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Monday, August 6, 2007

 We are still at the beach house. I am doing an experiment: I am combining the VIEW and MAIL pages into a single page. They will continue to be treated as if they are two linked but separate pages, but now they are physically one and only one page.

The reason they were separated to begin with was that when this place started nearly everyone including me was on dialup, and I wanted pages to load fast. Even though my pages are primarily text, the slow dialup speeds in those thrilling days of yesteryear made page loading take long enough to discourage; so I split them into two different pages. Most of us have high speed connection now, and even those on dialup are not stuck with the slow speeds we had then; so that particular reason for having two pages is gone.

I am combining them in part because various systems that rate site popularities are confused by my plethora of pages. Few web logs are constructed as mine has been -- after all this was done long before there were any blogging tools, and I had to invent a lot of this from scratch, using FrontPage largely through inertia. Apparently my habit of writing short essays in reply to mail splits my "authority" and popularity ratings in about half or worse. I don't know if this will change anything. I am not even sure I care since I am not contemplating inflicting advertisements on you. My few ads are quite discreet, and in the case of the nasal pump add that I keep at the bottom of the page and run periodically,

I do it as much for public service as anything else; I get about $400 a year from Health Solutions since they do send me a finder fee for purchases made through my web site. That wasn't my idea. I used the pump, use it now, endorse it, and when some of you asked how to get one I put that in the site; next thing I knew, Health Solutions sent me some money and this link.

Clearly, the reason I can keep this place going without advertisements is your subscriptions, and if I seem to be harping on that theme a bit lately, apologies. I do thank all those who have recently subscribed or renewed.

Anyway, we will try combining the pages and see what happens. They are linked, and I think I have made navigation between them as simple as it ever was. The day tags at the ends of view days link to the corresponding day in mail, and vice versa. I will probably improve these links as time goes on; suggestions welcome.

Combining the pages will also make it marginally easier for me to upload all this.

============

This is a repeat from Sunday View:

Someone sent me this story. It is worth your time to read.

 http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Read.aspx?
GUID={40808D76-94C4-444C-9CCC-1BC4D77D5098}   

=============

And while this belongs in Mail, I'll put it here:

Subject: How to Get Your WebSite Ranking Up.

Dr. Pournelle, the quickest and easiest way I can think to increase your links on the web is to encourage users to add a link to the site in their blogs and forum signatures. Many people belong to several forums and put links to sites they endorse at the bottom of their posts. A large portion of your readership would be happy to do this for you and you should even get some traffic from it.

James Renner

Which may or may not be true. It is probably the case that links count; it's also the case that what is said here isn't all that popular with some segments of the country. Ah well.

And if you missed Friday on how to teach your kids to read, go back and look for it.

========

Roland calls attention to this:

http://www.amazon.com/b/ref=sc_fe_c_1_3435361_1/
105-7663179-3952429?ie=UTF8&node=342430011&no=
3435361&me=A36L942TSJ2AJA

A long time ago, Dvorak and I conceived of a reviews site to be called Discontinuity, on which we would rate stuff and argue over our ratings. We thought people might pay a dime or so per visit to that site. We even had some art work, and we did a bit of experimenting with it, but we didn't have any means of collecting the money. "Millicent" was still thought to be viable at that time and that would have worked, but it never found a banker to run it. Over time we each did our own things, and Discontinuity never happened.

At that time the subscription model wasn't working -- people didn't seem to subscribe to web content. Most still won't although I do get enough subscribers to keep this place open. When we contemplated Discontinuity we each had a couple of hundred subscribers through the magazines we did columns for, and we had hopes of generating enough income to be able to hire people to maintain the web site and do some of the administrative work; after all, a dime a week from 100,000 people adds up to a fair amount of revenue. Alas it never happened.

Anyway, Amazon is changing things and this need thinking about. And I keep reminding myself that my primary work is fiction, and Inferno II is the current project, with Mamelukes close behind it.

========

I seem to have got the routing snarfed up, but I think I have it fixed now. Of course what I did made it impossible to find this page, but perhaps that has been fixed as well.

