Asylums for Climate Deniers? Discussion of the evidence. Off duty with a cold. Doctors who must kill. And other items of importance. Addition on 28 Feb.

Monday, February 27, 2017

Any scientific consensus without Freeman Dyson is no consensus.

Jerry Pournelle

bubbles

Bill Nye ‘The Science Guy’ Says ‘Climate Deniers’ Suffer Psychological Delusions

http://dailycaller.com/2017/02/27/bill-nye-the-science-guy-says-climate-deniers-suffer-psychological-delusions/#ixzz4ZxPkKBTG

He repeated that in an interview with Tucker Carlson on Fox News Monday night. [See next item, post by Scott Adams.] He insisted there is no way to question the massive evidence for manmade climate change. Asked what it would be like if humans had not interfered with the climate cycle, he cited wine and grapes in England as easily observed evidence. There was no such grape crop in England/Scotland in 1790.

But this raises the question: weren’t there grapes in England and Scotland during the Medieval Warm – Viking times? All the evidence I know shows that in England and across Europe climate condition were much warmer. There may not have been grapes in Iceland and Greenland, but there certainly were dairy farms. After the first quarter of the 14th Century it began to get colder.

http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/lia/vikings_during_mwp.html

Vikings grew barley in Greenland

http://sciencenordic.com/vikings-grew-barley-greenland

 

And of course the Viking settlements in modern Nova Scotia were called Vinland for the crop grown there. We have only proxy information concerning the actual temperature in the Medieval Warm period, but we do have records of growing seasons in the Northern Hemisphere from European monasteries and Chinese mandarins.  Apparently those who look at that data are Deniers in need of mental health counseling for their own good. Bill Nye the Science Guy is nearly convinced of it.

He is also convinced that we can measure the average annual temperature of the Earth to a tenth of a degree, although I doubt he has the instruments to determine with that accuracy the temperature in his back yard.

 

abraras8

 

atom   Added 1230 Tuesday 28 Feb:

Dilbert creator Scott Adams on cognition

Dr. Pournelle,
Scott Adams is blogging about persuasion and cognitive dissonance, and has also remarked on the Tucker Carlson interview with Bill Nye. See http://blog.dilbert.com/post/157823678756/tucker-carlson-induces-cognitive-dissonance-in . Worth your time, as I think Adams is successfully (perhaps courageously) introducing some rational debate into public discussion of climate change and of subjects associated with Donald Trump.
I often hear that a “denier” has little or no credibility because of an often tenuous link of some sort to the petroleum, coal, or nuclear industries. I never hear or read of any reduction of credibility of a media personality whose ego, reputation, and/or income is closely tied with environmental science. While it is not his obvious purpose, I believe Adams’ blog is exposing the ego bias in some of those advocates.
With hopes for continuing recovery for both you and Roberta,
-d

Scott Adams adds many points and links I did not feel up to adding, and his post says it all very well.  A long time ago I got a Ph.D. in Psychology. I don’t get much use of it, but I did watching Tucker Carlson interviewing Bill Nye the Science Guy.  If you have not seen it, Adams provides a link. Go read his post.

 

bubbles

I woke up with a sore throat, runny nose, and all the other symptoms of a bad cold, and promptly went back to bed. Watching Bill Nye on the Tucker Carlson show on Fox tonight prompted me to get this much out, but me heart isn’t in it. More another time. [1230 28 Feb: not improving much. Sorry.}

bubbles

More magnetic coolness

I’m not sure yet what, if anything, this might say about solar activity at this time, but it’s pretty darn interesting.

http://www.space.com/35745-earth-magnetic-field-spike-ancient-times.html

~Stephanie Osborn, “The Interstellar Woman of Mystery”

http://www.Stephanie-Osborn.com

bubbles

Ninth Circuit:

“Rather than present evidence to explain the need for the Executive Order . . .”

The law — 8 USC 1182(f), to be precise, places no obligation on the President to “present evidence to explain the need”. To whom, pray, would he present the evidence?

Just askin’, you know.

Moreover, I read the EO. It makes no mention of religion of any kind. Those who have introduced that meme have simply created their own straw man. You’d think that Trump’s legal team would have noticed.

Richard White

If you find out, let me know. I find no Constitutional role for the judiciary in foreign affairs.

Dr Pournelle

RE: Limits of executive orders

Chuck: “I think you are nearly alone in that opinion.”

I assure you that you are not alone.

In the matter of seeking a court to intervene, it is apparent that forum shopping was in play. Had the issue been tried in the 11th Circuit, who would wager the result would be the same?

Live long and prosper

h lynn keith

bubbles

On Consensus

Hello, again, Dr. Pournelle –
I read in your Feb 17th Chaos Manor about “consensus” and could not recall if I had sent you my piece on an observation made from watching an episode of Neil deGrasse Tyson’s version of Cosmos on Consensus;
In this episode, Sisters of the Sun, he showcased the women of astrophysics, those women at Harvard who worked for Pickering in classifying stars; they were called “computers.”
Tyson told the story of Cecilia Payne whose doctoral thesis, “Stellar Atmospheres, A Contribution to the Observational Study of High Temperature in the Reversing Layers of Stars,” correctly identifies the composition of stars.
At the time, the accepted wisdom – the “consensus,” if you will – was that the composition of stars was similar to that of Earth. Payne concluded that this was not so; that hydrogen, for example, was a million times more abundant.
When she submitted her paper to Henry Russell, an astronomer of note at Princeton, he convinced her to not make such a conclusion, so she succumbed to popular pressure – again, the “consensus” – and modified her paper accordingly, admitting that something must be wrong with her analysis.
However, the fact is, Payne was right and the consensus was wrong. But, because the consensus was popular, science accepted it as the Truth.
We have “climate change” rammed down our throats because of the hallowed “consensus.” Not because of any PROOFS, but merely because it’s popular.
Those who question the validity of this popularity are shunned, ridiculed, ostracized, even called to be killed.
Why?
Because those who support man-made “climate change” can prove what they claim?
Not in the least.
Because it’s “popular;” there’s a “consensus.” Skepticism, the foundation of science, is ignored.
Well, as the story of Cecilia Payne demonstrates, just because there’s “consensus,” doesn’t mean it’s right.
My apologies, if I’ve already sent this to you, but the current Chaos Manor reminded me of it.
Keep up the excellent work!
Cam Kirmser

bubbles

Jimmy Dore may be starting to “get it”.

Jimmy points out the real story in Mike Flynn resignation is the CIA leaked the transcript

of Flynn’s phone call. But Jimmy doesn’t grasp the full gravity of the situation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xxSwH8B31w

The CIA/NSA spies on everybody including Congress, the President, and foreign allies.

Rogue elements of the CIA/FBI/Mossad are really in control of everything and have been

since the JFK assassination. They have their own air force.

That’s why Obama started out as Mr. Hope and Change but quickly knuckled under because

“They” have dirt on everybody and can quickly destroy anybody with covert leaks.

I have a suspicion that Obama’s cold Israel policy was because of 9/11.

The Mike Flynn event is “They” are announcing that “They” are in control and there’s

nothing anybody is going to do about it. “They” are recording everybody. “They” can

follow every credit card purchase, ez-pass, National Automatic License Plate Scanners,

and now the new “Find out what your DNA is and where you come from!” deal.

(Like that’s not all winding up in the FBI Database) Even if you pay with cash but use

your store savings card at the pharmacy or grocery store. Google searches…

Welcome to the future. It is what it is and there’s no going back.

Trump is a real threat to expose and take them all down. Obama wasn’t powerful enough.

CNN and the other mainstream media outlets are the mouthpiece of “They”.

MSM is a relentless assault on Trump and promote protests as a distraction from the

Clinton/Wiener/Podesta/Comey/Lynch episode.

Trump is the enemy of the Republicans and Corporate Democrats. The progressives

might want to think of getting behind Trump as he’s the only hope of real change.

Obama was happy to get out of Dodge in one piece and did everyone a favor not

pardoning Hillary or anyone in the CF.

Jimmy’s great piece on the Mike Flynn situation;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xxSwH8B31w

Svabo

Since Flynn knew the call was monitored; why did he misreport it? And why is there no effort to find the career intelligence people who leaked the story?

Subj: Drain the swamp or …

… pump out the septic tank?

Or maybe tank_s_ plural: Department of Justice, Directorate of National Intelligence, Environmental Protection Agency, …

Rod

bubbles

This article should cheer you up.

http://www.breitbart.com/london/2017/01/31/delingpole-trumps-climate-plans-made-medias-heads-explode/

BTW, I watched Pres Trump’s presser today. He ate the MSM for lunch.

Phil

bubbles

Doctors who now must kill

Dear Jerry:

I sent you an e-mail on 1/27/2017 with the Subject line “Doctors Who Kill.” It was a bit long, and you didn’t post it, but here is a followup inspired by the latest news about doctors who kill, even against your will.

In my original e-mail I pointed out that increasingly doctors and other medical professionals are being required to kill human beings as part of their training.

An inevitable result when government and medical schools compel doctors to kill is that doctors will conclude that they ought to kill. They must inevitably come to believe that killing their patient is not only morally acceptable but in fact that killing is morally required.

Dr. John Patrick tells a story about Dutch doctors in his lecture “Do No Harm and Patient Autonomy: What to Do When They Clash” presented at the University of Minnesota on 9/18/2015.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8lLA9yd-LUA

He recounts how Dutch doctors during World War II chose to go to concentration camps rather than kill disabled children and adults.

(Beginning at about 24 minutes 55 seconds into the lecture). They beat Hitler because he needed the Dutch doctors to look after his army. So Holland was one of the few countries in the 3rd Reich that actually had some disabled people at the end of the Second World War.

Then a couple of generations later Holland became the first country in the world to kill patients. They have published protocols for killing children in no immediate danger of death because the physician judges that their lives are not worthy of being lived, the phrase the Germans used.

And now today we read that a doctor in The Netherlands ordered a woman’s family to restrain her while he administered a lethal injection against her will.

http://www.ncregister.com/daily-news/horrible-picture-dutch-woman-restrained-by-family-while-being-euthanized

We see that the killing of patients has been redefined as medical progress.

