Iron Law and Hatch Act; Steven Vincent Benet on War; When Galaxies Collide

View 774 Thursday, May 16, 2013

Interesting. President Obama today told the press that he had never heard of the Treasury Inspector General report on IRS involvement in selective examinations of tax exempt status applications, given green light treatment to those professing “progressive” or “Social responsibility” goals, but putting primary hampers on those who mentioned “swollen government”, “too big government”, “tea party” and other conservative notions. http://www.treasury.gov/tigta/auditreports/2013reports/201310053fr.pdf

The report wasn’t issued until May 14, but early copies were circulated well before that, and surely something of that importance – its public appearance caused the forced resignation of the Acting Director of the IRS – would have been known to any competent political advisors, and surely one of them would have leaked the information to the candidate. I understand the impetus to keep certain campaign knowledge from the candidate, and every political manager must deal with it: What the bosses don’t know can’t hurt them, they can deny it with good conscience. I don’t suppose there has ever been a political campaign without some such incidents. But once the campaign is over, and particularly when word of the shenanigan gets out to investigative reporters, there’s always a frantic scramble to cover things up, and at some point the top campaign managers must be told, and one of them has to tell the politician. The boss is, after all, the boss.

Now there was an Iron Law of Bureaucracy incentive in spades with big casino here: enemies of Big Government are by definition personal enemies of IRS bureaucrats. Pournelle’s Iron Law states that in every bureaucracy there will be two major factions, one dedicated to the goals for which the organization was formed (class room teachers who want the kids to learn as an easy example) and the other faction dedicated to the organization itself (teacher’s union executives); and the second faction always gains control of the organization. This is true of every bureaucracy, including the IRS, the FBI, the AFL-CIO, the General Services Administration, NASA, your local police force, your local fire department, the local PTA, and almost anything else you can think of, and if you think of a bureaucracy that doesn’t fit, wait a bit. So to any IRS bureaucrat organizations that say that the government is too big will be the enemy, and while Type One bureaucrats would resist the temptation to get out the red tape, Type Two bureaucrats would order a barrel full with some gusto.

Thus it’s hardly astonishing that people who want to control the growth of government would receive extra scrutiny from the IRS career civil servants. It’s even less astonishing that the political campaign workers (alas, with the gutting of the Hatch Act there is now considerable overlap) would simply smile and say nothing when they observed this sort of thing. But I would find it astonishing if no word of this reached the higher ranks of the President’s political campaign management within a year or more. Someone in the White House staff knew. The question is, how high up did the knowledge go? There is no evidence that Nixon knew everything or even very much about the machinations of Dean, Haldeman, Ehrlichman, and Colson in their “plumber squad” operations; the point is that he should have. He should have had in his top entourage at least one who would tell him what was being done in his name. Every CEO needs information sources other than the chain of command. Of course this President has little experience at management at any level.

I am not involved in breaking news stories, but as the facts become clear it’s important to understand them; there is more than politics involved here.

The original Hatch Act (upheld more than once by the Supreme Court) forbade civil service employees from engaging in political activities, and was usually interpreted as forbidding government workers who were “Hatched” from even being asked for political donations by anyone else. Of course the original theory of a civil services was to divorce it from politics while retaining responsibility to the public. That is a very narrow path to follow: if the public doesn’t like what a bureaucracy is doing, how can that be changed? The answer is supposed to be to change the political control, but if the bureaucrats are protected from political management stalemate takes place. This is easily observed in a great many places at all levels of government. An example is our usual example of a needless government activity, Department of Agriculture Inspectors who attend stage magic presentations to be sure that if the magician uses a rabbit in the performance, he has a Federal license to do so. There is probably no political appointee in the Department of Agriculture or anywhere else in the Federal Government who would defend this as a necessary activity during times of deficit financing; but the practice has continued for years, and likely will continue forever because there is no simple mechanism for ending it.

The Hatch Act worked fairly well for decades. The theory was that the civil service protections were strong, and accepting them required the civil servant to essentially give up political activity: you’re paid to implement policies, not to advocate for them. For younger readers this may seem like an astonishing statement, but that used to be the case, and every campaign manager knew it and acted accordingly.

Perhaps restoring the Hatch Act to its original intent and even strengthening it is order.

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It’s time for lunch. Here’s something else to think about.

SUBJ: More on the the FBI’s Martha Stewart tactic

http://reason.com/blog/2013/05/14/fbi-well-decide-when-you-are-lying-to-us

Another example of the Iron Law at work. Most FBI special agents are precisely what they appear to be and what most of us grew up to expect of G-men; but the Iron Law continues to move in favor of gathering more power.

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Cannibalism in Syria

Just in case anyone in your audience had any illusions about the war there.

http://world.time.com/2013/05/14/we-will-slaughter-all-of-them-an-interview-with-the-man-behind-the-syrian-atrocity-video/

http://world.time.com/2013/05/12/atrocities-will-be-televised-they-syrian-war-takes-a-turn-for-the-worse/

Of course, before one judges the man too harshly one must consider this fact about his victim:

"In an interview conducted via Skype in the early hours of May 14, al-Hamad explained to TIME what caused him to cut out the soldier’s organs: “We opened his cell phone, and I found a clip of a woman and her two daughters fully naked and he was humiliating them, and sticking a stick here and there.”

The upshot is that it appears that humans on both sides have been made into monsters by the war. And that raises a problem: When this orgy of killing, murder, and cannibalism finally subsides, the people who fought in this won’t instantly turn into civilized saints and go back to pumping gas or selling cars. No, I suspect that when the war in Syria is over the barbarized winners will make trouble elsewhere in the middle east as well. At this point I suspect it doesn’t matter who wins — whatever comes out is going to be horrible.

Respectfully,

Brian P.

