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Veterans Day; A ramble on free trade; Commercial space; and Gurkhas

Friday, November 11, 2016

Veterans Day

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

“Deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.”

Immigration without assimilation is invasion.

bubbles

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I am a bit harried today, but I will attempt a ramble on free trade.

 

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The costs and benefits of Free Trade.

Traditionally (prior to 1950) the Democratic Party policy was “Tariff for revenue only”, while the Republicans favored protective tariffs to encourage and strengthen domestic industry. I was taught this in fifth grade.

Economists use models with some reality checks to argue that free trade – no tariff at all – is best for both trading partners. They can come up with examples to show where nations have benefitted from free trade in the real world, and most economic models and theories are based on David Ricardo’s 1817 analysis and his theory of comparative advantage. What is to be compared is the cost of producing various goods within your country, not between the two countries. If you are more efficient at making widgets than gadgets, while your trading partner is more efficient at making gadgets than widgets, then both countries will be able to consume more if they make the good they are best at, and buy the other from their trading partner. You should make widgets, not gadgets, and sell them to your trading partner, while he builds gadgets and sells them to you, thus earning the money to buy widgets from you. It can be shown mathematically that both countries will have more widgets and gadgets to consume with free trade, than without it even if you can make gadgets cheaper than he can (but you’re much better at making widgets than gadgets). This is said to be counter intuitive.

The theory makes the explicit assumption that there are differences in labor productivity between the two countries.

It also makes a number of assumptions not usually revealed, and are assumed to be externalities. They may be important: for example political entitlements; but they are not part of the economic model. There are also assumptions involving transportation costs, the mobility of labor, and the costs of disrupting communities. We will return to these assumptions later. The theory of free trade is more rooted in the differences in costs of labor and labor productivity between the two countries than anything else.

Abraham Lincoln talked about free trade. He said that if he bought a shirt from England, he got the shirt; the money went to England. If he bought a shirt made in America, he would pay more, but the money stayed in the United States, where it could be taxed. I am not aware of his carrying this further, but he could very well have observed that if he bought the shirt in the United States, that money would be paid to American workers, and anything not paid to the workers (profit) could not only be taxed, but might be invested in improving productivity.

Lincoln was a Republican, and favored protective tariffs to build American industry. That preference stayed in the Republican Party at least until 1950, when I left the South, and stopped thinking about the problem. I was taught in grade and high school that the Republicans and the northern states preferred high tariffs on all the goods they made, including cotton cloth and clothes they made from cotton; they also imposed staggering tariffs on much industrial machinery, thus prohibiting the South from industrializing; this was one reason for the “Solid South” which always voted overwhelmingly Democrat in local, state, and federal elections. There were a number of standing jokes, such as the county sheriff discovering a Republican vote, putting it aside for a while, then finding another and saying “He must have voted twice.” Republicans never put up yard signs, or otherwise indicated that they were that unusual. I was through high school before I discovered my parents were Republicans. They moved, first to Ohio, then Alaska, in my last year of high school.

Thus I pretty well grew up favoring “free trade”. I never thought much about it. I went into sciences and engineering and operations research which is either engineering or mathematics depending on how you look at it, and I thought about economics even less.

During the 50’s and 60’s there were many books disparaging “Detroit”, a word used to most of the US automotive industry, and its economic dictatorship and its stranglehold on American automobile consumers. Books like “The Insolent Chariots” for example. They were well written and sold well, and were persuasive. I don’t recall American cars being so badly designed, but in those days I didn’t buy new cars, and the old ones I could afford tended to be basic, without gull wings or tail fins, and they ran well and were reliable except for the voltage regulators which always seemed to die on long trips and need replacement. Tires weren’t so good, either, and a road trip of a thousand miles or more was practically guaranteed to have at least one flat tire incident, and very likely a blown out voltage regulator.

A lot of this changed when Japanese and German cars began to be more common, and the improvement was obvious. I put that down to the competition from free trade.

Back then, Detroit was synonymous with industry and productivity. We were a world power because of Detroit, and we had won the War because Detroit existed to be converted into a war production city, turning out tanks, artillery, rifles, and trucks and jeeps; the Wehrmacht still had mules and horses for much of their transportation, and motorized infantry was rare; the United States had no leg infantry. It was all motorized, and we motorized much of the Russian and British armies as well.

That was then. Now Detroit is largely a wasteland convertible into nothing. So is much of the so-called rust belt, formerly the heartland of American light industry. We have free trade; but we don’t have the factories that made the field guns for cannon company in infantry and cavalry regiments. Days after Pearl Harbor we had trained workers who could man the new machinery resulting from the conversion of, say, Saginaw Wheel Division of General Motors; and we buried the Germans and he Japanese in ships, tanks, aircraft, trucks, guns, bombs, and ammunition. We entered the war at the beginning of 1941; we ended it in fall of 1945.

Whatever the advantages of free trade, they did not cripple us.

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Of course that’s not the whole story, but you don’t need to be an economist to see that something’s wrong; and that an economy with a large part consisting of opening shipping containers of stuff from China and paying for them with money borrowed from the next generation may not be optimum for resolving policy differences with China. Exporting the industrial base without replacing it may not be an optimum path for either military or diplomatic stability. I do not believe the economic models include that.

Another assumption in the theory of free trade assumes mobility of labor. The theory does not pay much attention to the economic costs of transporting that module labor; and pays none at all to the social costs of disrupting communities. Regard for social stability may be higher among conservatives than among liberals, but surely there is some even among policy wonks?

And finally there are the very real costs of entitlements for those who no longer work. The immediate cost, unemployment compensation, is obvious, and at least some economists are becoming aware of it, though I know of none who add that cost into the models of free trade. Beyond unemployment – when the worker is no longer considered part of the work force because he – or she – is no longer expecting or looking for a job – the entitlements get bigger and become eternal. Food stamps, welfare, health care, visits to the emergency room all come to mind, and I am sure there are more. Poverty in the United States is not defined as it is elsewhere; many of the world’s working people think of American Poverty as a goal they can never reach; as wealth beyond avarice. And no comparative advantage model I know of includes those costs in the costs of free trade.

Would we all be better off paying more for the domestically made shirt than if the worker who made it was no longer employed and paid no tax, but the customer for the shirt had to chip in to support that worker through taxes? Of course we have paid for some of those entitlements by borrowing the money, but somebody will have to pay it back some day. I suppose we could simply default some day, but that does not seem very admirable – and it can be done only once. And now we have made the disemployed garment worker a thief without his consent.