==========

Comes now the question: do you generate more CO2 walking to the store than driving there? It's not so obvious as you think.

==========

Bob Thompson suggests I combine View and Mail in each day's entry. I like that notion and I will probably do it. It does mean that the MAIL WARNING has to be made prominent somewhere at the top of this page. There's entirely too much clutter up there at the moment. I need to think much of this out.

=============

And tomorrow we will be going home. We'll be leaving this:

on the Bay side and this:         on the Pacific side. For Los Angeles. On the other hand, Sable is there and wonders where we've gone. It's time.

 

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Tuesday, August 7, 2007   

I seem to have managed to miss the first episode of The Company. I had intended to see it, but apparently we didn't find it properly with the TV guide. I can't find when they plan to rebroadcast it, either. That's very annoying.

We'll be driving back to Los Angeles leaving here a bit before noon.

===============

Home safe.

==========

http://www.boston.com/news/globe/ideas/
articles/2007/08/04/the_downside_of_diversity/

The downside of diversity

A Harvard political scientist finds that diversity hurts civic life. What happens when a liberal scholar unearths an inconvenient truth?

===========

My attempt to consolidate View and Mail doesn't seem to be working; at least a number of you don't like it much. I'll next try putting Mail and View in the same day box and see if that works.

 

 

 

 

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This is a day book. It's not all that well edited. I try to keep this up daily, but sometimes I can't. I'll keep trying. See also the weekly COMPUTING AT CHAOS MANOR column, 8,000 - 12,000 words, depending.  (Older columns here.) For more on what this page is about, please go to the VIEW PAGE. If you have never read the explanatory material on that page, please do so. If  you got here through a link that didn't take you to the front page of this site, click here for a better explanation of what we're trying to do here. This site is run on the "public radio" model; see below.

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Tuesday, August 07, 2007

09:43 PM

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Monday  August 6, 2007

Harry Erwin's Letter from England

It's August...

Lab gets foot in mouth

<http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6931639.stm>

<http://observer.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,2141897,00.html>

<http://tinyurl.com/34ob2q>

<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/05/

nfandm105.xml>

<http://tinyurl.com/2u7aky>

Afghanistan

<http://observer.guardian.co.uk/world/story/0,,2141901,00.html>

<http://tinyurl.com/2pj4g4>

Assault rifle stories

<http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/08/03/gun_dork_history/>

<http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/08/03/reg_meets_kalashnikov/>

<http://tinyurl.com/39ch6n>

<http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/08/03/ak_47_60_years/>

Epilepsy and TV

<http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/08/03/epilepsy-

trggering_advert_allowed/>

<http://tinyurl.com/2uekaq>

War on the streets of London

<http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/london/6931539.stm>

Drug spending

<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/03/

nhs103.xml>

<http://tinyurl.com/3yw52r>

<http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/health/

healthmain.html?

in_article_id=472613&in_page_id=1774&ICO=HEALTH&ICL=TOPART>

<http://tinyurl.com/2nfrle>

Lake Wobegon in England

<http://observer.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,2141868,00.html>

<http://tinyurl.com/274ycc>

The Murray drought

<http://observer.guardian.co.uk/magazine/story/0,,2140121,00.html>

<http://tinyurl.com/2zkbqp>

"Kidnapped" Filipino workers build American embassy <http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/iraq/article2199263.ece>

<http://tinyurl.com/25zwb2>

Gardening in Germany

<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/global/main.jhtml?xml=/global/2007/07/31/

gardening-in-germany.xml>

<http://tinyurl.com/ysuoul>

I'll be in Washington DC next week, so the next Letter from England will be in two weeks.

--

Harry Erwin, PhD, Program Leader, MSc Information Systems Security, University of Sunderland.

<http://scat-he-g4.sunderland.ac.uk/~harryerw>

Weblog at: <http://scat-he-g4.sunderland.ac.uk/~harryerw/blog/index.php>

===========

'A teenage science student has been banned from applying for a training programme with the Environment Agency because she is white and English.'