It was, of course, inevitable.  George Washington warned us against getting involved in the territorial disputes of Europe, and from entering into entangling alliances. Our strategy of Containment required that we have alliances and that we become involved in territorial disputes; if you are going to contain communism, you have to contain it, and sometimes that involves sending Americans to Korea and Viet Nam. The problem with containment is that it is a form of attrition, and strategies of attrition work much better against democracies than against one-party systems. The rulers of a one-party system don’t feel the effects so very much, while the costs are shared in a democracy. After 1980 the US added a strategy of technology to accompany Containment, and it all worked extraordinarily well: in 1986 there was still evidence that we were headed for a CoDominium with the USSR surviving well into the 21st Century, but that didn’t happen. Once the Soviets understood that we would not disarm ourselves with “Arms Control” but were dedicated to neutralizing their most expensive weapons, things rapidly came apart over there. Arthur Koestler had long before said that a sufficient condition for the collapse of a totalitarian state would be the free exchange of ideas within it.  That might have been an overstatement but it contained much truth, and the small computer revolution faced the Soviet leadership with an impossible dilemma: forfeit the technology race, which was clearly military suicide (clear after the Falkland Islands War) or open up the society to free discussion. Gorbachev tried Glasnost while maintaining communism, the Old Guard tried to eject him by force, and the short insurrection that followed ended the USSR as such. The Seventy Years War aka the Cold War was ended.

Alas, the US had become addicted to projecting power overseas. The USSR, having won (by default when the US withdrew after Watergate) Viet Nam tried for Afghanistan; the result of that action was instructive to those who study war. It was not instructive to the leaders of the United States, who decided to exert the power of this Republic to restore the “legitimate” government of Kuwait after this artificial Kingdom was seized by Saddam Hussein. Then after 9/11 we intervened again into Middle Eastern affairs.  Quick Victory in Afghanistan was followed by an inane decade of “nation building”.  The Baathists were turned out in Iraq but we could find no one to take over, and the artificial of Sunni, Shiite, and Kurdish Nationalists broke into pieces, with barbarism taking over in much of the area.

There have been other events in the Middle East, and US attempts to exert power in order to preserve civilization in them. They have not been notably successful. We projected power into the Balkans with the less than favorable results. A side result was to earn the thorough dislike of the Russians whose long history of dedication to Slavic interests seems to have escaped the geniuses of the State Department. We intervened in Egypt and in Libya. In all cases we didn’t do much: the lesson of Iraq was that we couldn’t afford to exert the power of the republic. The cost was too high. We do not have a generation of soldiers to send overseas.  But of course that was predictable.

Stephen Vincent Benet was a pacifist. His pacifism was shaken by Hitler and World War II, and he wrote in intellectual defense of opposing Germany. He did not live to see the peace after the war.

His view was that war never led to good results. This is not true, and he realized it before he died, but his vision of the consequences of war was never one of rosy optimism. There may be reasons to seek out and destroy dragons, but such actions have consequences. Sometimes it no longer matters much who wins.  Here is Benet on war, published in 1935.

Nightmare With Angels

An angel came to me and stood by my bedside,
Remarking in a professional-historical-economic and  irritated voice,
"If the Romans had only invented a decent explosion-engine!
Not even the best, not even a Ford V-8
But, say, a Model-T or even an early Napier,
They’d have built good enough roads for it (they knew how to build roads)
From Cape Wrath to Cape St. Vincent, Susa, Babylon and Moscow.
And the motorized legions never would have fallen,
And Peace, in the shape of a giant eagle, would brood over the entire Western World!"

He changed his expression, looking now like a combination of
Gilbert Murray, Hilaire Belloc,
and a dozen other scientists, writers,  and prophets,
And continued, in angelic tones,
"If the Greeks had known how to cooperate, if there’d never  been a Reformation,
If Sparta had not been Sparta, and the Church had been the Church  of the saints,
The Argive peace like a free-blooming olive-tree, the peace of Christ (who loved peace)
like a great, beautiful vine enwrapping the spinning earth!

Take it nearer home," he said.
Take these Mayans and their star-clocks, their carvings and their  great cities.
Who sacked them out of their cities, drowned the cities with a   green jungle?
A plague? A change of climate? A queer migration?
Certainly they were skillful, certainly they created.
And in Tenochtitlan, the dark obsidian knife and the smoking heart on 
  the stone but a fair city,
And the Incas had it worked out beautifully til Pizarro smashed them.
The collectivist state was there, and the ladies very agreeable.
They lacked steel, alphabet, and gunpowder
  and they had to get  married when the government said so.
They also lacked unemployment and overproduction.
For that matter," he said, "take the Cro-Magnons,
The fellows with the big skills, the handsome folk, the excellent
  scribers of mammoths,
Physical gods and yet with sensitive brain (they drew the fine, running reindeer).
What stopped them? What kept us all from being Apollos and Aphrodites
Only with a new taste to the nectar,
The laughing gods, not the cruel, the gods of song, not of war?
Supposing Aurelius, Confucious, Napoleon, Plato, Gautama, Alexander –
Just to name half a dozen –
Had ever realized and stabilized the full dream?
How long, O Lord God in the highest? How long, what now, perturbed spirit?"

He turned blue at the wingtips and disappeared as another angel approached me.
This one was quietly but appropriately dressed in cellophane, synthetic rubber and stainless steel,
But his mask was the blind mask of Ares, snouted for gasmasks.
He was neither soldier, sailor, farmer, dictator, nor munitions-manufacturer.
Nor did he have much conversation, except to say,
"You will not be saved by General Motors or the prefabricated house.
You will not be saved by dialectic materialism or the Lambeth Conference.
You will not be saved by Vitamin D or the expanding universe.
In Fact, you will not be saved."
In his hand was a woven, wire basket, full of seeds, small metallic and shining like the seeds of portulaca;
Where he sowed them, the green vine withered, and the smoke and armies sprang up.

Stephen Vincent Benet

As I expect all of you know, I am no pacifist; but I am a student of history. And when we send our armies out to remake the world, I cannot help but be reminded of Ortega y Gasset, and his tale of the story of Napoleon reviewing his troops. “See my soldiers, how splendid, how the light glistens on their bayonets.”  To which Talleyrand replied, “Sire you can do anything with a bayonet except sit on it.” Once the bayonets have destroyed the firm seat, restoring a new one may be more difficult than supposed. There was a good reason for John Quincy Adams to say that America is the friend of liberty everywhere but the guardian only of our own. He understood that he who defends everything defends nothing, and those who undertake to defend the rights of all the people in the world may end by finding the coast was their own liberty. We can break things and kill people. Rebuilding is a more difficult job, and we learned the wrong lesson from our accomplishments with Germany and Japan after World War Two. We cannot rescue everyone and when we find what the cost has been, who rescues us? It is no small thing to be a free society and defend that freedom. The thing about defending our own liberty is that it generally increases our power. When we go out to slay foreign dragons, the cost can be far greater than we think – and we may not be the ones who pay it.

