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CHAOS MANOR MAIL

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Mail 94 March 27 - April 2, 2000

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Monday  March 27, 2000

from: jsiddall@tiscalinet.it

 Dear Jerry, "...Can someone point to a specific resource that will will tell what I have to do to integrate the Macs into our PC network? (I want to plug an ethernet cable from each Mac into the hub and have it all work.) Since we will be phasing out the Macs I have little interest in adding hardware." The following site of Miramar is for PC MacLan, which I have seen works pretty well, with printer sharing too: http://www.pcmaclan.com/products/pcmaclan72.htm I didn't see any reference to an NT Server for the PC's, but Windows NT 4 does the trick on its own as an AppleTalk server quite adequately (giving Macs access to the PC but NOT vice-versa). 

Best regards, James Siddall jr

Dr. Pournelle, First, on Apple and Microsoft systems integration. I worked a printing shop where we had a mixed network such as this. We used an NT server to serve the MacIntosh layout machines and the Windows95 workstations. We added another server as the Windows network grew. MacIntosh services for Windows worked 'good enough' (tm). However, I should explain the problems we did have. Ether-Talk (Apple's protocol) is quite "chatty", meaning it sends out a lot of packets just for the sake of sending packets. It had the tendency to lock up ports on the 3Com hubs we used, so we segmented that part of the network off using a Bay Networks switch. Performance on the MacIntosh side of the network was a little slower. Sometimes, files would "dissappear" and not be visible on the workstations. By moving files around on the Mac Volumes usinf Nt's file manager, they would "re-appear". I am at a loss to explain that.

In this day and age, mixed networks should not be a problem. Especially with TCP/IP. If I had to do it all over again, I would, since it did work so well.

Second, on women and water. Naturally, environmentalists with a feminist bend are going to blame man's lack of environmental concern on men's dominance of women, or some perceived need to dominate women. I am surprised it took this long to come about, but looking at how much more "PC" we are, and how much of a political buzz word the environment has become, such a conference makes sense. Now, if men were to set up some sort of conference with only male speakers and a male theme, how long would it take for the Schools and government to cry foul? And, as far as water and divinity goes, I seem to recall Neptune/ Posseidon rather lacking in feminine features.

To be fair, I did marry a Pisces, and the worst thing I did was move where there was little water. You can take the girl out of the ocean, but you can't take the ocean out of the girl.

George Laiacona III <george@eisainc.com>

I "Guard with jealous attention the public liberty. Suspect every one who approaches that jewel. Unfortunately, nothing will preserve it but downright force. Whenever you give up that force, you are inevitably ruined." - Patrick Henry (1736-1799)

 

I just read the update of the "Ant &; Grasshopper" fable which was forwarded to the Chaos Manor Mail page and I find it more than faintly disconcerting. I am green, yet I do not share the view of that grasshopper, have never supported it, and have worked hard since I was hatched against that mentality. But, because of my greenness, Ants look at me and immediately assume that I am "just like all the rest", that we all can jump several times our own body length, that we all behave like locusts, where ever we gather it's etc. . I am forced to demonstrate over and over that I am not just part of the swarm. To make matters worse, other greens accuse me of being "green on the outside but black on the inside" because I refuse to eat everything in sight but rather choose to save some for later. There is truth to the phrase "It ain't easy being green" and not every cause of the NAAGB is without merit. BUGOTRY IS REAL. In closing I'd just like to say that whether we are Grasshoppers, Black Ants, Red Ants, Aphids, or Cockroaches, we all have six legs and segmented bodies. Why can't we all just get along?

Bugged in N.C.


Dr Pournelle,

You very frequently refer to Robert Heinlein in your mail and columns. I (and possibly others) would love to learn more about your relationship with him. From comments made by you on your website I gather he was a 'respected elder' and that possibly he was known by you from an early age. Could you point me to where I can assuage my interest?

Thanks

Larry Peters

peterslarry@hotmail.com.au

I met Robert Heinlein in 1960, and we were friends until he died. It is a matter of record that I served as his "exec" for his appearance at the 1976 World SF Convention, and that he persuaded his agent to represent my first novel. Mrs. Heinlein and I remain friends. Robert was a private man, and I do not have any stories that aren't pretty well known by everyone. Thanks for asking. There's a bit more on this in my introduction to my novel STARSWARM. 


I just built a bunch of computers using VIA chipset motherboards. They are rock-solid dependable and I have had no problems.

I used Tyan Trinity S1598C2 motherboards with AMD K6-3 CPU chips, Crucial memory modules, and PC Power and Cooling cases with Silencer 275 ATX power supplies. Windows 98 Second Edition and Mandrake Linux both run totally reliably on these computers.

Personally, I care more about the brand of the motherboard than the brand of the chips. Tyan is one of the good brands.

There are many, many places you can find reviews of motherboards. My current favorite is Anandtech.

http://www.anandtech.com -- Steve R. Hastings "Vita est" steve@hastings.org http://www.blarg.net/~steveha

Your experience is much like mine. I have used VIA chipset boards in several machines, and I have no problems with them. The truth is that most major companies make pretty good motherboards, and it's generally hard to tell which is "better". Memory quality is much more important. All this will be covered in the upcoming O'Reilly hardware book by Pournelle and Thompson.


Here's the Sony location for the update:

http://www.ita.sel.sony.com/support/storage/software.html 

Go to the bottom of the page and accept their agreement to get to the update page. The CRX100e update is in the first group. Enjoy.

Q

Alas, no. This says that if you have CDRIGHT 1 it will upgrade it; I have no idea of whether I have CDRIGHT or what. We have that drive, but no idea of whether the software is called "CDRIGHT".  I think Sony is a DO NOT BUY recommend; any company that is paranoid about DRIVER UPDATES on software that can only work if you have their equipment does not have your welfare in mind. They clearly have contempt for their customers. So be it.

