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THE VIEW FROM CHAOS MANOR

View November 29 - December 5, 1999

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This is a day book. It's not all that well edited. I try to keep this up daily, but sometimes I can't. I'll keep trying. See also the monthly COMPUTING AT CHAOS MANOR column, 4,000 - 7,000 words, depending.  (Older columns here.) For more on what this place is about, please go to the VIEW PAGE.

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If you want to PAY FOR THIS there are problems, but I keep the latest HERE. I'm trying. MY THANKS to all of you who sent money.  Some of you went to a lot of trouble to send money from overseas. Thank you! There are also some new payment methods. I am preparing a special (electronic) mailing to all those who paid: there will be a couple of these. I am also toying with the notion of a subscriber section of the page. LET ME KNOW your thoughts.
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Monday November 29, 1999

Last night's mail has some questions about registration of Microsoft Office 2000. I have certainly opened mine many more times than 50, and I have not registered it. What is going on?

I am going to try to make subwebs of Mail and View for about half of the entries. Front Page is supposed to know how to do this without breaking links, but I am not sure it will work. I had problems last time. We will see.

Does anyone know how to make Front Page 2000 believe a WORD Document in html which is incorporated into a web is in fact something I can edit in Front Page? When I open webstuff.html it opens Word and there it is, in a document editor. Most of the links are good locally but broken on the web since they refer to files. I can I suppose use Notepad and rewrite the code. This was originally created in Word, imported into FrontPage 97 or 98, and now 2000 simply won't deal with it. As I say, I presume I can hack the html, but is there a simpler way?

[Added later: there is indeed a simple way. Several, in fact. See mail for all that. Mail 1   Mail 2

Spoke to Dan Bricklin a good bit at COMDEX. He's revamping Trelix, which looks to be a really good web site manager; that and one of the other html packages, plus Allaire's Homesite editor, would probably be better for site construction and management than FrontPage 2000. On the other hand I have got more and more used to FrontPage 2000, and I see as features stuff I originally thought were bugs. I am not sure I would choose FrontPage 2000 if I were starting from scratch, except that if you are starting from scratch it's probably the easiest thing to use; and by the time you know enough that you could use Dreamweaver or Hot Metal Pro, or Net Objects Fusion, you have a lot of time invested in learning 2000's quirks -- and 2000 did get you on the air very quickly and easily.

Anyway I am still using FrontPage 2000.

I played author over the weekend. Now it's time to be a writer...

Linette is running Red hat 6.1 and I installed it myself, with only two frantic phone calls to Mr. Dobbins. I cannot get it to believe that the STB 4400 board has more than 16 colors, and if I try to set it to more it blows up with a "OUT OF RANGE" signal when I try to open x windows. Every now and then the screen saver reports "Using 16 colors, requested 32" and such like. Linux is still not for Aunt Minnie.

I also had a problem with the Rebel box. As we were sitting here the Modem (Creative Modem Blaster, external of course since it plugs into the Rebel.com box) made funny noises and all the lights but two went out. I power cycled the modem. Usually when you do that, the rebel box redials immediately. Not this time. It did nothing. Meanwhile all attempts to make contact with 192.168.1.1 utterly failed. I finally power cycled the rebel.com  and that didn't do it either. Eventually I connected to it with a keyboard and monitor -- normally it has none and we get to it by TCP/IP internal to the network since it has a fixed address -- and it wanted some input. I had to let it reset and do all the things UNIX wants to do when it has been power cycled, and shut it down normally. Then I did another power cycle. This time it came up just fine, dialed the network, and has been working ever since. I have taken it off the keyboard and monitor and it's breathing normally and I can contact it with TCP/IP now...

  AT&;T meanwhile is taking blooking forever even to answer the phone. The highbinders have decided that they can charge me a minimum long distance "service" charge for NO CALLS AT ALL, and attempts to get them by phone have this arrogant message: "Due to the overwhelmingly positive response to AT&;T offers, all our representatives are busy and there is a half hour wait..."