And I think that is enough for the day.

bubbles

Perhaps fitting for Veterans Day

Gurkhas – pipes and drums

And kukris.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C1J9sW6wAio

I’ve never seen that rocking marching step before, but wow.

Further words are superfluous.

Cordially,

John

The kukri’s are about half way through the film and are gone at the end.

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I still have seen nothing of this in the mainstream media or Fox, but I do not think it was faked:

http://louderwithcrowder.com/watch-liberals-attack-trump-supporter-just-voting/

 

sc:bubbles]

Evening Jerry,

Glad to hear she’s making progress.  We’ll keep you both in our prayers.

I admit to being stunned.  I figured the polls were skewed, as usual, but taking the rust belt was a complete surprise.  Imagine what it’d have been like if we had a less-objectionable non-establishment candidate.  I’d said we managed to nominate the only candidate Hillary could beat.  Evidently the Dems did the reverse instead.

The liberal press (see bloomberg.com) is all full of advice about what Trump should/must/need to do, and most of it involves going back on campaign promises.  They all talk about diversity, but clearly those don’t include American exceptionalism or conservative views. 

Reports of Bolton being considered for SecState are somewhat frightening – I didn’t expect Trump to go down the Neocon route.

I wonder if the renegotiated NAFTA will simply remove Mexico, and replace it with the UK.  North Atlantic Free Trade Agreement has a nice ring.

One last thought:  all the fragile little snowflakes throwing tantrums, being excused from exams, getting counseling from their employers, and so forth make me sick.  When did we get to be a nation of wimps?

If Clinton had won, the next morning conservatives would have….gone to work.

Cheers,

Doug

I would not think Bolton a neocon, and certainly Trump is not. Bolton is an experienced cold warrior, but I doubt he is eager for conflict with Russia.

bubbles

Idea–GoFundMe campaign to fund airline tix and relocation expenses for Ruth Bader Ginsburg

Jerry:

Last July Ruth Bader Ginsburg quipped that if Donald Trump were elected, it would be “time to move to New Zealand.”

I’d like to see a GoFundMe campaign to fund airline tickets and relocation expenses for her.  I’d donate.

I also hope that Cher, Barbara Streisand, Lena Dunham, Miley Cyrus, Amy Schumer, Chelsea Handler, Al Sharpton, Whoopi Goldberg and the rest make good on their promises to leave the country.  I’m  not quite sure how Cher is going to get to Jupiter, though.  Maybe the EmDrive is involved.

Best regards,

Doug Ely

Now that would be an interesting fund…

bubbles

400 year old shark?

Dear Jerry,

Just when you thought it was safe to go in the water, once again, the sharks come out on top:

http://site.people.com/pets/earths-oldest-animal-400-year-old-greenland-shark-could-claim-title/

“Sorry tortoises, you’re losing seniority.

Scientists believe they have found Earth’s oldest creature with a

backbone: a Greenland shark living in the icy waters of the Arctic.

According to the Associated Press, a female Greenland shark, who just

recently passed away, was estimated to be about 400 years old at the

time of her death.”

Previous record holder was a 211 year old Bowhead whale. Living in a

cold, micro gravity environment seems to be a good idea. Kind of like

Old Charlie in “The Rolling Stones”.

Petronius

bubbles

SUBJ: In a real revolution . . .

Apropos of nothing specific. I just love a good quote. 🙂

As you have wisely said before – those who start a revolution are seldom those in charge at the end of the revolution. The following fills in some of the details.

“In a real revolution, the best characters do not come to the front. A violent revolution falls into the hands of narrow-minded fanatics and of tyrannical hypocrites at first. Afterwards come the turn of all the pretentious intellectual failures of the time. Such are the chiefs and the leaders. You will notice that I have left out the mere rogues. The scrupulous and the just, the noble, humane and devoted natures, the unselfish and the intelligent may begin a movement, but it passes away from them. They are not the leaders of a revolution. They are its

victims: the victims of disgust, disenchantment–often of remorse. Hopes grotesquely betrayed, ideals caricatured–that is the definition of revolutionary success. There have been in every revolution hearts broken by such successes.”

— Joseph Conrad, via ChicagoBoyz

http://chicagoboyz.net/archives/53595.html

It may bring a smile to picture Bernie Sanders in the first tumbrel cart after the revolution he dreams of comes to fruition. Cold comfort, though.

But such as he will be swayed neither by history nor reality for:

“Revolution is the opiate of the intellectuals.” – from _O Lucky Man!_

Cordially,

John

P.S.

“The trouble with quotes on the internet is they are so often simply

fabricated.” – Abraham Lincoln

“Oh, really?” Karl Marx

bubbles

Space manufacturing and space “safety”

Jerry,

I thought you’d find this interesting.

https://techcrunch.com/2016/07/13/made-in-space-plans-to-create-a-superior-optical-fiber-in-microgravity/

And since I can’t find a mention of Rand Simberg’s “Safe Is Not An Option” on your site via Google, I thought I should point that out, too.

http://safeisnotanoption.com/

Calvin Dodge

I inadvertently overlooked this some time ago, but it remains interesting.  And I understand that Mr. Trump is very interested in commercial space.

bubbles

sc:bubbles]

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Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

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Bringing us Together; The Scalia Election; New energy source?

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

“Deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.”

Immigration without assimilation is invasion.

bubbles

bubbles

Bringing us together.

Trump has called for national unity. Historically, that hasn’t worked in the past few decades. The Liberal Democrats are perfectly willing to work with Republicans so long as the Republicans adopt the Liberal agenda, but genuine compromise usually ends in “We won. Get used to it.” Congressional compromise offers have been met with “I’ve got a phone and I’ve got a pen, and I don’t need you.”

The national news media doesn’t report it that way, but that is what I’ve seen. I wish Trump well in trying to bring the parties closer together, but if one side believes that compromise means the other side surrenders, it’s impossible.

There were protest marches against the election results in many big cities. Apparently, there are those who do not accept the results of the election, despite Mrs. Clinton’s concession. Most were – relatively – peaceful, but some street activity was not. One was in Chicago. You may Google “You voted Trump. You gonna pay for that shit” to find this video: http://www.infowars.com/shock-video-black-mob-viciously-beats-white-trump-voter/ . There are others, although many have been taken down.