 

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Tuesday, March 28, 2000

Hi Jerry,

I've been a loyal reader of your column for a long time now. I do think that your online column seems to have a harder edge. I couldn't imagine you writing about the FBI in a Byte column in, say, 1985. Not that I disagree with you - the War On Drugs seems to have created a lamentable mindset in many law enforcement officers - not to mention a booming prison industry.

What I really wanted to mention is my dismay at what passes for customer support from the computer industry. I would be very interested in any comments (perhaps a column?) about this issue that never seems to improve. Or is this just something I should learn to live with (hope my technical question is covered on their web site...)?

Thanks.

Steve Smith "Computer support for small business" Redwood City, Ca.

Good topic, and I will put that in my notes for things to reflect on. Thanks.

Dear Jerry, I read with interest your last Byte column http://www.byte.com/column/BYT20000321S0001 

You mention the issue of your FBI and DOJ asking for encryption keys etc... and can't be trusted... and all of that did amuse me.

In a recent article the Belgian newspaper Le Soir (French speaking) gave an extensive coverage to a European Union report on your national agencies listening on Europe electronic communications with the help of UK! It even described why the known encryptions widely sold where as good as nothing since half of the key is often in the message header. It certainly makes NSA life easier to read e-mail! I can guess that if NSA is able to read US encryption then other government agencies can do the same and hackers are probably not far behind.

Bottom line: unless you write your own encryption scheme and keep your keys well hidden, anything you write on e-mail can and will likely be read by someone else than the intended addressee.

E-mail should be like normal Post mail, and peeking on Post mail content is a serious offence unless ordered by a judge. May be the way to make things better is simply to have a law which states that e-mail is like Post mail but that would make many agencies very uncomfortable...

Regards / Amitiés Robert Lainé robert.laine@wanadoo.nl  http://home.wanadoo.nl/robert.laine/  Sail &; hull CAD

 


 

 From: Edward Hume <ehume@pshrink.com

 Subj: Cogito ergo sum (Burning City) ____________________________________________________________

I keep cogitating on The Burning City. The Odysseus story--man leaves home for a while, finds wife in need of assistance on return--reminds us how much a civil society frees us up for productive work. In one of your early Falkenberg stories a young man runs afoul of some super-Teflon anti-riot chemicals and is shipped to a plantation planet. He falls in love and ends up escaping the plantation with his woman, but they are captured by human predators. When rescued by Falkenberg's forces, at some point he angrily says he can fend for himself. But one of Falkenberg's troops points out that he was unable to protect his woman. He is not suitable for enlistment as a soldier, but a senior NCO points out that many who are not suited for enlisted ranks make satisfactory officers, and he can pilot helicopters.

The point that he could not protect his woman from bad men has stuck with me for years. In a sense, the measure of a civilization is how much of his own effort a man has to spend protecting his family. The less he does of that, the more he can spare for efforts away from home. Whandall was faced with a choice of either staying home or risking his wife and his children. His attempts to scare away predators by establishing a reputation for ferocity was his attempt to establish a piece of civilization for himself and his family.

To enlarge upon the efficiency theme for a bit, one of the reasons that Beirut was until 1975 the economic capitol of the Middle East was that transaction costs were low: merchants knew that transactions followed certain rules that no one broke for fear of being cut out of commercial life there. In the US we have a weaker version of that in the Uniform Commercial Code.

One of the problems with an unchecked free market is that every consumer must carefully examine each transaction to make sure he is not getting screwed. To the extent that we must protect ourselves in each transaction we reduce other work we can do. Hence, a market without common rules is less efficient than one where everyone has a clear understanding of what the rules are and a clear expectation that they will be enforced.

The Internet needs such rules and such enforcement to thrive. Consumers don't want to have to research each deal. They want simplicity so they can do something else with their time.

There. See where cogitation leads?

Happens to me all the time. Thanks, and stay well...

 

 

 

 

 

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Wednesday, march 29, 2000

Here's a pointer to a review of one of your books.

Regard, Mike Riley

http://www.bookbrowser.com/Reviews/PournelleJerry/princeofsparta.html 

I wouldn't myself call that a 'review'. It's an argument against the book, although an inconsistent one: the chap hates everything about the social order described, although oddly enough he calls it "statist" when in fact the parts he denounces are just the opposite of statism. Very strange. He also seems to think that I somehow derived everything from Asimov, probably because the reviewer knows too little history to know about Plutarch and Suetonius and Pokybius or even Gibbon, so I suppose he thinks Isaac made it all up.

He also somehow imagines that I am part of the Reform Party. All told, this chap seems more concerned with what he imagines my politics to be than with what the book says. In particular he seems to think that if I have an event happen in a book, it is because I advocate that the world go that way.  This is at best an odd view, and in this case completely wrong: my CoDominium series was conceived at a time when the popular view was that the US and the USSR would cut a deal, neither would defeat the other, and the world would be organized around the cooperation of two superpowers, so that we would have neither peace nor war, only a kind of real-politik stability. Henry Kissinger thought that the best we could achieve. I was hoping to point out that there are costs to that kind of social organization; a warning is hardly advocacy. to the extent that I had a lesson in mind -- the first task is to tell a good story -- it would have been a passage by John Stuart Mill in On Liberty, to the effect that a people unable to have a free society should count themselves lucky to have a relatively benevolent dictator: a sufficiently degraded people will be fortunate to find a Charlemange or an Akbar.   But I am sure that is beyond this chap, who sees Senator Bronson as a liberal democrat being destroyed by militarists, and so forth.

