A Word on Security; Dark matter stories; Space Access; NASA revives the F-1; SAGE; Tax Time; and other important matters.

Mail 770 Wednesday, April 17, 2013

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First a few words on security:

WordPress Attack

Dr. Pournelle:

It appears there is an attack against WordPress installations that is placing a phony ‘500’ error page on the site that allows additional commands to be executed. I don’t have all the details yet, but one report indicates that there is a brute-force password guessing attack against the ‘admin’ user of a WordPress site.

The ‘admin’ user is created by default on a WordPress installation; that user has full privileges to the WordPress installation. If the owner has chosen a weak password, or ohe that is easily guessed, then the attacker would get full admin privileges to the WordPress site, including the administrative area.

WordPress login process allows for brute force attacks; an unsuccessful login will just let you try again. There might be some delays if you try brute-force logins, but it is possible to keep on trying a WP login.

The attack will put a phony ‘500.php’ file in your site root (and perhaps other places). So a search for those files might be prudent. Delete any that contain unfamiliar code.

Initially, it looks like many sites that have been successfully attacked are also not current in their WordPress version level. So, prevention would indicate these steps:

1) Create a new ‘admin-level’ user with a strong non-dictionary type password.

2) Log in as that user to ensure that all is OK

3) When logged in as the new admin-level user, demote the user ‘admin’ to the lowest level. Leave the user there just to irritate the hacker.

4) Ensure that your hosting account, and any FTP accounts, have strong passwords. Strongly consider changing FTP passwords.

5) Don’t use an FTP client that stores passwords in plain text. (WinFTP does this.). I recommend WinSCP (open source, free) which encrypts FTP credentials.

6) Ensure your WordPress installation is current. Update all themes and plugins on a regular basis.

And the usual precautions on your home computer: Windows updates, Application updates (Secunia Personal Software Inspector is recommended), uninstall Java (if it is not needed; Javascript is OK), don’t clck or open unfamiliar attachments, etc.

(BTW, your site is OK. I already did the mitigations noted above when I set up the WordPress installation.)

Regards, Rick Hellewell, Security Geek and your faithful web guy

HEAR AND BELIEVE

I view all mail in plaintext and never follow links until I have some reason to assume it’s safe; and I see a lot of intriguing new phishing schemes lately. It’s getting bad out there.

And this just in:

Identity Theft

Hi Jerry,

We hear a lot about identity theft but here’s a statistic to chill the blood, from the Senate committee testimony of National Taxpayer Advocate Nina Olson on April 16 —

"Yet despite the revamped identity theft victim assistance procedures, more stringent filters, and improved cooperation with the private sector, the volume of identity theft returns continues to grow at an alarming rate. The IRS had more than 1.25 million identity theft cases in inventory as of the end of February 2013, a sharp increase from a year ago, when the volume was less than 235,000 cases."

Then, imagine how many more there are that don’t lead to an IRS contact.

–Mike

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Re Dark Matter & Dark Energy

Dr Pournelle,

At <http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=1068>, Eric Raymond relates this anecdote:

“In 1992 I was an invited speaker at the Institute for Advanced Study.

Yes, this was five years before I was famous; what I was doing there was a seminar on advanced Emacsing. My sponsor, the astrophysicist Piet Hut, took me around to meet a number of the stellar eminences at the Institute.

“One of them was a cosmologist whose name I don’t remember. We chatted for a while – he was doing interesting work on the apparent quantization of red-shift distributions. Then I said to him, ‘Oh, by the way, I know what dark matter is made from.’

“Eying me dubiously, he said, ‘What?’

“I said, ‘Phlogiston.’

“He damn near fell out of his chair laughing.”

—Joel Salomon

I can I suppose accept dark matter, although it’s a stretch – why isn’t there a lot of it around here, and why isn’t it making the solar system deviate from Newton? – but dark energy isn’t anything I can get my head around. I still believe in experimental evidence rather than the beauty of equations or lack thereof…

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Henry Vanderbilt on last weekend’s Space Access conference and the future of man in space:

Despair is a sin, as you’ve mentioned more than once. Worse, in this case it’s an error. We’re actually doing remarkably well as far as development of reusable transport goes, at least compared to where we were fifteen years ago when X-33 had just eaten everything. It’s just that it’s mostly not in the government, most of it subject to the eccentricities of its private sponsors, and much of it grossly underfunded.