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?
in_article_id=473249&in_page_id=1770&in_page_id=1770&expand=true

-- Roland Dobbins

Is anyone astonished? We will see considerably more of this. Until -- until when? How does this scenario end?

== And on that subject:

The country that used to exist.

http://tinyurl.com/yquub4

- Roland Dobbins

==============

Subject: Inferno

Which reminds me…

A good friend of mine, Larry, took his family to the Florida Beaches in early June for vacation. His 17yo son brought 4 friends as guests. Larry notices one of the young men reading a book (hardcover!) and inquired as to the title. He was shocked to learn that the book was Dante's Inferno, but assumed it was a summer reading assignment. To Larry's amazement, it wasn't - the young man had been impressed over the past school year by a teacher who referenced Inferno throughout the year during lessons. To be fair, all the boys attend an all male catholic school, but it still shows how influential a teacher can be, in general, during the course of teaching. The teacher's enthusiasm translated into motivation for the young man to LEARN or at least understand what the teacher was referencing.

The rest of the story is that Larry challenged all the other young men (and himself) to read Dante's Inferno during the summer and as a reward he'd take them all to Sullivan's Steakhouse for dinner to discuss the book, upon completion. All took up the challenge. One young man gave up midway through the book, but Larry is treating the other 4 to steaks next week.

David Couvillon
 Colonel of Marines; Former Governor of Wasit Province, Iraq; Righter of Wrongs; Wrong most of the time; Expert in TV Remote manipulation; Chef de Hot Dog Excellance; Collector of Hot Sauce; Avoider of Yard Work

==========

Phonics, Whole-word And Whole-language Processes Add Up To Determine Reading Speed, Study Shows

Science Daily - Reading specialists have often pitted phonics against holistic word recognition and whole language approaches in the war over how to teach children to read. However, a new study by researchers at New York University shows that the three reading processes do not conflict, but, rather, work together to determine speed.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/08/070801091500.htm 

Bill Shields

Hardly astonishing. And do see my short screed on reading.

========

Subj: Never Bring a Notebook to a Computer Fight

http://fallbackbelmont.blogspot.com/2007/08/never-bring-notebook-to-computer-fight.html 

>>Wired reports that "DefCon, an annual underground hacking convention in Las Vegas, [which] has a strict policy against filming conference attendees" infiltrated Dateline NBC with a mole of their own and outed the Dateline NBC infiltrator themselves. "NBC's mole, Michelle Madigan, ... bolted out of the conference hotel with about two dozen reporters with cameras and others chasing after her -- in the manner of an NBC Dateline To Catch a Predator episode." ...<<

Rod Montgomery==monty@starfief.com

Heh.

=========

And now THIS disturbing thought:

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/science/article2195538.ece 

Walking does more than driving to cause global warming, a leading environmentalist has calculated.

Food production is now so energy-intensive that more carbon is emitted providing a person with enough calories to walk to the shops than a car would emit over the same distance. The climate could benefit if people avoided exercise, ate less and became couch potatoes. Provided, of course, they remembered to switch off the TV rather than leaving it on standby.

The sums were done by Chris Goodall, campaigning author of How to Live a Low-Carbon Life, based on the greenhouse gases created by intensive beef production. “Driving a typical UK car for 3 miles [4.8km] adds about 0.9 kg [2lb] of CO2 to the atmosphere,” he said, a calculation based on the Government’s official fuel emission figures. “If you walked instead, it would use about 180 calories. You’d need about 100g of beef to replace those calories, resulting in 3.6kg of emissions, or four times as much as driving.

“The troubling fact is that taking a lot of exercise and then eating a bit more food is not good for the global atmosphere. Eating less and driving to save energy would be better.”

Jon

I have not checked the math, but it's not entirely unreasonable. High temperature reactions have different efficiencies from the relatively low temperatures of metabolism. Interesting. I am sure we'll have more on this...