It is reported that Chicago police are investigating; I have no reports of arrests. This is not likely to encourage national unity.

bubbles

Apparently, at least one Wall Street Journal columnist who misunderstood Mr. Trump for most of the campaign has been enlightened:

How Donald Trump Pulled It Off

His most-revolutionary move was to lighten up the campaign and keep his audience riveted.

By

Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.

Donald Trump probably won’t get credit, even from those bending over backward to be charitable to last night’s winner, for his most-revolutionary endeavor—namely his effort to lighten up campaign rhetoric.

Even now many Republican anti-Trumpers continue to fume over his remark about John McCain: “I like people who weren’t captured.” It was disrespectful, yes. It was also a joke; a wisecrack, offered in response to Sen. McCain’s equally flippant dismissal of Trump supporters as “crazies.”

Mr. Trump never stopped being an entertainer in his campaign. Though his approach went over the heads of the media, in one way it was genius: He basically stopped trying to convince anybody soon after his famous escalator ride in the Trump Tower in Manhattan. He figured out early that his voters didn’t need any more explanation or justification. His argument was completely embodied in “Make America great again” plus his outsize public persona. He only needed to keep his fans jollied up, and fired up, for the long wait ’til election day.

The biggest embarrassment of this campaign has been the sodden pundits who kept insisting on taking oh-so-seriously his every remark. They never understood that Mr. Trump did not speak to lay out a platform. He was inventing almost daily a new episode of the 16-month Trump-for-president reality show to keep his audience from drifting off. [snip]

http://www.wsj.com/articles/how-donald-trump-pulled-it-off-1478680736

Mr. Jenkins is hardly my favorite columnist, but he does seem to have learned. I was disturbed by the McCain remark until I heard that the Senator had called all of Trump’s supporters “crazies.” Then it made sense. If you joke about me, I am free to joke about you. I would never have said what Trump said, but on reflection it was so obviously wrong – whatever you think of McCain as a Senator his service is unquestionable and Mr. Trump has to know that – that the humor of the exchange of remarks escaped me, as it did many people. After all, it is no less absurd or degrading to say that all those who support you must be crazy. Fortunately Senator McCain did not choose to escalate. I suspect they will eventually see mutual interests.

bubbles

This was written just before the election. It remains true:

The Antonin Scalia Election

We cheapen politics when we look to courts at the expense of the ballot box.

By

William McGurn

When Americans find themselves inside the voting booth on Tuesday, for many the decisive factor will be which candidate— Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton—should fill Antonin Scalia’s empty seat on the Supreme Court.

This is no small thing. Still, whose vote will replace Scalia’s on the high court is only half the Scalia story, and perhaps not the important half. Beyond even his jurisprudence, this was a man whose wisdom was to appreciate that American liberty is rooted in the separation of powers—and that the chief means of accountability is the ballot box and not the criminal courts.

The left abandoned this principle long ago. From the special prosecutors who dogged Caspar Weinberger and Scooter Libby to the outrageous “John Doe” probes in Wisconsin of conservative groups such as the free-market Club for Growth, the left has a history of criminalizing political differences for electoral advantage. This year, alas, some on the right likewise pinned their hopes for Tuesday’s election on an indictment or news of a crime that would knock Mrs. Clinton out of the race.

Let’s stipulate that Mrs. Clinton may well deserve to go to jail. But look how the focus on “lock her up” has turned out: with disruptive, 11th-hour pronouncements by FBI Director James Comey first opening and then closing an investigation into newly discovered Clinton emails.

Truth is, Mr. Comey’s real outrage was his acquiescence to the handcuffs the Justice Department put on FBI investigators throughout the Clinton email investigation—especially Justice’s refusal to go to a grand jury, without which investigators have no good way to compel evidence and testimony. The principled stand for an FBI director would have been to inform the attorney general, Loretta Lynch, that unless she gave his agents the standard tools of an FBI investigation, he would resign and tell the American people why.

Instead, Mr. Comey proceeded with the constraints and then showboated with a July press conference absolving Mrs. Clinton of any prosecutable wrongdoing. Never mind that an indictment was not his decision to make.

No doubt Ms. Lynch would not have indicted Mrs. Clinton. But had Mr. Comey kept his mouth shut, she, President Obama and Mrs. Clinton would be answering for the decision—not to mention for the highly unethical meeting between the attorney general and Mrs. Clinton’s husband that would have remained secret but for an intrepid reporter. Now all Mr. Comey has to show for his concern for his personal reputation is to have added the FBI to the list of government institutions the public no longer trusts. [snip]

http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-antonin-scalia-election-1478564889

Scalia was a scholar who revered the original intentions of the Constitution, but as Mr. Justice Holmes once observed, the Court does read the newspapers. Of course the newspapers he read in his day had a variety of opinions and positions; they weren’t so monolithic as the main stream media are today. Replacing Scalia with someone similar would seem to be fair, but I doubt that Senator Warren and the Senate Democrats will allow it. This leaves Trump with his first big test, which is also a test for the Senate majority: they did little or nothing during Obama’s Presidency despite having majorities in the Congress for much of it. They pleaded that Obama would shut down the government and make them take the blame for it.

They do not have that – excuse? – now. They hold majorities, Trump has won the election and will be President, and the balance of the Court majority is at stake. The Democrats will plead that Trump should appoint a compromise candidate. Trump has promised to appoint as near as possible a Scalia clone. There can be no “compromise” or reaching across the aisle here. This will be a key issue. I am sure Mr. Trump knows this. I am not so certain about the Republican Senate leadership, although it has certainly behaved well under considerable pressure in refusing to confirm Mr. Obama’s “compromise” candidate. I look forward on this with both anticipation and a bit of fear.

bubbles

Conclusions drawn from Results of US election

Hi Jerry
Great to hear of Roberta’s continued improvement. I am providing a Part 2 submission from Conrad Black regarding the US election. This time his focus outlines a succinct analysis of the results you and your readers may find interesting.
http://news.nationalpost.com/full-comment/conrad-black-donald-trumps-assault-on-both-parties-will-make-america
This is a positive appraisal of the results, and provides a nicely summarized critique of why this event occurred.
Take Care
Sam Mattina

It is a good analysis. It also contains some truths. Here is one of them.