That last is my immediate worry – Armadillo has already been set back a year because they couldn’t afford to build the canonical three copies of their "Stig-B" test vehicle, XCOR will shortly be betting the company on the one copy of Lynx they can afford, and even the (relatively) lavishly funded Virgin will have problems if they break their first "SpaceShip 2".

SpaceX’s reusability tests strike me as sincere but still secondary; they’re funded at a level justifiable by the FUD they inspire in competitors, not (yet at least) as something primary to the company. And Blue Origin remains an enigma. What little comes out does not convey to me a sense of urgency, FWIW.

Jess Sponable going back to DARPA is potentially good also, though he’s been frustrated in his attempts to do something useful before. Mitchell Burnside Clapp, by the way, is also at DARPA these days, running an air-launched reusable project called ALASA – he was going to come out and talk about it till his travel budget got sequestered.

My chief hope is still the small startups, the XCORs, Armadillos, and Mastens – they’re the ones most closely focused on low-cost fast-turnaround reusability. Chronically underfunded, as I said. If you know someone who might want to support a non-profit strategic investment fund to the tune of a few tens of millions, I could do a huge amount of good there. (It’d probably make a considerable profit too, in the long run, which could then be applied to the next step outward.)

I’m recovering from a bug that hit me Monday – the perils of being one of your own mike-runners; I effectively traded bugs with 50% of everyone who had a question at the conference. I’ll have to check and see how Tim Kyger is doing; he drove out from Albuquerque to help out this year, and collected the other 50%. Having mike-runners who know the players is priceless, though.

I’m currently reading "Lenin, Hitler, and Stalin – The Age Of Social Catastrophe" by Gellately – part of my last few years walkabout through twentieth century history. Very interesting so far for the tactical details; that sort of thing tends to get glossed over.

Hmm, well, I must be feeling better; I’ve gone on far too long.

Henry

 

In other words, little has changed, and actually that’s progress. Moore’s Law continues: of the three major fields in space exploration, control and avionics gets better whether we like it or not, structures get stronger and lighter as everyone experiments with materials, and there are advances in reliability and manufacturing of propulsion. Operations improve.

Bob Bussard said a long time ago that we already did the easy stuff. He was prophetic, but we seem through some of that phase. In the 70’s we underestimated how hard things would be, but we also had the costs of the standing army to bear. Now the Navy and Air Force need mission capabilities and NASA doesn’t even pretend to be able to make them. This is the right time for real X program: develop the technology and let industry apply it to mission oriented spacecraft. Some of those missions will turn out to be commercial.

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: How NASA brought the monstrous F-1 “moon rocket” engine back to life

Here’s an article you may be interested in reading:

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/

and another related article on the developing F-1B engine:

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/new-f-1b-rocket-engine-upgrades-apollo-era-deisgn-with-1-8m-lbs-of-thrust/

– Paul

Rocketdyne F-1 lives!

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/

An absolutely brilliant article. Puts many rumors to rest about the plans for Apollo being lost–and underscores yet again how Apollo was an amazing achievement in both design and execution.

I was shocked to hear up-rated F-1B was not only done, but tested.

The details on the gas generator and the turbopumps was astonishing.

Apollo lives!

a wonderful article on bringing the F1 engine back to life

You’ll love it.

Phil

http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/

Indeed. And they’re cheaper now. In that sense Apollo was an X project. We learned a lot from Apollo. Propulsion wasn’t my thucktun, but I got to watch some of that development. We learned a lot about human factors until NASA froze the spacesuit designs and lost a lot of the progress the Ames people had made. Not lost forever, though.

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And I would love to have some reports on this one:

Space program simulation game

I thought that you may find this interesting. From the review; “You’re given rocket parts, a space center, a solar system of planets and moons, and you’re left to find your own fun. Orbit the planet? Go to the moon? Throw a kerbanaut into the sun? Build a space-jet? Make a giant tower of fuel tanks and blow them up? Whatever.”

http://www.shamusyoung.com/twentysidedtale/?p=19396

Edward Armstrong

If I get a chance I’ll try it, but perhaps someone has more time…

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SAGE,

Jerry

Cold War-era command center that once guarded the nation up for sale in Cicero, NY:

http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2013/04/cold_war-era_command_center_th.html

And why is this interesting? It’s an old SAGE complex.