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Mike Flynn calls my attention to this:

New system could predict solar flares, give advance warning

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. – Researchers may have discovered a new method to predict solar flares more than a day before they occur, providing advance warning to help protect satellites, power grids and astronauts from potentially dangerous radiation.

The system works by measuring differences in gamma radiation emitted when atoms in radioactive elements "decay," or lose energy. This rate of decay is widely believed to be constant, but recent findings challenge that long-accepted rule.

The new detection technique is based on a hypothesis that radioactive decay rates are influenced by solar activity, possibly streams of subatomic particles called solar neutrinos. This influence can wax and wane due to seasonal changes in the Earth’s distance from the sun and also during solar flares, according to the hypothesis, which is supported with data published in a dozen research papers since it was proposed in 2006, said Ephraim Fischbach, a Purdue University professor of physics.

http://www.purdue.edu/newsroom/releases/2012/Q3/new-system-could-predict-solar-flares,-give-advance-warning.html

Of course the notion of variable decay rates in radioactive substances is startling to those of us brought up on the notion that it is invariable. So we have neutrinos, which no one can find, changing the decay rates that can’t be changed; but if all that works we may be able to have some advance warning of events that may destroy our civilization. A brave new world.

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And to end the day on a cheerful note, our galaxy won’t collide with Andromeda for about a billion years. But here’s the picture of the day.

Galaxy Collisions: Simulation vs Observations, 

Jerry

APOD: 2013 May 14 – Galaxy Collisions: Simulation vs Observations:

http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap130514.html

It is very cool.

Ed

 

 

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Schools, discipline, Feynman, physiology and crime, ice tsunami, and other matters of interest.

Mail 773 Wednesday, May 15, 2013

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Concerning the schools and discipline (see View https://www.jerrypournelle.com/chaosmanor/?p=13822)

And here is an excerpt from a Wiki article on Albert Einstein.

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When the family moved to Pavia, Einstein stayed in Munich to finish his studies at the Luitpold Gymnasium. His father intended for him to pursue electrical engineering <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electrical_engineering> , but Einstein clashed with authorities and resented the school’s regimen and teaching method. He later wrote that the spirit of learning and creative thought were lost in strict rote learning <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rote_learning> .

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To me, part of the problem with the schools is underscored by the above. Certainly discipline is important, but not to the point of reactionary adherence to mindless rules.

I attended my girlfriends sons graduation many years ago. The Valedictorian of the class gave a scathing speech about how the schools suppress creative thought. That fit well into my education experience, and things have gotten worse, not better, since I was at school.

 

The well disciplined kids who want to learn might actually learn something: but they better want it pretty badly, because the teacher is busy apologizing for disciplining the defiant. I recall when the schools were primarily unfair to the brightest kids. I was one of them. But bright kids have a way of figuring out the system. It’s those who are right around average who need teacher attention, and are likely to fail without it, yet succeed with it.

I know what you mean with this and get where you are coming from, but keep in mind this is about a school system which suspends students for stuff like this.

http://www.newschannel5.com/story/14861326/boy-suspended-over-inhaler

http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1998-05-03/news/1998123148_1_christine-airy-middle-school-asthma

http://jonathanturley.org/2012/05/24/students-goes-into-asthma-attack-but-school-nurse-refuses-to-let-him-use-inhaler-without-a-signed-parental-form-nurse-watches-with-inhaler-as-student-collapses/

To me there is a difference between mouthing off and petitioning for redress of grievances.

There is a line between the two where one becomes the other.

Very few Einsteins involved here. I am concerned about the future plumber or book keeper who ends up at MacDonald’s because she can’t read, and she can’t read because the teacher wasn’t able to teach her because Mr. Valentine wanted to socialize with her.

Jerry Pournelle

Chaos Manor

I get it, but was Mr Valentine ‘socializing’ or discussing chemical bonding?

The article was not clear to me on that, but it is what I was alluding to.

Having spent my first eight years of growing up in a school system intended for farm worker children before being sent off to a bright kids high school, I can only tell you that this “suppression” of creativity didn’t really happen with me – it was more a case of “learn self discipline or we’ll make you learn it” and that, as it turns out, was probably all to the good. The real problem of bright kids in average schools is that the school work is so easy that they develop sloppy work habits that have to be corrected when they finally reach a place where being bright is not considered a defect and being smarter than the teacher a discipline problem.

But oddly enough here I am not as concerned about the bright kids – we tend to survive once we understand the rules – as I am the normal and even bright normal who really need some school instruction, but who won’t get it because the teacher has other things to do. My suspicion is that if Mr. Valentine wanted to discuss chemical bonding and electron orbits with his classmates the teacher would be overjoyed; the few quotes from the newspaper article indicate that he was more interested in his right to talk back to the teacher than in carbon rings.

I was fortunate enough to grow up in a system that didn’t tolerate undisciplined behavior in the classroom, and had the means of enforcement including corporal punishment. I didn’t need a lot of the classroom instruction. I had always read the textbooks ahead of the class discussion and often looked up the matter in the Encyclopedia Britannica, so I didn’t expect to be told anything by my 1-8 grade Normal School graduate teachers anything I didn’t already know. It was pretty clear to me that my mission was to survive, and what I was learning was the rules for doing that. It was a bit of a shock when I got to CBC and found teachers who knew one hell of a lot more than I did about just about everything, and who wouldn’t put up with my usual tactic of keeping just ahead of the class. They not only expected more from me, they made it clear that they would get more, my alternative being painfully worse. Of course dedicated teachers like the Christian Brothers of that era are a bit thin on the ground now. Not extinct, but harder to find.