Larry Niven once wrote to someone who had written him to complain that a Niven character was not very nice:  "Dear sir, we in the writing profession have a technical term for people who believe that authors necessarily hold all the opinions of their characters. We call them 'idiots'. None of my best friends are idiots. Merry Christmas."

Thanks for telling me, but in general, you may spare me the pointers to "reviews" like that. It's pointless for me to read them, and even more pointless to reply.


 

 

 

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Thursday, March 30, 2000

Dear Mr. Pournelle:

See:

http://www.feedmag.com/daily/dy032800_master.html 

All this says to me is that the private sector can be just as stupid as the public one. I, for one, am not particularly sorry to see Iridium go; it was horribly over-priced for the service it offered to 90% of its prospective customers. It does strike me, however, as a horrible waste.

Kind Regards, Bruce Hollebone: hollebon (at) cyberus (dot) ca

This points to Bruce Sterling's thoughts. Sterling is no fan of space to begin with, and doesn't believe ordinary people will ever go there. Now it is true that George Abbey has used control of manned space missions to make himself more powerful than the Administrator, and to do that has to keep going to space a rare thing reserved to mystical people called Astronauts; if you and I could just buy a ticket it would be all over with NASA JSC, which hasn't done much competently in 30 years.

All this would change with SAVABLE and REUSABLE rockets.  We pointed this out in reports from 1986 on, and the DC/X demonstrated their feasibility. For a  couple of billion dollars, which is chump change, we  could have done a real x program that would finish the technological problems of savable and reusable ships, after which a dozen outfits could build ships that would make the cost of going to orbit under 10 times the price of a first class ticket. Say a 200 pound person, and $2,000 ticket, or $20,000 for 200 lbs, or $200 a pound. I proposed to the Iridium people that rather than use expendables they use half their investment money to develop and test savable, reusable rockets. If they had done that they would now be able to go get the satellites, or replace them cheaply.

Satellites are subject to Moore's Law, and by the time one is in orbit it is obsolete. To make money you need a way to get the satellite into orbit CHEAP, and while $200 a pound is cheap compared to the NASA way -- a Shuttle mission is a billion dollars, and won't put 50,000 pounds into orbit, but say it did, $10**9 divided by 5**e is $20,000 a pound and I have been very generous with the assumptions -- we can in fact knock that $200 a pound down some. Airlines operate at 5 times fuel cost to a rough approximation. Space operations are no more complex, and rockets are as efficient as jet fuel. LOX is cheap. If you say 10 times fuel costs for a pound to orbit that is twice airline coasts, which are under $10 a pound for a long flight (and note that when an airplane takes off for a long flight, the fuel weight isn't 10 times that of structure and payload, but it is equal to it) -- anyway no matter how you slice it, the operations costs are under $10 a pound once the technology matures. Things mature fast.

The big costs to space ops are the costs of the rockets -- you throw them away each mission -- or the costs of operations: airlines have about 110 employees per airplane and half of those sell tickets. The SR-71 program, very high tech, had about 48 people per Blackbird. NASA has 20,000 people to service 8 flights a year. Think on that. there is a reason Shuttle needs that many people, but it is designed into the system, and can't be changed. But you can operate rockets at airline ops costs.  You just have to build them that way.

The short answer is, we need a $ $2 billion R&;D program to build and test fly a X vehicle that takes us toward Savable and REUSABLE rockets; after which a ticket to the Moon would cost about 10 times a ticket to orbit, which would about 5 times the cost of a ticket to Sydney from Los Angeles. And Iridium could be done right using 1999 technology. And make money.

Jerry-

Have you ever read Dean Ing's The Big Lifters, and if so, what is your take on the feasibility of the reusable unit that was designed there? It was admittedly much smaller than the shuttle, not much bigger than a medium sized plane as I recall, and reusable with a pretty cheap fuel source, ignited by lasers. Regardless, your thoughts, if any, on the subject?

Thanks for your time!

-Ryan Greene

I have not read that story, but Dean was at several meetings of my space council when we evolved the DC/X. Many years ago when Boeing was (in my judgment) a better company, the reusable heavy lifter was pre-designed for use with Space Solar Power or SPS. SPS is another concept that would work, and make money, but requires low launch costs, which means SAVABLE and REUSABLE.  There are several paths to savable and reusable.

Savable means that is something goes wrong you can save the ship and its payload; a feasible abort mode. Reusable means you don't throw the ship away after you get there...

 


Jerry, Here is a rather weird web site that should yield a few grins. This one sucked me in far too long.

Check out "www.waytoopersonal.com".

Cheers, Clyde

**********************************

 It always pays to check the facts.

 Weird indeed. I can't say I stayed that long. Fair warning: this is one site that is aptly named.


Dr. Pournelle, I am very late with this, but I have just been catching up with my reading.

You mentioned in February that your sparQ drive was giving up the ghost and that you would have to retire it since they are no longer around. I also own a SparQ and had some minor problems with it in January. I went looking and found they are back in business after a fashion at http://www.syquest.com/

I sent an email to tech support and received an email within a few days, they were able to fix my problems with the email, but did mention that I could return the drive for repair.

I just wanted to let you know about this, since you seem to like the SparQ as much as I do.

Congratulations to both you and Mrs. Pournelle on the birth of your granddaughter (also the proud parents of course), and here is hoping for a healthy &; prosperous year for you and yours.

Mark Gallicchio 

Thanks! I'll look into it. I have always liked that system. But in fact things move on, and DVD RAM is probably better now: holds more, truly removable, and not really a lot slower.