Dr. Patrick mentions two readings that will interest those of your readers who suspect that at some time they will be ill and in the care of a physician. Others may be dealing with their fellow humans whose ideas of justice differ from their own.

The first reading is the book

“What We Can’t Not Know: A Guide” by J. Budziszewski

< (December 6 No. 1979, Vol. Journal?, Law ?Duke Law?, Unnatural Ethics, Unspeakable>

http://scholarship.law.duke.edu/dlj/vol28/iss6/1

(The volumes were renumbered after publication.)

To these I add Dr. Patrick’s lecture

“Should your Doctor Have the Power to Kill You?”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7yvx29JFOrQ

and the John Patrick and Peter Singer Debate at University of Michigan in 2010. Singer confers almost god-like powers on doctors, imagining that they can predict the date and time of death with great accuracy. I have experience with several friends and relatives said by doctors to be on their death beds. I learned that doctors do not know within years when someone will die.

http://www.centrestreetumc.com/Augustine.htm

Best regards,

–Harry M.

Disturbing. Needs more comment, but I have not enough energy. Thanks.

bubbles

Refreezing the Arctic ice Jerry,
Here’s a proposal to DO SOMETHING about the melting of the Arctic ice by building ten million wind driven water pumps to circulate arctic sea water and cause it to refreeze. That this idea is unaffordable at $500 billion and will have unforeseen consequences does not seem to have occurred to anyone involved. Hopefully, no one will take this seriously…
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/feb/12/plan-to-refreeze-arctic-before-ice-goes-for-good-climate-change
Regards
Brian

But it does show we are not helpless; what manmade climate change can do, a civilization with enough energy can undo. If we have the energy.

bubbles

Covert action

Hello Jerry,

The entire intel system of the US is apparently operating in a wartime mode.  That includes the SIGINT and HUMINT resources,  the covert action apparatus, and its MSM propaganda arm which, until the downfall, of Hillary traditionally supported our enemies and excoriated our intel services. 

http://freebeacon.com/national-security/former-obama-officials-loyalists-waged-campaign-oust-flynn/

Unfortunately, the target of their ops is Donald Trump, his policies, and any person or organization associated with the implementation of them. 

So far, they have proven more successful than they have against our foreign adversaries over the last 30 years or so.

Their unaccustomed success and the showering of accolades from their former adversaries has made them practically giddy.

Bob Ludwick

There indications that some of the permanent government does have that view. Certainly not all.

bubbles

Dear Doctor Pournelle,

I highly recommend this talk by a leading Russian foreign affairs analyst on the current state of U.S./Russian relations, how they got where they are, why they are unlikely to improve, and why not.

He identifies a key moment in the spring of 1999 when, a European capital was being bombed, and many Russian’s asked “Why the hell is this happening?”

The lecture itself is about 35 minutes, and is the best part, although some of the following Q & A is of interest.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cT_QKQ_AA4k

Petronius

bubbles

Cheated and caught? or not?

Dear Dr Pournelle,
I hope you are doing well and that Roberta continues to improve.
Just a quick note about the email in today’s missive regarding climate change and the Daily Fail article, http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-4216180/How-trust-global-warming-scientists-asks-David-Rose.html
For balance (dontcha luv “balance”), a commentary from a rather more serious organization may be found here, http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/news/more-fake-news-in-the-mail-on-sunday/
The “Mails”, Daily… and …on Sunday, are well known fabulists – recently broadly prohibited by Wikipedia for use as a source, (if that means anything).
The London School of Economics however is a reasonably well respected academic institution. (The Grantham Research Institute is one of its research centres).
All the best,
David

bubbles

Regarding your Monday 13th 2017 post

I have a couple of comments about your (very interesting, as usual) offerings today.
The first is that your mention of Baal worshippers is relevant, in that Islam appears to have at least one point of similarity to the worship of Baal. And that is the willingness of parents to sacrifice their offspring, admittedly at a greater age. What is the difference between throwing babies into a fire and strapping high explosives to children? Not much. Ditto the established practice of surrounding military targets with children.
Regarding economics: It’s a rather simple truism that money in itself has very little value. Paper money is (not very good) tinder, and metal money is of value only because of its metal content. Money in the form of magnetic domains in a computer somewhere has no intrinsic value at all.
As is well known, money is a marker for the claims of an individual (or legal person) to things of true value; valuable services, a person’s time, food, shelter, clean water, IPhones…
The trouble comes when money becomes a good in itself, and ever-increasing numbers of people (some with quite a lot of talent) make their living by manipulating money while producing nothing of intrinsic value whatsoever. My opinion is that such people are pure parasites on society. Parasites that occasionally cause great damage, as they did in the 1920s and again in the late Noughties of this century.

Ian

bubbles

history, sun and the weather

Dr. Pournelle,
You “wonder(ed)what a good student of legends would make of” the solar event at ~7500 years ago — a quick check makes that the approximate time of the theoretical black sea flood — when the Mediterranean “broke through” a natural dam at the Bosphorus, with a possible connection to the legend of Noah, or maybe Utnipishtim. Seems like the Old Testament or Gilgamesh may have you covered.
I think perhaps Dr. Jennifer Pournelle might have some interesting speculations along those lines. Seems like the in the documentary I watched the ancient cultures she was examining in present-day Iraq disappeared sometime along in that frame, too.
8000 years ago was, if memory serves, also given by some genetic scientists as an approximate time for the die-off of several human genetic lines. It seems as if there was a lot happening around that time.
-d

bubbles

bubbles

Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

bubbles

bubbles

Obama Agent; Abiotic oil; Kims and Korea; VX; and other matters.

Thursday, February 23, 2017

“The wealth of our middle class has been ripped from their homes and then redistributed across the entire world.”

Donald Trump.

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

George Santayana

bubbles

This day was devoured by locusts. One letter does require an answer, and it is more part of view than mail. 

0830 Friday:  I wrote this last night, but my cable connection to the Internet – Time Warner , now known as Spectrum – had failed.  Didn’t even have television. This morning had to reset the Internet modem, and all is well.   I confess to a feeling of panic when I discovered I no  longer had Internet access.  I went to the front office on awakening, got the modem reset, but I had turned on the troubleshooter too early and while the Internet connection came on automatically for ,my other machines, I had to reset the one I had been fooling with in my frantic efforts; apparently it resented my efforts.  These things have minds of their own, you know.

bubbles

language

“Known Obama agent”? And our president speaks of “sleeper cells” and “enemies of the American people?” How did this language slither in?
I really do care about civil discourse. Language which would be appropriate if the political party in question had been outlawed is not helpful.
Allan E. Johnson

I care also, as you do; and “Obama agent” is defensible and in my judgment appropriate as a descriptor for Ms. Yates. In fact I gave a source in the original article.

Fired Acting AG Sally Yates now “a symbol of the anti-Trump resistance”

http://legalinsurrection.com/2017/02/fired-acting-ag-sally-yates-now-a-symbol-of-the-anti-trump-resistance/

Why is Obama agent not appropriate? As a holdover from the Obama administration she was Acting Attorney General, a position she accepted; which made her chief attorney for the United States, and an acting cabinet member; and like any lawyer, she is supposed to serve the interests of her client, not of the regime that appointed her. When President Trump issued his executive order of immigration. It was her duty to advise him if she found it vague and therefore defective, and to hive her best opinion on how it ought to be modified.

That is not quite what she did.

Acting Attorney General Sally Yates Tells Justice Department Not to Defend President Trump’s Immigration Ban

http://time.com/4654533/acting-attorney-general-sally-yates-immigration-ban-donald-trump/

 

 

BREAKING: Acting Attorney General refuses to defend Trump executive order on refugees

http://www.theblaze.com/news/2017/01/30/breaking-acting-attorney-general-refuses-to-defend-trump-executive-order-on-refugees/

President Trump fired her, as indeed he should have done ten minutes after taking the Oath of Office; but she should have resigned anyway if she felt she could not approve the new President’s executive order. Instead she acted as if her client was Mr. Obama, not the United States. Obama agent is an entirely appropriate descriptor, and I doubt she would deny it with any vigor.

She is not merely a Deep State official; she was an actual agent of the previous administration, and now has assumed the role advertently. Of course the President must beware the Deep State, which so far he has not done; he probably believes in the myth of the non-partisan Civil Service. He does so at his peril.

Andrew Jackson, a founder of the Democratic Party (see Jefferson-Jackson celebrations) would have none of that: he fired most of the government employees and replaced them with people of his own choosing: his own agents. After all, the people who elected him held him responsible for carrying out his campaign promises.

bubbles

State within a state

“Deep state” redirects here.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_within_a_state

State within a state is a political situation in a country when an internal organ (“deep state”), such as the armed forces and civilian authorities (intelligence agencies, police, administrative agencies and branches of governmental bureaucracy), does not respond to the civilian political leadership. Although the state within the state can be conspiratorial in nature, the Deep State can also take the form of entrenched unelected career civil servants acting in a non-conspiratorial manner, to further their own interests (e.g., job security, enhanced power and authority, pursuit of ideological goals and objectives, and the general growth of their agency) and in opposition to the policies of elected officials, by obstructing, resisting, and subverting the policies and directives of elected officials.

Surely Ms. Yates can reasonably be described as an “Obama agent”?

bubbles

Thomas Gold’s abiotic theory

Biotic vs. Abiotic Hydrocarbons

Jerry,
Your recent discussion with Stephanie about the origin of hydrocarbons on the Earth included a comment by Stephanie that hydrocarbons of biotic origin should be rich in carbon 14. That would be the wrong signature to look for. The biotic theory of the origin of hydrocarbons posits that the source organic material was laid down during and just after the Carboniferous period, about 359 to 299 million years ago. Carbon 14 has a half life of about 5700 years, so even the youngest of this material has gone through over 52,000 halvings in concentration. There just would not be any to be found today. What we should find is an abundance of nitrogen 14, the decay product of carbon 14, assuming the nitrogen stayed in proximity to the hydrocarbons and did not mineralize, becoming immobile.