But the teachers in Capleville were also dedicated, at least to keeping order in the class, and to getting the standards expected by the school district, and while those were not especially high, our Sixth Grade reader had stories that half the high school students in California can’t read. They didn’t get those results because they were all that good or that smart – they got them because they were told they could get them, and they expected them, and they were not going to let the local smart guy – like me – distract everyone else in the class from learning. I might have read more about Sir Walter Scott than anyone in the room including the teacher, but I wasn’t allowed to share my literary insights while Irma Cottanio was reciting, and if I knew more about who The Douglas was than the teacher, that wasn’t the point. The point was that Irma deserved her education as much as I did, even if her ambition was to marry and manage a farm and a household. Of course the teachers weren’t going to let Chuck Holmes pester her either. Discipline was expected and demanded.

I am aware that what we considered an orderly and normal school might be thought by some progressives as an over-disciplined concentration camp insisting on rote learning; but our teachers were at least empowered to keep their classes orderly, and if only a few in the class appreciated the flawed nobility of Roderick Dhu, they all bloody well learned to recite some of Scott’s lines, and if Chuck wanted to waste everyone’s time he soon learned better even if his father had six hundred acres. And if you learn to love The Lady of the Lake a whole new world opens to you. “Seek other cause ‘gainst Roderick Dhu!’

The purpose of a school system is to deliver at school leaving a population who have learned some self discipline, have learned to read, write, and cipher, and learned the basic structure of the civil government. And with luck to have learned something of the national saga and to have some appreciation of the importance of civil order, and to have developed some of the habits of good citizenship. Of course no one thinks that way now.

Incidentally the Los Angeles School District board just voted to forbid suspension of students for defiance, so perhaps we will learn something of what comes of that. I don’t predict that it will be for the good. But perhaps we’ll have more drugs for the boys in the classes.

Educating Damien

I agree that suspending the little xxx probably isn’t a good idea, he probably just enjoys a chance to goof off. Exchanging letters just plain won’t do any good, and what makes these people think the target kiddies even know how to read, anyway? That whole article sounds like something from The Onion. Bring back corporal punishment. A good whupping will get the point across.

Man Mountain Molehill

Well, I wouldn’t put it quite that way but I do think that one reason for investing as much as we do in the public schools is to instill a certain self-discipline into the pupils.

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Here’s the "Religion Of Peace" showing exactly how peaceful they are, at a British WWII Military Cemetery in Libya.

Every time a joke and or cartoon is made about the Koran, the whole world turns upside down, and we are all called racists! However, these "peaceful Muslims" appear to do whatever they like and no one says anything.

Watch the video while it’s available, before Obama makes sure it’s removed.

http://www.youtube.com/embed/RtgbvotqVFE?rel=0

Nick

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The Fantastic Mr Feynman

Hi Jerry

The BBC recently aired a program to roughly coincide with what would have been Richard Feynman’s 95th Birthday (and coincidentally my 54th birthday).

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p016d3kk

You may not be able to watch the video outside of the UK, but I’m sure that it’s going to be available somewhere else online and maybe it will be shown in the US, if it hasn’t been already.

Best wishes

Paul Dove

It plays just fine here. Thanks for pointing it out.

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Ice Tsunamis

"… longtime locals told him they couldn’t remember anything similar since the 1950s."

"You know you’ve got cement, concrete blocks and steel, and the ice goes through it like it’s just a toothpick," Dennis Stykalo, who also lost a home to the ice, told the CBC. "It just shows the power. There is nothing you can do; you just get out of the way and just watch."

http://www.cnn.com/2013/05/13/us/ice-tsunamis/index.html?hpt=hp_t3

Perhaps being warmer isn’t as bad as we thought. It certainly beats an ice age. Of course, this will undoubtedly be one of the warmest years on record. If this global warming gets any worse, I’m going to freeze to death.

Braxton S. Cook

I don’t think I have ever seen anything like this before.

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‘This Week’ Roundtable on ABC.

George Will, Ret. Gen. James Cartwright, Ruth Marcus, and Jonathan Karl.

It’s nice to see a reasoned discussion and to hear General Cartwright’s opinion.

http://abcn.ws/163iB3F

Regards,

John Harlow

 

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Re: A Little Pre-Ice Age Action

Jerry,

See the video at the end of the brief article. If you have kids around be warned of a spontaneous F-word near the end.

Regards,

George

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/05/11/still-waiting-for-spring-in-minnesota/

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How to spot a murderer’s brain:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2013/may/12/how-to-spot-a-murderers-brain

“What are we to do, for example, Eagleman asked, with the fact that "if you are a carrier of one particular set of genes, the probability that you will commit a violent crime is four times as high as it would be if you lacked those genes. You’re three times as likely to commit a robbery, five times as likely to commit aggravated assault, eight times as likely to be arrested for murder and 13 times as likely to be arrested for a sexual offence. The overwhelming majority of prisoners carry these genes; 98.1% of death row inmates do… Can we honestly say that the carriers of those genes have exactly the same range of choices in their behaviour as those who do not possess them? And if they do not, should they be judged and punished by the same standard?"

Of course, one might say that if you are born this way, you have a heightened responsibility to work on curbing your impulses. But then, that is not a very PC answer. Instead, we have:

“Raine’s work is full of this kind of statistic and this kind of question. (One of his more startling findings is the extraordinarily high level of psychopathic markers among employees of a temping agency he studied, which came as no surprise to him. "Psychopaths can’t settle, they need to move around, look for new stimulation," he says.) He draws on a number of studies that show the links between brain development, in particular – and brain injury and impairment by extension – and criminal violence. Already legal defence teams, particularly in the US, are using brain scans and neuroscience as mitigating evidence in the trials of violent criminals and sex offenders. In this sense, Raine believes a proper public debate on the implications of his science is long overdue.”

And then ironically (or perhaps not):

“Raine was in part drawn to his discipline by his own background. In the course of scanning his murderers, Raine also examined his own PET profile and found, somewhat to his alarm, that the structure of his brain seemed to share more characteristics with the psychopathic murderers than with the control group.

“He laughs quickly when I ask how that discovery felt. "When you have a brain scan that looks like a serial killer’s it does give you pause," he says. And there were other factors: he has always had a markedly low heart rate (which his research has shown to be a truer indicator of a capacity for violence than, say, smoking is as a cause of lung cancer). He was plagued by cracked lips as a child, evidence of riboflavin deficiency (another marker); he was born at home; he was a blue baby, all factors in the kind of developmental difficulties that might set his own researcher’s alarm bells ringing.