And now for one just because I like it:

Jerry,

Just a comment, liked the photo of wife with grandchild. The infant reminds me of you! (family resemblance) Was thinking about the topic of why grandparents are so fond of their grandchildren -- must be some evolutionary selection sort of thing -- but won't bore you with my cogitations as I'm sure someone else has done a better job of thinking about it.

Incidentally, your current-mail on website has taught me a LOT, most particularly it's teaching me to THINK. I appreciate it and some time when I'm not so hard pressed for funds will send a little cheque along.

Pierre Mihok

That, of course, is what every teacher secretly hopes for. The money helps keep the place open so I won't say it's not important, but it's not the real reason I do all this. Thanks.


 

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Friday, March 31, 2000

It's column time and I lost nearly a week being sick. It's also fiction time. So it is SHORT SHRIFT time on mail for a few days...

I suppose we ought to begin with this:

Jerry, Check out http://apachepda.apacheservices.com/  for a laugh. Check date at bottom of page. 

Kit Case 


Then there is this. I have not looked into it at all:

Well, if what you suspect is true, these folks are breaking the law big time and I don't suppose it'll be long before they end up busted.

Robert Bruce Thompson  http://www.ttgnet.com 

-----Original Message-----

From: Dave Farquhar 

Sent: Friday, March 31, 2000 1:35 AM

To: jerryp@jerrypournelle.com

Cc: thompson@ttgnet.com

Subject: A commercial enterprise that seems to be profiting off Windows'security flaws

Jerry and Bob,

I found something tonight that I really, really wish I hadn't. I was searching for good information on Linux security for the O'Reilly book I'm writing when I found a reference to something called scour.net in a text file that talks about setting up and securing Linux servers.

Now, I don't know if this is as big as the Aureate thing or not. It may be. I'm just not quite sure what to do with it. My first inclination is to post it to my Web site immediately. But probably someone with more than just a single O'Reilly book to his credit ought to look at it before the whistle gets blown. This is, after all, WAY outside of my realm of specialty, and frankly, I find most whistle-blowers annoying.

So, keeping that in mind, here's what I wrote for posting:

A site that needs to be shut down. NOW. Wanna know who's stealing images and MP3s off your hard drive? www.scour.net, that's who. Here's a link that'll give you a smoking gun: http://scour.net/Search/Search.phtml?query=aimee+mann&;index=audio&;protocol=all&;start=31 . 

Click "Download with SMA." Those files are stored on someone's Windows SMB shares!

Now... I dig around and I find this link: http://scour.net/General/Misc/Add_Or_Remove_Site.phtml from which you can opt out--scroll down to "Remove my SMB server from Scour." Resist the temptation to click that link--I just opted out by clicking on that link. We'll see if I really opted in. Fortuntely, I've got a firewall that tracks this junk in addition to denying. We'll see if I in actuality opted in to something. (You'd better believe my Linux gateway has no logical connection to the rest of my LAN now! No, world, you can't have my Leonard Cohen MP3s!)

I found at http://www.ecst.csuchico.edu/~dranch/LINUX/TrinityOS.wri  an accusation (find it by clicking the link, then search for scour.net with your browser's search function) that scour.net may not be exclusively an opt-in type site. They may go looking for you.

This has to be the most pathetic excuse for a commercial enterprise that I've seen yet. We're gonna go find every open Port 137, 138 and 139, hunt down their MP3s and their dirty pictures, then link to them, and profit from using their bandwidth.

-30-

Do you two share my opinion that this could be a major, major problem? Remember, any college student who plugs a Windows box into a LAN and turns on file sharing is wide open to this--and many people set up passwordless accounts. It's legal for me to encode my CD collection, but if I inadvertently share it with the world because these bozos found my unsecured PC, am I liable? Tough question.

Now, even if scour.net isn't hunting people down, they're encouraging people to open their computers up to the world and advertise that fact, which is very, very bad.

Care to comment?

Thanks.

Dave Farquhar www.access2k1.net/users/farquhar 

I will try to look into this after breakfast. Meanwhile, there it is...


Dear Dr. Pournelle; Congratulations on providing yet another shaft of the cool light of American reason for us here in England by providing your SSX concept in a medium I've finally been able to easily access and read. Hurrah! I haven't read much of your "speculative fact-tion" (As I could call it) for years, but the first time I did it was from a book of yours called "A Step Farther Out", that featured a similar piece on Delta-V calculations to that of some of the stuff in the SSX document. It goes a little further than that as I can say with all confidence that it's a good worked example like the SSX document that is responsible for "Getting Me Back Into Math", after years of high-school instilled disgust with the subject. Thanks for providing something that is a good context for us novices to be able to read through!

One good turn deserves another however, so I'm sure you won't mind yet another load of useless stuff to look through like the "Nightmares In Dating" page and the "Overclocked +200MHz 486SX in the freezer" page.

First up I've found an interesting NASA side project (In house, it seems...) in the form of the Pulse Tube Cryogenic Cooling system at NASA Ames: http://ranier.oact.hq.nasa.gov/Sensors_page/Cryo/CryoPT/CryoPTHist.html

This system seems to be even better than a conventional Stirling Cycle unit as it apparently has no moving parts at all. The reciprocating piston and cylinder compressors are apparently the first thing that would be replaced in a scaled-up version (Presumably with some kind of jet-engine with bypass-fan APU) as one of the key functions of the "Regenerator" unit that having emailed an expert, is that it contains a mesh-matrix for smoothing out the vibrations in the gas caused by the reciprocating action, that seems to be perfect for space-applications as it has no moving parts other than the engine and in itself is completely vibration free.

Another website is PATProjects inc. (www.patprojects.org) who are an aerospace historian's group who have constructed a sensational history of the testing of dynamic lifting bodies at Edwards AFB in the 60's-70's, that I'm sure your readers will love as it includes the history and status of the only Pontiac Hot Rod ever built with NASA money.

