New Build has network problem; Ice Age


Chaos Manor View, Thursday, July 02, 2015



Exhausting day at Kaiser; all routine maintenance, but also an unexpected new immunization. Before I left I noticed that the Surface Pro 3 had overnight downloaded a new build for Windows 10 and had scheduled a reset for 3 AM for installing it. I told it to go ahead and do it now. That was at 10 this morning. I returned to find Build 10159 installed and waiting for my login. I logged in. There’s also a new Home picture.

I checked Network.

Precious sees some of my local network, including Swan, a Windows 8 machine that resides upstairs, but not Alien Artifact, the Windows 7 machine that functions as my main machine down here; and Alien Artifact does not see Precious, although he sees Swan. Last night with the old build, Precious saw and was seen by Alien Artifact, and they could connect to each other although they have different User Names and passwords. Now they can’t. Nothing has changed except the build.

Clearly we will need to work on this, but there is something wrong here.

I’m going out tonight and I’m exhausted now, so this wii be brief.



Protecting Humanity from Ice Ages.



Roland Dobbins

Miles thick ice is a far more dangerous threat to civilization than 6 tenths of a degree temperature rise; which is more likely, and do we have plans in case the models are wrong and the ice returns?


Palestinians: More Missed Opportunities

by Bassam Tawil  •  July 2, 2015 at 5:00 am

  • It was Palestinian who hurt themselves: When Israelis were not able to hire Palestinian workers, they simply turned to foreign workers, prefabricated construction and other industrial innovations.
  • If the boycott of goods made in the settlements is successful, thousands, if not tens of thousands of Palestinians will find themselves unemployed, hungry, and ripe for radicalization.
  • The world will never give up its computing, medical, agricultural and start-up products for us. The Israelis will continue to prosper. They have already found other markets

Gatestone Institute



Windows 10 Updates 
As a long-time PC enthusiast, I have been following your work with Precious, the Surface Pro 3. I’m curious about the Win 10 frequent builds you’ve been installing. Why are you bothering since Win 10 will be officially released and downloaded to all users on July 29th? I personally would prefer to work with an official final release, as it is easier on my stress level and blood pressure.
But if you’re helping Microsoft with bug fixes that’s a different issue.
In any case, I enjoy reading about your struggles. Live long and prosper!

Brian E Claypool

Ah but hope springs eternal, and I do these silly thing so that you won’t have to.


Start menu

I’m not personally using Win 8, 8.1, nor 10 on any of my machines, yet.  I haven’t decided which machine I’ll test with when Win 10 officially releases.  I do have a couple of friends who I support who are on Win 8.1, so I do use that occasionally.

When I do update to Win 10, I will probably install one of the third party apps to emulate the Win 7 Start Menu.  A site I’ve been following for a couple of years recommends Classic Shell.  I’ve seen it mentioned on several sites around the ‘Net, when I’ve been searching for other Win 8+ info for other people.  It has several skins to choose from.

The Gizmo site aka routinely runs every download they recommend through a couple of different major virus/malware/adware testing sites before posting.  So, any program mentioned there is as safe as anything one downloads.

Drake Christensen

I’m hoping Microsoft catches on and makes 10 the best Windows yet. There’s no reason why it can’t be. The networking problems aren’t encouraging, though.