"So," he says, "I was on the spectrum. And in fact I did have some issues. I was taken to hospital aged five to have my stomach pumped because I had drunk a lot of alcohol. From age nine to 11 I was pretty antisocial, in a gang, smoking, letting car tyres down, setting fire to mailboxes, and fighting a lot, even though I was quite small. But at that age I burnt out of that somehow. At 11, I changed schools, got more interested in studying and really became a different sort of kid. Still, when I was graduating and thinking ‘what shall I research?’, I looked back on the essays I’d written and one of the best was on the biology of psychopaths; I was fascinated by that, partly, I think, because I had always wondered about that early behaviour in myself."

“Despite his unusual brain structure, he didn’t have the low IQ that is often apparent in killers, or any cognitive dysfunction. Still, as he worked for four years interviewing people in prison, a lot of the time he was thinking: what stopped me being on their side of the bars?

“Raine’s biography, then, was a good corrective to the seductive idea that our biology is our fate and that a brain scan can tell us who we are. Even as he piles up evidence to show that people are not the free-thinking, rational agents they like to imagine themselves to be – entirely liberated from the limitations set by our inherited genes and our particular neuroanatomy – he never forgets that lesson. The question remains, however, that if these "biomarkers" do exist and exert an influence – and you begin to see the evidence as incontrovertible – then what should we do about them?

The field is called “neurocriminology.” There is much more in the article.

Ed

This continues a long tradition of trying to find the reasons for criminality. The problem is that a free society has to be built on the premise that people have choices, and are to be held responsible for what they do.

Aristotle teaches us that we learn courage by acting brave. That sums up nicely the deepest belie of Western Civilization: you can choose to act in a way so that you develop desired habits. It is why we have “reform” institutions and places to be penitent, and be rehabilitated (only the Western tradition until recently was that you had to rehabilitate yourself). The assumption in AA is that you have to want to be sober. You may fail, but if you don’t want to succeed you will not. There is a place for will in the divine scheme.

Science continues to undermine this basic belief or to try to do so; but the more it succeeds the more it appears that a free civilization is impossible.

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don’t ever speak to a federal agent]

Hi Jerry,

A reminder this is not the country you grew up in.

Protect Yourself from FBI Manipulation (w/attorney Harvey Silverglate) http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=jgDsbjAYXcQ (7 minutes)

No, it’s not, is it>? The Martha Stewart case hangs over the constitution…

 

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Several houses were destroyed, the Winnipeg Free Press <http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/Ice-destroys-several-homes-along-Da-207043001.html> reports, after "a massive ice floe rose out of Dauphin Lake" in central Canada. One local homeowner described the ice’s arrival as "so powerful that it plowed through his two-storey home, pushing furniture from one bedroom into another. It pushed the bathroom tub and vanity into the hallway."

This kind of reverse-Titanic moment occurred just as the gentleman had sat down to watch TV: "Then he heard the ice coming."

Photos and more:

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/Ice-destroys-several-homes-along-Da-207043001.html

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The Sound of Silence

Dr Pournelle

Have you noticed what you are not hearing?

Nothing is issuing from the insane asylum that is North Korea.

All the saber rattling earlier this year was for internal consumption. Construct a foreign threat so that the people will be distracted from the fact that they are, you know, starving.

April is the key month. All the food reserves of the previous year have been exhausted and the spring harvest has not come. The rulers of the DPRK rattle sabers to distract the people from their plight.

When the sabers rattle in March, the DPRK will survive. When the sabers rattle in February, the DPRK may survive. When the sabers rattle in January, game over.

Place your bets before the windows close.

Stay tuned for next year’s saber rattling.

Live long and prosper

h lynn keith

It is quiet over there, isn’t it?

The problem is, no one wants North Korea. At least not all that much.  Germany absorbed the East without too much economic turmoil although it did leave less to give to the Greeks and Cypriots and Italians and Spanish to bail them out so that they can continue to have 6 week vacations.l..

 

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“It starts to change the relationship between the citizen and state, you do have to get permission to do things.”

<http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2013/05/immigration-reform-dossiers/>

I’m not generally a big fan of the ACLU, but in this case, they’re spot-on.

Roland Dobbins

The ACLU was not always entirely dominated by its present ideology. An organization dedicated to defense of constitutional liberties ought to be important and popular. But it has to be dedicatged to all of those…

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The following was from "The Accident", a story from "More Tales of Pirx the Pilot", by Stanislaw Lem:

"He conjured up that legendary, wordless, mythical situation that everyone – Pirx included – now knew would never come to pass: a revolt of robots. And knowing with a tacit certitude that he would have taken their side, he fell asleep, somehow exonerated."

Wowsers! I see in these two sentences an entire novel. The robots rebel

– _and_some_people_take_their_side_!

I read this in the public library in Memphis about 1940.  I have never forgotten it:

We had expected everything but revolt
And I kind of wonder myself when they started thinking–
But there’s no dice in that now.
I’ve heard fellow say
They must have planned it for years and maybe they did.
Looking back, you can find little incidents here and there,
Like the concrete-mixer in Jersey eating the wop
Or the roto press that printed ‘Fiddle-dee-dee!’
In a three-color process all over Senator Sloop,
Just as he was making a speech. The thing about that
Was, how could it walk upstairs? But it was upstairs,
Clicking and mumbling in the Senate Chamber.
They had to knock out the wall to take it away
And the wrecking-crew said it grinned.
It was only the best
Machines, of course, the superhuman machines,
The ones we’d built to be better than flesh and bone,
But the cars were in it, of course . . .
and they hunted us
Like rabbits through the cramped streets on that Bloody Monday,
The Madison Avenue busses leading the charge.
The busses were pretty bad–but I’ll not forget
The smash of glass when the Duesenberg left the show-room
And pinned three brokers to the Racquet Club steps
Or the long howl of the horns when they saw men run,
When they saw them looking for holes in the solid ground . . .
I guess they were tired of being ridden in
And stopped and started by pygmies for silly ends,
Of wrapping cheap cigarettes and bad chocolate bars
Collecting nickels and waving platinum hair
And letting six million people live in a town.
I guess it was tha, I guess they got tired of us
And the whole smell of human hands.
But it was a shock
To climb sixteen flights of stairs to Art Zuckow’s office
(Noboby took the elevators twice)
And find him strangled to death in a nest of telephones,
The octopus-tendrils waving over his head,
And a sort of quiet humming filling the air. . . .
Do they eat? . . . There was red . . . But I did not stop to look.
I don’t know yet how I got to the roof in time
And it’s lonely, here on the roof.
For a while, I thought
That window-cleaner would make it, and keep me company.
But they got him with his own hoist at the sixteenth floor
And dragged him in, with a squeal.
You see, they coöperate. Well, we taught them that
And it’s fair enough, I suppose. You see, we built them.
We taught them to think for themselves.
It was bound to come. You can see it was bound to come.
And it won’t be so bad, in the country. I hate to think
Of the reapers, running wild in the Kansas fields,
And the transport planes like hawks on a chickenyard,
But the horses might help. We might make a deal with the horses.
At least, you’ve more chance, out there.
And they need us, too.
They’re bound to realize that when they once calm down.
They’ll need oil and spare parts and adjustments and tuning up.
Slaves? Well, in a way, you know, we were slaves before.
There won’t be so much real difference–honest, there won’t.
(I wish I hadn’t looked into the beauty-parlor
And seen what was happening there.
But those are female machines and a bit high-strung.)
Oh, we’ll settle down. We’ll arrange it. We’ll compromise.
It won’t make sense to wipe out the whole human race.
Why, I bet if I went to my old Plymouth now
(Of course you’d have to do it the tactful way)
And said, ‘Look here! Who got you the swell French horn?’
He wouldn’t turn me over to those police cars;
At least I don’t think he would.
Oh, it’s going to be jake.
There won’t be so much real difference–honest, there won’t–
And I’d go down in a minute and take my chance–
I’m a good American and I always liked them–
Except for one small detail that bothers me
And that’s the food proposition. Because, you see,
The concrete-mixer may have made a mistake,
And it looks like just high spirits.
But, if it’s got so they like the flavor . . . well . . .

Stephen Vincent Benet

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Preference Cascade, or Fit Of Pique?

Jerry,

"There is a bit of a lull in news about the Benghazi affair." Heh. The White House press corps tore Jay Carney several new ones over Benghazi prevarications today.

The proximate cause was an ABC report that far from one minor stylistic fix as Carney maintains, ABC now has a dozen successive edited versions of the original Benghazi talking points, with much substance removed, along with considerable information about who removed it.

Not news to anyone who’s been following the story with the few outfits going after it before today. But a breakthrough for the mainstream press.

Much as I’d like to think we’re seeing a preference cascade (the crowd all at once says to each other "wow, the Emperor’s naked") it still could just be a temporary fit of pique by the WH press corps over having been massively misled. Never underestimate the MSM’s ability to once again suspend disbelief and cover for this gang, once they’ve vented.

But then there’s also the IRS’s sudden confession that they brought raw partisan politics into evaluating Tea Party non-profit applications last year. Again, no surprise to us curmudgeons, but new to the mainstream.

Maybe the MSM won’t be able to suspend that much disbelief all at once? Nahh – I have great faith in their collective reinsert-head-in-sand skills.

cynically

Porkypine

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Update Tuesday. IRS Plot thickens slightly. Never try to rape a hornets nest.

View 774 Wednesday, May 15, 2013

This is Wednesday, and all the Windows computers here need updating. For reasons I do not understand, the Windows 8 machine wants to be told to do the updates including the resetting although it says that it does it automatically. That is, there is a screen that says updates are automatically installed, but if I manually tell it to update I am told there wre 13 critical updates do I want to do them now?, and if I do I get to download them, and after downloading install them, and then I get to tell the machine to restart or it will do it in a week or so without my having to tell it so. Now it may be that I have insufficiently pored over the Help files and other instructions for Windows 8 and my cursory look is insufficiently informed. I no longer spend about half my time mucking about with small computers, so that I do all these silly things so you don’t have to. Still, I have had some experience with these little machines over the years, and you’d think that I could get the automatic updates setting right on Windows 8 – but I don’t.

Now true, the machine is in sleep mode on Tuesday nights, and it’s not my primary machine. My primary machines are two older Windows 7 machines, and on Wednesday Morning when I sit down at my desk they will both be asking me to log in, having done their updates during the night. They’ll want me to log in. When I do that all is well and over, for them, and for me I know to go to Alien Artifact, a Windows 7 system that will have been in deep sleep for days, and get his started on his updates; and then go tend Swan, our very powerful Windows 8 system, and tenderly bring her into update condition, and that’s going to take some personal attention until it’s done. I suppose I should make an effort to find out what’s going on, and perhaps I will; but meanwhile, take this as a reminder to wake up all your sleeping machines and update them.

When Windows does an update, this is a signal to all the hackers to update their software, since there will be new fixes to older hacks, and sometimes fixes to hacks not yet loose in the wild, and that means there are millions of machines vulnerable to those hacks. Hacking is a big business now, and some of the best computer scientists in the world are employed by those interested in penetrating your computer and using it for various nefarious purposes. If you are lucky you might be taken over by a concern that merely uses your system to forward a ton of spam, and if you’re really lucky the proprietor will not only install his control software, but another virus that protects you from other hackers. There are concerns out there that do that. There are even rumored to be some who recognize that a machine has already been hacked, and stop trying to get this one – a sort of professional courtesy. And then there are those who update the scripts they sell to script kiddies who use them to try to start their own companies of zombies they can rent out.

In other words, it’s dangerous out there, and keeping your systems up to date is the first – but not the only – line of defense.

Be safe.

So having gone the rounds of the Chaos Manor computers to get them properly updated, I sat down to the mail, to find this the first mail in my inbasket.

Tried to have sex with a hornet’s nest

http://translate.google.com/translate?sl=sv&tl=en&js=n&prev=_t&hl=sv&ie=UTF-8&eotf=1&u=http://nyheternasverige.se/forsokte-ha-sex-med-getingbo-avled/

No matter what I’m exposed to, no matter how many times I think I’ve seen or heard it all, somebody tops it. The big, neon, flashing lighted sign in my head reads "What did you think was going to happen?"