K

Jerry,

You comment in your 23 February post:

“I have no proof of Tommy Gold’s theory of abiotic fossil fuels, but there must have been a powerful lot of dinosaurs given the amounts of oil and gas that we are pumping. We don’t seem to have reached peak oil yet.”

My question for geologists is ‘How did dead and decomposed dinosaurs get nearly 8 miles under the earth surface?’

The current world record (circa 2013) for the longest measured depth ERD well is the Chayvo Z-42 well (Exxon Neftegas Limited, Sakhalin Island, Russia) with a measured depth of 41,667 ft. and horizontal departure [under the ocean]of 38,514 ft. http://petrowiki.org/Extended_reach_wells

Larry

A good question. I asked a similar question to Carl Sagan, but I did not understand the answer. It was in a bar, and very noisy, and of course Sagan had been Gold’s protégé, so perhaps it wasn’t fair.

bubbles

Kim Jong Nam – assassinated with VX?????

An Earlier Report linking video of the assassination

Subj: Kim Jong nam

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/north-korea/kim-jong-nam-death-diplomatic-spat-between-north-korea-malaysia-n724516

https://www.wsj.com/articles/kim-jong-nam-killed-with-vx-nerve-agent-malaysia-says-1487897540?mod=e2tw

I am not 100% sure this makes sense; That does appear inconsistent with the relative vapor inhalation toxicity and percutaneous toxicity given the supposed method of administration. (See https://www.nap.edu/read/5825/chapter/8)

Of course, it appears that the two girls who made contact with Kim Jong Nam were sacrificial, but they don’t seem to have suffered from their exposure to the agent.

Or perhaps Malaysia has misidentified the agent.  The article states that the report is preliminary, and there is some inconsistency with how he was dosed – spray, wetted handkerchief, needle, etc. Still, I’m sure the identification was done with GC/MS, which should have been straightforward if Malaysian sources had a good mass spectrum data base for the conventional agents.

I’ve contacted the Colonel for a sanity check; he agrees this does not seem consistent, but is keeping an eye on the situation (which he saw on a Fox news crawl…)

I am copying the WSJ article here for your reference.

Kim Jong Nam Killed With U.N.-Banned VX Nerve Agent, Malaysia Says

VX listed globally as weapon of mass destruction

By

Yantoultra Ngui

Updated Feb. 23, 2017 9:53 p.m. ET

52 COMMENTS

KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia—The chemical substance used to kill Kim Jong Nam last week was a United Nations-banned nerve agent called VX, police here said, significantly raising the political stakes in a case that has already frayed diplomatic ties between Malaysia and North Korea.

Experts believe North Korea possesses several thousand pounds of chemical weapons and nerve agents—including VX—that are banned by the U.N. and considered weapons of mass destruction.

Khalid Abu Bakar, Malaysia’s inspector general of police, said Friday in a statement that identification of the substance came from a preliminary report. He said swabs were taken from the eye and face of the victim.

Mr. Kim, the half brother of North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un, was attacked at Kuala Lumpur International Airport on Feb. 13 while waiting to board a flight to Macau; he died on his way to the hospital. Malaysian police have arrested four suspects, including the alleged attackers and a North Korean citizen who was living in Kuala Lumpur. Police are looking for at least seven more North Korean suspects in the case.

Early Wednesday morning this week, a team of about a dozen forensic specialists swept the area around an airport restaurant where several North Korean male suspects and two female suspects sat for an hour or more before the attack, an airport employee said. The employee didn’t know whether they also checked nearby check-in kiosks where the attack took place.

Diplomatic ties between Malaysia and North Korea have worsened following Mr. Kim’s death. Relations between the two countries had been relatively warm for several years due to business connections, lax travel restrictions and direct flights.

—Ben Otto contributed to this article.

J

I have worked with VX – nasty stuff – and certainly the girls would not have got to the rest room if any VX had got on bare skin. I have studied its potential use to render certain supply trails deadly: put up a sign saying in many languages, ‘cross this line and you will die’; then use VX on the area. Depending on sunlight and rain, it will dissipate, so how long it will be effective is not calculable; but long enough temporarily to deny the enemy access to the area. We never used it to the best of my knowledge, but it would have been effective.

bubbles

North Korean Panic

In the latest commie madness, North Korea is not working and playing well with others. Well, since they only really have one ally — China and only because China doesn’t want a US client state on it’s border

— this must be directed at China:

<.>

North Korea appeared to lash out at Beijing in a state-media commentary published Thursday, aiming unusually pointed rhetoric at a powerful neighbor that Pyongyang has long relied on for economic and diplomatic support.

The commentary, published by the state-controlled Korean Central News Agency, didn’t name China but left little doubt about its target: “a neighboring country, which often claims itself to be a ‘friendly neighbor’.”

The article lambasted China for playing down North Korea’s nuclear capabilities and for curbing foreign trade—an apparent reference to China’s weekend announcement that it would suspend coal imports from North Korea for the rest of the year.

</>

https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-mocks-china-for-dancing-to-u-s-tune-1487852124

North Korea has two “neighbors”: South Korea and China. Anyone who thinks the North Koreans or South Koreans — by and large — would refer to the other as “friendly” is so laughable that they’d have to be some kind of isolated community organizer or activist to be so misinformed about geopolitics, world history, and American history.

This shift in relations between the two countries is interesting.

North Korea has no choice and a naked man chills in the frost. They can thunder and blunder all they want, but China could eat their lunch in less than a week and they know it. So why bother with the idiotic posturing? I’m sure Chinese policy makers understand their decision will cause animosity and I’m certain the North Koreans protested in some way that made those Chinese policy makers aware in case it slipped their minds.

What does this mean, exactly? Well, it means North Korea could become more unstable and could make even more rash decisions than it normally makes. But, it may also present an opportunity. And it will remain to be seen if President Trump sees this and is able to command his government to do much more than leak, sow dissension, and make us look like an Italian parliament.

I am so glad that I left the GOP — I only joined cause of Reagan but they haven’t produced a viable candidate since Reagan and Trump is not GOP and never was. Their party has been hijacked; at least they had the decency and integrity not to screw Trump like a Stanford University professor — in collusion with another professor form another university — proved in a paper they wrote that analyzed the data of various precincts. So, we have emails declaring DNC intent and data to back it up, but at least the GOP isn’t that petty. No matter, they’re both garbage and must be tossed. Time to replenish the ranks…. This time, no factions, if you please.

I’d offer my candidacy, but I’m too candid and insensitive for politics. Still, if the people demanded my service, I would humbly

and respectfully give deep consideration to their request. But, I

don’t know how to raise those kinds of money and my spinal column doesn’t allow me to bend over and kiss butts very well either; so I don’t think I’m suited for politics anyway.

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

Your observation about Korea are interesting. I believe your view of party politics is incorrect. I suspect there will be a massive realignment of parties over the next four years that will surprise us all, yet will seem inevitable after it has happened. But that’s another matter entirely.

bubbles

Most scientists ‘can’t replicate studies by their peers’ – BBC News

What does this mean for most of what the MSM calls ‘settled science’?

Science is facing a “reproducibility crisis” where more than two-thirds of researchers have tried and failed to reproduce another scientist’s experiments, research suggests.

“It’s worrying because replication is supposed to be a hallmark of scientific integrity,” says Dr Errington.

Concern over the reliability of the results published in scientific literature has been growing for some time.

http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-39054778

John Harlow

Is comment needed?

bubbles

fAAGEV AND STEYN ON MIGRANTS TO EUROPE

To be honest Jerry my mind is a little foggy. This debate is a very interesting item. It shows how the left can be changed by reasoned proof.

https://www.c-span.org/video/?407440-1/munk-debate-global-refugee-crisis

M

An unusual event, to say the least.

bubbles

a balanced media article

Considering how much bias there is on articles about Trump and his affects on the political landscape, it’s nice to see what appears to be a balanced piece.
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2017/0222/In-age-of-Trump-apocalyptic-rhetoric-becomes-mainstream

M

J got ‘server not found’ when I went looking. That may or may not be interesting. (Probably not. Time Warner antics,)

bubbles

ISIS

This article showed up on my Der Speigel flash briefing on my Alexa. I guess if you’re going to act like a country, with land, etc., then you’ve also got to pay the bills, etc. And that requires revenues. Their revenues were created through growth, and now that they’re not growing, they’re having money problems.
(Perhaps they should talk to the United States about deficit financing?)
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/islamic-state-finances-are-bad-and-getting-worse-a-1135453.html

F

bubbles

‘The British system that arguably impelled our secession in 1776 is now here on steroids.’

<http://www.unz.com/anapolitano/the-chickens-have-come-home-to-roost/>

—————————————

Roland Dobbins

Surprised? We hoped for change…

bubbles

3 Habitable Planets in Aquarius!

I suppose you’ll get a flurry of email, and most likely from folks better suited to comment on this than I, but in case they missed it:

<.>

For the first time, astronomers have discovered seven Earth-size planets orbiting a single nearby star – and these new worlds could hold life.

This cluster of planets is less than 40 light-years away in the constellation Aquarius, according to NASA and the Belgian-led research team who announced the discovery Wednesday.

The planets circle tightly around a dim dwarf star called Trappist-1, barely the size of Jupiter. Three are in the so-called habitable zone, the area around a star where water and, possibly life, might exist.

The others are right on the doorstep.

Scientists said they need to study the atmospheres before determining whether these rocky, terrestrial planets could support some sort of life. But it already shows just how many Earth-size planets could be out there – especially in a star’s sweet spot, ripe for extraterrestrial life. The more planets like this, the greater the potential of finding one that’s truly habitable. Until now, only two or three Earth-size planets had been spotted around a star.

</>

http://www.breitbart.com/tech/2017/02/22/7-earth-size-worlds-found-orbiting-star-could-hold-life/

I always love this kind of news. I’ve not necessarily believed that we’ve been visited (I’m not sure either way), but I’ve always believed that life exists out there, among the stars, and perhaps even in other dimensions right here where we are right now. I may or may not see it proven in my lifetime, but it is a belief I have. Findings like this really make me hopeful that, maybe, we can meet others and maybe some of us can get out of here and go do something more worthwhile than living here.