Coming Soon



Broadband a major factor in real estate value.
Ties in perfectly with our conversation at Niven’s house yesterday.
Home buyers are choosing where they live based on access to broadband
Tom Cairns and real estate agent Carla Ness tour a home in western
Massachusetts. Mr. Cairns has been looking for a home and one requirement is
it have high speed Internet access. Photo: Michelle McLoughlin for The Wall
Street Journal
By Ryan Knutson Updated June 30, 2015 6:35 p.m. ET 0 COMMENTS
In May, Kara Burke and Tom Cairns thought they had found their ideal house:
a nicely-updated older three-bedroom home in Worthington, Mass.
But they didn’t make an offer because it didn’t have high speed Internet.
“We wouldn’t choose a house that didn’t have electricity,” Ms. Burke, 26
years old, said as she explained why. “It’s right on par with those things.”
As the Internet becomes central to the way Americans work and live, the
digital divide is taking on greater economic significance. Students without
Internet access at home may struggle to keep up with school assignments.
Towns with less access find themselves falling behind economically,
researchers say. Now, the availability of speedy Internet service is
starting to affect Americans’ biggest purchase: their homes.
Real-estate agents across the country say more buyers like Ms. Burke and Mr.
Cairns are turning their noses up at homes without fast Web access. Some
studies suggest those buyers are having a keen effect on home prices. A
nationwide study released on Monday by researchers at the University of
Colorado and Carnegie Mellon University finds fiber-optic connections, the
fastest type of high speed Internet available, can add $5,437 to the price
of a $175,000 home—about as much as a fireplace, or half the value of a
David Mans, a real-estate agent outside Boulder, Colo., said after he
started noting in his online listings whether properties had Internet
availability, he got fewer calls about properties that didn’t have it. “I
have situations where people won’t even look at it if it doesn’t have
broadband,” Mr. Mans said.
What people want in a home can vary a lot, and values can depend heavily on
broader market forces. But real estate professionals say there are certain
features that can be a deciding factor—like an extra bathroom or pool. And
broadband is starting to figure into that same calculus.
Telecom companies by law are required to make telephone service available to
every residence in their service areas, but the same isn’t true for all high
speed Internet providers. Phone lines can deliver DSL service, typically
slower than 10 megabits a second. Satellite service is usually even slower.
Fiber and some cable can deliver speeds of up to 1,000 megabits a second.
University of Colorado researchers compared more than 520,000 home sales
between 2011 and 2013 against government data on the type of Internet access
available. It built on a 2013 study by the same researchers that found a
similar effect on home prices in New York state. The researchers expanded
their study with funding from The Fiber to the Home Council Americas, a
group made up of municipalities, small telecom companies, and others like
Google Inc. that support the expansion of fiber networks.
The results mirrored the findings of a 2014 study by the University of
Wisconsin at Whitewater that found access to the Internet could add $11,815
to the value of a $439,000 vacation house in Door County, Wis.
The impact is most acute in rural areas, where Internet speeds tend to drop
dramatically. As of 2013, 92% of urban areas had high speed Internet,
compared with 47% of rural areas, according to the most recent data from the
Federal Communications Commission. The FCC defines high speed as 25 megabits
per second or more.
John Wilczak was getting wireless high speed Internet via Verizon ’s cell
towers at his home in Santa Ynez, Calif., a town of about 4,400 near Santa
Barbara. Cable and phone companies sell high speed Internet downtown, but
they hadn’t built along his street. Mr. Wilczak’s Verizon service worked
like a cellphone plan. Once when friends brought their children for a
week-long visit, the children blew past his 50 gigabyte monthly cap and he
was hit with a more than $900 bill.
Mr. Wilczak recently moved to a new house and dropped Verizon in favor of a
local wireless Internet company without data caps. He said at least half of
the 40 people who considered buying his old house weren’t interested in part
because it lacked reliable Internet
Unreliable Internet almost derailed Adam Frost’s online business selling
wooden toys made in European workshops. Mr. Frost tried using satellite
Internet when he first moved to New Salem, Mass., about seven years ago from
a New York City suburb, where he was paying about $60 a month for high speed
“We were told there was adequate Internet access when we got up here, and
then discovered there really isn’t,” Mr. Frost said. The satellite service
would go down during bad weather, and he consistently went over his monthly
data limit.
‘We’re already feeling the negative impacts of not having adequate
—Monica Webb, WiredWest cooperative
Mr. Frost decided to pay Verizon $600 a month to install a dedicated copper
wire to his house for more reliable service. But it still isn’t fast enough,
especially as online services grow more data intensive. Last year it took
him 24 hours to download a software update for his computer, and just as the
download was nearly finished, his connection crashed and he had to start all
In Western Massachusetts, where Mr. Frost lives, local officials are trying
to solve the problem by building their own high speed networks. To
accomplish that they’re borrowing a tactic developed a century ago when the
region was struggling to gain access to electricity. More than 40 towns have
formed a cooperative of Municipal Lighting Plants, a type of public utility
first invented to build electricity infrastructure, and are raising funds to
build out fiber connections.
Monica Webb is the chairwoman of the cooperative, called WiredWest. So far
this year, 19 of those towns have passed bond measures to fund construction.
More than 40% of residents in 14 of those towns have already paid a deposit
for service.
“Some might call us a coalition of the desperate,” Ms. Webb said. “We’re
already feeling the negative impacts of not having adequate broadband.”
Ms. Burke and Mr. Cairns, who passed on the yellow three-bedroom house in
May, decided not to make any offers until they see which towns commit to the
“After we looked at I think maybe 10 houses we were like, ‘It doesn’t really
matter. We can’t pick a house because we don’t know which towns are doing
this,’ ” Ms. Burke said. “The towns that don’t pass it we absolutely will
rule out. It’s not a question.”