Those highbinders. I will in fact disconnect from them entirely. But that may take a long time. You can only get them by phone and they don't answer the phone, and they play awful music while you wait. This is unconscionable. We're the phone company. We don't care. We don't have to. 

I keep thinking I ought to write the book about a sociopath who simply can't take it any longer and begins to take out places that are deliberately making life difficult for people. Maybe I can call it SMITE HIS MINIONS, or THE MISANTHROPE. I suspect a novel of terrible tortures of executives of companies that do this stuff to us would make interesting fiction. It's not malice, per se, but at some levels insensitivity and incompetence are indistinguishable from malice. Why treat the stupidly incompetent different from malefactors if they ought to know better?


I have been thinking about Microsoft and registration of Office 2000. Their experiment in Australia is wrong. At the same time in the Orient there is no such thing as intellectual property, and the WTC isn't likely to be able to make China or anyone else enforce copyright. 

I don't think making you register by phone (or presumably on-line) is entirely unreasonable, but then binding that to a specific CPU and motherboard IS. People do upgrade. When they do they are entitled to take their software with them. Realistically, a copy is probably left behind on the old machine, but the chances that both are in use at the same time are slim. That, I think, is what Microsoft and any other software publisher is entitled to: that the program will not be in use by two people at once. 

For example, there is no harm in having Office on both a desktop and a portable at least for an individual. They won't both be in use at the same time, and transferring from one to the other is a pain in the arse up with which most will not put (sort of like trying to avoid ending a sentence with a preposition: you shouldn't but sometimes you have to). A company that doesn't see it that way and tries to make the customer buy two copies when they won't both be in use at once shows it doesn't understand the situation, and will lose out to a company that doesn't try that.

Microsoft can't be that stupid. Word was once the most pirated program in the world; now it is the best selling, and the two events are not at all unrelated. I'm sure Microsoft can think of something better than trying to tie the program to a specific CPU. They are entitled to not have you buy one copy and have ten users all at once...

Over a year ago when I was starting this place I didn't know what I was doing. I still have some problems, but it's better now. Anyway, I had one page called "webstuff" that discussed tools, how to do things, included letters, and was in fact a pretty interesting page for people in the same boat as me. It was created in WORD 97, imported into Front Page, and carried here as a Word document. Some of the links didn't work at all; that is they work here, but they don't work out there where you can see it.

I have tried to fix that. I just now took a blank FP page, and pasted into it all the content from the old page to it. It is called webstuff2 and I will try to see that all the links on THAT work; it's easier since I can do them sort of automatically. We will see what happens. As a record of the kind of floundering I did and others may do, it's illuminating. Like swamp gas...

I have the end of the AT&;T story. See mail. 

And I have been reminded by mail of my older essay on Velikovsky and science, which I just read again. Not too bad, actually.

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Tuesday, November 30, 1999

I get a lot of flak about my Microsoft column, and particularly my use of the word "innovation" with regards to Microsoft. No, they don't often invent things themselves, and in that sense you might say the company isn't "innovative": what they do is find worthwhile stuff, engineer it to be understandable by the people, and stuff it into the operating system. They also devise development tools.

This is covered very well by Jon Udell in a BYTE column:

http://www.byte.com/column/BYT19991119S0001 

and I recommend it to your attention. Before you denounce me on the subject, read what Jon says. Perhaps he says it better than I did.

We had a 3.8 while I was on the phone to Corel about getting their Office Suite going for a TV demonstration. I just kept talking. one sharp shock, epicenter Santa Monica Mountains south of Studio City, i.e. right under my house...

There's another, at 10:43 much smaller.

Minor glitch in Windows 2000: the sounds for ws_ftp32 have ceased. It works fine, and the setting say use sounds, but the sounds are gone. Closing the program has not done it. I suppose next it's shut down and restart. This is still Beta 3 of Windows 2000 Professional, and it does have a couple of other bugs in which things get "stuck" and don't work right.  I am getting RC 3 shortly and will reload with that.