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

This of course all over the science news sites, and I have my own sources as well as much mail. I’ll have an essay when there’s something I can add to the discussion. I’m glad we didn’t know about these when Larry, Steve, and I began our interstellar colony series; the astronomy is so fascinating that we’d probably have neglected the biology. But perhaps later. Imagine the tides. And we thought Mercury was tidally locked; now they say these are all locked. I wonder.

bubbles

Climate

http://www.theverge.com/2017/2/21/14684630/california-atmospheric-river-flood-storm-evacuations-rain-arkstorm

Every 200 years California suffers storms of biblical proportions. Get ready.

I’m ready.

]

bubbles

bubbles

Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

bubbles

bubbles

Plate tectonics and trillions of tons of liquid carbon; Porkypine on the Flynn affair; and much more.

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

“The wealth of our middle class has been ripped from their homes and then redistributed across the entire world.”

Donald Trump

Between 1965 and 2011, the official poverty rate was essentially flat, while the government spending per person on poverty programs rose by more than 900% after inflation.

Peter Cove

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

 

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

George Santayana

 

bubbles

bubbles

It’s been a bit hectic today. Much of the day has been absorbed by administrative details. Since part of that was recording subscriptions – thank you! – I won’t say it was devoured by locusts; at least that part wasn’t. Alas, much of the rest is best described that way.

I did accomplish some fiction work, and Ryan and Kelly report that Roberta had an excellent session with the physical therapist, so the day actually went well.

bubbles

I’ll probably keep Firefox. I like much of it, and now have a fix for the worst problem.

Firefox session save

Hi Jerry,
You might want to install the following Firefox add-on. I think it does what you want.
https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/session-manager/
Good Luck!

Jose Tenembaum

On the machine in the back room, where I am now, I went to Firefox add-ons, looked around for a while and found the add-on called Session Manager, installed it, reset, and all was well; there is now an option in the tools menu to “Save Session”, and it does that.

I also installed it on Eugene, the main machine in the front office, and it works there too. Now I can always reset and restore to a recent session, and that’s enough to keep me experimenting with Firefox, which I’m used to. It would take me a while to ,master something else, and this is now Good Enough.

Now if I could just figure out a way to have an ASUS keyboard on the downstairs systems. The ASUS Zen keyboard is just right: big keys, well separated; but it’s attached to a ZenBook, which is a good computer but it’s still a laptop. Ah well. I’m slowly training these big machines to do autocorrection on many of the typing errors I make: those that have a unique answer to the question “what did he mean to type?”. Salas there are still a lot that have very ambiguous answers to that question. To do that, I must right click on the red underlined word; determine if I want an autocorrect to that nonsense, or if there are too many alternate words I might have meant; then, if I decide to autocorrect I select the nonsense, and go up to the ribbon. There I find a tiny lightning bolt icon. It’s there because weeks ago I used the tiny icon that looks like a hyphen with a down-arrow under it, and which displays “Customize Quick Access Toolbar” when you hover over it, and used that function to install AutoCorrect on that Quick Access Tool Bar. Punching that opens the AutoCorrect table, and there in the “replace me” area is my selected nonsense; I type into the cell next to it what I want that nonsense to become, being very careful to do it right, click add, and the click do it, and from now on I will never see the nonsense, nor will what it turns into be marked; which is why I have to be careful about this. But autocorrect does work, and I am slowly fixing my most common errors, which speeds up my productivity something wonderful.

bubbles

Science

“The great problem with science as it is understood today is that authority more and more replaces evidence. The scientists themselves love that, of course, because it means you can’t question them. But the fact is that we should be questioning them everywhere they go because the whole notion of science is that it should be open to the idea of questioning the claims that you make.” – Tom Bethell

I say an article about “breakthrough technology” and it was about the next damn cell phone.

Whatever happened to our future? We’ve go down the tubes. >>>>> less, less, less, and less…

Roger Miller

I haven’t met Tom Bethell in years, but I continue to appreciate his work. Once, long enough ago that it was the Soviet Union, not Russia, I sat with Tom in Moscow in the International Hotel bar; we both carried Atari Portfolio computers, a long forgotten PC Compatible pocket computer that really worked; there is still nothing quite like it now, and I wish I still had mine. Alas I was a touch typist then, and the keys were tiny; you could only two finger the Portfolio. I could use mine to make notes and observations, but Tom banged out a 2000 word column while we enjoyed our cocktails. He is I think the only journalist I know who shares my affection for Petr Beckmann’s Einstein Plus Two theory.

His point is well taken. There’s too much authority and too little hard facts in much of science today. Well, actually there always has been, but with grant money flowing only to those who conform to the consensus it’s really bad now.

bubbles

There follows a long scientific discussion. The essence of the news is given in the very first part; the rest is discussion. You will recognize some of the participants. Fair warning: it is long.

The earth’s mantle and British tabloids

Jerry,

Consider the article

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012821X16307543/#ec0040

Pervasive upper mantle melting beneath the western US

  • Saswata Hier-Majumdera, , , Benoit Tauzinb
  • a Department of Earth Sciences, Royal Holloway University of London, Egham, Surrey, TW20 0EX, UK
  • b Laboratoire de Géologie de Lyon, Terre, Planètes, Environnement, Université de Lyon, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon, CNRS UMR 5276, 2 rue Raphael Dubois, 69622 Villeurbanne Cedex, France

Abstract:

We report from converted seismic waves, a pervasive seismically anomalous layer above the transition zone beneath the western US. The layer, characterized by an average shear wave speed reduction of 1.6%, spans over an area of ∼1.8×106 km2∼1.8×106 km2 with thicknesses varying between 25 and 70 km. The location of the layer correlates with the present location of a segment of the Farallon plate. This spatial correlation and the sharp seismic signal atop of the layer indicate that the layer is caused by compositional heterogeneity. Analysis of the seismic signature reveals that the compositional heterogeneity can be ascribed to a small volume of partial melt (0.5 ± 0.2 vol% on average). This article presents the first high resolution map of the melt present within the layer. Despite spatial variations in temperature, the calculated melt volume fraction correlates strongly with the amplitude of P–S conversion throughout the region. Comparing the values of temperature calculated from the seismic signal with available petrological constraints, we infer that melting in the layer is caused by release of volatiles from the subducted Farallon slab. This partially molten zone beneath the western US can sequester at least 1.2×1017 kg1.2×1017 kg of volatiles, and can act as a large regional reservoir of volatile species such as H or C.<end>

(Article for purchase for $40, which I have not done…)

This sounds interesting, and makes me think of your past articles on Thomas Gold.

Now, I heard of this report by an item from the UK Daily Mail linked on the Drudge Report:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4226566/Scientists-discover-massive-reservoir-greenhouse-gases.html

A huge well of molten carbon that would spell disaster for the planet if released has been found under the US.

Scientists using the world’s largest array of seismic sensors have mapped a deep-Earth area, covering 700,000 sq miles (1.8 million sq km).<snip>

What they found was a vast buried deposit of molten carbon, which produces carbon dioxide and other gases, situated under the Western US, 217 miles (350km) beneath the Earth’s surface.

As a result of this study, published in Earth and Planetary Science Letters, scientists now believe the amount of CO2 in the Earth’s upper mantle may be up to 100 trillion metric tons. <snip>

In other words, the existence of a pool of liquefied carbon-based volatiles 217 miles below the earth’s surface (under the Rockies) creates a horrific risk of catastrophic global warming if it all oxidizes and mixes into the atmosphere.

Oh, wait…

“The deep carbon reservoir discovered will eventually make its way to the surface through volcanic eruptions and contribute to climate change albeit very slowly, but a sudden release could have dire consequences.”<snip>

One can only sigh and shake one’s head.

Jim Woosley

 

Subject: Re: The earth’s mantle and British tabloids

Reminds me of a fisk Charlie Martin did a few days back on the scare story some rag had published on the Fukushima radiation issue.

Might want to consider this as a technical Thursday post at According To Hoyt, or seeing if Charlie wants to put it up at Pajamas Media.

The best and most sensible response to all this fake science we are seeing so much of is exactly this sort of reasoned discussion. Not that the idiots will pay attention, but sensible folks just might.

Science is never “settled” damn it! Phenomena can be observed and recorded, theories to explain those observations can be proposed, but the nature of the science is always open to reasoned discussion.

On Feb 15, 2017, at 10:58 PM, Stephanie <VValkyrie@hotmail.com> wrote:

I don’t know how much the rest of you know about seismology, but it’s one of the reasons I picked up an undergrad minor in geology and did some graduate subspecialty work in geology, as well.

Seismology is really a form of optics; the very same rules apply, since you are looking at wave propagation, reflection, and refraction. (Having already just had the Optics sequence in the Physics dept., when I got to seismology in my Geology studies, I was better and faster than the Geology majors, because the concepts were all very familiar to me.) So there are various “types” of seismic waves, which is really just another way of saying they are polarized differently. (The only kind of wave that seismology has that optics doesn’t is the longitudinally-polarized wave — the acoustic wave. And so if you’ve studied acoustics, you even already have THAT.) Now the interesting thing is that certain of these wave polarizations create differing effects on the ground, and the budding science of seismology therefore named them accordingly. (A “shear wave,” which the article references, is a transverse body wave — the wave motion is perpendicular to the direction of motion, and it moves through an object like the Earth via elasticity within the object. It was named “shear” by geologists because it had a shearing effect upon structures when it arrived.)

However, just like in optics, when the medium changes, so does the refractive index. And just like in optics, the boundary between media creates a reflective surface, which in turn also generates additional polarized reflected waves. (Jim is probably familiar with this.) And this is what complicates the thing so much. But certain polarizations are easier to “read” than others, and they can tell us a lot about the various strata, including what state of matter they are in — liquids tend not to transmit some of those waves at all because, once inside the melt, they experience total internal reflection, and so you get a blank zone.