I hope this is some sort of weird joke.

Graves

Have a nice day.

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The IRS scandal develops. The White House insists that no instructions came from there. Here is the official report of the Inspector General.

http://www.treasury.gov/tigta/auditreports/2013reports/201310053fr.pdf

I have made only a cursory inspection, and found no surprises.

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We are awaiting the President’s speech on the IRS mess.  The official story is that two lower level IRS employees in Ohio took it upon themselves to delay the applications for tax exempt status of all groups using the word “Patriot” or the phrase “Tea Party” or other libertarian/conservative code words in their title or statement of purpose, while expediting those who claimed to be “progressive” or “responsible.” There was no knowledge of this at higher levels,k and certainly none at the political level.  It was all a matter of low level professionals.

Of course that opens the question of the civil service.  If a nation cannot control its bureaucracies, perhaps a spoils system with naked political appointments would be preferable, because that way at least you get political responsibility: everyone knows who appointed his ward leader as Commissioner of Public Roads, and if you want a road past you house you elect someone who lives near you. That way eventually you get your road, whereas with a bureaucracy you never get a road.   A politically responsible system would be able to remove the bunny inspectors after a few years of ridicule but in fact it has been several years and they are still inspecting stage magician performances to insure that if the magician uses a pet rabbit in the performance he has a Federal License to do so, and no, I am not making that up.  Indeed, if the magician geeks the rabbit – slays it with his teeth and eats it raw – he may be in violation of state or local laws, but the Federal Inspector of the Department of Agriculture has no jurisdiction, whereas if he uses the rabbit in the performance and keeps it as a pet, he must have a Federal License to do so.

The President is speaking now, and he will fix it, and see to is that nothing like this will ever happen again, and it was never anyone in his staff who ordered it, and it’s all going to be all right, and trust him. It was outrageous and inexcusable and it will never happen again, and the acting head of the IRS has resigned, and it is all going to be all right. The perpetrators have been “disciplined” but so far have not been identified nor discipline defined.

So it goes. More breaking news. There is a link between the two people in Cincinnati and the acting director of the IRS (who has resigned). Too much for me to follow.  The President took no questions and left after promising to make everything all better.  And of course he may well be completely sincere. But someone in his campaign staff knew exactly what was going on.  The story is not yet over.

The Tea Party frightened the campaign to reelect the president, and someone took steps to place a primary hamper on the Tea Party after 2010. Who knew what, and when did they know it?  Those who lived through the Watergate investigations will remember all this…

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IRS Scandal expands to EPA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yI53kkF-WGM&feature=youtu.be

John David Galt

And now there are stories of leaks from tax returns to political groups.  The old Nixon Committee to Reelect the President (CREEP) never went this far. One wonders what the media will make of all this. The last time, a President resigned.  That isn’t likely here.

And I don’t know about any of this:

[Link formerly here deleted as it does not lead where I thought it did.]

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We have a case in Los Angeles of a guy who was curious about bombs so he built some. He never exploded one, nor threatened to.  He just wanted to see if he could do it.

Having done something of that sort at age 14 – I am sure there is a statute of limitations at work here – I suppose I have a bit of sympathy. Of course I made mine down by the hog pond having turned the hogs out into a previously harvested cornfield, and he was working in a city apartment, so I suppose it’s right that he be charged with endangerment – but if he wants to volunteer for the Army bomb squad I’d let him go do it. Rather see him there than in jail…

 

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I see on tonight‘s news that sexual harassment in the military is now one of the gravest of problems.  It must be “solved.”

Of course a long time ago this was predicted as an inevitable consequence of making military service a “right” and sexually integrating the services.  It was unfair to women to exclude them from any part of the military, and any attempt to segregate the sexes was just wrong.

Of course the purpose of a military is to break things and kill people; to win battles; and the kind of people who do that are not always those we want as our neighbors.  The French long ago created the Foreign Legion for that purpose. They never though of making membership a right, and ringing women into the Legion barracks.

It is certainly the case that women can do many of the functions of military forces.  It is also true that one has to have career paths for the troops at the sharp end.  When the fighting me begin to think it unfair that women are promoted over them through a quota system, that has an effect.  If your goal is to have a sexually integrated service with no segregation of the sexes while also having no sexual harassment you may have set yourself a more difficult task than you think.

It may be easier to win battles than to integrate your armed forces without sexual harassment. History doesn’t show many successful military forces with sexual integration – except of course the present one. Which, we are now told, suffers from an intolerable problem of sexual harassment that must be rooted out of the system.  And of course full sexual integration of the forces requires that mothers be sent overseas at the need of the unit, not making much allowance for the needs f the children – who are future citizens and future warriors.

I know that women can perform many of the military functions, and probably do some of them better than men can. But to try to erase sexual differences while building an invincible military has yet to be done; and the flurry of complaints about sexual harassment suggest that it’s not going as well as we would like it to.  Yes, certainly, it’s a lovely ideal and we have had some movies based on the notion of absolute equality of the sexes in military forces.  We have rather fewer examples of battles and wars won by forces that enforce absolute egalitarianism.

It will be interesting to see what comes next. The Navy has a long experience of men at sea; rather less than men and women at sea; if it’s going to work anywhere it should be in the Navy and perhaps the Air Force.  We’ll see,  But is the goal to win battles or to demonstrate sexual integration?

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for the West as it commits suicide.  James Burnham made that observation log ago, and as the Soviet Union collapsed we all forgot it.  Let’s hope that we know how to bring this off and build a thoroughly integrated force that wins battles and can be deployed when and where it is needed.

 

 

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Education conflicts

View 775 Monday, Thursday, May 09, 2013

Today’s LA Times has two education essays. One is “Closing the Education Gap” by Michele Siqeiros. It’s on the editorial page, and it’s a pretty standard exhortation . “The state must develop a comprehensive strategy for public K-12 education, adult education and higher education systems for addressing remedial education.” We have to spend more money, and we have to pick up where the schools have left off or are leaving off, etc. etc.