==

Global Warming,Agriculture et al

Hi Jerry

I have just come across your site and certainly enjoy it, though I know your writing very well, been at early fan.

I have been maintaining a blog on the subject of Global Warming and Agricultural solutions in for the past several months. It is becoming quite rich in postings and you may wish to share it with your audience as I suspect that they will respond well.

See: http://globalwarming-arclein.blogspot.com <http://globalwarming-arclein.blogspot.com/

What got me going on this, is that I sat down and produced a manuscript titled Paradigms Shift which covered a wide range of new ideas and interpretations. It is really the basis for several books in the conventional form. One chapter introduced the tools needed for global terraforming. Needless to say this quickly led to the creation of my Blog, which will likely lead me into generating another manuscript. At least this is a little more entertaining.

By the way, in another life I took a degree in applied mathematics specializing in relativity. This tends to make me somewhat too rigorous in my thought processes.

Regards

Bob Klein (Arclein)

==========

And another thing to worry about

Piercing The Golden Shield, 

Jerry

This story is about The Great Firewall of China:

http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htintel/articles/20070805.aspx 

Most important is the training their Internet engineers are getting. Few know it, but it is the excellence of training that makes our military as successful as it is. That the Chinese seem to be doing this intensive training in cyberspace is ominous, to say the least.

Ed

How truly good. There are novels in there...

==========

And this from Sue

What Schools Don't Teach

From the Chronicle of Higher Education issue dated August 3, 2007

http://chronicle.com/temp/email2.php?id=FQBWRhzWHRB5nv4ZrgccKqpWxfG5p6tj 

Schools Are Leaving Some Subjects Behind

By MATT PETRIE

As schools spend more time teaching English and mathematics, which are tested under the No Child Left Behind law, time spent on other subjects has dropped by as much as a third, says a report released last week by the Center on Education Policy.

The study, based on a survey of 349 school districts and interviews with officials of 13 others, found that 62 percent of the districts reported spending more time teaching English and mathematics in elementary schools since 2002, when No Child Left Behind was enacted. But to accommodate the increased time spent on English and math, 44 percent of the districts had cut time devoted to other subjects or activities, such as social studies, science, art, and music, and lunch and recess.

The decreased time spent on those subjects or activities amounted to an average of 141 minutes per week, or nearly half an hour per school day, a 31-percent reduction since the 2001-2 school year.

The results indicate a "narrowing of curriculum" from elementary through high school, the long-term effects of which are unknown, said Jack Jennings, president of the Center on Education Policy, a research group in Washington.

"It may be a trade-off," he said. "In the best of circumstances, kids could be better prepared in math and reading. In the worst-case scenario, they could be weaker in science and social sciences."

Shifts in curricula were more prevalent in districts that have struggled to meet No Child Left Behind standards and have been identified for improvement under the law, the report says.

The report is available on the center's Web site (http://www.cep-dc.org) .

http://chronicle.com

 Section: Government & Politics Volume 53, Issue 48, Page A20

Sue

===============

 

 

 

 

 

==d

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Tuesday,  August 7, 2007

My husband Paul showed me the comment on the "battle of phonics vs whole language reading." As a first grade teacher I used that wonderful and well labeled reading program called "the eclectic method." That meant that I taught each child according to his or her own skills and methodology. I also discovered that (anecdotally speaking) a child who reads before first grade seemed to be a whole language reader, and those who had to be taught needed phonics. In most of my classes of 32 first graders (later 20 thanks be to CA ed code) approximately 30% were sight readers, 65% were phonics readers and the others (one or two per class) needed other outside resources. No sight reader ever lost by learning phonics also.

When the pullout reading specialist at my first site discovered that I was bootlegging phonics (during one of the whole language only eras) by using songs from Sesame Street--You take a c, that's K and an a t at, you put them all together and they spell cat--she slipped me a wonderful phonics system called "Letters are Signs for Sounds." We used that "just for fun" just in case an unsympethetic administrator walked through.

