War and Defense Mail 681 2011701

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Mail 681 July 1, 2011 – 3

An Opening Note: I am composing this with cut and paste special in an ordinary Word window, after which I will convert it to Word Blog and go through and apply a style to my comments. At some point I am going to develop a “reply” style I can apply to my replies so I don’t have to use “quote”, and thus can use “quote” for quotes within mail to me.

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The end of cheap Verizon High Speed Data

Jerry,

After resisting mightily for several years, I finally succumbed and upgraded to a Verizon smart phone. I made my bet on Android and purchased a Samsung Droid Charge….More for the spectacular screen than for any other reason. So far, I am simply delighted with it.

Of interest to you, with your high speed internet access issues, and possibly to your readers, is the cost of high speed access. When I purchased the phone a couple weeks ago I was required to purchase a $30/month data plan. On the Verizon LTE (4G) network, available to me here on Long Island, NY, internet access is quite speedy….and since the phone can act as a data point for my netbook, the potential for large amounts of data makes the Verizon plan very attractive: $30/month for unlimited data!

The week after I committed to a 2 year renewal, one of the Droid sites reported that Verizon was going to terminate their unlimited plan in favor of a tiered usage plan. My $30/month would only purchase 2 GB!

I immediately contacted Verizon customer service (always a dreadful experience). The CSR I spoke with had not heard of this plan change and headed off to speak to her supervision….when she came back she confirmed it. But she also stated that existing plan users would be grandfathered in….both for their current contract AND for all future renewals!!

Since I have been burned by Verizon in the past and have become somewhat paranoid in dealing with them, I asked if she could email me a statement to that effect. I expected her to have to either clear that email with management or simply refuse. Much to my surprise and delight, she sent me that email the same day.

The point to this longer dissertation than I had expected is simply this: the $30/month unlimited data plan is STILL available to anyone under contract by July 7th. Given the skyrocketing cost of data across all the various providers, it will quickly amortize even the outrageous early termination fees charged. It might just be the most cost effective solution to your travelling high speed internet access needs.

And lastly, I highly recommend the Samsung Droid Charge….so far at least…it just works and that display really is wonderful. On the other hand, if any device is in need of “The Missing Manual” this is the one!

Warm regards,

Larry Cunningham

This really ought to go in Chaos Manor Mail and I may duplicate it there. Thanks. I will Tuesday 5 July head out to Verizon to see what they offer me: I can just about afford $30 a month to have known reliable unlimited data, but on the other hand I don’t travel so much any more. If AT&T had offered that I would probably have bought it: at the moment it costs me $50 for a gigabyte and the account is good for a month. I have used about 170 mb in the past two days here, but some of that was installing some programs and doing some updates. It’s clear I can’t do all my connectivity at that price. It’s not clear that I need a permanent road warrior solution. Thanks.

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AFRICOM: AF, Navy still flying Libya missions – Air Force News | News from Afghanistan & Iraq – Air Force Times

Jerry,

http://www.airforcetimes.com/news/2011/06/defense-africom-air-force-navy-flying-libya-missions-063011/

This is reminiscent of covert ops in Cambodia. Unfortunately; the mendacity is more blatant and unlike the Vietnam War which was just one battle in the Cold War, there is no cogent argument that the Libya intervention much less the overthrow of Mubarak serves US interests. The only explanation that seems plausible is articulated in Dinesh D’Souza’s, “The Roots of Obama’s Rage”. Obama views Mubarak and Quadaffi as NeoColonial puppet regimes that have to be overthrown because they made peace with the US. This doesn’t serve US interests.

Jim Crawford

One can make a case for wringing Qadaffi’s neck as being in the national interest pour encourager les autres; that is, as a general message that you shouldn’t down US planes with bombs, and you should not unduly annoy the President of the United States. Actions have consequences. Ghadaffi in particular has earned some special attention from the US. But if that is the objective, it ought to be accomplished and gotten over with: surely we do not want to send the message that we will bankrupt ourselves pursuing but not catching our enemies.

The odd part, to me, is that if the explanation is the rage of the President, why doesn’t he just do it? Running about dropping bombs in a rather uncoordinated way enriches no one. Except for those who make bombs, of course.

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Missile Defense

Jerry,

There was a letter in yesterday’s Washington Post proposing eliminating missile defense as part of the budget deals:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-good-start-for-pentagon-cuts-missile-defense/2011/06/30/AGPYBmsH_story.html

What I found interesting is that the author (a partner with Ted Postol of MIT) admits that the Russians would have to treat a missile defense system as effective, whether or not it truly was. As I recall, this was an argument that you had used in in the past to argue in favor of the system — the Russians would have to assume it would be effective, and therefore would have to expend that much more to overcome it.

The author here uses the same point to argue against the system, saying that the Russians and Chinese would have to build more to overcome the defenses (which he views as a bad thing) and would therefore not be as willing to enter into arms control deals.

Karl

The Constitution states that we should provide for the common defense, not for Mutually Assured Destruction. MAD Deterrence was important in the early times of the Post WW II Cold War, but the goal should always have been Assured Survival, not Assured Destruction, and when Reagan turned to that, it became the decisive move in the Cold War. A Navy and Coast Artillery – with BMD being the modern equivalent of coastal defense – are required.