A final one is a page whose address I've lost I'm afraid, but was absolutely superb as it detailed a Liquid Ethylene fuelled rocket idea, which I thought you could dobutless perhaps add into the "Public roadmap of investigated routes into Low Earth Orbit", that this industry needs to attract private investors. Ethylene according to this text has a theoretical Isp of some 366.9 seconds which according to something else I'd read you can convert into a Km/Second exhaust velocity by multiplying the Isp by 0.0098, coverting that in turn into about 11796 feet per second. (I'm using your inculcated maths skills here! See, the air crackles with raw intellectual power!)

It didn't seem all that impressive until you start thinking about your ideas for operating "Spaceplanes", in the sense of them running just like "Airplanes." Hydrogen is powerful but awkward as everyone points out, and the small bit that I've read of Bob Zubrin's book "The Case For Mars" talks of using Methane as it is the most easy to create, cheapest to store fuel for at least the possibility of economic spaceplanes.

This does seem like a more viable idea, but this ethylene-page pointed out how owing to it's higher cryogenic density and a lower surplus-requirement of oxygen, the entire Ethylene rocket could be built smaller and more compactly for an equivalent level of operational capability. Also it's cryogenic storage temperatures are lower, all contributing to the money saved even without the use of a Pulse-Tube Refrigerator!

Just a thought. - Could it merit an article? I'm studying English at university by the way, you can see how with my mind stuck in the rambling nonsense of 19th century Realists, Dom DeLillo and Postmodernism that it does good to plant your feet firmly back on the ground and look up into space every now and then...

Yours Faithfully

Andrew Mooney, Heathrow, West London

P.S. British Airways here at Heathrow is disappearing into OBLIVION in on a scale and speed not seen since the disintegration of Pan American under General William Seawell, SAC-Nuclear Command, Retired due to wanting to continue to work for SAC, a clear mark of insanity. - This is what us airline economists call getting the government in to do businessmen's work.

Methane/LOX is likely to be the rocket fuel of choice for either single stage to orbit or a kind of two-stage to orbit system. Two stages (both recoverable) has merit, but operational complexity. The ideal rocket flies to space, drops payload in orbit, and flies home, refuels, and does it again: with small ground crew.

Jerry:

I'm still trying to understand decision on Gamma Ray observatory.

* One of 3 gyros failed in December.

* NASA decides in March that its unsafe based on knowledge that they can control with 2 left but if another fails, they can't. Bird is 4 years past planned life so failure of a moving part is a reasonable assumption.

* NASA decides to drop it May 31.

Lets see...

* They should have known before launch that they couldn't control on just one and had it in procedures that if one failed, bring it down now before another fails if they are so worried. What made it any safer or more dangerous between December when they had problem, March when they announced or end of May when they begin to start dropping? They seem to be able to use it on two and are thus are taking risk of another failure for a few months to get all the data they can before dropping it. Either its dangerous or it isn't.

* Report I saw said if second gyro fails, they lose control and it will eventually fall in TEN YEARS or so. This means NASA is admitting they can't count on having anything online within 10 years to capture it or destroy it safely. Nice to know they think they can build a big space station but can't clean up the trash within 10 years. A more cost-effective system would give them a lot more options.

* The Air Force could probably shoot the thing down before then but that might leave more small pieces in orbit and offend people. The Russians continue to find money to sink into Mir as their space station efforts lag. Who knows what they will decide to do?

Meanwhile folks in Florida and Washington seem more concerned about a 6-year-old Cuban boy....

--Jim

Jerry:

You are correct in the amount of people required for one SR71 to operate if it was maintained by the Air force. I remember reading in the book "Skunk Works" (by Ben Rich, Kelly Johnson's successor) that Lockheed subcontracted several Blackbird operations and got by with 9 people. If I remember rightly, a certain Air force General was mighty upset every time Ben Rich mentioned it. It cost less to do it that way, maintenance problems were fewer and it provided a healthy profit for Lockheed. My point being, are we SURE that Iridium wasn't run by the Government? Sheesh. What a waste.

Also, I noticed a link to another "Manor" Page. I particularly like this format and find it more helpful than most newsgroups (since you act as a filter and keep out the crud.) Perhaps a web ring or a links page to other "Manor" type sites that would contain info and interaction on the specialty of the "Gentleman of the Manor." Like Moshe Bar does.

Keep up the good work and write some more fiction, I buy it.... Dance faster!

Marlin Roberts

mroberts@clearwater-research.com

Actually, the Blackbird's 48 people included technical analysts and payload specialists who kept up the electronic and optical surveillance equipment. We can almost certainly operate spacecraft with about 50 people per ship. DC/X had 11 including maintenance technicians and mechanics.


Jerry,

Please recommend a replacement Windows 95 file manager for my trusty Norton Navigator, which the pointy-heads at my office require that I give up as a condition of getting a new Pentium III.

My office file manager needs are simple - just to synchronize word-processing files daily from my office PC and the network hard drive which is backed up. I want only files in a single folder, with all its subfolders, which have changed to be moved from my computer to the network, with new folders being created as necessary.

I don't want to log a whole disk and move it. I just want to sychronize one folder and its subfolders on my local hard drive to a comparable folder/subfolders on a network drive.

The replacement file manager program must be commercially available here in the US and be Y2K compliant.

My oldest has fallen in love with my dog-eared copies of _A Step Farther Out_. We did a tour of Pacific Northwest colleges last August and he took along everything I have by you to read during our two-week road trip. I gave him a copy of your article on writing when we got back. Now he wants to write for a career, preferably military history, science and science-fiction (you and John Barnes being major influences on him in the latter). He could do it too - his verbal SAT was 760. Joe and his identical twin brother Leo are far better writers than I was at their age.