So we know when there is a blob of actual melt down there, because we get all reflections and no refraction through it to speak of. If it’s partly molten, you can get some refraction, but it tends to generate “mushy” surfaces.

The Farallon Plate is an ancient oceanic plate under what has become the Pacific Ocean. There are a few remnants of it left that have not yet been subducted under the North and South American plates; they’re most notable in the Cascadia Subduction Zone, where there are some triangular bits, now known as the Juan de Fuca Plate, and the adjacent Gorda Plate. Another notable remnant is the tongue-shaped plate (Cocos Plate) that forms the west coast of Central America, and the better-known Nazca Plate off the western South American coast. In all cases, the principal direction of motion takes them east and under the continental plates in intensive subduction zones. (It’s worth noting that these are serious quake zones, capable of generating monster quakes and tsunamis, in some cases equivalent to the Boxing Day quake/tsunami combo in 2004.) You can find out more about it by plugging in “Farallon Plate” to Wikipedia.

Now, it is also worth noting that there are volcanic and regular ranges that run parallel to, and just inland of, the west coast from Alaska/Canada all the way down to the tip of South America, and it is this subduction that is responsible for both types of ranges. Obviously the whole “big crunch” thing is responsible for the standard mountain ranges, in various forms. But since most crustal plates are a mixture of mineral types, and various families of minerals melt at different temperatures, as the plate is subducted, low-m.p. minerals melt out of the solid plate. Being liquid, they’re more buoyant and rise upward through whatever cracks and crevices and imperfections they can find, or force. When they reach the surface, blooie, volcano. Note also that the type of volcano changes as you move from coast inland; this is because, as you go farther inland, the plate being subducted is being shoved deeper and deeper into the mantle, encountering hotter and hotter temps, and thus melting out minerals with increasingly hotter melting points. This results in a separation of the minerals and corresponding chemical difference in the melts, in a smooth transition moving from coastal volcanoes and progressing inland. It’s been theorized that this is the reason why certain areas have more explosive volcanoes — the chemistry resulting from the melt leads to a more viscous lava, trapping the dissolved gases inside and allowing for pressure buildup.

There is also increasing evidence that the heat resulting from subduction was insufficient to fully melt the Farallon Plate, and the continental plates overrode the Farallon, which may have fragmented/faulted and “stacked up” in slabs under the continents. According to a NASA research group, a significant portion of the Farallon sank to the bottom of the mantle, and is much farther east, most likely under the eastern USA. (http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a000000/a002400/a002410/) The footprint area is quite considerable.

This research may also be, in part, the source of a recent news item I saw indicating that it was essentially confirmed that “fossil” fuels are NOT fossils; they are not produced via fossilized organic material (because those would have a preponderance of 14C, whereas it turns out that most petroleums/nat.gases have a preponderance of 13C).

That said, it strikes me that the Daily Fail (as I’ve heard some UK-dwellers term it) has once again gotten its science mixed up. I can’t tell for sure because the page doesn’t want to load and stay loaded, so I can’t finish reading the article. However, the Daily Mail article references the same area that the Science Direct article does. And the Daily Fail does link to the article that Jim specified from Science Direct.

They, of course, immediately focus on the fact that the Yellowstone supercaldera is supposedly in the middle of it. (I’d really love to know where they got their graphic, and how accurate it really is, relative to what they think they’re talking about.)

HOWEVER:

1) The DM article immediately assumes that the entire volume of “volatiles” is carbon, when the first volatile mentioned by the science paper is hydrogen. And even that is speculative, denoted by the phrase, “such as.”

1a) Typically the constituents of volcanic gases are: water vapor, carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, hydrogen sulfide, nitrogen, methane, carbon monoxide, hydrogen, and several of the noble gases such as neon, helium, and argon. (Other gases may be found in trace quantities as well.) According to Wikipedia (and this matches my training), “The abundance of gases varies considerably from volcano to volcano. Water vapor is consistently the most common volcanic gas, normally comprising more than 60% of total emissions. Carbon dioxide typically accounts for 10 to 40% of emissions.”

2) The Yellowstone hotspot is separate from the Farallon Plate structures, and goes far down, into the mantle. Its upper regions have been 3-D mapped, and are not a part of the Farallon structures. More, it has a tracked geologic history of eruptions, with fossil calderas that can be traced back from its current location, regressing southwest all the way to the northeast corner of California. There is no indication of catastrophic gaseous emissions of which I am aware; the volume of ejecta ultimately came from much deeper. The danger from a Yellowstone eruption is in the massive blast which would devastate the area for at least 1-2 hundred miles in every direction, followed by the truly titanic volume of ash which would be pumped high into the atmosphere. There have been discoveries of fossilized, fully-articulated herd animals in mass deaths from acute silicosis as far east as, if memory serves, the vicinity of the Ohio River valley.

Is it possible for some of these volatiles to “leak” into the Yellowstone magma chamber? Sure it is. That’s how natural gas and petroleum gets around, after all, not to mention groundwater. But there are limits; impermeable strata effectively block such migrations (which is how artesian wells occur).

And frankly, if we have a Yellowstone eruption, we got way bigger, and much more immediate, problems than trying to figure out how much carbon dioxide the thing is belching.

~Stephanie Osborn, “The Interstellar Woman of Mystery”

http://www.Stephanie-Osborn.com

Award-winning author of the Division One, Gentleman Aegis, and Displaced Detective series

 

FWIW I got an email from one of Jerry’s blog readers earlier tonight, basically inviting me to visit Australia one of these days. Which I’d love to do. But he’s seen my moniker enough on Jerry’s blog to be interested in meeting me face to face, apparently. And to have visited my website and found the contact form.

But yeah, if Jerry isn’t interested, we could modify it for any or all of the other things you said. Or hell, for that matter, Jerry can put it up, get the “scoop,” and then we can maybe expand on it for an article for Sarah or for Instapundit or whatever/whoever. Sarah, are Instapundit and PJmedia the same thing? I never have quite understood the connex, if any…

Anyhow, y’all work out who wants dibs on posting it. I’m game and appreciate the exposure regardless. And am available for additional questions.

I’m not a pro geologist (though I thought about it at one point — I mean, goodness knows, I got all the other degrees), but when I visited the Johnston Ridge Observatory at St. Helens, well. I was fascinated, and I could watch the recording drums for the various seismo stations they had on the mountain, while WATCHING the mountain. So I’m standing there watching, and muttering, “Rock fall… rock fall…quake…phreatic eruption…rock fall…” as I interpret the graph. But I didn’t know there was a ranger standing behind me. He moved up beside me and asked if I was a pro seismologist. (Not geologist, seismologist.) I was a little shocked, and explained that no, I wasn’t, but I’d studied, yada yada. Well, we got into a rather in-depth discussion of backgrounds. He had a degree in forestry, and had had to do special studies in the Parks Service in order to be stationed there, so he’d know the geology. But I was explaining stuff to HIM, and of course I also remembered the eruption.

After that, for as long as I was there, when a tourist would come to him with a question about the volcano, etc…he sent ’em to me…

I guess I’m good at answering questions.

That said, I learned a lot while I was there. And I got to hear the entire recording of David Johnston’s broadcast message — most people don’t know that it’s truncated for public dissemination. If you don’t know who he was, he was the geologist stationed on the ridge immediately to the north of St. Helens, and who saw it go. He’s the guy who made the radio transmission, “Vancouver, Vancouver, this is it! This is it!”
But, you see, he was directly across from the point where the pyroclastic flow broke out. And only about four and a quarter miles from it. And it was moving at very nearly Mach 1, according to all accounts and to reconstructions.

The mountain ranges there run east-west, except for a few spurs. East of the volcano was Spirit Lake, at the base of a N/S spur. The pyroclastic flow emerged from the failing slope, roared north, slammed into the ridge hard enough to turn the timber into sawdust — there’s nothing on that slope of the mountain bigger than MAYBE an inch — and scour the soil right down to bedrock, and take off part of the bedrock. The ridge diverted part of it, and some of it headed east, slamming into Spirit Lake and knocking it something like 1000ft up the side of the mountain spur. The main body of the pyroclastic flow topped the ridge and came down the back side, taking out the timber; slammed into the next ridge and stripped every tree trunk of limbs and bark, laying them all over, pointing away from the volcano, following the slopes. It topped THAT ridge and slammed into the next ridge, still with sufficient force and heat to strip the limbs — but not flatten the trees — and leave nothing but charred trunks standing. The fourth ridge was more or less intact, but showed signs of damage…and it was the 20th anniversary when I was there.

The Toutle River valley, around St. Helens itself, was still a moonscape 20 years later, and there were still bluffs of tuff and unconsolidated ash 30ft high, miles down the Toutle River.

But the ridge on which Johnston sat was unnamed at the time he sat there. And, like I said, whenever a documentary airs, they always truncate his broadcast. What he really said was, “Vancouver, Vancouver, this is it! This is it! This is…it…” His voice cracked that last time, and you can hear in his voice that he’s just realized he’s about to die.

I asked a ranger how long the carrier signal from his radio lasted after he made that final call. She thought for a moment, then said, “About fifteen seconds.”

They never found any sign of his body or his camp.

And now the ridge is named Johnston Ridge.

~Stephanie Osborn, “The Interstellar Woman of Mystery”

http://www.Stephanie-Osborn.com

Award-winning author of the Division One, Gentleman Aegis, and Displaced Detective series

 

Oh, I’m going to put it up once I gathered enough information on what is pretty well confirmed, what is good speculation, what is plausible and what is far-out speculation or probably refuted.

I have never seen an actual refutation of Gold’s theory. But I have sure been ridiculed for talking about it; and as I don’t know enough I put it aside for another time.  But I never saw it refuted, just as no one including my daughter has been able to convince me that CO2, man made at that, is the real climate change driver. (Freeman Dyson is not convinced either, which makes me feel better.)

 

The earth’s mantle and British tabloids

CO2 is a minor component of any greenhouse gas effect. Water vapor is a much larger factor. And never forget that without CO2 most plant life dies off.

But CO2 can be tied to manmade events so it must be attacked and demonized to serve the narrative of the extreme environmentalists.