The latter group, including a number of the conservative intellectuals who stormed out of the Republican party and noisily slammed the door behind them, are claiming to be prophets who will be honoured, are proud of the martyrdom they have (unintentionally) chosen, and warn darkly of Trump’s authoritarian tendencies. Such tendencies are less pronounced in the president-elect’s character than in the personality of his chief opponent, and the whole concept is nonsense, given the robustness of the constitutional strength of the legislative and judicial branches of the U.S. government. (All three branches have performed poorly during the past 20 years, which is ultimately why Donald Trump will be the next president, but they are at least proficient in ensuring they are not overrun by the other branches.)

The Republic is strong, and with the new Supreme Court will remain so.

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“The unbearable smugness of the press”

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/commentary-the-unbearable-smugness-of-the-press-presidential-election-2016/

Phil Tharp

Comment would be superfluous.

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Robert Reich gets it.

‘The power structure is shocked by the outcome of the 2016 election because it has cut itself off from the lives of most Americans. Perhaps it also doesn’t wish to understand, because that would mean acknowledging its role in enabling the presidency of Donald Trump.’

<http://robertreich.org/post/152998666340>

—————————————

Roland Dobbins

Amazing that he would make that comment; but no one has suggested that he is stupid.

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Press Already Unhappy with President-Elect Trump

Associated Press

President-elect Donald Trump left New York for a White House meeting with President Obama on Thursday morning. He took off through a salute of water provided by airport fire safety personnel, but he didn’t take the press corps with him. Apparently, that has the media upset, because he’s breaking away from “how things are always done” with the press corps.

WASHINGTON (AP) — President-elect Donald Trump on Thursday refused to let a group of journalists travel with him to cover his historic first meeting with President Barack Obama, breaking a long-standing practice intended to ensure the public has a watchful eye on the nation’s leader.

Trump flew from New York to Washington on his private jet without that “pool” of reporters, photographers and television cameras that have traveled with presidents and presidents-elect.

Trump’s flouting of press access was one of his first public decisions since his election Tuesday.

Trump’s meeting with Obama on Thursday will be recorded by the pool of White House reporters, photographers and TV cameras who cover the president.[snip]

http://www.gopusa.com/?p=16974?omhide=true

I don’t know what this means, but it is likely to be significant.

bubbles

President-Elect Trump, Paul Ryan and Wisconsin

Greetings from that part of “flyover land” known as Wisconsin. So glad to be able to say that this election my home state got it right.
Yesterday you stated that ‘Paul Ryan did yeoman work in delivering Wisconsin for Trump’ – actually not so much. After release of the Access Hollywood Ryan refused to campaign with or even be in the same location as Trump. I would say that Scott Walker, Sean Duffy & Ron Johnson helped to move WI to the Trump Train.
Best wishes and prayers for Roberta’s continued recovery – and yours as well.
One fiction question I’ve been meaning to ask – How did Grand Senator Bronson end up being from Wisconsin?

Tony Sherfinski

Unlike Rockefeller in 1964, Ryan did urge voters to vote the straight ticket. That was very likely the key to Trump’s win there. The Republican ground organization is strong in Wisconsin, and it urged the straight ticket vote. That too was significant. I am sure that Mr. Trump knows this.

Proxmire?

bubbles

The Trump Presidency

Dear Mr. Pournelle:
I’m still processing this, but I think one thing needs to be said early: President Obama and Hillary Clinton are right that we now need to work together to make a Trump presidency successful.
I do not like him, trust him, or respect him. That is all irrelevant. Our United States need a successful president, and I need to work for that.
As a beginning: Mr. Trump has recently stated two priorities which, if we can achieve them, would be enough (if he doesn’t precipitate disasters) for me to consider him a good president. First, do no harm: but after this, if this election leads to a better result for blue collar Americans and also leads to a rebuilding of our infrastructure, that would be enough for me.
Caveats: Mr. Trump has promised to be a voice for people who have been forgotten. Yes. We need that. I have a hard time believing it. But perhaps this is his Prince Hal moment, when responsibility leads to a change change in direction. I will hope for that, I will pray for that, and if it happens I will support that with enthusiasm.
Mr. Trump promises to rebuild our infrastructure, our roads and our rails. Excellent. That’s been a long time needed. My caveat: that will be expensive. Fine. It would be money well spent. But where is it coming from? If it comes from more debt, that will scare me: although, even then, if it’s well invested the risk could be worth it.
I’m sure you understand that I remain concerned. From my perspective: I am looking at a presidency in which all three branches of government are controlled by a single party, with no effective checks and balances in sight, all led by a megalomaniac bully. What could possibly go wrong?
But I hope that discussion will never be needed. For now: what might be done to make the Trump Presidency successful for all Americans?
Yours,
Allan E. Johnson

To begin, I think that it would be good to stop talking about megalomaniac bullies. I can think of many appellations to be made about others, many at present in high office, but I do not think this is the right time to be saying them. Why present them with remarks that would make them appear cowardly if overlooked?

Fortunately, Mr. Trump is accustomed to dealing with people who disagree with him to various degrees, and whose interests are not exactly his, nor his theirs; yet they must work together to get anything done. We will see.

I would not have run the campaign as Mr. Trump did – and I would not have won either nomination nor election. Clearly he understands those who voted for him – and those who voted against Mrs. Clinton and another term for Obama – quite well. He also knows that without Congress – people in both parties – he can get little done. He is said to understand the art of the deal. For now, I suspect we live with that.

bubbles

Sharpton: ‘We Are Not Going Down Without a Fight and Donald Needs to Know That’

Wednesday on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” in reacting to Republican President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, Al Sharpton said, “We are not going down without a fight and Donald needs to know that.”

Sharpton said, “I think that we are in a real moment like Nixon. I mean, if you look at the backlash after the Great Society and of a lot of the unrest, that is what defeated Hubert Humphrey and brought in Richard Nixon. I was a kid. I remember it like it was yesterday. You had assassinations of Kennedy, King. Unrest. People go for extreme measures to respond. Trump played to that. I said that. He did all of the dog whistles. This is not Bernie Sanders populism. This is George Wallace populism that he’s doing. And I think that many people have got to call it the way it is. Now the question is how will he govern? But he cannot say he did not run a campaign that has created a lot of racial fears and a lot of divisiveness and he played to the crowd and he knew what he was playing to. I know him here in New York. He knew exactly what he was doing. He was playing to the worst elements. The question is now what are you going to do?”