What I found interesting, though, was how _A Step Farther Out_ absolutely ignited Joe's imagination. He is really, really interested in understanding how technology will affect life in the future. We had a great time discussing the possibility of his grandchildren becoming immortal during vacation.

It's fun observing the effect old friends have on my children.

Thomas Holsinger <tomholsinger@hotmail.com>

Drag'n'file from Canyon will do what you want, I think. I use Norton Windows Commander still, but it doesn't understand some right-click stuff in the new windows for launching files. I think Canyon has what you need.

I keep hoping to get Step Farther Our back in print.


You have a terrific site! Thanks for all the thought provoking discourse, and the helpful tips and advice you give. I have to have my "fix" of your site about the same as my "Rush" fix.

I read the very interesting article about the new germ theory. On the surface it made a lot of sense. The problem that I had with it is that it assumes that Darwin was right. "As far as Ewald is concerned, Darwin's legacy is the most interesting thing on the planet. The appeal of evolutionary theory is that it is a grand unifying principle, linking all organisms, from protozoa to Presidents, and yet its essence is simple and transparent. "Darwin only had a couple of basic tenets," Ewald observed recently in his office. "You have heritable variation, and you've got differences in survival and reproduction among the variants. "That's the beauty of it. It has to be true -- it's like arithmetic." It makes assumptions and great leaps of faith without any real proof of evolution. The next paragraph talks about "These Darwinian laws ...". I guess I missed the article about Darwin's theory being proved and upgraded to a Law.

Regards Leroy Ortiz

I suppose it is flattering to be compared to the very popular Rush, but I am not sure what he says lately. I only listen to him when I am in a car in the mornings and that is not very often. Anyway, thanks.

Regarding evolution, there seems to be little to no question about micro-evolution, which is what Cochran assumes. Macro evolution or the Origin of Species is a bit more controversial, at least in its extreme form as pretty well asserted by The Blind Watchmaker. There are some mathematical problems with macro-evolution: some species to get from one to another must have passed through intermediate forms that do not seem very viable. In any event one may postulate that conditions were just right for those intermediate forms to have thrived for the time it took to get from one (surviving or found in fossil form) form to another, then those intermediates vanished along with the conditions that made them viable.

This is certainly plausible, but it is as much an Act of Faith as any religions statement that says there must have been Divine Intervention in the process. After all, the Divine Intervention people have some science on their side too: Schlieman and Schwann, omnia cellula e cellula, etc. Every farmer can tell you about micro evolution, and it is not hard to postulate "survival of the fittest" which is what Cochran is counting on.

Note that I don't say macro evolution is impossible, or has been proven right or wrong, or whether or not I "believe" in it; nor do I find it incompatible with revealed religion. St. Augustine himself speculated that God might have created the universe in "germinal causes" and allowed things to work out from there; religion only requires that you believe God does intervene in the affairs of nature through miracles, not that He does so in the ordinary course of events.  A miracle is by definition NOT part of the natural order but in direct contravention of it. Miracles are also rare, and again by definition beyond the scope of science, which looks for repeatable experiments.

I don't find it takes any leap of faith at all to accept micro evolution. And see below.

Note: Sir Fred Hoyle has several works on the statistical probabilities of macro evolution. Of course my friend Adrian Berry says "Sir Fred is off his head, don't you agree?" I don't have to say: I have not myself been satisfied that all of Hoyle's questions have been answered. 


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Saturday, April 1, 2000

Note: I don't much go in for April Fool jokes.

Dear Dr. Pournelle:

There is yet another flap on censorship. This time Mattel Inc. wants their incompetence hidden from view. Cyber Patrol was poorly encrypted, blocked many legitimate sites, and missed many objectionable sites. I personally cannot find any reason for the law to protect the incompetent from their own mistakes.

Protecting children is an admirable objective, rating with loving Mom and promoting apple pie, but from what? Should we hide the Venus de Milo, ban both movie versions of "The Blue Lagoon", eliminate pictures of women and children in underwear from catalogs, paint loincloths on the nude paintings in the Sistine Chapel, rewrite Genesis 19, or erase the Song of Solomon? All this has been promoted by censors to protect children.

I propose a common sense approach. Children are smart, and understand quickly what is immoral or offensive. After a short look to satisfy curiosity, they go on to more important things, like play. I remember seeing "Beyond the Valley of the Dolls" in a New Jersey drive-in theater. Many children were using the playground equipment in front of the screen. All were ignoring the movie.

Children do have questions. Parents should be able to discuss art, whether visual, verbal, or musical, and point out what is good art, bad art, offensive art, and immoral art. Good art should be enjoyed. Bad art can be ignored or improved. Children should be encouraged to walk away from offensive or immoral art, and not waste their time on it.

Pornography, like most evils, will virtually disappear when the market for it dries up. Denmark demonstrated this. After lifting all bans, the market boomed for about six months, then dropped off to the same hard core of stores and customers that had dealt in it when it was illegal. The law could not eradicate it, but unrestricted viewing made it a non-issue in a very short time. If you want to guarantee a morbid obsession with pornography, just prohibit it. Nothing adds spice to it like exploring the forbidden.

Censorship is an abominable political tool, used by special interests, and with no worthwhile benefits. Censors should receive bastinado for a first attempt and impalement for repeated efforts. I don't want anyone telling me what I can or cannot read or see, and my children and grandchildren take care of themselves quite well, thank you.