Getting truly high speed Wi-Fi to Niven’s house will be a feat, but Alex and Eric have a method. They’ll tell you about it when it’s done.


MIT uses artificial intelligence to predict online learning drop outs (ZD)

MIT is trying to figure out which students will thrive in massive open online courses as well as the ones that’ll drop out.

By Larry Dignan for Between the Lines | July 1, 2015 — 16:12 GMT (09:12 PDT) |

MIT said it has begun using artificial intelligence and big data techniques to better predict which students will drop out from open online courses.

The news, which was detailed at a conference on artificial intelligence in education last week, is notable for a few reasons. First, online education is promising, but recent surveys have indicated that there are cultural issues at universities hampering online enrollment. The other issue is that some students simply aren’t disciplined enough for online learning.

MIT’s techniques touch on that latter point a bit.

Also see: Online education: Higher ed faculty won’t buy in

For massive open online courses, MOOCs for short, it’s unclear how many people are there to listen to lectures only and what percentage will actually do the homework. Other students may intend to do the homework, but be distracted by other events.

MIT is interested in that latter group that may miss a few deadlines and miss the benefits of the class. These students are deemed stopped out of the class. MIT researchers’ predictive model revolved around the following:

  • A set of variables around courses such as time spent per homework problem or time spent on video lectures.
  • Normalized variables compared against class averages.
  • An algorithm that finds correlations between variables and a stopout. The algorithm looks at courses as well as its parts.

MIT’s model turned out to be accurate, but researchers also sampled importance based on weightings from similar students in courses as well as new variables. One variable could include time spent on a course on the weekend. That variable indicates motivation as well how busy a person is.

But Paul Horst’s University of Washington grade prediction program did that; the courts held that was racist although race was never recorded and was not an element; the very fact that black students had lower grades predicted than the average was deemed sufficient. It must be racist. It is likely that this will get the same result.





Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.




A New Build but I don’t have it; story conference; other matters

Chaos Manor View, Wednesday, July 01, 2015


A very good day so far. Niven and Barnes were over for the morning and lunch. Story conference went well, although we were unable to SKYPE Dr Cohen; not sure why.

Eric tells me there is yet another Windows 10 Build; I’ll install it on Precious, the Microsoft Surface Pro 3, in a few minutes.


    There is yet another build released inside of 24 hours from 10158. The newest is 10159.

    I guess the pace is really picking up now they’re in the home stretch and the broadband world allows them to make this happen.


For a longer explanation see the link.


1600 Just went to update on Precious. It sees the update, but has not started downloading. This is Time Warner glitch time for the next half hour.

1610 Still shows no download. There seems to be no way to induce it to start; I’m on automatic update, and this has a mind of its own.

1625 Details on the Update page tells me that the update is downloading and the machine is waiting to install. The Update page shows 0% downloaded. I can use Precious for anything else, so it’s merely minorly irritating for it to say it’s downloading and do nothing, but patience is a virtue that often needs relearning.