He added, “And I think that there’s going to be — rather than going to a blame game, we need to analyze, this man’s going to be president and all that many of us have fought for during our lives is at stake. And we are not going down without a fight and Donald needs to know that.”

http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016/11/09/sharpton-not-going-without-fight-donald-trump-needs-know/

Not unexpected. See http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/booming/revisiting-the-tawana-brawley-rape-scandal.html or http://nypost.com/2013/08/04/pay-up-time-for-brawley-87-rape-hoaxer-finally-shells-out-for-slander/

Tawana Brawley seems to be missing from the official biography of Mr. Sharpton.

 

bubbles

 

going forward

Just a thought, what will we call the “Clinton News Network” now?
Driving the volunteer medical van in my town I’ve listened to a lot of Seniors during the campaign, I can tell you that there was no love for Hillary there. In fact I can’t remember anyone expressing an intention to vote for Hillary. But at the end of the day, she handily won the vote in my town and the state.
I think my youngest friend is barely forty, I really don’t move among the 18-49 crowd at all. But winning this election with the full support of ‘Last Century” voters is not a future winning strategy.
My hope is that Trump succeeds in proving that less regulation, less federal interference and more personal responsibly can improve the lives of everyone, including that damn 18-49 crowd. They can’t remember what they have never seen. So let’s show them.

John The River

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Reactor that produces liquid fuel from CO2 in the air to be tested in portable pilot plant

I wonder what the efficiencies of this process are. If they are fairly good, this would be a way to store excess production from solar/wind/etc. for later use.

The fuels we burn add carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, which contributes to climate change. A new compact power plant is starting up in Finland that could help combat the problem by converting atmospheric carbon dioxide itself into usable fuels. The transportable chemical reactor uses solar power to convert CO2 from the air and regenerative hydrogen from electrolysis into liquid fuels.

http://newatlas.com/carbon-dioxide-fuel-pilot-plant-finland-kit-ineratec/46362/?utm_source=Gizmag+Subscribers&utm_campaign=2369704afd-UA-2235360-4&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_65b67362bd-2369704afd-88920025

John Harlow

I’ve never heard of this, but I have written about other energy alternatives. I have no great desire to add CO2 without limit to the atmosphere; I’d be glad to see it stable. Of course with more nuclear power and space solar power satellites, we could determine just how much CO2 we want, testing various levels until we find an optimum. We don’t have to burn fossil fuels. For less – much less – than the cost of the Middle East Wars, we could have built fission reactors and told the Arabs we no longer need their oil – while paying retirement wages to the coal miners put out of work.

But I wrote all this forty years ago, and again when we contemplated the first desert war.

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Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

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Trump Wins; The Task Begins. What Regulations need to be repealed? More on A-10 and immigration; and other matters

Wednesday, November 9, 2016

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

“Deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.”

Immigration without assimilation is invasion.

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I went to bed late, waiting for Fox news, who’d rather be right than call things too early,. They called Pennsylvania for Trump, but there remained the suspicion that Mrs. Clinton would dispute the result, and we would have weeks of lawsuits, appeals, discoveries of “lost” boxes of absentee ballots going 80% to Mrs. Clinton, and more horrors. As I was getting to bed, Trump appeared at his victory party: Mrs. Clinton had conceded. Trump was gracious, full of Dignitas, and quite Presidential, complimenting Mrs. Clinton on her years of public service, and refraining from any criticisms. He also accepted Speaker Ryan’s olive branch, beginning down the path to at least a semblance of unity.

crow-a

I woke up to discover that it was all true. Trump was indeed the President Designate, and will become President Elect once the Electoral College has done its work.

If Hillary Clinton had won we would know exactly what was coming: Obama’s third term. With Trump the future is less clear. I do expect him to keep his word on the Supreme Court: he has promised us “original intent” scholars similar to Mr. Justice Scalia, and there is every reason to believe that is what we will get quite early in his term. I expect that he will be able to appoint at least one more Justice and perhaps more. The Constitution is not in danger of being dominated by “living document” advocates who decide as the elite intellectual zeitgeist dictates no matter what the governed may have consented to. The Republic will, I think remain one in which governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed.

We can also expect nearly immediate repeal of the recent constitutionally questionable Executive Orders. I invite you to submit your favorite candidates for repeal. I have already asked my friend Dr. David Friedman for his candidates.

Changes that will require action by Congress will take a while; we can hope that Mr. Trump does not lose patience. Getting things through Congress takes some skill; fortunately Mr.Trump will have experienced expert advice. He seems determined to make peace with Speaker Ryan, who did yeoman service in delivering Wisconsin.

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I saw Roberta yesterday and helped her fill out her absentee ballot, which was delivered to the polls by a kind hospital volunteer. She has expanded her vocabulary enough that I am sure that over time all her speech will return. She looked much better, if a bit exhausted by the relentless expert therapy. We appreciate your prayers.

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I found this exposition on the biggest losers last night quite intriguing. I was one of the first subscribers to National Review when it was founded, and while Russell Kirk (my mentor) was a real friend of Buckley while I was more of an acquaintance, we got long well when I was at Pepperdine and Mr. Buckley spoke to one of my prelaw classes. Of course the egregious Frum read me out of the Conservative movement when I opposed the neocon position on Iraq. I remain conservative by inclination, but I no longer claim to be a member of any organized group. I have long held this sentiment:

 

Boswell: So, Sir, you laugh at schemes of social improvement?

Johnson: Why, Sir, most schemes for social improvement are very laughable things.

http://www.jerrypournelle.com/ancient/spacemail.htm

 

http://www.lifezette.com/polizette/four-biggest-winners-losers-2016/

The National Review Editorial Board

In its staunch opposition to Trump, the National Review proved itself to be as out of touch and elitist as the liberals it frequently took to task. The magazine had forgotten its roots. No longer willing to stand athwart history yelling stop, it resigned itself to standing meekly by muttering not so fast.

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The Navy called USS Zumwalt a warship Batman would drive. But at $800,000 per round, its ammo is too pricey to fire. – MSN News

Instead of this boondoggle, the ZUMWALT should indeed be armed with rail guns and lasers, to go along with its unique design and radar cross-section, to make it truly a ship of the Future.

The Navy called USS Zumwalt a warship Batman would drive. But at $800,000 per round, its ammo is too pricey to fire.