William L. Jones wljones@hex.net

Well, you may be right, but you ask for more than you need. Under our Constitutional system, the States have some pretty broad powers, essentially all those inherent in the Crown of England and not prohibited by their own constitutions. One of those powers is at least some form of censorship (although many state constitutions now prevent that) or to allow local censorship. Local censorship in particular has many merits, since it is very likely to be the "consent of the governed". I don't at all mind local ordinances that prevent having big magazine displays of "INSIDE! JOY SPREADS, GIVES HEAD, SWALLOWS!" in the magazine racks across the street from Carpenter school. I can take having the same thing for sale in the back room at Bernie's: anyone going in there knows what to expect. But why should I have to put up with the joys of Joy when I walk down to the Thrifty for a box of teabags?

One need not take a stand against all forms of "censorship" if by censorship you mean what is displayed to the public. And I don't care at all what illicit joys my neighbors may get from downloaded images. If they print them in large format and put them out in the front yard I probably have a different view. One can have a civilized society without minding everyone's business or invading their homes.


Dear Jerry

The HP manual is correct. I was telling my optician that my contact lenses were prone to sticking to my eyeballs after long sessions in front of the monitor. He said that it was a problem caused by the blink rate slowing when concentrating on the screen. It is necessary to force oneself to blink periodically. It also helps to look away and focus on something further away from time to time.

Regards etc. Jonathan Quirk jonathan@quirk.force9.co.uk Hollingworth, Cheshire, UK Don't worry; everything is under controlled!

Sorry to hear it. When I stare at the screen my eyes burn and I blink. I am not sure that having someone tell me to do it would help much, but perhaps. Thanks.


Hi Jerry,

I just slipped the bond of Surely Lawnmower long enough to get a Pournelle fix.

Anyway...Your musings on keyboards prompted me to look down to the ancient beast I'm typing this on. Its an old Northgate, with the function keys across the top AND on the side. I've had this one since you recommended it way back when airplanes still had canvas wings. <ahem> Well, almost that long! Clunky but Good. Is the Ortek also a "high tactile" sort of creature? If so, I'll trust your recommendation and see if I can snag a couple. I don't know how long Ol' Northy here is going to last. Its sibling on my spare computer croaked off about a year ago and I had to <gak> break out the OEM oatmeal thingy that came with it.

Thanks much for the fix!

Thank you. Yes the Ortek has function keys on the side AND across the top, and an extra set of programmable function keys as well. And it's the high tactile click and clunk system that I love. In panic when I thought I had broken my Ortek I ordered two more and I am not sorry.

The Ortek has the control key at the bottom; I find I prefer that now. It is all too easy to hit the control and the A and while in WordStar that merely moved the cursor, in Word that selects everything so that your text vanishes if you hit another key. You can UNDO that, but it's still panicsville when it happens. I don't care for the oversize CAPSLOCK to the left of the A, but I disable it with very stiff foam rubber so that you have to POUND on it to turn it on. The Ortek is the best keyboard I have found that is still in production, although the AVANT STELLAR is a close second (it has the two sets of function keys and the good feel, but no programmable keys.) I have keys that do "I do all these silly things so you won't have to..." at one keystroke, as well as of course signitures such as Senior Contributing Editor, BYTE.com and the like, all with one keystroke. I like that. But the AVANT STELLAR feels very good, and does have the function keys in both places.


I just discovered the ALT mail page.

One thing I miss on that page is a quick way to tell your voice from your correspondent's. I like the red text that you use in MAIL. On alt mail, you seem to be using a smaller serif font for your text and a larger san serif for your correspondent's, but I don't find that enough of a difference.

Greg Goss

I haven't done much with alt.mail in a while and I need to. Next time I get over there I'll use the color scheme. Thanks.


Hi Jerry,

If it's not one thing it's another. The FBI has issued a warning about a virus that's exploiting Windows file shares (in the same fashion as my favorite people, Scour.net), causing damage to files on hard drives and placing calls to 911 if it finds a modem on the system.

The virus apparently creates and contains itself within hidden directories named "chode," "foreskin," and "dickhair," so cleaning a system is a matter of searching for and deleting those directories. But there will undoubtedly be others. This could be the next Melissa.

The best course of action to prevent this kind of activity (both viral activity and SMB spiders) would seem to be to either use a personal firewall like ZoneLabs' ZoneAlarm 2.0 (www.zonelabs.com) or put a PC running some operating system other than Windows (such Linux, OpenBSD, FreeBSD, or NetBSD) between your Windows PCs and the Internet, preferably with that PC running a firewall.

Sad to see such drastic measures are now becoming a necessary part of computing.

The FBI's alert on the virus, issued at 8 a.m. Saturday morning, is at www.nipc.gov/nipc/advis00-038.htm .

Dave Farquhar www.access2k1.net/users/farquhar 

Thanks!


Occam's Razor points to macro-evolution, given the available data; like yourself, St. Augustine, and the Pope, I see absolutely no conflict between religion and science in this arena.

After all, doesn't Genesis fit quite nicely as a handy parable describing our current thesis of how lower forms came first, followed by higher forms?

I think the fundamental problem most everyone at one time or another has with the concept of macro-evolution, including even such an eminence as Sir Fred Hoyle, is that the sheer span of geological time is very, very difficult for we short-lived humans to grasp.

When we state that the Earth is approximately 4 billion years old, we tend to think about the '4', and not the 'billion'.

If we write it out thusly - 4,000,000,000 years - it becomes a bit easier to accept that in such a vast span of time, micro-evolution may cumulatively equate with macro-evolution. If we think of all the solitary events (activity at the cellular and bacteriological levels; meteor strikes; gamma rays passing through; etc.) which transpire all over the world in any given day, and then write out our 4 billion years as approximately 1,460,000,000,000 24-hour days, the premise becomes more plausible, no?