!655 Still at 0% downloaded; I’ll leave it for the evening. I did check to see that the internet connection is working.

2105  Had dinner and watched bad TV.  Came back here and it says 47% downloaded. I did nothing: it downloaded when it thought it was unused.  It now seems to be stuck on 47% so I expect I can’t use the system for several hours; but by morning it may be done.  HooRay.

2200: 60%  It sure seems to be in no hurry…

2230: 82% and I’m off to the bedroom for the night.


0930 2 June: I have medical appointments all day.  The update has down;loaded and is installing.  I’ll see if it finishes before I go out for the day.


Windows Explorer

    The Explorer icon may not have been visible because of the number of items you have pinned to the task bar on the Surface. This is why the Up and Down arrows appeared in the row. Also, that number of items makes the icons tiny and hard to discern. There may be a setting to enlarge them but then you’d need to use the arrows even more often, which in turn kid of negates the value of having the icons pinned to the task bar. The other option is to pull the task bar up a bit to enlarge its display area. You may have to right-click on it first to unlock it.

    The Windows key shortcut has been there since Windows 95. You possibly never got it hardwired in your head due to your attachment to Norton Commander. The brain cancer and stroke surely didn’t help but I suspect the habit was never formed in the first place.


Not only not formed, never even thought about wanting it. I am sure I have never used WINKEY E before in my life – my main machine keyboard didn’t even have a Win Key, and I never missed it; ctl-esc was good enough if I needed it, and I never knew that WINKEY plus various letters did anything. It’s good to know. For those who don’t already know – probably not many of you — tells a lot more.

I suspect my addiction to my older keyboards which didn’t have a Win key, plus my long experience with getting Windows to do what I wanted – all the way from pre-Windows 3 to Windows 7 – plus, as Eric notes, my love of old Norton Commander as a file Manager – prevented me from ever needing to know about this; once Microsoft removed the START button – no doubt believing that everyone knew about Win Key E, I really needed to know this but didn’t know to ask. I now see why earlier builds on Precious seemed so frustrating; I really wanted some way to start from scratch, and it was not only there all the time, but Microsoft and everybody else assumed I knew it.




OPM hack consequences

Dear Jerry,

A commenter to Charlie Martin’s article on the hack at PJMedia


pointed out something that has NOT yet been trumpeted by the news media.

Since the hackers had root access, they could do more than just read the data. They could alter it, or even insert phony data (like, say, “trusted” Federal personnel who are actually Chicom agents). When this sort of thing happens to anyone in the real world, the most common solutions are “take it down to bare metal, then restore from

(old) backups or from paper”. But I’m sure neither solution will be

applied to the OPM computers and databases, so we can only wonder what was deliberately corrupted by the Chinese, and hope we catch those “trusted” agents by other means.


Calvin Dodge



: Brick-laying robot can build a full-sized house in two days

I can see how laying pavers would be well executed and a good use case but I wonder how it handles complex structures like soldier courses and water bands?

John Harlow


Dubai Says Plans World’s First 3D Printed Office Building    (nyt)

By REUTERSJUNE 30, 2015, 9:04 A.M. E.D.T.

DUBAI — Dubai said it would construct a small office building using a 3D printer for the first time, in a drive to develop technology that would cut costs and save time as the city grows.

3D printing, which uses a printer to make three-dimensional objects from a digital design, is taking off in manufacturing industries around the world but has so far been used little in construction.

Dubai’s one-storey prototype building, with about 2,000 square feet (185 square meters) of floor space, will be printed layer-by-layer using a 20-foot tall printer, Mohamed Al Gergawi, the United Arab Emirates Minister of Cabinet Affairs, said on Tuesday.

It would then be assembled on site within a few weeks. Interior furniture and structural components would also be built through 3D printing with reinforced concrete, gypsum reinforced with glass fiber, and plastic.

The project is a tie-up between Dubai and Winsun, a Chinese company that has been pioneering the use of 3D printers to build houses. Gergawi cited studies estimating the technique could cut building time by 50-70 percent and labor costs by 50-80 percent.