My site's principal figured out what I was doing that first year and channelled several children who needed phonics to learn to read, into my classroom and swapped out a couple of fluent readers for them. It didn't bother me, because he told me that all he expected was a year's growth in skills in a year from whereever they started academically.

I am a strong proponent of the Eclectic Method of teaching reading.

Velma Hampson

About half the children in any reasonable group will learn to read given any rational instruction at all. A third will learn to read without any real instruction: just knowing that it's possible will do it. Macaulay learned to read by standing in front of his father as his father read Evening Prayer following the text with hid finger. Alas, for a year he could only read upside down.

Of the half remaining, about half those will learn to read given some instructions that include clues that let them learn to decode words.

It's that last quarter that take a lot of work, and without work never will learn to read.

English can be taught as if it were Chinese or ancient Hieroglyphics, but that seems pointless. Ideographic writing isn't easily learned by everyone. Again most of the natural readers can learn ideographically, but many others are condemned to a long and hard study to acquire something that everyone can learn in 70 lessons or so.

The point of systematic phonics is that it doesn't harm anyone; and it lets everyone learn how to attack words like polyethylene and antidisestablishmentarianism. We read largely by word recognition once we know a word; it's that first encounter that requires phonics. Whole language instruction encourages guessing, and that makes for sloppy reading when wording is important.

=========

Man does not live by beef alone

Walking versus driving...carbon emissions. Only ~28% by dietary energy of the mean American diet is animal based and only ~5% is beef. Most other dietary components would seem to have a significantly lower carbon footprint than feedlot beef. Further, if comparing "all inputs" in the carbon footprint for beef, one should do the same for auto travel and not simply count fuel. Thus, all energy inputs to constructing and maintaining the vehicle (down to the car the factory worker drove to work if you want to be as absurd as the people detailing ag fossil fuel use); all energy inputs for replacing consumables such as oil and tires and brakes should be included, as well as the inputs of asphalt paving, etc. If one considers 2ndary effects, then walking increases health, reducing healthcare consumption and carbon footprint, but increases lifespan increasing footprint, and decreases weight which reduces fuel consumption in both transportation modes!

Best, Ben A. Pedersen, P.E.

What puts out the most CO2: eating the corn, or turning it into ethanol and burning it in an internal combustion engine?  I expect I could figure it out, but I am sure someone will do it before I get a Round Tuit.

========

"I'm going to see what I can do to send every single illegal alien back home."

http://washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?
AID=/20070806/NATION/108060046/1001&template=printart

--- Roland Dobbins

========

Jerry

"Spengler" notes that Christianity is growing hugely in China:

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/IH07Ad03.html 

He also reports, "[S]ome Chinese evangelicals and Pentecostals believe that the basic movement of the gospel for the last 2,000 years has been westward: from Jerusalem to Antioch, from Antioch to Europe, from Europe to America, and from America to China. Now, they believe, it's their turn to complete the loop by carrying the gospel to Muslim lands, eventually arriving in Jerusalem. Once that happens, they believe, the gospel will have been preached to the entire world."

An underlying reference: Jesus in Beijing: How Christianity is Transforming China and Changing the Global Balance of Power - http://www.amazon.com/dp/1596980257/ 

This promises to be interesting.

Ed

=========

Subject: Social Engineering - A Lesson for the Western World

Dr. Pournelle,

A thought on one of Professor Dobbins letters:

"PATH National's organisational development manager, Mary McDowell, said: "The "White Welsh", "White Irish" and "White Scottish" is a technicality in law - if they are a minority, they are entitled to places on these schemes - they are not part of the majority group, which is "White English"."

Upon first examination, this seems like nothing more that the self-induced reverse discrimination that it is. In the larger longer-term context, this is social engineering: akin to the forced migrations in Poland / Germany / Ukraine following WW2, while at the same time being a forced version of the 'melting pot'. The English will have to seek jobs in Ireland Scotland and Wales; the Welsh in England, Scotland and Ireland, etc. In the middle term, the only people who will have an advantage shall be the ethnically different minorities (Arabs, South Asians, Afro/Caribbean), as they continue to grow and refuse to assimilate - claiming minority status at the national level while actually becoming a majority at the local level. As such, they will come to constitute the bureaucracy. In the longer term, English, Welsh, Scottish and Irish shall cease to have meaning as they become one through bureaucratic force, and thus become the majority lower class. South Africa in reverse.