“Keeping with the goal of survivability, the buildings have no windows. Not a single one. From the outside, they look like big concrete bunkers that could survive nearly anything the old Soviet Union could have thrown at it.” “Evertz said records storage is still probably the best use for the buildings.”

Kind of a follow-up to last week.

Ed

I recall visiting operating SAGE installations. They did it all with brute force.

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Looking at the Rocketdyne F-1 Engine Again

Jerry,

Very interesting article.

Regards, Charles Adams, Bellevue, NE

<http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-monstrous-f-1-moon-rocket-back-to-life/>

"….Watching the test

On the morning of February 20 I found myself perched on a set of metal bleachers under an iron-gray Huntsville sky, with the thermometer reading 33ºF-quite a bit cooler than this Texas boy is used to enduring, especially since the wind wouldn’t stop gusting. The payoff was that the observation area sat only a short distance from the gas generator test stand. Through a clearing in a row of evergreens and scrub, separated from us by a dirt path, I saw the test stand itself: a jungle-gym pile of metal and pipes, with personnel scurrying around to make last-minute adjustments.

The gas generator test firing I was there to witness was neither the first nor the last, but it still drew a hefty crowd of folks-civil servants, family members, and no small number of Dynetics/PWR employees. As the clock ticked down toward firing, we packed ourselves into the rickety bleachers and the buzz of conversation gradually quieted; I focused on holding my camera steady and trying not to touch any of the exposed metal of the heavy (and freezing) telephoto lens.

And see:

New F-1B rocket engine upgrades Apollo-era design with 1.8M lbs of thrust <http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/new-f-1b-rocket-engine-upgrades-apollo-era-deisgn-with-1-8m-lbs-of-thrust/>

Gallery: Behind the scenes at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center <http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/gallery-behind-the-scenes-at-nasas-marshall-space-flight-center/>

More on the F-1B monster. If we need them we can build them.

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Fast trip to Mars

Interesting news: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/04/10/nasa_fusion_engine_fast_mars_trip/

Michael Lund Markussen

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airplanes, cell phones and Ordnung.

One more email on using cell phones/electronic devices on airplanes and Ordnung.

Recently I took a flight on American airlines from Atlanta to Miami. We stopped short of the gate and the pilot announced that another plane was still at our assigned gate and we would wait just short of the gate until it was free. You could see the gate and plane. I was sitting in an aisle seat. A man on the other side aisle seat and two rows up, pulled out a cell phone and started to make a call. The stewardess scurried up to him and told him to turn it off. She said that Federal regulations prohibit using cell phones until the cabin doors were opened. She went on to say that he was endangering our lives because the phone could cause problems with the avionics. He laughed at her and said we can see the gate, if my phone messes up the avionics, tell the pilot to maintain current altitude and go to VFR. I started laughing (remember we are sitting on the ground), getting a glare from the stewardess. At that point she threatened to have security arrest him when he deplaned for interfering with the flight crew, if he did not comply. He wisely turned the phone off while shaking his head at the stupidity.

Mike J.

Wise move on his part. The flight attendants aren’t engineers…

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a case of importance and horror

http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2013/04/13/gosnellgate/?singlepage=true

The main stream media is suppressing it so that people don’t question their pro-choice stance.

Phil

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Boston Marathon Bombing

Another possible connection; Israel’s Independence Day began at sunset on April 15. Allowing for time zone changes, the bomb went off just about the time that Independence Day began in Jerusalem. (In the Hebrew calendar, the new "day" begins at sunset.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yom_Ha%27atzmaut

Ken Mitchell

Presumably someone will come take credit for it. We’ll just have to wait.

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It’s Tax Time

Hello Jerry,

"It’s tax week, and I’m up to the ears."

When a citizen of your undoubted competence is ‘up to their ears in taxes’ for a week (or more), trying to comply with a tax code that NO ONE understands, it kinda reminds me of this, from ‘Dr. Floyd Ferris’:

"“There’s no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren’t enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible for men to live without breaking laws. Who wants a nation of law-abiding citizens? What’s there in that for anyone? But just pass the kind of laws that can neither be observed or enforced nor objectively interpreted – and you create a nation of law-breakers – and then you cash in on guilt.”

I think that ‘Dr. Ferris’ would be very pleased with the ‘progress’ that the US has made in the 56 years that it has been ‘progressing’ since he made the above observation in 1957. The tax code provides a prime example of WHY.