Ben Guarino

The Washington Post – The Washington Post – Tue Nov 8 11:25:24 UTC 2016

Fully loaded, the ammunition for one ship would total about $2 billion.

http://a.msn.com/r/2/AAk2EVy?a=1&m=en-us

 

Zumwalt-class AGS round

Jerry, I’d not worry too much about the cancelled LockMart LRLAP round intended for the AGS guns on the DDG-1000 Destroyers.

I’m sure that Raytheon will be happy to adapt their already in-production and combat-tested Excalibur extended range smart shell to the AGS.

I’d be surprised if Raytheon hadn’t anticipated this situation and included planning for AGS support when designing the new 5″ Naval version, the Excalibur N5.

All the best to Roberta and yourself. Speedy recovery especially to Roberta.

Chuck

 

Thanks.

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Comment on “Quantum news”

Dear Jerry:
Thanks for posting in your View for November 7 the link to the article about Nobel Laureate Steven Weinberg questioning the interpretation of quantum mechanics under the heading “Quantum news”.
It is good when famous scientists begin to realize that scientists have very little to say about what the world is really like. Equations are merely equations. It seems obvious that Schrodinger’s equation is not an agent that controls and sustains the universe. It is merely a mathematical contrivance found useful for calculating certain quantities that we derive from our observation of the universe. The equations do not explain why they work, nor do they prove the existence of a wave function for the universe. Nor is quantum mechanics consistent with the mathematical contrivance called general relativity.
As David Berlinski writes in his delightful little book “The Devil’s Delusion”:
“… two influential ideas are at work. The first is that there is something answering to the name of science. The second is that something answering to the name of science offers sophisticated men and women a coherent vision of the universe. The second claim is false if the first claim is.
“And the first claim is false. Nothing answers to the name of science.”

“We have been vouchsafed four powerful and profound scientific theories since the great scientific revolution of the West was set in motion in the seventeenth century–Newtonian mechanics, James Clerk Maxwell’s theory of the electromagnetic field, special and general relativity, and quantum mechanics. … The theories that we possess are ‘magnificent, profound, difficult, sometimes phenomenally accurate,’ as the distinguished mathematician Roger Penrose has observed, but as he at once adds, they also comprise a ‘tantalizingly inconsistent scheme of things.'”

“We do not know how the universe began. We do not know why it is there. Charles Darwin talked speculatively of life emerging from a ‘warm little pond.’ The pond is gone. We have little idea how life emerged, and cannot with assurance say that it did. We cannot reconcile our understanding of the human mind with any trivial theory about the manner in which the brain functions. … We do not know what impels us to right conduct or where the form of the good is found.”
Best regards,
–Harry M.

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https://unitedwithisrael.org/trump-invites-netanyahu-to-washington/?utm_source=MadMimi&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Netanyahu+Congratulates+Trump%21+Jerusalem+Mayor+Urges+Trump+to+Move+US+Embassy&utm_campaign=20161109_m135425093_%5BNB-WIN%5D+Netanyahu+Congratulates+Trump%21+Jerusalem+Mayor+Urges+Trump+to+Move+US+Embassy&utm_term=Trump+Invites+Netanyahu+to+Meeting+in+Washington_0D_0A_09_09_09_09_09_09_09_09

Sheldon and his wife will be very pleased.

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From the mainstream media:

https://www.cnet.com/news/twitter-facebook-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-president-republican-democrat/?ftag=CAD1acfa04&bhid=21042754377865639731827326151938

The reality TV star has made it very real.

Republican Donald Trump, a divisive outsider who overcame even his own party’s distrust, took to a New York stage in the early hours of Wednesday to claim the presidency of the United States. His acceptance speech, delivered after he said he had spoken with Democrat rival Hillary Clinton, capped a race that at times seemed out of control and until minutes earlier had been expected to continue well into Wednesday.

“This was tough, this was tough,” Trump told the crowd as he extended an olive branch to Clinton and the Democrats. “This political stuff is nasty and it’s tough.”

He also struck a conciliatory note.

“For those who chose not to support me in the past, of which there are a few people, I’m reaching out to you for your guidance and your help so we can reach out and unify our great country,” he said.

Trump’s acceptance, which came as the final votes were still being counted, followed a chief adviser to Clinton telling her supporters to go home early Wednesday.

Clinton finally gave her concession speech (with accompanying tweets) late Wednesday morning, saying that she hopes he will be successful and offering “to work with him on behalf of the country.”

Mr. Obama has invited Trump to the White House to discuss transition; Trump’s acceptance was dignified and Presidential.

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A-10 depot can’t recover from illegal neglect

Jerry,

Glad to hear the good news on your wife’s recovery, and that you are writing more.

And good news Strategy Page dot com published November 6, 2016: 

