{"id":26668,"date":"2015-09-16T23:49:44","date_gmt":"2015-09-17T06:49:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/?p=26668"},"modified":"2015-09-16T23:49:44","modified_gmt":"2015-09-17T06:49:44","slug":"story-conference-day-scrivener-debates-and-when-is-a-clock-a-bomb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/story-conference-day-scrivener-debates-and-when-is-a-clock-a-bomb\/","title":{"rendered":"Story Conference Day, Scrivener, Debates, and When  is a clock a bomb?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p align=\"center\">Chaos Manor View, Wednesday, September 16, 2015 <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"> <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p>  <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"> <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p>  <\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m doing this from the back room before I go to bed. Swan seems to be working well, but it\u2019s also Windows 10. So far so good. <\/p>\n<p>Today was story conference day, and it was a bit stormy but productive. I think we are on track now; there was in the plot a pacing error \u2013 I think it was, anyway. Important things happened while our main characters could not be on stage; I think we fixed that. And we sure have some great aliens, and a powerful story line. <\/p>\n<p>Had a good talk over lunch, and it was a good lunch. Came home to find the next Logitech K360 keyboard had come, and I took it upstairs to install. That went easily, but Word is driving me nuts. It\u2019s trivial, and hardly affects what I write in the fiction station, but it annoys me. Does anyone know \u2013 know \u2013 how to set up and control Word 2010? Particularly autocomplete? I have 2013 on this machine, and I\u2019ll play with that later, but upstairs is an older Word. And when I I was up there I\u2019d do F1 for help, and it tells me to do things that aren\u2019t possible \u2013 it gives me commands that aren\u2019t where they are said to be. Often where they were on an older version, but not now. Specifically, when I try to set up autocomplete I\u2019m told to go to Insert on the ribbon and select autocomplete; but autocomplete isn\u2019t there. Another time it tells me to go to File \/ Tools, but there is no tools there, only options. I know you can set Word so that when you type in the first few letter of the day of the week it offers to complete it if you press return, and if you type in Wednesday comma it offers to complete that to Wednesday, September 16, 2015; Word 2013 just did that although I didn\u2019t turn the feature on, and I don\u2019t know how to control it; I\u2019ll experiment later. But it\u2019s sure frustrating. <\/p>\n <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> \n<p>The debates were fairly dull. No one did brilliantly, but no one came off badly. Trump continued to be the man who would change things because they are now broken, and even if he doesn\u2019t know exactly how, he gives the impression that he\u2019d go in the right direction \u2013 less government. Get rid of it if it\u2019s not obviously doing good, fund defense and less funding for entitlements. Eight years of hope and change have given us a huge debt and we still have bunny inspectors, and we are never going to get rid of them despite Obama\u2019s promise of laser like line inspection of appropriation. The answer to anything is more regulation and more government supervision; we\u2019d do well to have some one who sees it the other way, automatically stop doing it if you can\u2019t show the good. Stop borrowing money to pay bunny inspectors and offices full of regulators thinking up new reasons why you don\u2019t want to hire anyone &#8212; but that\u2019s sort of a dream, isn\u2019t it? But I don\u2019t see anyone up there who would go through those offices saying \u201cYou\u2019re Fired!\u201d except Trump. And who\u2019d build am actual wall. He may be a clown \u2013 they all say he is \u2013 but he might actually do something. It\u2019s for sure the Speaker and the Majority Leader and the Whips, and the Chairmen and all the country club Republicans won\u2019t DO anything and generally won\u2019t even talk about it. Obama promised the Left lots of Hope and Change, and he\u2019s doing it at enormous cost \u2013 each of you, every one of you \u2013 owes the government 5% of everything you make for the next 20 years, and that\u2019s for debt, not for running the government. <\/p>\n<p>But of course nobody\u2019s going to elect Trump. And the Republicans will find a new Bob Dole for us. <\/p>\n <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> \n<blockquote>\n<p>Scrivener <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bitsdujour.stacksocial.com\/sales\/scrivener-2?utm_source=bitsdujour&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=2015-09-11_bitsdujour_scrivener-2&amp;utm_content=scrivener-2\" class=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/bitsdujour.stacksocial.com\/sales\/scrivener-2?utm_source=bitsdujour&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=2015-09-11_bitsdujour_scrivener-2&amp;utm_content=scrivener-2<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Scrivener