But, as we have learned to our sorrow, the ‘progressives’ who now rule us can always find new facets of our lives which require additional governmental ‘progress’, so they continue beavering away, apparently ad infinitum. One thing about progressives: they are all about progress, but as long as there is ONE citizen out there who insists on inhaling and exhaling on his own schedule, they will never have ‘arrived’.

Bob Ludwick

I won’t argue. Liberals are worried that someone, somewhere, is doing something without permission. That was Bill Buckley’s mot juste a long time ago. It seems to be true, but add that they worry that someone is doing something without paying a tax on it.

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This should have been posted last week, but I was busy.

debt limits and hyperventilation

Dear Mr. Pournelle;

I’ve been reluctant to comment on a recent posting, but it continues to disturb me. To quote several paragraphs:

"You may get death threats, so many you’ll lose count, and there may well be actual attempts on your life. Don’t forget, the Chicago gang is in town and they play very rough. The more public you are, the less they may target you. The CorruptMedia will oppo-research every hidden nook and cranny of your life to smear and expose whatever dirt they can find on you.

You must understand that America now has a government run by gangsters – by crooks, thieves, looters, and thugs who will be utterly ruthless in ruining you if you try to be in their way. Putin’s Russia, Chavez’s Venezuela, has come to America; and the Chicago gang and the cartels have come to D.C.

So if you don’t have the courage to band together and stand up to them, quit now. They can’t spend money you don’t give them. They will do whatever it takes, legal or illegal, to force you to give it to them."

I’m aware that you noted it needed to be toned down; thank you. However, I think extravagant rhetoric like this is highly destructive. As citizens, we are NOT each other’s enemies; rhetoric like this seems to me to serve no purpose except to estrange us.

Also, I note that the original posting was apparently anonymous. My experience is that anonymous letters deserve neither attention nor publicity. They are not an invitation to discussion; there’s no way to reply. They’re more on the order of a tantrum.

Regarding the actual topic of the note: while I agree that spending needs to be brought under control, I believe that the time to do that is *before* we spend the money, not after. Anyone considering not raising the debt limit enough for us to pay the bills ought to consider the probable unintended consequences of such a strategy.

Okay, we’ll be paying the bills with borrowed money. That irritates me; but, again, the time to fix that is before we make the expenditures. Not honoring our debts is *not* heroic; it would simply mean that the "full faith and credit" of the United States was thenceforth worthless. The consequences of such a declaration would, I think, be rather abruptly ruinous.

Thank you for your consideration —

Allan E. Johnson

Something like this is needed once in a while…

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Scott Turow’s take on the ‘publishing revolution’

Jerry:

I came across this article in my daily readings and it appears that the American author is indeed becoming an endangered species.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/08/opinion/the-slow-death-of-the-american-author.html?pagewanted=all&_r=3&

Mr. Turow’s conclusion is a bit chilling –

"Last October, I visited Moscow and met with a group of authors who described the sad fate of writing as a livelihood in Russia. There is only a handful of publishers left, while e-publishing is savaged by instantaneous piracy that goes almost completely unpoliced. As a result, in the country of Tolstoy and Chekhov, few Russians, let alone Westerners, can name a contemporary Russian author whose work regularly affects the national conversation.

"The Constitution’s framers had it right. Soviet-style repression is not necessary to diminish authors’ output and influence. Just devalue their copyrights"

John L.

I am going to leave this in the queue because I still have hopes of commenting on it, but it has waited long enough. I don’t know the current status of Solzhenitsyn and Pasternak in Russia today. It is a chilling thought. Turow is president of the author’s guild. I have not noticed significant comment on this from SFWA.

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And we end with

A Coyote Tale…

The Governor of California is jogging with his dog along a nature trail. A coyote jumps out and attacks the Governor’s dog, then bites the Governor.

The Governor starts to intervene, but reflects upon the movie "Bambi" and then realizes he should stop because the coyote is only doing what is natural.

He calls Animal Control. Animal Control captures the coyote and bills the State $200 testing it for diseases and $500 for relocating it.

He calls a veterinarian. The vet collects the dead dog and bills the State $200 testing it for diseases.

The Governor goes to hospital and spends $3,500 getting checked for diseases from the coyote and on getting his bite wound bandaged.