Once more the U.S. Air Force had to reverse its plans to get rid of its most popular combat aircraft; the A-10. In September the air force, faced with the reality that the A-10 was its most effective warplane in the current war against ISIL (Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant) in Syria and Iraq, announced it was restoring maintenance funds for the A-10 and indefinitely delaying plans to start retiring all A-10s in 2018. Now the money is allocated to keep the 283 A-10s flying into the late 2020s. Restored maintenance funds will increase availability rates back to 70 percent or more. In 2015 A-10s flew over 87,000 hours and they could have flown more (as ground troops demanded) if maintenance funds had been available.  The A-10 is a special Cold War era design that was optimized for operating close to troops on the ground. A-10s were designed for use against Russian ground forces in Europe. That war never happened and the last American A-10 attack aircraft left Europe (for good, it was thought) in mid-2013. By 2015 it was back. Meanwhile the A-10 proved to be a formidable combat aircraft in post-Cold War conflicts, first in the 1991 liberation of Kuwait and later in Afghanistan and Iraq. During the last decade the most requested ground support aircraft in Afghanistan has been the A-10. There was similar A-10 affection in Iraq. Troops from all nations quickly came to appreciate the unique abilities of this 1970s era aircraft that the U.S. Air Force is constantly trying to get rid of. In 2011 the air force did announce that it was retiring 102 A-10s, leaving 243 in service.  At the same time the air force accelerated the upgrading of the remaining A-10s to the A-10C standard. This was long overdue because the original A-10 was a 1960s design. Most have now been upgraded. An A-10C has new commo gear was added, allowing A-10 pilots to share pix and vids with troops on the ground. The A-10 pilot also has access to the Blue Force Tracker system, so that the nearest friendly ground forces show up on the HUD (Head Up Display) when coming in low to use the 30mm cannon. The A-10C can use smart bombs, making it a do-it-all aircraft for ground support.  The A-10 is a 23 ton, twin engine, single seat aircraft whose primary weapon is a multi-barrel 30mm cannon originally designed to fire armored piercing shells through the thinner top armor of Russian (or any other) tanks. These days the 1,174 30mm rounds are mostly high explosive. The 30mm cannon fires 363 gram (12.7 ounce) rounds at the rate of about 65 a second. The cannon usually fires in one or 2 second bursts. In addition, the A-10 can carry 7 tons of bombs and missiles. These days the A-10 goes out with smart bombs (GPS and laser guided) and Maverick missiles. It can also carry a targeting pod, enabling the pilot to use high magnification day/night cameras to scour the area for enemy activity. Cruising speed is 560 kilometers an hour and the A-10 can slow down to about 230 kilometers an hour. In Afghanistan 2 drop tanks were usually carried to give the aircraft more fuel and maximum time over the battlefield. The A-10, nicknamed “Warthog” or just “hog”, could always fly low and slow and was designed, and armored, to survive a lot of ground fire.  Despite the success and popularity (especially with ground troops) of the A-10 the air force leadership had cut money already allocated to keep existing A-10s flying and abandoned plans to develop an acceptable (to the troops on the ground) replacement. The reasons for the change of mind were familiar to those who remembered similar situations dating back to the early 1990s. This time it was a recent survey of Marine, Army, and Air Force JTACs (Joint Terminal Attack Controllers and JFOs (Joint Fires Observers) which showed an overwhelming preference for the A-10. JTAC and JFO teams are trained to call in air strikes and most of these teams contain a combat pilot. At the same time these teams work directly with ground forces and are well aware of what kind of air support the ground troops find most useful. Ground controllers mostly (48 percent) preferred the A-10. The next most popular aircraft (which 13 percent preferred) was the AC-130 gunships. While the AC-130 is in no danger of elimination (it is an armed C-130 transport) the A-10 is. Yet the air force leaders insist jet fighters (like the F-16, F-15 and F-18) can replace the A-10 but these 3 fighters are preferred by 14 percent. The AV-8B vertical takeoff jet is preferred by only 4 percent. Armed helicopters are preferred by 11 percent and armed UAVs by 9 percent. Air force leaders insist jet fighters can adequately replace the A-10 but ground troops and fighter pilots serving as JTACs say otherwise. As useful as armed helicopters and UAVs are the overwhelming preference is for the A-10, an aircraft explicitly designed to provide the best ground support. The air force refuses even to design a 21st century A-10 and there are no other aircraft in service that even come close.  This hostile attitude by air force leadership to the A-10 is nothing new. It got so bad in 2015 that the general commanding the ACC (Air Combat Command) was fired (because of Congressional pressure) for giving a speech in which he declared that any air force personnel speaking out publicly in favor of the A-10 were guilty of treason. While ACC is in charge of most combat aircraft (fighters, bombers, recon and ground attack) ACC leadership has long believed that the A-10 has outlived its usefulness and that its ground support job could be done just as well by fighters like the F-16 and F-35. Experience in combat has shown that this is not true, but apparently to senior people in the air force backing the truth, at least when it comes to the A-10, is treasonous.  While the air force leadership officially denounced the “supporting the A-10 is treason” remarks it was eventually revealed that while those apologies were being made those same air force generals were trying to sabotage the A-10 by quietly cutting major maintenance programs 40 percent. This meant that a growing number of A-10s would not be available for service because of “maintenance issues.” It is believed that such excuses would not include the fact that the maintenance problems were self-inflicted by the air force leadership and it would instead be implied that the age of the A-10s was a factor.  The air force has been trying to retire its A-10 aircraft since the 1990s and since late 2014 they tried issuing studies and analyses showing that the A-10 was too specialized and too old to justify the cost of keeping it in service. This generated more opposition, and more effective opposition, than the air forces expected. This was helped by the fact that some of the “studies” were more spin than impartial analysis. All this created unwanted publicity about something the air force denies exists but is nevertheless very real; the air force has never really wanted to devote much resources to CAS (Close Air Support) for ground forces. Officially this is not true but in reality it is and the ground forces (army and marines) and historians provided plenty of evidence.  The problem is complicated by the fact that the air force does not want to allow the army to handle CAS, as is the case with some countries and the U.S. Marine Corps (which provides CAS for marines and any ground forces the marines are operating with). Soldiers and marines both insist that marine CAS (provided by Harriers. F-35Bs and F-18s flown by marines) is superior. The army and marines also have their own helicopter gunships for support, but they lack capabilities only the fixed wing aircraft have. Despite all that the air force wants to eliminate the A-10, which soldiers, marines and many allied troops consider the best CAS aircraft ever, and replace it with less effective (for CAS) fighters adapted for CAS. The ground forces don’t want that mainly because the A-10 pilots specialize in CAS while fighter pilots must spend a lot of time training for air combat and different types of bombing, The A-10 pilots are CAS specialists and it shows by the amount of praise they get from their “customers” (the ground troops). To the dismay of just about everyone the air force dismisses all this as much less important than the fact that the A-10 cannot fight other aircraft. That was how the A-10 was designed, on air force orders, but that is somehow irrelevant now. 

Paul

The Air Force has always hated the close support mission, but refuses to allow the Army to have any fixed wing aircraft to carry it out for itself. This is tragic.

General Powers many years ago made it Air Force policy to never give up a mission, even if USAF didn’t want it. Close support of the field army was vital in the closing days of WW II; and close recce/strike missions by P-47, particularly train busting, became nearly decisive in some battles. The P-47 was a good close ground support aircraft, but it was also an air superiority fighter (especially as the Luftwaffe faded in ability) so it did not block a fighter pilot’s career path to be assigned to close support; later, as close support became better defined, that mission was seen as a career impairment and to be avoided. The field army wants close support, particularly in urban environments but also in open country counter battery engagements; hot fighter pilots find that less important to their careers than getting Ace status and the other perks of the air supremacy mission.

It has come to a head several times. The Air Force doctrine is to establish air supremacy in a wide area. The Army believes that close support helps the Army win battles and advance to take the enemy airfields. The argument continues.

