as it is usually carried out it produces yet one more center of power, ships that exist to serve their crews, and bureaucracy. I for one would like to see education distributed back to local school districts run by the people whose children go to the schools and the taxpayers who support them. This would require ending Federal Aid to Education and the whole national education apparatus; not because it never does any good, because of course you can find examples to refute that, but because it has created a system of education indistinguishable from an act of war against the American people. Local school districts would undoubtedly produce some truly horrible school systems, and once did; but it will also produce some splendid school systems, such as the California public school system in the early part of the 20th Century – see the California Sixth Grade Reader of that era, and compare with your child’s present eighth grade reader.

Which takes us a long way from Free Trade. And I still think a 10% – 15% universal tariff on imported goods would be the simplest way of preserving jobs without imposing too much needless interference with the economy.

bubbles

I will continue to worry about the assault on the election until the Congress, in January, formally certifies the results of the Electoral College voting and Trump becomes not just President-Designate as he is now, and the actual President Elect of the United States. Porkypine has more to say on that:

Electoral College Fix Attempt?

Jerry,

The “Moscow hacked the DNC to elect Trump” story is a nothingburger if you dig. Russian-origin hacking code was allegedly used against the DNC, which if you know anything about these things proves precisely nothing.

Among the non-Kremlin possibilities that covers: Russian merc hackers hired by third parties, non-Russian hackers who recycled the code from the wild, or for that matter a false-flag op by any one of the large number of non-Russian groups with reason to spoke Hillary’s wheels.

(Some of the possibilities on that last list aren’t even foreign, if you think about who might be that mad over what the DNC did to Bernie, or about what Hillary did to US classified document safeguards in general.)

The CIA officially seems to have very little to say about this. The “story” is apparently based on anonymous CIA leaks. At which point I’d assign it no more credibility than all the other traumatized Hillaryite eruptions we’re seeing. (I’ve had an old and dear and otherwise rational friend explain straightfaced to me that it’s 1933 all over again and he’s rededicating his life to fighting this second coming of the NSDAP. This seems a common delusion just now; I doubt CIA-employed Hillaryite Dems are immune.)

Yet the MSM is riding this for all it’s worth, lack of facts be damned.

And now John Podesta, Chairman of the Clinton Campaign, is calling for the Electoral College to be briefed on “President-elect Donald Trump’s ties with Russia” before they vote a week from now.

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/309981-clinton-campaign-supports-demand-for-intelligence-briefing

This strikes me as no longer funny – indeed, way over the line.

Reality-impacted progressives in overshared-denial mode have been good for quite a bit of cheap amusement. But now we have the losing campaign manager publicly calling for Federal interference with the Electoral College before it votes, backed by a fact-challenged media frenzy. This is AT BEST irresponsible. It needs to be watched closely. In the current climate it could very rapidly cease being funny.

Porkypine

And

Jerry,

In the realm of drawing logical conclusions from sparse facts, where I occasionally have my moments…

RE:

> Napolitano: NSA hacked Clinton emails after revelation of secrets

> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TZWkjQn5oo

> Take with whatever size grain of salt you prefer.

I had this as my second most likely explanation months ago, but I lacked confirmation from any “30-year NSA official.” Judge Napolitano is now a media figure, to a considerable degree provocative by profession, but not previously prone to simply making such things up. I may now have to bump this theory up to number one. (Albeit still a ways from proven, as one “30-year NSA official” could easily have his own axes to grind, or simply be mistaken.)

FWIW, my previous leading likely explanation was that a deeply angered Sanders supporter might have contracted out the DNC hack. (In the nature of such things it would then be entirely possible the contractor would be Russian-connected.)

On a related subject, it strikes me that Trump’s recently expressed disdain for his daily intel briefings as overly repetitious quite likely relates to Obama’s reported campaign to influence Trump to overturn as little as possible of O’s “legacy”.

The tell: As part of saying Trump really should swallow his daily briefings like a good boy, Obama just (apparently gratuitously) asserted straight-faced that intel has been kept utterly separate from politics these last eight years.

Oh, really? I assume you saw the numerous reports from mid-level intel types a few months back of word coming down the chain of command not to contradict the preferred narrative in Iraq and Afghanistan.

I take Obama’s gratuitous and massively disingenuous claim that intel is NOT being politicized as a strong hint he’s politicizing Trump’s daily briefings for all he’s worth. Else, why say that? Trump has not said a thing about tendentious politicization of those briefings, just that they’re somewhat repetitious. (If I’m right, this was remarkably diplomatic of him.)

Viewed in this context, both the CIA’s (alleged) well-beyond-the-facts position that Russia actively intended to elect Trump and the leak of it also look like a direct bureaucratic challenge to him. General Flynn is already on public record that the CIA is overly politicized.

Conventional wisdom is that nobody wins, alligator-wrestling the CIA.

We may soon get to see if that’s true.