(Reporting by Andrew Torchia, editing by David Evans)


– self-driving cars will suppress human drivers

Hello, Jerry :

I’ll be surprised if legislation is needed to remove human drivers, once autonomous cars are legal. I’d expect the rapidly increasing cost of insurance will do the deed. A few millionaires may persist in driving as a hobby, but few of us will be able to afford the liability.

Marcus P. Hagen


Guess who was 1st slave owner

That didn’t match my understanding of history, but it largely matches the account presently on Wikipedia…

The first 19 or so Africans to reach the English colonies arrived in Jamestown, Virginia in 1619, brought by Dutch traders who had seized them from a captured Spanish slave ship. The Spanish usually baptized slaves in Africa before embarking them. As English law then considered baptized Christians exempt from slavery, these Africans were treated as indentured servants, and they joined about 1,000 English indentured servants already in the colony. The Africans were freed after a prescribed period and given the use of land and supplies by their former masters.

There were no laws regarding slavery early in Virginia’s history. But, in 1640, a Virginia court sentenced John Punch to slavery after he attempted to flee his service.[5] The two whites with whom he fled were only sentenced to an additional year of their indenture, and three years’ service to the colony.[6] This marked the first legal sanctioning of slavery in the English colonies and was one of the first legal distinctions made between Europeans and Africans.[5][7]

In 1654, John Casor, a black indentured servant, was the first man to be declared a slave in a civil case. He had claimed to an officer that his owner, free black colonist Anthony Johnson, had held him past his indenture term. A neighbor, Robert Parker told Johnson that if he did not release Casor, Parker would testify in court to this fact; which under local laws, may have resulted in Johnson losing some of his headright lands. Under duress, Johnson freed Casor, who entered into a seven years’ indenture with Parker. Feeling cheated, Johnson sued Parker to repossess Casor. A Northampton County court ruled for Johnson, declaring that Parker illegally was detaining Casor from his rightful master who legally held him “for the duration of his life”.[10]

In a message dated 6/30/2015 8:42:27 A.M. Central Daylight Time,

“It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.” – Voltaire


Enumerations and the ninth amendment

Hi Jerry,

Hal O’Brien wrote, “What the Ninth Amendment explicitly says is, as you learn that meaning of liberty over time, the Bill of Rights should not be construed as a comprehensive limiting list, denying and disparaging what you find in addition through the years.”

I’m unsure how he gets this meaning from the Ninth Amendment; which only limits the use of enumerated rights to suppress rights not mentioned. It in no way hints at discovering or finding new “rights” as he suggests. Only if one assumes that rights spring from the Constitution or from judicial/legislative decree can this be seen as true. It also absolutely negates any and all protections given by a constitution since all a judge has to do is pronounce a new “right” and none of the protections in the Constitution would limit the government from implementing this new “right”. For example, the Right to Zero Violence could be proclaimed and all the protections of the 2nd Amendment would vanish as this newly discovered “right” combined with the Ninth Amendment would supercede the 2nd. SImilarly, the Right to Zero Insults would destroy 1st Amendment protections as government moved to ensure no one spoke an insulting word.

In all deference to the opinion of Mr. O’Brien, the Bill of Rights are not a minumum nor are they a maximum. Each is unique and each is aimed at the federal government, not the people. I would even go so far as Alexander Hamilton who famously wrote, “For why declare that things shall not be done which there is no power to do? Why, for instance, should it be said that the liberty of the press shall not be restrained, when no power is given by which restrictions may be imposed?” This notion of a severely limited government was at the very heart of its creation.

The federal government was not given the authority to define marriage in any way. This limitation exists for all branches of the federal government including the Supreme Court. State constitutions provide this authority for individual states and it is at the state level that the decision for what constitutes and does not constitute a marriage contract reside. Based on the current SCOTUS ruling, however, I see no recourse for states but to refuse to recognize all forms of legal marriage. This would certainly free up some state resources and divorce settlements could then be handled quickly by the priest, minister, or individual who sanctioned the marriage to start with.


Braxton S. Cook

Thank you.







Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.