And in my humble opinion the so called fossil fuels are simply the end result of plant and animal matter decomposing into complex hydrocarbons over time.

Larry

 

The earth’s mantle and British tabloids

We know that hydrocarbons are found in great quantity in the universe. There’s entire methane oceans within our own solar system. Comets have lots of hydrocarbons, and the blackish coating that forms the “dust” is composed of hydrocarbons. There are hydrocarbons aplenty in the spectra of distant nebulae. There are even hydrocarbons in the spectra of some very cool stars.

If there are truly differences in the isotopic composition of, say, coal, where 14C is found along with obvious plant fossils, and petroleum/crude, where apparently there is a preponderance of 13C, rather than 14C, then the sources must be different.

Now, whether any of this is so or not, I don’t know. And unfortunately I cannot for the life of me find the article I looked at just a couple of days ago. I had not previously heard of the abiotic theory for organic fuel formation, let alone that it is apparently so hotly contested. I find that interesting in light of the fact that there’s tons of the stuff out there in space.

So I guess leave out the whole carbon-13 vs carbon-14 thing, Jerry. Because I can’t provide you a reference. Dammit.

~Stephanie Osborn, “The Interstellar Woman of Mystery”

http://www.Stephanie-Osborn.com

Award-winning author of the Division One, Gentleman Aegis, and Displaced Detective series

You don’t have to do anything; I’ll make it plain that you are not asserting abiotic oil and Tommy Gold’s theories. Since I’m on public record as having been personally persuaded by Dr. Gold in some long arguments, they can put that all on me. I do point out that abiotic oil or no is irrelevant here. A trillion tons of liquid carbon – even if only 10% of it is carbon and the rest is pollutants – is nothing to joke about.

And the abundance of the stuff in the universe was what got Gold to wondering how it could be fossil remnants.  It still has me wondering.  Of course if you believe in panspermia…  I seem to recall arguing this with Sagan once.  Of course he didn’t want ever to get in a fight with Tommy, so if he had criticisms they were always theoretical. But to this day I have heard no reasonable theory about hydrocarbons on lifeless bodies…

The earth’s mantle and British tabloids

Panspermia isn’t required for the notion of non-fossil hydrocarbons. Like I said, there’s great gajillions of tons of hydrocarbons in stellar atmospheres, in nebulae, in cometary bodies, etc.

~Stephanie Osborn, “The Interstellar Woman of Mystery”

http://www.Stephanie-Osborn.com

Award-winning author of the Division One, Gentleman Aegis, and Displaced Detective series

 

Panspermia has always held a lot of allure to me, but I’m not sure it’s to the rational or the writer side of me.

Sarah

 

Jerry, I doubt I could recover the source, and I don’t recall if I noted it to you or not, but I saw another item a couple of years ago that I took as verification of Thomas Gold’s hypothesis. That said, this one could go both ways, because a pool of volatiles forming on the remnants of a totally subducted continental plate could come from high temperature/high-pressure reduction or hydrolysis of organic fossil detritus.

(Incidentally, did you see today’s news that appears to confirm that New Zealand should be considered the visible surface of a complete, if small, continent? This isn’t the link I first found on the subject, but it’s a reputable source for coverage – the tabloids appear to be having a field day with this as well:  http://www.businessinsider.com/zealandia-continent-new-zealand-australia-2017-2.

(Note that this item is relevant to the discussion and turned up serendipitously while searching for the New Zealand article:

https://m.phys.org/news/2017-02-scientists-geology-ceres.html)

Frankly, I suspect that Gold’s hypothesis of primordial hydrocarbons and the conventional hypothesis that petroleum is formed from the remains of primitive organisms are complementary. Gold’s hypothesis very likely accounts for the hydrocarbons that existed before the first organic life, and it seems very plausible that life has assimilated only a fraction or the originally available carbon. The rest may be available from somewhere, and the idea that petroleum is a mixture of primordial hydrocarbon and fossil organisms is nothing more than a squishy version of “from dust thou art, and to dust thou shalt return.”

Jim Woosley

This conversation ended abruptly with the storms in Southern California and the Studio City sinkhole, so there is no resolution. The important part is the trillions of tons of liquid carbon and how it trickles upward. I do not accept the consensus theory of man made climate change; we know too little about alternate sources of CO2; we know too little about temperature measurements and the reliability of any data older than thirty years (reliability to a tenth of a degree from buckets of sea water hauled up by a British tar?). We do have good evidence that the Earth was warmer than at present during the Viking era and the early Roman Republic. We know for a fact that it has been much colder, not just in historic times, but many times over the millennia; and we know that the cold was a lot more than a tenth of a degree.

I have no proof of Tommy Gold’s theory of abiotic fossil fuels, but there must have been a powerful lot of dinosaurs given the amounts of oil and gas that we are pumping. We don’t seem to have reached peak oil yet.

bubbles

bubbles

Tax Bots

Dr. Pournelle,
You linked an article headlined [by Bill Gates] “The robot that takes your job should pay taxes.”
I think this is an excellent idea, although my definition of robot is probably different than Bill’s (or that of the writer of the headline). Microsoft, Apple, and Oracle are welcome to start paying my taxes as reparation for the thousands of clerical jobs eliminated by office automation, and for those lost in the printing, publishing, typewriter, and adding machine industries. At minimum, there ought to be a fine paid by the software industry equal to the national debt for the sheer quantity of nonsense presented to citizens via PowerPoint and other multimedia software.
-d

Well, I probably wouldn’t go that far. At least not without a fair amount of good brandy.

bubbles

Jerry,

Thanks for collecting that background info on l’affaire Flynn. It was already obviously a political vendetta, but this clarifies the matter of by whom: An alliance between the “Deep State” faction of the permanent intelligence bureaucracy out to get Flynn, and the departing Obama Administration out to sabotage this new Administration in general.

Perhaps not yet provable (pending serious investigation) but the tracks left behind are not subtle.

One useful addition to The Atlantic’s timeline that occurs to me is the dates of the Obama Administration’s last-second opening-up of access to raw NSA phone and email intercept data to 16 Federal intelligence and law-enforcement agencies. (Previously, NSA passed along only data filtered of any identifications of US persons.)

The new policy was signed by DNI Clapper December 15th, by AG Lynch January 3rd, and announced January 12th – the same day Ignatius broke the story in the Post based on egregious leaks of NSA intercepts.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/12/us/politics/nsa-gets-more-latitude-to-share-intercepted-communications.html?_r=0

Not that this policy was hastily conceived – it’s been in the works since 2008, with details under review by the Obama Administration since 2009, and written about publicly at least a year ago.

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2016/02/obama-administration-closing-in-on-rules-to-let-nsa-share-more-freely-with-fbi-cia/

But that this policy was only implemented as Obama headed out the door does allow some reasonable conclusions.

Absent more data, it’s hard to make a convincing direct connection between this new policy and the Flynn vendetta, though AG Lynch’s signoff just around the time her people would have been reviewing Flynn recordings may or may not be coincidental.

But one obvious reason for the Obama people to get this done right before heading out the door is to empower their Deep State stay-behind allies in the various intel and law-enforcement agencies for the guerilla struggle to come. (This will also make it harder to figure out exactly where future politically targeted intercept leaks come from, by multiplying the possible sources.)

Somewhat speculatively, this may be an attempt to retroactively legitimize what could well have been serious rules violations about tapping raw NSA data for identifying info on US citizens who just happened to be involved with the incoming Administration. That deserves serious investigation. Hasty track-covering tends to be less than 100% efficient. The evidence may still actually be available.

In general, it is a seriously bad state of affairs when the old Kemalist “Deep State” designation has become totally appropriate for a major segment of the US federal bureaucracy. As someone recently pointed out, there is no “4th Branch Of Government” in the U.S. Constitution. This Deep State is a part of the Executive Branch that is in not-very-covert revolt against the new Chief Executive.

Porkypine

Well, it did smoke out Sally Yates, although she stuck around long enough to see that no career Justice attorney spruced up President Trump executive order on immigration, so that despite black letter law the Ninth Circuit found some tendrils of possible constitutional error and was able to confirm an injunction against the whole order, not just some part of it. President Trump should have learned a lesson about Deep Government that he ought not ever forget. The hate him in there.

bubbles

The Offer that Turns the Gaza Strip into Singapore

by Bassam Tawil  •  February 21, 2017 at 5:00 am

  • Last week, Hamas received an offer that no sane entity would turn down. The offer did not come from Hamas’s allies in Iran and the Islamic world. The offer, to turn the impoverished Gaza Strip into “the Singapore of the Middle East,” came from Israel.
  • “The Gazans must understand that Israel, which withdrew from the Gaza Strip to the last millimeter, is not the source of their suffering — it is the Hamas leadership, which doesn’t take their needs into consideration… The moment Hamas gives up its tunnels and rockets, we’ll be the first to invest.” — Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman.
  • Hamas does not want a new “Singapore” in the Middle East. Hamas wants Israel to disappear from the face of the earth. The welfare of the Palestinians living under its rule is the last thing on the mind of Hamas. The dispute is not about improving the living conditions of Palestinians, as far as Hamas is concerned. Instead, it is about the very existence of Israel.[snip]

I suppose no comment is needed.

bubbles

Sweden today

Horowitz: Sweden now rape capital amidst Muslim immigration http://video.foxnews.com/v/5248024459001/?#sp=show-clips

It’s long (just over 10 minutes). It’s discouraging. It’s important to watch the whole thing. The Swedes he interviewed at the end are not cherry picked. Swedes I have emailed with are in the same deluded state as those interviewed. Reality could drop a piano on their heads and they’d still insist gravity didn’t exist.

I feel sorry for Sweden. I feel sorry for Europe. I feel sorry for Britain. If they cannot wake up VERY soon now, Europe will become a Muslim hell hole. They are all importing the worst of the worst of Islam.