Given limited funding the close support aircraft are the first to be neglected by USAF. Given air supremacy, close support is the first demand of the Army. The dilemma continues.

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Asteroid Leading the Vote

I couldn’t bring myself to vote for SMOD2016, but these are funny:
http://www.duffelblog.com/2016/11/election-day-early-voting-polls-show-asteroid-leading-military-voters/?utm_campaign=coschedule&utm_source=facebook_page&utm_medium=Duffel%20Blog&utm_content=Election%20Day%20early-voting%20polls%20show%20%27Asteroid%27%20leading%20with%20military%20voters
https://twitter.com/smod2016
Raise a toast to deep sea nitrifying bacteria!
Regards,
Don Parker

I’m not familiar with that web site. I gather “asteroid” is a web character, but some choose to make that a real earth striking object.

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re: automating public service jobs

The first requirement to automate public service jobs is to sort out exactly what the rules are so that they can be applied in a deterministic way.
Just doing that would remove a huge amount of uncertainty and eliminate a lot of jobs (both public sector jobs of those who evaluate how the rules apply and the lawyers who make their living at the margins where there is uncertainty about exactly what the rules require)
actually automating them to eliminate the jobs would just be a bonus
David Lang

I expect there is more interest in this subject than you suspect. If a robot can do a job that doesn’t need doing, it’s easy to fire the robot after the GS-9 has been dismissed as redundant.

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Immigration redux

You know all this, of course, but I sometimes wonder about some of your readers.

My great grandfather and grandfather were part of the 4.5 million Irish who immigrated to the US between 1820 and 1930.  The population of the US was, at that point between 60-75 million. 

They were Catholic, as well.  GAD, we know about those people, don’t we? 

They lived in the slums through my father’s childhood although my grandfather was a fireman for the NYFD.   My Grandmother did not much like the British, but managed to live with the Poles, Hungarians, and Slavs in the neighborhood. 

My father left by virtue of the GI Bill.

Disraeli told us:

“[The Irish] hate our order, our civilization, our enterprising industry, our pure religion. This wild, reckless, indolent, uncertain and superstitious race have no sympathy with the English character. Their ideal of human felicity is an alternation of clannish broils and coarse idolatry. Their history describes an unbroken circle of bigotry and blood”.

Edmund Spenser wasn’t fond of them either:

“Marry those be the most barbaric and loathy conditions of any people (I think) under heaven…They [the Irish] do use all the beastly behaviour that may be, they oppress all men, they spoil as well the subject, as the enemy; they steal, they are cruel and bloody, full of revenge, and delighting in deadly execution, licentious, swearers and blasphemers, common ravishers of women, and murderers of children.”

http://app.mediahq.com/files/pr/smr135944_%5B1%5D_Poor%20House%20from%20Galway.jpg

I’m glad Roberta is in Holy Cross and progressing.

My best,

Mark

Well, since my wife is very much of Irish descent, I can hardly be accused of discrimination against the Irish. I have always held the opinion that migration for the purpose of assimilation is precisely the way this country was built. From “hyphen Americans” we developed Americans without the hyphens who eat corned beef and cabbage and wear green on St. Patrick’s Day, and pretend to be furious with those who wear orange on that day; or march in a Columbus Day parade; etc. The Italians who entered the US as prisoners of war in WW II and were paroled out to truck gardeners around Memphis mostly stayed as immigrants, often marrying into the families they were “enslaved” to.

Of course migration without assimilation is invasion.

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QEII: Make America Great [Britain] Again

It’s nice to see that someone understands how Americans feel right now; that someone is Queen Elizabeth II:

<.>

In an unexpected televised address on Saturday, Queen Elizabeth II offered to restore British rule over the United States of America.

Addressing the American people from her office in Buckingham Palace, the Queen said that she was making the offer “in recognition of the desperate situation you now find yourselves in.”

“This two-hundred-and-forty-year experiment in self-rule began with the best of intentions, but I think we can all agree that it didn’t end well,” she said.

</>

http://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/queen-offers-to-restore-british-rule-over-united-states

Laughter is the best medicine, eh?

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

I guess the election has ended that offer. Although perhaps, given the obstacles he faces, Mr. Trump may ask her to extend it again…

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Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

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Fox news declares Trump has won. Trump Claims.

Tuesday, November 8, 2016

TRUMP!

Hope and Change?

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

“Deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.”

Immigration without assimilation is invasion.

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2315 Tuesday night.

Podesta says wait until morning. Mrs. Clinton has not conceded, and “every ballot counts.” I would not be at all surprised if they discovered several boxes of uncounted ballots, but only in states that Trump claims; none of Mrs. Clinton’s wins will be challenged. Perhaps I am unduly cynical.

It has been an exhausting night, and the election is still not determined.

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As I go to bed, Fox News gives Trump 254 electoral votes Pennsylvania has been called for Trump by several networks and news agencies, but Fox has not. Podesta has told Mrs. Clinton’s followers to go home.

We’ll know more in the morning.

So the NY times says in Mich that Trump leads by 1.8 points out of 4.3 million counted votes but out of the 324K uncounted votes remaining, Clinton leads by 2.9 points.

 

I am sure there are an undetermined number of uncounted early votes in Pennsylvania as well. They will be overwhelmingly in favor of Mrs. Clinton. It is not over.

 

 

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2340:  Fox News has declared Trump winner in Pennsylvania, and thus the winner of the election.  When Trump came down that escalator no one took his candidacy seriously; he could not possibly win the nomination.  I need not remind you of the election.

Fox is very conservative on calling elections; they dread having to take one back. I have not heard that Mrs. Clinton concedes, but Trump has now claimed.

We may be seeing a new era.

 

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0010 9 November

I have to go eat a crow breakfast; apparently Mrs. Clinton has conceded.  Donald Trump is President Elect of the United States. His victory speech had dignitas; he was Presidential and cordial, and gracious to Mrs. Clinton.   Now Speaker Ryan has sent his congratulations.  Apparently it really is over.

Nothing like this has happened since Andrew Jackson, and that was only similar in some respects.

 

(My nit picking conscience makes me point out that Mr. Trump is President Designate; he is not President Elect until the Electoral College sends its votes to the House of Representatives. An important legal distinction, but unlikely to make any difference.

 

 

 

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Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

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