Nope. Restarting didn't do it either. Something is broken...

And indeed the power cord on my speakers was pulled loose. Pournelle's law, 90% of the problem will be cables...

A reminder: I now use Outlook, control-a control-c then paste special to move mail. That works, but the HEADER AND SUBJECT ARE NEVER INCLUDED in this; it takes a separate act to transfer those. SO: If you are sending mail for publication, PUT YOUR NAME AS YOU WANT IT, with or without email address, IN THE BODY of the message, and if you want a subject to show, write SUBJECT: and the subject at top also in the body. Let me repeat, headers do not transfer.


We took a walk today. Before I did I took my pills, and something possessed me to photograph the "morning" collection. It is, I fear, rather impressive, all vitamins and food supplements. One of these days I'll go over what they all are. Are they all needed? Probably not. Which ones are? That is what I am not sure of. The 4 long capsules are Dirk and Sandy's Personal Radical Shield and I do 4 of those 3 times a day. The large round green pills are Great Earth SAMe Plus, which is essentially SAM and some folate. SAMe is a wonder drug, evening out mood swings and yielding high levels of psychic energy. Two of the large ovaloid caps are CoQ10. Those three are the "necessary" ones. Then there is PS, phosphatidyl serine, which seems to help neural connections in people my age. And Cognitex from the Life Extension Foundation (www.lef.org), and vitamin e, and other stuff. Some of this helps: clearly I get a lot done for someone my age. Some of it is probably making expensive urine, but I can afford it.

 

Out on my walk I thought about just how unique my place is. One counts blessings after an earthquake...

Sasha waits more or less patiently at the top of my hill while I watch hawks. The San Fernando Valley is in the background, not that you see it all that well.

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Looking out toward the Burbank Airport. Studio City is below, and Chaos Manor is down there but not quite visible.

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A better view of Studio City. Chaos Manor is still not visible. My wife doesn't want me posting pictures of the house.

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Palaces in  Studio City. There weren't any of these when we moved in. Now everyone is mansionizing and building palaces where the land used to be too steep to build anything. On the skyline to the right you see the house of Dr. C. Irwin Piper, who was City Administrator for a long time. That house and the one to the left have always been there. Shelly Duvall who played Olive Oyl in the Popeye movie used to live there. I don't know who has it now.

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The Studio City hills before the palaces, the way it looked when we moved in. It's still mostly this way, although the mansionizing does continue. I can't complain, of course, since we not only rebuilt in place, but were about the first here to do it...

 

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Wednesday, December 1, 1999

Cleaning up. It is HORRIBLE here just now. And it's column time. I have the concept of the next big battle scene in Mamelukes (Volume IV of the Janissaries series) and I want to write that and get the book out the door. 

Over in mail is the simple solution to the conversion from Word problems, but blasted if I can find it in the FP 2000 documents. Ah well. But the answer is simple indeed.

Just to prove it's really a MESS here:

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Left is inside my office looking out into the Great Hall. Center is looking just left of that to the Telos I use for the TechWeb broadcasts as well as radio interviews if the radio station has a Telos (most do). What that thing does is digitize my voice and send the digit packets through ISDN. On the right is just inside my office looking directly into the Great Hall. The machine on the test stand in the middle of the room is New Squirrel, although that name no longer makes sense, as "Seattle" is now over at Larry Niven's work station. That is just out of view to the left.

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Left is taken from by the bathroom down the length of the Great Hall. The vitamin stash is just in view, then Squirrel with the keyboard on top of the machine. Well off to the right is Linette. Center is about the same view from the opposite direction looking toward the bathroom past Squirrel. Right is the same view from further back, Squirrel on the right, Linette to the left, and the new Windows 2000 system invisible near Linette. The cable room is off to the right but you don't see it. It's an even begger mess than the Great Hall, and monsters lurk in there along with two big NT 4 servers. Well, they were big when I built them. One day I will have to build a new BIG server.