The running trail gets shut down for 6 months while Fish & Game conducts a $100,000 survey to make sure the area is now free of dangerous animals.

The Governor spends $50,000 in state funds implementing a "coyote awareness program" for residents of the area.

The State Legislature spends $2 million to study how to better treat rabies and how to permanently eradicate the disease throughout the world.

The Governor’s security agent is fired for not stopping the attack. The State spends $150,000 to hire and train a new agent with additional special training regarding the nature of coyotes.

PETA protests the coyote’s relocation and files a $5 million suit against the State.

TEXAS:

The Governor of Texas is jogging with his dog along a nature trail. A coyote jumps out and attacks his dog.

The Governor shoots the coyote with his State-issued pistol and keeps jogging. The Governor has spent $0.50 on a .45 ACP hollow point cartridge.

The buzzards eat the dead coyote.

And that, my friends, is why California is broke and Texas is not.

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Confusion in Boston; payoff at Cal Tech; no feathers in JP4

View 770 Wednesday, April 17, 2013

As usual the breaking news is so contradictory as to be worthless. They have or have not arrested a suspect who may or may not be in custody, perhaps by the US Marshals but it might be someone else. Doubtless the authorities will get it sorted out. At least we can certainly hope so. The last official news is that no arrest has been made, and there seems to be no follow up to the story that a suspect placing a black bag on the scene was identified from a department store video.

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Meanwhile here is some information on bomb making.

Dr. Pournelle:

I note that Russell Seitz has changed his estimation from TATP to smokeless powder. I don’t doubt it, it is lots easier to buy a can or keg of Unique than to run a synthesis with strong acid and oxidizer. But I have not seen it discussed elsewhere except for fears that it will be applied to demonize gun owners and hobbyist reloaders.

The advantage of TATP to the terrorist is that it is not a nitrate compound, which is the basis for instrumental explosive detection and bomb dog training. But you don’t have to go through a sniffer to watch the Boston Marathon, as you discussed.

Anyhow, as a handloader of some experience and having worked on a study related to bomb making, I will provide some details.

Modern smokeless powder is predominantly nitrocellulose. Call it guncotton, although a lot is made from cheaper wood pulp. Some are straight nitrocellulose with minor additives, some are "double base" with appreciable nitroglycerine content. I have a chart of 300 brands and grades of smokeless powder. I don’t know just how many of them would make a serviceable bomb, but it would be a lot. The video I saw was of a pipe bomb filled with one called Blue Dot, suitable for heavy shotgun loads as for goose hunting. It pretty thoroughly demolished an automobile.

Cordite is a specific chemical formulation and physical configuration of double base smokeless powder. The formulation, if not the rope-like shape, has been used in everything from pistol and rifle ammunition to solid fuel rockets to demolition charges. Obsolete now.

Smokeless powder is a propellant, not an explosive. Ignite it in the open and it just burns briskly; deflagrates.

The galvanized steel of the pipe bomber and the pressure cooker of the Boston Bomber are not primarily to generate fragmentation, they are to let pressure build up to a destructive level and then rupture, releasing it in a blast which appears an explosion.

I am not qualified to speak on bomb deployment, and all I can say about the social and government developments is that I fear they will not be good for the American lifestyle.

Regards,

Jim Watson

Thank you. I have not paid much heed to handloading equipment and supplies since I was an editor of SURVIVE magazine and did my monthly column on survival activities and essentials. I doubt it has changed much. In those days we could rationally discuss such matters as stockpiling supplies for reloading ammunition: safe storage and handling, amounts, shelf life, and such, but even then one wanted to take care given the caricatures of survival groups that were popular with the media.

No one has taken credit for the Boston Marathon bombing. Note that delays of days and even weeks between an event of this kind and some organization coming forward to take credit for it are not unusual.

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Meanwhile, physics remains confused. Not only is our theory not unified — http://www.rockol.it/testo-3784077/Jordin-Kare-Unified-Field-Theory — but some well established theories contradict each other. Stephen Hawking famously relented on his view that black holes destroy information. He even paid off a bet with Cal Tech’s John Preskill with a copy of a baseball encyclopedia – it’s heavy and it takes work to get information out of it. (Note that Kip Thorne, also of Cal Tech, who supported Hawking’s side in the bet has refused to concede.)