licenses for half-price, if you want to check it out. I\u2019ve got it on one machine here but haven\u2019t found the occasion to really make use of it. I may try to see if it makes some parts of The Evolution of Political Thought easier to lay out. Likewise if the updates to Strategy of Technology get done and can be integrated. If nothing else, the support for tables is a critical item missing from Atlantis Word Processor, which is what I\u2019ve used up until now to produce EPUB files. <\/p>\n<p>Eric<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Right.&nbsp; I keep hearing good stuff about scrivener.&nbsp; Does it have autocorrect? <\/p>\n<p>Jerry Pournelle <\/p>\n<p>Chaos Manor <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; It wouldn\u2019t replace Word but rather be a place for writing down and organizing all of the bit of info that go into making a book or novel. My interest in it is whether it is strong enough of a formatting tool to be useful for e-book creation. I\u2019m still in the process of figuring out how to test that. I was starting to read the manual but got distracted and have yet to go back. What I\u2019d really like and would pay a decent price for is a replacement for Sigil. Sigil itself appears to be in limbo, with the blog site last seeing an entry in mid-June. So I keep an eye out for something that might be comparable or even better.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Eric <\/p>\n<p><b><\/b> <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; I wish there was still some way to get the MS Office team\u2019s attention. It\u2019s apparent to me they\u2019ve been hard put to come up with any really new features for the individual user in recent years but they seem to have completely missed the rise of e-books. Between Word and Publisher, this seems like such a natural path to pursue but I\u2019ve seen no indication in the Office 2016 preview that they have any awareness of it at all. Everything new is geared toward big corporate collaboration efforts. I realize that\u2019s where the big money is but I can\u2019t believe the investment wouldn\u2019t be paid back by giving millions of users malingering on old versions a reason to finally upgrade or get a 365 subscription. <\/p>\n<p>Eric <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I\u2019ll let you know how it comes out. I hear about scrivener\u2019s organization tool, but I never used it. <\/p>\n <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> \n<blockquote>\n<p>Doctors Obsolete? <\/p>\n<p>A doctor does &#8220;differential diagnoses&#8221;, which is a lot like intelligence analysis (analysis of competing hypotheses and similar structured analytic techniques) or science (looking at the activities of many scientists as a whole). The difference is that with intelligence analysis and science, you want to refute hypotheses and not find data to support the same. Differential diagnosis &#8212; as I understand it &#8212; looks to see what symptoms fit what disease; it&#8217;s intellectual construction work that anyone could do in theory. But, it requires vast knowledge of medicine and human physiology to work effectively with those data sets; thus the doctor is hard to come by and takes years of training. It&#8217;s not so much the process of diagnosis as the knowledge necessary to use differential diagnosis in medicine. This computer might change all that: <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/technology-34245655\" class=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/technology-34245655<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>\u25ca \u25ca \u25ca \u25ca \u25ca <\/p>\n<p>Most Respectfully, <\/p>\n<p>Joshua Jordan, KSC <\/p>\n<p>Percussa Resurgo<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Eventually most medical decisions, and a good part of surgery, will be done by robots. Diagnosis with computer assistance is generally better now. After all, you don\u2019t fly airplanes ever without checklists \u2013 if you have to get rid of the checklist or the pilot, you throw the pilot out\u2026 <\/p>\n <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> \n<blockquote>\n<p>Surfing the Internet\u2026 from my TRS-80 Model 100 <\/p>\n<p>&lt;<a href=\"http:\/\/arstechnica.com\/information-technology\/2015\/08\/surfing-the-internet-from-my-trs-80-model-100\/?mbid=synd_moz_technews\" class=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/arstechnica.com\/information-technology\/2015\/08\/surfing-the-internet-from-my-trs-80-model-100\/?mbid=synd_moz_technews<\/a>&gt; <\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212; <\/p>\n<p>Roland Dobbins<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> \n<blockquote>\n<p>Future of the GOP <\/p>\n<p>Now, several presidential election cycles later, the so-called pundits are starting to grasp a tend that has built for a long time but really gained steam under the presidencies &#8212; and I use the term loosely &#8212; of Bush II and Obama. <\/p>\n<p>&lt;.