Porkypine

IT IS ALSO WORTHWHILE AIRING THESE:

Russians and the election 

Dear Dr. Pournelle,

Here is an article which seems to me to be fairly level headed.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/12/13/a_brief_guide_to_russian_hacking_of_the_us_election_132556.html

So here are the conclusions I am drawing, based on my reading:

1) The Russians attempted to influence the election by hacking into servers, then releasing any damaging information publicly.

1A) The Clinton Email server was a ridiculously soft target.

2) These leaks were exclusively targeting Clinton, not Trump.

2A) I infer this is because Trump has not expressed any interest in opposing Russia’s ambitions, while Clinton was responsible for Kosovo.

I’m sure Putin hasn’t forgotten that. She would also be an activist

president, opposing Russian ambitions around the world. Thus, he

acted in Russia’s great power interest.

3) The impact of the leaks was minimal. Very little truly

embarrassing information was leaked. While I don’t know how many

votes were flipped on the basis of wikileaks revelations, I suspect the number is quite small. How many voters in Michigan accessed the wikileaks site themselves? Wouldn’t they get most of their information predigested from news media such as CNN?

So I am willing to agree that Russia attempted to influence our election, and perhaps even succeeded to a marginal degree. But I don’t believe Clinton would have won absent their tampering.

These are my thoughts and conclusions. Do you believe I am wrong at any point? If so, I would appreciate your feedback.

Respectfully,

Brian P.

HERE’S THE PUBLIC EVIDENCE RUSSIA HACKED THE DNC – IT’S NOT ENOUGH

Re: HERE’S THE PUBLIC EVIDENCE RUSSIA HACKED THE DNC – IT’S NOT ENOUGH

Jerry,

I saw that photo on your site of Roberta at home! ☺

She looks good. Hoping for her continued strong recovery.

Here is an article from The Intercept that I think present a more reasoned analysis than the rabid and transparent “Hillary-got-robbed” meme that is storming through the media presently. Title and plain text link follow.

HERE’S THE PUBLIC EVIDENCE RUSSIA HACKED THE DNC – IT’S NOT ENOUGH

https://theintercept.com/2016/12/14/heres-the-public-evidence-russia-hacked-the-dnc-its-not-enough/

Basically, the evidence presented by private firms is wholly inadequate. The “Intelligence Community” is, through one political appointee, allegedly saying “just trust us”. We know that’s a bad idea. Always verify. And there is doubt that the “Intelligence Community” actually holds the opinion claimed, as I think you have already noted. Title and plain text link follow.

Exclusive: Top U.S. spy agency has not embraced CIA assessment on Russia hacking – sources

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-intelligence-idUSKBN14204E?il=0

Regards,

George

And from a person I respect:

Russian Hacking Subject

I take the subject of national security seriously. The Russians did their best to make sure Trump would be elected.
1. Trump is a useful puppet. Putin wants to use him to destabilize Europe and to weaken NATO severely enough to take over the Baltic States, Ukraine and Belarus. He won’t stop there if he can get away with the first. He’s already playing footsie with Viktor Orban in Hungary.
2. He hates democracy in general and will do anything and everything to discredit it at every turn.
3. Putin hates Hillary because he believes that she sparked the demonstrations in Moscow against his re-election and the revolution in Ukraine. He cannot accept the fact that outside assistance is not really necessary for people to protest. He sees a meddling hand behind everything; after all, that’s what he would do.

Which is the view of some senior career people in one of the branches of the “Intelligence Community”; I put that in quotes for reasons explained in yesterday’s post. Note that by law the only person authorized to speak for the “intelligence community” is Director of National Intelligence James Clapper.

In a statement from the director of national intelligence, James R. Clapper Jr., and the Department of Homeland Security, the government said the leaked emails that have appeared on a variety of websites “are intended to interfere with the U.S. election process.”

The emails were posted on the well-known WikiLeaks site and two newer sites, DCLeaks.com and Guccifer 2.0, identified as being associated with Russian intelligence.

“We believe, based on the scope and sensitivity of these efforts, that only Russia’s senior-most officials could have authorized these activities,” the statement said.

Continue reading the main story

Less often mentioned are US citizens attempting to interfere in Russian elections, including those of Mrs. Clinton opposing Mr. Putin. Mr. Putin is both proud and volatile, and has a long memory.

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Russian hacking

Dear Mr. Pournelle,
I found your comments on intelligence gathering helpful and informative. Thank you. I would, however, suggest a different perspective.
What I’ve read lately from Mr. Trump includes: Saturday Night Live isn’t funny; “Hamilton” is overrated; the New York Times is failing; Russia will not invade Ukraine; the hacking might have been some guy in New Jersey; he’s really smart, and doesn’t need intelligence briefings; and, actually, he won the popular vote.
Some of these assertions, taken one by one, might be defensible. But do you see a pattern? And what, would you say, is the predictable fate of leaders who cannot hear bad news?
Mr. Trump does not need people telling him he’s right. If he is surrounded by flatterers, this will not be a successful presidency. What he *needs*, is people like General Mattis, who are able to tell him something he doesn’t want to hear, but say it in a way that he can hear it.
Yours,
Allan E. Johnson

I know for a fact that Mr. Trump always has people around him who will tell him things he doesn’t want to hear, and that he takes the information seriously, although sometimes his public position does not acknowledge that.