>From my perspective, acceptance of macro-evolution does not by definition insist upon acceptance of a Blind Watchmker - a Master Craftsman fits the bill just as well.

Roland Dobbins <mordant@gothik.org> 

 

 

 

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Sunday, April 2, 2000

Re: Computers dialing 911

Dear Jerry,

"The FBI has issued a warning about a virus that's exploiting Windows file shares (in the same fashion as my favorite people, Scour.net), causing damage to files on hard drives and placing calls to 911 if it finds a modem on the system."

A couple of years ago, the local police showed up at our place of business with guns drawn, scaring the heck (and more) out of my boss and our receptionist. When we assured the police that nothing was wrong, they explained that someone had dialed 911 and hung up. The emergency center then dialed back and got no answer, so they notified the police to investigate an emergency situation. It turned out the phone line that had dialed 911 was our modem line, shared by several computers. One of those computers had dialed 911. At the time, we assumed that the emergency center had made an error, and we joked that one of the computers had dialed the number because its user was mistreating it. It never happened again. Until today, it had never occurred to me that it could have been a virus.

On getting "A Step Farther Out" back in print, have you considered doing an electronic version. I recently purchased the electronic version of "Ashes of Victory" by David Weber from Baen's site (www.baen.com). I wasn't sure that I would enjoy the experience of reading a novel on a video screen, but I read the sample chapters, and it wasn't too bad. It's not as comfortable as lying in bed reading a book, but if you narrow down your browser window to a normal page width, it's okay. In addition, as a fan of the Harrington series, I had the book in my hands a couple of weeks before it appeared in the bookstores. I also took a look at some sample chapters of Charles Sheffield's "Borderlands of Science", which was more comfortable to read on the screen than a novel, because, being non-fiction, it was easier to take a break at the end of a chapter (no cliff hangers).

Regards, Ed Martz dxmachina@aol.com 

We have sent edited copies of Step to Baen. I thought he was reprinting the book, along with a new one, Two Steps Farther Out also made up of my science columns. I had better check with him again. 


You're right, NetBEUI is non-routable, and its reliance on local network topology means it always will be. If I remember correctly, NetBEUI relies on the MAC address of the NIC, and routers don't pass that data.

The workaround was to extract the NetBIOS layer (NetBEUI stands for NetBIOS Extended User Interface) and encapsulate it in another protocol that is routable--TCP/IP was the obvious choice.

NetBEUI is a dying protocol, but its strength is that it's very secure. If security is what you want, it's a good choice, but you'll never be able to do any WAN or VPN work with it, and many of Windows 2000's new networking features require TCP/IP, so NetBEUI doesn't make much sense for business. That may be different for home use, but the fewer protocols you load, the faster your system will perform--and since most games use either TCP/IP or IPX/SPX for multiplayer play, NetBEUI is the odd man out.

In addition, Windows networking always looks for every route to send and receive data, so if your Client for Microsoft Networks is bound to TCP/IP on the PC on your LAN that has the Internet connection, someone from the outside will still be able to see that PC and its shares. So you need to be sure to right-click on Network Neighborhood, select TCP/IP, click Properties, click Bindings, and clear the checkbox next to Client for Microsoft Networks.

Dave Farquhar www.access2k1.net/users/farquhar 


And on Macroevolution:

From: Stephen M. St. Onge saintonge@hotmail.com

Subject: Evolution

Dear Jerry:

The letter from Mr. Dobbins, replying to you and Leroy Ortiz, inadvertently reveals what's wrong with evolution as a scientific theory.

No, I can't emotionally grasp 4,000,000,000 years, or 1, 461,000,000,000 days, or 126,230,400,000,000,000,000,000 microseconds, and neither can Mr. Dobbins. We can work with them mathematically, and when we do, the answer that comes up is that the chance of one organism evolving into a second in the time period available is too low to bother with. The 'sheer span of geologic time' is a red herring invoked by those who resolutely refuse to do the math.

Evolutionists assume that if you don't believe in their story, you must believe in some other story. My favorite example of this is in "Mathematical Challenges to the Neo-Darwinian Interpretation of Evolution," the transcript of a symposium held at the Wistar Insitute in Philadelphia in April of 1966. The mathematicians point out the reasons for believing that random search could not attain the results we see about us in the time period available, and the believers insist that the math must be wrong, because they know evolution as then conceived is true. Finally, one of them loses his cool and angrily accuses a speaker of belief in Divine Creation ('shouts of "No!" from the audience.')

Every culture on earth has a creation story, one that it made up to fill a psychological need (my favorite is HOW THE WORLD WAS MADE by Dorothy Straight, the then four your old daughter of ex-KGB agent and New Republic publisher Michael Straight). When science-the-discipline-for learning-about-nature became Science-The-Oracle-With-All-The-Answers, it needed a creation story, and some version of Evolution is it. If I had to choose, I'd prefer Dorothy's. Her pictures are prettier, and she doesn't try to b.s. me. But I rathered not choose on faith.

Without faith, you have to face the awful truth that we do not know how life began or why it is so diverse. Rather than look in that abyss, most people fantasize.

For what's wrong with evolution as science, I'd recommend starting with the symposium, and looking at Michael Denton's "Evolution, a Theory in Crisis," and Michael Behe's "Darwin's Black Box." But I doubt very many will have the courage to admit ignorance to themselves.

Thanks for the pointer to the picture of Mrs. Pournelle and your new granddaughter. Don't know how I missed it last week, but I did.

Best, St. Onge

Behe is certainly worth your attention. And the abyss does stare back... For that matter, I am unconvinced that Sir Fred is off his head.

 

 

 

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