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Who’ll keep taking Windows Tablets in the iPad era? • The Register

Jerry: Article on some of the history of Bill Gates 2001 tablet:

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/07/01/windows_tablets_then_and_now/

Chris C

An excellent ramble by Andrew Orlanski , last man to be using a Psion. He talked me into trying to use mine. It was a great idea, but it never quite got there. Having said all that, I will continue to say that the HP TabletPC plus OneNote made in combination the best research tool ever made, and had that been updated with a faster CPU and more memory and storage, I think it would have caught on. I love mine to this day even though she’s old and cranky and slow and a real fussbudget. But there’s something great about being able to scribble a note. Nowadays it would be possible to make that in two pieces with a Bluetooth keyboard for production work and the on screen keyboard for notes and stuff. I’d buy a really good update of LisaBeta in a heartbeat. I can recall doing an entire COMDEX with no other computer, and while the swivel keyboard made typing a bit awkward compared to, say, a ThinkPad, I was able to file daily reports plus a show report, and still keep up some of my BIX conferences, all from the Press Room; at nights I could use dialup to do some work with mail. Those were busy times, but I sure loved that machine. I would really like to see a revival of the Gates-inspired tablets.

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1998 Bronco Accident

Your pictures were impressive, as was your narrative that you were only going 35 mph or so when it happened. However, looking through your photos, I found it impossible to identify which tire was blown. Either the tire is too stiff without a load on it to be very flat, or AAA threw the spare on to make it easier to pull on the flatbed.

Makes a very good example of why drivers shouldn’t exceed the recommended speeds for their tires. A blowout at 65, 85, or 105 mph has far more catastrophic results than you experienced at 35. Accidents at 105 mph shred vehicles into small pieces. Tire Rack.com, http://www.tirerack.com/tires/tiretech/techpage.jsp?techid=35 has a good set of charts on how to read load and speed ratings on tires. What they don’t mention is that is the ratings are only for brand new tires. Their load and speed capabilities degrade with wear and as the wire and ‘cloth’ belts break inside. Hit a few curbs too hard, and you’ll have breaks which look like scuffs and dimples in your tire (especially the sidewalls). If you figure on a 20% degradation in strength (a very loose guestimate), you’re down into the ‘normal’ high speed ranges. Take a look at a few cars tires in the parking lot; it gets very sobering.

As for giving up cruising Death Valley, just don’t do it solo anymore. Make a couples weekend of it with Larry & his wife. And don’t forget to bring your puppy.

Mike Houst

Well, I wasn’t going very fast for a desert dirt road, and had there not been that stupid berm on the side of the road I wouldn’t have rolled. I certainly wasn’t exceeding the capabilities of the Bronco II. Alas, something had damaged the tire or rim, and I hadn’t known that.

Cruising alone in Death Valley was never all that good an idea to begin with. And it’s a lot drive out there. Great old days though. Niven and I wrote some of the best Footfall scenes in a beat up old motel out on the ridge overlooking Death Valley…

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Catching Up View 681 2011 July 1

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View 681 Friday July 1, 2011

I have been fooling about with Mail, and I managed to get a bunch of it up, but I am not very happy with the organization of it, and it’s a bit tedious. I will work on an essay later. Just for the moment Eric has managed to set up Fallen Angels, with a beautiful copy of the original cover by Steve Hickman. It will shortly be available for Kindle with a new retrospective from Niven, Pournelle, and Flynn. I got interested in that and it is taking up some of my time.

The AT&T device is working but it’s expensive; Henry tells me of a Verizon alternative, and that’s worth experimenting with; I’ll have to look into it. I am managing, and the AT&T device isn’t burning up the megabytes as fast as it did yesterday: we’ve installed some spam filtering at Blue Host. This is still all very much in the construction stage. I still don’t know how to include any of my gifs and animations in the new WordPress system, but that will come. For those wondering why I have not enabled comments: this isn’t that kind of place. I have never allowed open comments. We did have open commenting back in GE Genie days, but Genie hired moderators to keep the spam and poison pens and silliness out; I would never have time for that. If you want to comment on a View or a Mail, send me an email; I try to read all the email, and generally I manage to do that. Then I select from that and post with comments. That’s slower, and I probably miss some good stuff that way, but I also avoid a lot of other stuff. Anyway, that’s how this place works.

I have not decided on organization. One suggestion, which I like, is two web sites, one View and the other Mail, as we had in the older FrontPage system; but in fact we sort of have that with the Mail and View categories. You find those up at the top. They do work.

The big problem is bookmarks. When I put WORD in the “Blog” edit/publish mode, it disables the ability to insert bookmarks. To get a bookmark into something I have to compose it in a Word in the normal mode. Here goes a test:

This is an attempt to put in a bookmark. I am creating it in a blank WORD document.

This is bookmark2, also created in a blank document.

The real test will be whether we can reference a bookmark. This refers to the sentence above. Apologies for all this experimentation, but I need to see what it does, and how you will see it.

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This seems to have worked. It’s important because I have always used links, sometimes to insert notes, or refer to a previous essay, and that sort of thing. But I see that I can insert a sentence and a bookmark by composing them in a blank document, then copy and paste; that ought to work for Mail, which is good. Every day and in every way we are getting better and better…

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I am now going to work on some fiction. Rick Hellewell keeps taking suggestions on what to do about this place and implementing them, so it all changes like dream: we will get back to as near to the old ways as possible.

Meanwhile the Congressional Budget Office now estimates that by 2030 the United States will be spending 10% of GDP – that’s GDP, the value of all goods and services, not just taxes and budgets – on debt service. Since that’s impossible, what will happen? When something can’t go on forever it will stop. At some point we can’t continue to spend whatever we do with taxes. Canada was in that fix a few years ago, and bit the bullet. They really cut back on spending. Now the Canadian Dollar is worth more than the US Dollar, to the surprise of everyone who grew up when I did.

If something can’t go on forever, it will stop. Federal spending at these rates can’t go on forever. Or even for twenty years.

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