{o.o

Again, I wonder just how long those Vikings will put up with this.

bubbles

a10

http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170217-bringing-the-soviet-unions-flying-tank-back-to-life
found this on the BBC compares it to Your favorite ‘plane A10

Well, that’s not quite true. Flying tanks are not always my favorite airplane. I would be happy to let the Air Force have what they need for the air superiority mission, which they think only they can do, if they would give close support of the field army which the Air Force johnnies don’t want anyway. Let the Army have an Army Air Corps again.Air Corps again.

bubbles

DCX

Dr Pournelle

You have your DCX now. But it’s called Falcon.

CRS-10 | Falcon 9 First Stage Landing

Live long and prosper

h lynn keith

bubbles

Republican Control

“They have the White House, both houses of Congress, most state governors, and in fact most local offices outside the big cities in New York and California. Of course they tremble in fear even so: the media says they should.”

——————-

But how did they manage to do that?  Most of the Federal Government have an R after their name, true, but to accomplish that

did they have to loosen up the principles the Republicans are supposed to stand for?  I have seen that going on for years.

If a number of R’s are RINO’s, than what has been accomplished?  Is the Iron Law in operation here, where the leadership has

done what best benefits the party?

B-

I suspect some will grow less timid. But it is a time of party realignment. Even the Black Caucus is getting some dissidents as crime rates grow. What the poor need is jobs; to get them they need [people who will pay them for something they can do.

bubbles

Sidestepping word “improvements”

Dr. Pournelle:
I, too, have trouble with my typing. Mine is due to neuropathy, but that’s neither here nor there. What I have done to help alleviate my situation is to use KeyTweak keyboard remapper. I used it to turn off Caps Lock and the dedicated Windows keys. Turning off the Alt key may not be an alternative in your case, but it’s possible.
When I bought my new desktop about eight months ago I also “upgraded” my 2003 version of Word to the 2016 version. What a stinker: all of the menus were “improved” to the point it was like learning a new program. To add to my misery, Microsoft changed its licensing so users no longer own it outright. I’m now renting Office Suite for a year. Feh!
I’ve downloaded Open Office and find it much more suited to the skills ingrained from Office 2003. Once my rented Microsoft Suite expires, I’ll be exclusively Open Office.
I hope KeyTweak offers some help.
–Pete Nofel

I haven’t come to that yet, but I may. Some improvements really are, but others ought to be optional.

bubbles

Obama’s 30,000 and NPR on Trump

Obama’s 30,000 agitators have a protesting manual; more evidence for a RICO investigation, etc. if the left starts rioting this spring:

https://nypost.com/2017/02/18/obama-linked-activists-have-a-training-manual-for-protesting-trump/

And, I heard this on NPR on Thursday or Friday and forgot until seeing an article now and I laughed when they said it. NPR is fake news!

<.>

After eight years of Barack Obama putting his office into permanent campaign mode while keeping his campaign machinery in constant operation, NPR is accusing Donald J. Trump of waging a “permanent campaign.”

</>

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/02/17/after-8-years-of-campaigner-in-chief-obama-npr-accuses-trump-of-permanent-campaign/

This article doesn’t mischaracterize what they said at all. I heard all of it and it was a joke.

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

bubbles

bubbles

Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

bubbles

bubbles

Western Civ; Flynn and McMasters and Sally Yates; Firefox; and news on neurology.

Tuesday, February 21, 2017

John Glenn must surely have wondered, as all the astronauts weathered into geezers, how a great nation grew so impoverished in spirit. Our heroes are old and stooped and wizened, but they are the only giants we have. Today, when we talk about Americans boldly going where no man has gone before, we mean the ladies’ bathroom. Progress.

Mark Steyn

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.

James Burnham

If a foreign government had imposed this system of education on the United States, we would rightfully consider it an act of war.

Glenn T. Seaborg, National Commission on Education, 1983

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

George Santayana

bubbles

bubbles

Wednesday: There is below a discussion of Firefox.. It is perhaps interesting, but no longer as relevant as it was. After posting yesterday I received:

 

firefox session save

Hi Jerry,
You might want to install the following firefox addon. I think it does what you want.
https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/session-manager/
Good Luck!

Jose Tenembaum

 

On the machine in the back room. I went to Firefox add-ons, looked around for a while and found the addon called Session Manager, installed it, reset, and all was well; there is now an option in the tools menu to “Save Session”, and it does that.

  Now back to yesterday’s post.

 

bubbles

 

beowulf

 

Do We Still Want the West?

The best antidote to the politics of Trump or Le Pen is a course in Western Civ.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/do-we-still-want-the-west-1487635725

By

Bret Stephens

Feb. 20, 2017 7:08 p.m. ET

684 COMMENTS

In the late 1980s Stanford University did away with its required Western civilization course after Jesse Jackson led students in a chant of “Hey, hey, ho, ho, Western Civ has got to go!” Campus conservatives tried to bring it back last year, but the effort failed in a student vote by a 6 to 1 margin.

They should try pushing Western Civ again. To adapt the line in that Passenger song, you only know you love it when you let it go.

The thought comes to mind following Sergei Lavrov’s Orwellian speech last week at the Munich Security Conference, in which the Russian foreign minister called for a “post-West world order.” He also used the occasion to deny Moscow’s involvement in hacking U.S. and European elections, to announce that his government would recognize passports issued by its puppet state in eastern Ukraine, and to call for an end to the “post-truth” and “post-fact” state of international relations. [snip]

I am no great fan of Mr. Stephens, and I am not so sure we need an antidote to Mr. Trump, but I am certain that more understanding of the history of Western Civilization would give better understanding of the Trump phenomena, and perhaps some insights into the Reverend Jesse Jackson.

I am pleased to see at least one large circulation medium saying a word for Western Civ. When I went to the University of Iowa in 1952 I was required, like all entering freshmen, to take Western Civilization, a two semester course, under George Mosse, one of the greatest lecturers I have ever experienced. In a real sense that course changed my life; it integrated a bunch of bits and pieces I had learned from books and other courses. I have said more about this before in an essay I wrote when I could type faster and better, and I refer you to it. Since that time I have witnessed the truth of James Burnham’s definition of liberalism as the West commits suicide, and the truth of Santayana’s observation about history in general.

Despair is a sin.

bubbles

LTGEN McMaster is actually a much better choice for National Security Advisor than Flynn. He’s much less likely to push for war with Iran, and while he’s a bit overly aggressive on Russia, he isn’t a neocon, either.

—————————————

Roland Dobbins

I would agree; as a strategist with battle operations experience he is so much better qualified than an intelligence expert as was Mr. Flynn that I wonder why General McMaster was not offered –or assigned to – the post in the first place. The office requires no Senate confirmation, but the NSA is traditionally in the war room when an operation goes down; and a great priority need is a battle plan to wipe out the Caliphate, which, unlike some of the other terrorist organizations, stakes its legitimacy on actually holding and governing (under Sharia Law) real territory and Islamic subjects. That will take military operations, not counter terrorist operations.

We will need counter terrorist ops, and Mr. Flynn’s experience may justify calling him back into active service to direct them (or may not; I am not making actual recommendations); but eliminating the Caliphate is going to require armored divisions and A-10’s, not feeding Iraqi troops led by American Special Forces into a battalion a month meat grinder. A real strategist knows that if you need a regiment, send two divisions; the battle is shorter, and there are far fewer civilian casualties. And there is no substitute for Victory. McMaster, as an old school West Pointer, knows that down to the cellular level.

General McMaster

Taking wagers that when all the layers of the approaching attacks on General McMaster are peeled back they turn out to be based on his failure to genuflect before the memory of the sainted John Kennedy?

Dereliction of Duty: Lyndon Johnson, Robert McNamara, the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the Lies That Led to Vietnam

Rod McFadden

I wouldn’t take that bet, but there are probably other reasons for some to hate him.

bubbles

Flynn’s Conversation

Hello, Dr. Pournelle –
I hope all is well with you and your wife and that a speedy recovery is in store for both of you.
In your Chaos Manor of Feb 20, you said of the Flynn Affair – hmm, is that a movie with James Coburn? – “… for some reason General Flynn denied the talk had taken place.”
Might the reason be that he considered the conversation was classified in some manner? Of course, then the response should have been, “I can neither confirm nor deny” etc., etc., etc., but maybe the MSM would call that a denial.
Unfortunately, the damage is done and I’m sure the Obama camp is wringing their collective hands in glee, having scored a point in spite.
Well wishes to both of you,
Cam Kirmser

Considering that Flynn MUST have known that the Russian Ambassador’s telephone was tapped, and that Mr. Trump’s inner circle must have been aware that Flynn was calling the Russians – assuming he was not calling under orders and knew exactly that he was going to say, which is actually more likely than not – that doesn’t make much sense. Sally Yates, acting attorney general, a holdover Obama appointee and known Obama agent, was the one who supposedly alerted the White House – after the inauguration.

Justice Department warned White House that Flynn could be vulnerable to Russian blackmail, officials say

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/justice-department-warned-white-house-that-flynn-could-be-vulnerable-to-russian-blackmail-officials-say/2017/02/13/fc5dab88-f228-11e6-8d72-263470bf0401_story.html?utm_term=.d8da886eea85

The acting attorney general informed the Trump White House late last month that she believed Michael Flynn had misled senior administration officials about the nature of his communications with the Russian ambassador to the United States, and warned that the national security adviser was potentially vulnerable to Russian blackmail, current and former U.S. officials said.

The message, delivered by Sally Q. Yates and a senior career national security official to the White House counsel, was prompted by concerns that ­Flynn, when asked about his calls and texts with the ­Russian diplomat, had told Vice ­President-elect Mike Pence and others that he had not discussed the Obama administration sanctions on Russia for its interference in the 2016 election, the officials said. It is unclear what the White House counsel, Donald McGahn, did with the ­information.[snip]

But this doesn’t make sense either. As former Director of Military Intelligence, how could Flynn not have known that his calls to the Russian Ambassador were being tapped? And whether or not those taps were being made available to the President Elect and his National Security Advisor designate, they would certainly be available to the President after inauguration, in the very unlikely event that he didn’t already

As Roland notes, General McMaster is probably better qualified for the post, but why give Mr. Trump’s opponents a scalp? It isn’t as if Mr. Flynn did not know that before very long, Mr. Trump would certainly know exactly what was said in those phone calls.