&gt; <\/p>\n<p>A majority of Republican registered voters want either Donald Trump or Ben Carson to be their party&#8217;s 2016 presidential nominee, according to two new national polls from the Washington Post-ABC News and the New York Times-CBS News. <\/p>\n<p>Let that sink in for a minute. Neither Trump, who made his name as a real estate mogul and reality star, nor Carson, a renowned pediatric neurosurgeon, has run for any office prior to their presidential candidacies. Both men have staked the entirety of their campaigns on the idea that they are the furthest thing possible from a traditional politician. And it is working for both of them. Big time. <\/p>\n<p>While the rise of Trump tends to dominate the headlines, polls like these from The Post and the Times provide a reminder of the big picture here for the Republican Party. And that big picture is simple: <\/p>\n<p>The GOP establishment is on the run, and there are few signs that its members have any sort of coherent strategy to deal with the massive uprising within its ranks. <\/p>\n<p>&lt;\/&gt; <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/the-fix\/wp\/2015\/09\/15\/the-republican-establishment-is-in-deep-trouble\/\" class=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/the-fix\/wp\/2015\/09\/15\/the-republican-establishment-is-in-deep-trouble\/<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>What do you think the future of the GOP is? Does the GOP have a future? Are the country club republicans irrelevant in terms of social influence? I realize they still have financial influence, good old boy networks, and so forth. What happens if they do become, socially, irrelevant? Do we want to fix the party or do we want an entirely new party? What is the way forward and how do we get there? <\/p>\n<p>\u25ca \u25ca \u25ca \u25ca \u25ca <\/p>\n<p>Most Respectfully, <\/p>\n<p>Joshua Jordan, KSC <\/p>\n<p>Percussa Resurgo<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I will do an analysis later, but I note that more and more are beginning to get the message. <\/p>\n <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> \n<p>the terrorists have won  <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/news\/community-news\/northwest-dallas-county\/headlines\/20150915-irving-9th-grader-arrested-after-taking-homemade-clock-to-school-so-you-tried-to-make-a-bomb.ece\" class=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/news\/community-news\/northwest-dallas-county\/headlines\/20150915-irving-9th-grader-arrested-after-taking-homemade-clock-to-school-so-you-tried-to-make-a-bomb.ece<\/a><br \/>I would guess that almost all of the kids in that school have cell phones, which have probably been used to set off a lot more bombs in the past 15 years than clocks have. <\/p>\n <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> \n<p align=\"center\"> <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p>  <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">&nbsp;  <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p>  <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.  <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"> <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p>  <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/clip_image00211.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image002\" style=\"border-top: 0px; border-right: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image002\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/clip_image002_thumb10.jpg\" width=\"244\" height=\"10\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"> <p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-26270 noborder\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/bubbles.gif\" alt=\"bubbles\" width=\"240\" height=\"8\" style:\"border='0';box-shadow:none;\"  \/><\/p> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chaos Manor View, Wednesday, September 16, 2015 &nbsp; &nbsp; I\u2019m doing this from the back room before I go to bed. Swan seems to be working well, but it\u2019s also Windows 10. So far so good. Today was story conference day, and it was a bit stormy but productive. I \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/story-conference-day-scrivener-debates-and-when-is-a-clock-a-bomb\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26668","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-view"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26668","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26668"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26668\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jerrypournelle.com\/chaosmanor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}