I show all this in hopes people will understand why I don't always get to mail quickly. I hvae to DO all this stuff. "I do all these silly things so you won't have to..." and that takes time and space. But today I throw out about half what you see (not the machines, of course). Some gets donated to non-profits, and some ends up in the Los Angeles Science Fantasy Society gift exchange...


The papers and TV are full of news about WTO riots in Seattle. It's like the old IWW Wobblies days.

Of course the looters are mere opportunists: you can see on TV they are typical urban street people with nothing in common with the AF of L, Teamster, Green, Buccannan, and others of the anti-WTO group. These come out of the woodwork to exploit any unrest, and one needs to be mindful of that in launching protests.

Having said that, I have considerable sympathy with the protestors although they are of a different view about the place of government from me. I think there are terrible social costs to free trade: in exchange for cheaper consumer goods, you export jobs, create anomie, disemploy people who thought their skills in production tool work gave them security, throw from the middle class people who had earned their way into it, and in general promote the foxes over the lions. This is always a dangerous and unstable situation.

I have yet to have an economist, and I know some Nobel winners, explain to me why free trade is all that great a benefit IF YOU CONSIDER THE EXTERNALITIES. Sure. If your goal is the cheapest possible goods, and the greatest possible production, unrestrained free trade is the way to go; but as Burke put it, a nation is more than a joint stock company for the import of tea. For a man to love his country, his country ought to be lovely; and the deserted villages, ruined Mom and Pop stores, Willow Run and Flint and Detroit as bare ruined choirs, manufacturing jobs being exported so that America has no ability to MAKE anything -- these are all costs.  As are the costs of pensioning off people who used to run lathes. 

Worse, much of the technology that makes it possible for cheap labor to supplant American know-how skilled labor was developed in American institutions, often with tax money extracted from those whose jobs are now duly exported. 

If you consider the costs of pensions, retraining, social unrest, and all of that in assessing free trade, is it that big a bargain? I think the case at best is "not proven." In the US we don't allow slaves to make goods, or slavemasters to sell them. In China they do, and for being part of a meditation group you can be enslaved for ten years making consumer goods for Americans to put American workers out of business.  Is this a good thing to do? It certainly gets us cheaper underwear, but at what cost? And what is the good of all our environmental concerns if we merely export the pollution with the job?

If we were forced to have decent schools because companies needed the workers, would we not have better schools? As it is we can simply have terrible public schools and, for a while, export the manufacturing jobs that a better trained work force might do. Is this a good thing? What is the pressure to have better schools for teh average and below average? HALF THE PEOPLE in this nation are BELOW AVERAGE. This is not Lake Wobegone. 

I can't say I have thought everything through, but I am more and more inclined to reject free trade including in North America, and have a 10% across the board tariff on all imports. All. Everything. This is both a REVENUE and a Protective tariff, but it is not very protective. Grossly inefficient industries can't live with 10% protection. On the other hand, it does provide a 10% incentive to leave the job here rather than export it. It provides an incentive for a company to demand that the local schools turn out better trained workers.

The revenue would not be trivial and would allow lowering income taxes, indeed would allow us to eliminate double taxes paid first by corporations and then by stockholders on what is left after corporate taxes are paid. 

As I say, I don't claim infallibility here; but I have watched for years now and I do not believe the benefits of free trade, namely cheaper goods, outweigh the costs. 

See also MAIL.

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Thursday, December 2, 1999

I know I mentioned these to subscribers in a mailing, but I don't know if I told everyone else once I put them in a public place. There are two partial photo reports on my trip to Japan. [1] [2] Some found these interesting.

The World Trade Organization fiasco continues. Briefly, my objections to free trade are the massive social dislocations caused by exporting jobs, and the consequences to the national defense of exporting all the manufacturing jobs. I am not sure I know the remedy. I am pretty certain that subsidies are not the answer: subsidies create lobbies of both the subsidized and the bureaucracy that administers the subsidies, and these form an iron triangle that makes it nearly impossible to end the subsidy.