Not necessarily the direct replacement through fear and violence as discussed in the Sweden link from last week, but no less effective. Perhaps the Iron Law will stagnate and corrupt the minorities before there ceases to be an England?

Regards, Peter Czora

========

Light Sabers and Education

This is from the Wall Street Journal's _Best of the Web:_

Yankee Ingenuity <http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,292271,00.html

'Fox News reports on a nifty new weapon:

It looks like a big flashlight--but it's really a nonlethal weapon designed to make you sick.

Intelligent Optical Systems, Inc., of Torrance, Calif., has been granted a contract by the Department of Homeland Security to develop what it calls the "LED Incapacitator," according to a DHS online newsletter.

The handheld device using light-emitting diodes to emit super-bright pulses of light at rapidly changing wavelengths, causing disorientation, nausea and even vomiting in whomever it's pointed at.

"There's one wavelength that gets everybody," says IOS President Bob Lieberman. "Vlad [IOS top scientist Vladimir Rubtsov] calls it 'the evil color.' "

It looks a little like one of those "Star Wars" light sabers: Use the Force, Puke--uh, Luke.' http://www.opinionjournal.com/best/?id=110010439  http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,292271,00.html 

Are death rays next?

=============

On Education

And This is extracted from a Letter to the editor of the Wall Street Journal a couple of days ago:

Lowest average combined GRE scores, by profession: 1. 896: social work

2. 913: early childhood education 3. 928: student counseling

4. 933: home economics education

5. 934: special education

6. 950: education administration 7. 965: public administration 8. 968: education (other)

9. 970: elementary education 10. 985: education evaluation & research 11. 993: social science (other)

| | |

?. 1063: secondary education

M. 1066: overall mean across all fields

So, eight of the 11 lowest GRE scores (July 2001 - June 2004) are in education fields, assuming that the figures are correct. And budding young bureaucrats are one of the others. The =outlier= education score is all the way up at the middle of the curve. Now, it may be that the numerical differences in mean scores are not statistically significant or not of practical significance. It may also be that the GRE does not test what is important for being effective in these fields. (We could make a case that early childhood educators need empathy and a caring disposition more than the ability for close reading of texts or factoring formulas.) And it is always worth remembering that "half of everything is below average." ETS "norms" the scores so that the overall mean is in the close neighborhood of 1000. Still, it is a little startling to find almost the entire left-hand tail of the bell curve "occupied" by educational occupations.

Mike

I would agree that in elementary education, temperament and dedication are far more important than sheer intelligence. The opportunities for those out to the right of the bell curve in graduate studies are likely to be much higher than those on the left side, partly influencing decisions.

As to social work, surely no one is astonished. See my essay on The Voodoo Sciences.

=========

High Voltage Cable Inspector

http://video.yahoo.com/video/play?
gid=171236&b=3&vid=814499&p= 

Mike Broderick
Oklahoma City, OK

Don't watch this if you're squeamish!

========

Subject: The Company

You can view full episodes of The Company on the TNT web site:

http://www.tnt.tv/series/thecompany/

Most of the networks are doing this now with at least some of their shows. I hadn't heard about this one until you mentioned it. I'll have to watch it when I have the time. TNT, along with USA Network and other cable outlets, are producing quality programming -- something the broadcast networks are sorely lacking since the rise of "reality" tv.

Joe Shockley

Actually no. It's all teasers. At least I could find no way to view the first episode. I could legally have taped it since I pay for TNT, but I didn't know when it was on (my fault I suppose).  I'm even willing to watch the commercials (except apparently it was commercial free). But there does not seem to be an on line stream. I know something about what was going on in those days and I would find it interesting to watch. And I think Keaton may be our most underrated actor.

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