As to intelligence briefings, there is only so much time in a day.

Russian Hacking

Jerry,
This, in an article by the New York Times, reported via MSN:
“While there’s no way to be certain of the ultimate impact of the hack, this much is clear: A low-cost, high-impact weapon that Russia had test-fired in elections from Ukraine to Europe was trained on the United States, with devastating effectiveness.” (How Moscow Aimed a Perfect Weapon at the U.S. Election, http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/how-moscow-aimed-a-perfect-weapon-at-the-us-election/ar-AAlvU8U?li=BBnb7Kz).
How can the same sentence claim that there is no way to be certain of the impact of the hack, and then claim that it was devastatingly effective? I am also astonished that no one is claiming that the Russians spoofed up false documents to taint the election — that would be manipulation. All they did was make public the truth about what the DNC was doing. Can it be considered a manipulation of our election that the electorate was told the truth about one of the political parties involved and the candidate it was supporting? Is it not even more ironic that the truth we were told detailed how the DNC and Clinton colluded to manipulate the democratic process during the Democratic primary?
I do not support hacking or any other cyber-crime. But the people of the United States are missing the real story here, hidden behind all the hand-wringing and finger pointing over the hacking.

If an American newspaper had published the various emails hacked by WikiLeaks and possibly the Russians would it be a crime? Would we insist that the Electoral College be briefed? Is it contended that those were not actually emails on the DNC server?

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wrong century? and political statements

Dr. Pournelle,
I took your point, but you wrote “the disaster that befell the Democrats in 1916…” I frequently still type in the wrong century, perhaps indicating some sort of un-writeable muscle memory at work.
I note that some leaders of the “intelligence community” were quite vocal in their opposition to Trump back around the time of the republican convention, and that it was the FBI director and not any Russian group who most influenced the election. Admittedly, it was by the same method: the FBI and “the Russians” both exposed Democrat Party internal electronic documents to scrutiny by the electorate. The current effort is directed to leverage an unlikely but vaguely discussed Electoral College revolt on the outside chance the Democrat party can do what “the Russians” have failed to do — discredit the election. Which is incidentally the opposite of what Mrs. Clinton pledged when she promised to accept the results of the election.
-d

 

General Eisenhower ordered Nixon to stand down even though it was nearly certain that the election of 1960 was seriously affected by fraud. President Eisenhower’s reasoning was that no good could come from encouraging dispute of an election. Of course the establishment is desperate.

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Europe: Illegal to Criticize Islam

by Judith Bergman  •  December 12, 2016 at 5:00 am

  • While Geert Wilders was being prosecuted in the Netherlands for talking about “fewer Moroccans” during an election campaign, a state-funded watchdog group says that threatening homosexuals with burning, decapitation and slaughter is just fine, so long as it is Muslims who are making those threats, as the Quran tells them that such behavior is mandated.
  • “I am still of the view that declaring statistical facts or even sharing an opinion is not a crime if someone doesn’t like it.” – Finns Party politician, Terhi Kiemunki, fined 450 euros for writing of a “culture and law based on a violent, intolerant and oppressive religion.”
  • In Finland, since the court’s decision, citizens are now required to make a distinction, entirely fictitious, between “Islam” and “radical Islam,” or else they may find themselves prosecuted and fined for “slandering and insulting adherents of the Islamic faith.”
  • As Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, said, “These descriptions are very ugly, it is offensive and an insult to our religion. There is no moderate or immoderate Islam. Islam is Islam and that’s it.” There are extremist Muslims and non-extremist Muslims, but there is only one Islam.

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APOD: 2016 December 11 – The Extraordinary Spiral in LL Pegasi, 

Jerry

Big spiral out there. Check it out here:

http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap161211.html

This reminded me of the spiral I saw in 1997 when we hiked through the snow to our observatory to see Comet Hale Bopp in our club’s 16-inch Cave Newtonian. The spiral structure we saw that night blew me away. It even impressed my daughter, who was seven years old back then. The spiral structure of IRAS 23166+1655 caused that 20-year-old memory to come shooting up. The only thing is, because of the asymmetric sunlight striking the comet we saw only a fragment of the spiral. It was unique, though. A treasured memory!

PS – about Hale Bopp: http://www.badastronomy.com/bitesize/hbhoods.html

Ed

If you have not seen this, I urge you to look: I can’t explain it.

bubbles

Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

bubbles

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