A puzzlement. For more on Sally Yates, see http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2017/02/sally-yatess-legacy-of-injustice.php

And

‘It was as if the Bureau and Justice Department intentionally waited to pounce until Trump was in power — which meant that any misstatement could now be framed as a false representation by the sitting president.’

<http://www.nationalreview.com/article/445045/general-michael-flynn-national-security-adviser-fbi-investigation-phone-call-russian-ambassador>

—————————————

Roland Dobbins

bubbles

Flynn, you’re fired!, and successful bureaucracy

Dr. Pournelle,
Flynn’s dismissal makes perfect sense: Mr. Trump deliberately operates at the center of a whirlwind, and any competing controversy has to come from his opposition. I imagine that the General is mildly relieved to be relieved.
If we say that spending on the war on poverty is wasted, how do we explain the growth in bureaucratic positions and increase in the population of “public masters.” Their bottom salary is probably equal to LBJ’s. Was not this government jobs program was the real point all along?
I suspect the author of the Iron Law of sandbagging his readers!
Remembering George Washington, despite the devaluation of his birthday,
-d

image Oh, would I do that? But I think we have not seen the last of General Flynn.

bubbles

Firefox slowdowns are perhaps Microsoft’s

Dr. Pournelle,
I’ve been having a lot of problems with the last two iterations of Firefox, too, and have gone to what I consider great lengths to reinstall and reconfigure the software, with little success. I also used task manager to look at processes during the times slow-downs occur, and it did indeed appear that Firefox was the problem, but I now think that background operating system services (that I don’t use) from the Microsoft store, Microsoft Edge, and Cortina, among others, are what “breaks” Firefox. They are choking down the available bandwidth, and causing Firefox to time out, stall, blank pages on refresh, and generally act like I’m running a dial-up modem.
Even though I do not use those software services, I’ve been unable to disable or uninstall them. Cortina and Edge are embedded in the operating system and in search, and the Microsoft Store (along with One Note and Xbox, neither of which I use) are, I’m beginning to believe, prioritizing “phoning home” my user information and usage data, no doubt so as to improve my user experience.
I’ll let you know if I find a fix, but I’m discouraged.
-d

Firefox session save

Hi Jerry,
You might want to install the following Firefox addon. I think it does what you want.
https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/session-manager/
Good Luck!

I will try that presently, when I have some time. For the moment I do not have time to reconstruct my Firefox which I will have to do if I reset.

Firefox restoration issues after crash

Sir,
Please consider using the Firefox add-on “tab mix plus”. In the options, select “session” tab, and ensure the “use Firefox’s built in session restore” is unselected, and select what you want to “save” or restore in the options on the rest of the page. There are many more options/tabs to select/explore that might also be useful. You are also able to save multiple versions of the options selected, so it is easy to revert to a previous “state” for the add-on if things go wrong.
Hope this helps.
Very respectfully,
Todd

Actually I thought I had, but it keeps giving me Session Manager, which offers me a bunch of weeks to months old saved sessions. I will experiment with all this stuff presently and just see what is going on; that was the essence of the old column, to understand how to use computers to get actual work done.

bubbles

Restoring lost Firefox settings

Hi Jerry,
To save and restore Firefox profile data (the loss of which is causing you grief) just locate your Profiles folder and copy it to another location as a backup. A simple script using copy should suffice to do this (set it up on Task Manager to run nightly) and another one should let you restore it if required.
Here’s how to find your Profiles folder: (extracts from MozillaZine):
Firefox stores a user’s personal information such as bookmarks, extensions, and user preferences in a unique profile. The first time you start Firefox, it will automatically create a default profile; additional profiles can be created using the Profile Manager. The settings which form a profile are stored in files within a special folder on your computer — this is the profile folder.
The Firefox profile containing your user data and settings is not found in the installation directory but rather in a separate location on your computer. Use the information given below to find your Firefox profile folder.
On Windows Vista and above, profile folders are in this location, by default:
C:Users\AppDataRoamingMozillaFirefoxProfiles.
The AppData folder is a hidden folder; to show hidden folders, open a Windows Explorer window and choose “Organize → Folder and Search Options → Folder Options → View (tab) → Show hidden files and folders”.
You can also use this path to find the profile folder, even when it is hidden:
%APPDATA%MozillaFirefoxProfiles
%APPDATA% is a variable represents the C:Documents and SettingsApplication Data folder on Windows 2000/XP and the C:Users\AppDataRoaming folder on Windows Vista and above.
Image:Appdata.png
To find a profile folder in the default location on Windows:
Press “Windows key Image:Windows_Key.png + R” to open the Run box
(or, you can click “Start → Run…” on Windows 2000/XP)
In the Run box, type in %APPDATA%
Click OK. A Windows Explorer window will appear.
In this window, choose Mozilla → Firefox → Profiles.
Each folder in the “Profiles” folder (e.g., “xxxxxxxx.default”) is a profile on your computer.
Cheers,
Julian

Thanks; it will be a while before I get time to do all that, and I have to confess, it will probably take me an hour or so to understand it all. You confirm what I suspected, Microsoft has made things complicated – hidden folders that it takes a lot of work to find – and apparently Mozilla is following suit. I wonder why? I guess the experts don’t want to trust users with the ability to control their machines. Think what they will do to robots and our ability to control them.

bubbles

English cops refuse to carry guns 

“. . . one in eight officers would not be prepared to carry a gun under any circumstances, despite the threat of a Paris-style attack in Britain.”

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4221644/We-t-armed-officers-warns-Hogan-Howe.html

Britain’s leaders have, over three generations, destroyed the English gun culture. This is the pitiable and predictable result.

This is a prime exemplar of the collectivist process which turns men into sheep: First take away their ability to resist and to defend their own and the common good. Next grant them food and shelter they did not earn. Then just wait for the “baaaaaaa”. It will come.

 

“We make men without chests and expect from them virtue and enterprise.

We laugh at honor and are shocked to find traitors in our midst.” –

C.S. Lewis

I wonder if there ever again be an England.

Cordially,

John

 

 

The Lewis quote is from his book, The Abolition of Man, a book I recommend everyone will have read at least once in their lifetimes.

And seven of eight would carry a gun.

 

 

bubbles

Changing color of wavy underlines

Hi Jerry:

You may have already solved this, but if not, this Microsoft knowledge base article should help:

https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/help/925597/how-to-customize-the-color-of-the-spelling-and-grammar-checker-underlines-in-microsoft-word

It seems that there is no way to do it with Word settings, but can be done by editing the registry.

HTH–

Doug Ely

Thanks, but alas I really don’t want to  edit the registry. I know you can do amazing things, but you really have to know what you’re doing.

bubbles

screen issues

Jerry,

Reading about your travails with the keyboard today, I was reminded to ask about one of the single most infuriating features of Windows: is there any way to turn off the function that automatically changes a window to full screen if you drag it to the top of the monitor? That inevitably happens when I am trying to posture two windows side-by-side for work, so it completely undoes what I am trying to accomplish.

Jim

An interesting question. Doesn’t really bother me with big screens but drives me mad with the Surface.  If there is such a command to turn it off I don’t know it.

screen issues

http://www.pcmag.com/news/351726/how-to-organize-your-desktop-with-windows-10-snap-assist

Here it is again. Once you know how to use Snap, the arrangement Jim was seeking is actually far easier than with manually arranged Windows.

Eric

It is worth learning how to use Snap. Beats my old manual arrangements. Usually.

bubbles

Incredible News about Neurons!

This is incredible! It flies in the face of Wendell Johnson’s disdain for aggression, but makes sense and is not incompatible. After all, scientific thinking is an application; we must not allow it to become another semantic blockage. Nor can we allow this to excuse a regression to maladjustment. I consider this a way of “fine tuning” an acceptable series of social strategies, communication, thinking, and acting presented in People in Quandaries:

<.>

Researchers studied the changes that occurred in the brains of mice demonstrating aggressive behaviour. These mice attacked other mice and won in fights. After a win, they became even more aggressive, and new neurons appeared in their hippocampus, a key brain structure. In mice that were allowed to continue fighting, certain changes were observed in the activity of their nerve cells. The scientists hope that the new information on the neurobiological bases of aggression will not only help in understanding this important phenomenon, but will also encourage research in other areas – and even help in finding causes of autism and other similar disorders in humans.

</>

https://m.medicalxpress.com/news/2016-02-aggression-nerve-cells-brain.html

So, how do we harmonize this? Well, play sports instead of watching them like the bunch of obese couch potatoes that populated my childhood locality, colloquially known as “sports fans”. Go out and fight, legally, in boxing gyms or in competitions. Get some gloves and go spar. Do some fencing; go out and be a human being in a safe way where aggression can be safely and productively expressed! Or, if you can’t do that, buy a punching bag and get to work!

Even these Five Tibetan Rites are a great way to express aggression in a very controlled and disciplined way. The better I get, the slower I do them. I always seem able to get some kind of a workout from these exercises… Expressing aggression in a patient and persistent way can be most rewarding as well. And that gets into meditation and the disciplines you must learn to impose on yourself to still the body and the mind so that you can have a kind of clarity to do something more…. It all flows together in a beautiful way.

This scientific discovery really helps pull things together for me. I hope you find it as useful as I do.

◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

People in Quandaries by Wendell Johnson – one of my undergraduate professors – is another book I recommend for nearly everyone. It is old, but I would not think yet outdated. It is long out of print, but his son, Nicholas Johnson has arrangements. http://myweb.uiowa.edu/johnson/wj/wjpinq.html

The Five Tibetan Rites is the exercise I recommend to everyone.

I haven’t had time to digest this.

bubbles

The robot that takes your job should pay taxes, says Bill Gates

https://qz.com/911968/bill-gates-the-robot-that-takes-your-job-should-pay-taxes/?utm_source=pocket&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=pockethits

Robots are taking human jobs. But Bill Gates believes that governments should tax companies’ use of them, as a way to at least temporarily slow the spread of automation and to fund other types of employment.[snip]

 

bubbles

bubbles

Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.

bubbles

bubbles