When I was a lad in the Old South, we learned in school that the difference between the Republicans -- whose rumored existence we were unable to confirm since there didn't seem to BE any in Shelby County, Tennessee when I was growing up there -- wanted protective tariff, while the Democrats were for "tariff for revenue only."  

I have since come to think that sensible. A revenue tariff raises real money, while distorting industry very little if the tariff is across the board. The money can be paid for a Navy and Coast Guard, and revenue collectors, and still have quite a lot left over for defense. Indeed, a country whose major income for the central government is tariff is in good shape, leaving domestic sales tax and income taxes and inheritance taxes to the states, where competition will keep them in line with the services provided. Some people like to live in places where the government is very active. They should be able to do so, just as those who don't want the government to be much -- who want cheap self government rather than government by paid professional civil servants -- should be able to live their way.

"Deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed" is the most powerful statement on government in the history of the world. Taken to its logical conclusion, the goal ought to be to have most people living under laws they agreed to. The only ways to do that are to have universal agreement, or smaller jurisdictions.  Universal agreement is impossible, and the attempt to get it is often pernicious. Smaller jurisdictions was the remedy proposed by the Framers in the Convention of 1787 and having spent a lifetime studying the subject and having got a PhD in political philosophy, I have never come up with a better scheme. Let the States do most of the governing, and people will, if they find the level of government intolerable, move to another. Let the Federal Government confine itself to defense and the administration of clearly agreed national goals.

That's probably Utopian but it's also the country I grew up in. "Don't make a Federal Case of it," was a phrase that had real meaning when I was a youth; there were very few G-men, and we were in awe of a genuine FBI agent coming to our high school. The only Federal official I knew was the County Agent of the Department of Agriculture who distributed books and pamphlets on scientific farming, contour plowing, gully control, pond management, and such other products of research, all extremely useful.

But that was in another country, and besides, the wench is dead.

 

Thanks to Tim Bowser, and yes, I am working on Mamelukes. It's also column time...

 

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Friday, December 3, 1999

Column time. I have some views on the Free Trade issue and some good mail over in mail.

I am reluctantly led to the conclusion that Office 2000 is worth opgrading to. See mail.

 

 

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Saturday, December 4, 1999

It's a bit hectic here, what with holidays and column time and trying to get a novel off the ground. Poor Rick has to take on the Mongols this time. Not just Westmen, who are afraid of the Khan; this time it's the real thing...

I will today send a mailing to all subscribers. If you think you should be on the list and don't get it by Sunday night, first check the badmail page where I will put returned mail addresses, and then send me email saying when you subscribed, HOW you subscribed, your name, and your email name and address. In some cases there is considerable confusion when subscribers send an email address but not their proper name. My subscription lists should be in good shape, but of course things always change.


I wrote all this in the morning. Pair.com has been unable to update my site all day. I am doing this all by hand because pair.com is timing me out and telling my system there is no web out there. There are other problems. I presume this has to do with their move to another location. If you find things weird here for a while, it's probably temporary.

I have sent the mailing to subscribers. I haven't got many returns, but I'll put the ones I have in badmail tomorrow.

The Linux box works. The Rebel Linux box works. Everything seems to work. And it's still column time...

 

 

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Sunday, December 5, 1999

Bad night for the net last night. Servers all over the country were overloaded. Including for my site at Pair. Ah well.

Linux box continues to work, Rebel.com box works splendidly, and we're doing new systems.

For a really good answer to my economic arguments, see MAIL. One of the better letters, from an economist who takes discourse seriously.

I find you can pre-order The Burning City from Amazon. By all means... The Burning City will come out in March.

There is a very good comment by Safire on the WTO mess:

from http://www.nytimes.com/library/opinion/safire/120699safi.html  (free

subscription required)

 

 

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