Apparently they admit that the schools are awful and probably unfixable so we need to set up a second education system for remedial education. That will certainly hire a lot of teachers.  It beats the Mexico system where a bunch of education students in one of the colonies are holding 8 state policemen hostage demanding that they all be employed on graduation.  I hope I am imagining having read that is happening, and even more I hope it was in Mexico and not somewhere in the US. So we need to fix the system with remedial education at all levels.  Apparently we just write off the enormous sums being spent on the present failing system,.

The second essay isn’t supposed to be an essay but a front page story. My edition of the paper has it as “A Milder Way to Fight Defiance” by Teresa Watenade http://articles.latimes.com/2013/may/12/local/la-me-adv-lausd-discipline-20130513 and it appears above the fold on page one.

“Damien Valentine knows painfully well about a national phenomenon that is imperiling the academic achievement of minority students, particularly African Americans like himself: the pervasive and disproportionate use of suspensions from school for mouthing off and other acts of defiance.

The Manual Arts Senior High School sophomore has been suspended several times beginning in seventh grade, when he was sent home for a day and a half for refusing to change his seat because he was talking. He said the suspensions never helped him learn to control his behavior but only made him fall further behind.

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"Getting suspended doesn’t solve anything," Valentine said. "It just ruins the rest of the day and keeps you behind."

But Valentine, who likes chemistry and wants to be a doctor, is determined to change school discipline practices. He has joined a Los Angeles County-wide effort to push a landmark proposal by school board President Monica Garcia that would make L.A. Unified the first school district in California to ban suspensions for willful defiance.”

The rest is about the same. And of course it’s another attack on the notion of schools as places of opportunity to get an education. They’re not that: a school is a place you are entitled to be at, whether you belong there or not, whether you behave yourself or not, whether you are capable of learning or not; and Damien Valentine has as much right to be there, and to talk in class, and defy the teachers, and make it impossible for those around him actually learn something, as anyone else. The fact that Damien’s presence is one reason for the failure of the schools doesn’t seem to impress anyone.

The answer it seems is “restorative justice” in which the teacher spends a lot of time “working with” Damien and those like him. Teachers “exchange letters” with disruptive students, “each taking some blame and pledging to better cooperate.” Of course time spent with Damien and his ilk is taken from the students who just want to learn and who don’t insist on their right to be disruptive, and don’t insist on “restorative justice” if they are disciplined.

So long as the voodoo “education science” insists on transferring educational resources from those who can and want to learn, to Damien and others who are more concerned with their rights than their education, and who render themselves pretty well impervious to actual education, we are never going to have schools in which all but a very few learn to read, write, cipher, learn some civics, and generally have an educational foundation that helps them go out and find jobs or go to college. We need remedial education, not for Damien, but for those that Damien robbed of the chance to get an education in the regular system. 

We must pour more money into the schools so that there can be restorative justice for Damien and others like him; we must no have enforcement of discipline and teacher control of the classroom; and of course it is senseless to question what the results of all this will be. We don’t need to. We can see what the results are.

One result is increased class rigidity. There are those who go to good schools with hard discipline – they are the children of the rich, and a favored few who manage on some sort of charity or scholarship. There are those who live in the parts of town where the students tend not to talk in class and tell the teacher to shut up when they are disciplined, and who manage to get through a public school, so that they can now go to a college where they acquire a lifetime debt. And those whose parents can pay or work the system so that the kids can graduate without those crushing debts.

For a while it looked as if we were working on a system that paid attention to The Bell Curve and did trend toward a meritocracy; but now apparently we are to dismantle all that. The way to be sure that no child is left behind is to make sure that only the rich kids get ahead. The rest are to be subjected to Damien Valentine, who was wronged by the system and must be rendered restorative justice; and the teacher needs to spend time exchanging letters with those who won’t accept classroom discipline, or else must support the union which protects her from that stuff, and whatever the union’s faults it at least doesn’t make her spend her scarce free time in T-groups and sensitivity training, but can just get on with teaching those who want to learn. Given those choices I’d support the union. I don’t want to exchange letters with Damien. But Damien wants to be a doctor, and all those suspensions “never helped him learn to control his behavior but only made him fall further behind”, and he wants to be a doctor, and surely there are patients who deserve him?  So it is time for retributive justice.

The well disciplined kids who want to learn might actually learn something: but they better want it pretty badly, because the teacher is busy apologizing for disciplining the defiant.

Apologies for the rant. I presume that those who are in this crazy movement really believe the voodoo social science garbage they have been fed. Alas, I suspect that some know perfectly well what they are doing. If teachers are evaluated on actual results – how many students can actually do calculus when they graduate high school – then a lot of teachers aren’t going to be given the bright students to work with. But that’s another story for another time. Apologies for the rant. But not many.

If you want your kids to get ahead, learn about the Kahn Academy lectures, and learn more about Art Robinson’s education programs. Make sure they can all read, and by read I mean read anything including nonsense words like montheoretics and polydodmanite by the time they are in second grade. If they can’t read those words they can’t read. And note that they won’t know the meaning. Learning the meanings of words is important, but first you need to be able to READ words you have never seen before. If you want to be sure of it all, start them at age five on Mrs. Pournelle’s Reading Program http://www.readingtlc.com/. But it’s your job: don’t rely on the school system, because the goal of the schools is retributive justice, whatever that is, not teaching the kids anything at all.

I’ll have the California Sixth Grade Reader ready as an eBook shortly. It will help; the notion is to show what all California sixth graders were expected to read in 1914 – and with luck get out 10th graders up to that level. But for your kids, you’d best be able to get them up to that level in 5th grade. Which you can do, you know. Our modern protoplasm isn’t inferior to that of rural Florida or California back in the days of World War One…

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The pledge drive ended reasonably well. For those who don’t know what that is, this place operates on the Public Radio model. It’s free but it needs to be supported if it’s going to stay in business. I run my pledge drives when KUSC the LA Classical Music station runs theirs. I don’t bug you about money much except at those times. The drive is ending, and thanks to those who subscribed or renewed. If you haven’t subscribed yet, this would be a great time to do it; and if you haven’t renewed in a while, it is never too late. And that’s enough about money for a while.

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