Dark energy may comprise 70% of the mattergy in the universe, or it may not, and dark matter may take up 20% more, and antimatter half of what’s left, leaving us “normal matter” beings a distinct minority. The universe may not be the same depending on which direction we look in. And so forth. The trend is toward increased complexity, with elusive tracks of even more elusive new particles leading to theories of even more new particles that may or may not leave tracks in the normal matter – which is, by definition, all that we can observe. A long time ago Larry Niven, Bob Forward, and I heard Stephen Hawking tell an invited Cal Tech audience that Einstein was wrong – not only does God throw dice, but sometimes He throws them where they cannot be seen even though the result is important. Hawking was only half joking.

Dr. Pournelle,

Roger Penrose says the one thing we know about Dark Energy is that it is not energy. By E=mc2 energy should have mass and slow the expansion of the Big Bang. The more Dark Matter there is the more of a discrepancy there is.

I just keep remembering that Fred Hoyle and the Steady-State folks predicted an acceleration pushing Galaxies away from each other. A negative gravity if you will.

The idea was that virtual particles arising out of the quantum froth or vanishing back into it would have a gravitational effect. In places were there is much matter there would be more vanishings than appearances. Particles cannot vanish where they do not exist When a particle vanished there would be an effect we call gravity. . And in places were there are no particles they could only appear with an effect of negative gravity. The empty cells between super-clusters would be an ideal place for such a phenomenon. Negative Gravity would seem a candidate for Dark Energy.

This would seem silly moonshine to me. But:

Fred Hoyle and the Steady-State people were bright and accomplished.

Between Inflation, Dark Energy, and large scale structure the Big Bang is looking creaky.

A prediction with an unexpected suggestion of verification after forty or fifty years arrests my intention.

I know ‘Sir Fred is off his rocker." And I am not too up on defunct physical theories from before my birth. But there is the proposed explanation for both Dark Energy and gravity. And a reinterpretation of the 2.7K background may be easier the the ediface it has created.

DAB

I have not conversed with Sir Fred in a decade, but the last time I did he was unrepentant. So far as I know he died believing in some form of ether, and in rejecting much of what is considered standard physics; and in a fairly extreme form of panspermia, in which an intelligent race sent evolutionarily active probes to plants which might have life. As I have said before, he believed in a form of intelligent design, but the Designer would not have been familiar to religious believers in Design. And he rejected the Big Bang. It is not considered good form to reject the Big Bang, hence Adrian Berry’s remark that Sir Fred is off his head, but apparently there are others questioning the short “inflation” period of warp 10,000 movement required to get from a tiny point to something that could start evolving as the universe.

Dark matter, dark energy and Size of Universe

Doctor Pournelle, you wrote:

This is a very half baked idea, a cocktail party theory on the order of my view of the influence of dogs on the evolution of human intelligence, but the more I keep turning it over and over the more I wonder. Dark matter would be thin between the galaxies. And I think I’d rather believe in dark matter than dark energy.

My understanding, via some shows on the Science Channel, is that dark matter works as a gravity brake on the galaxies and that dark energy works as an accelerator and that currently it is believed that there is more of the accelerator than the brake. Would your idea of the speed of light going through thinner patches of either DM or DE, and thus changing the constant for the speed of light in thinner and thicker patches, also mean that the size of the universe is smaller than currently believed? If the speed with which light crosses local cluster space, inter-cluster space and inter-supercluster space changes would that not mean that we are wrong with the Doppler values as currently assigned for distances to the most distant reaches we can see? Might this not also change the perceived age of the universe? To borrow an old tabloid phrase, "Enquiring minds want to know!"

David Crowley

I am trying to make something consistent out of my cocktail party theory – which is loosely based on Petr Beckmann’s alternative view of the meaning of the Michelson Morley experiment – but that may take a while. I keep trying to focus. For a reasonable presentation of the alternative to Einstein theory see Tom Bethell’s account. http://www.amazon.com/Questioning-Einstein-Relativity-Tom-Bethell/dp/0971484597 There apparently are ways to explain the experimental evidence without giving up ether or imposing an absolute velocity of light without regard to the motion of the observer. Whether doing that will cover some of the problems for which dark matter and dark energy were invented is nothing like clear (and certainly not accepted by the vast majority of physicists), but here and there a few dissenters, appalled by the increasing complexities, stop tearing their hair and go back to fundamentals – the observed evidence from which both general and special relativity were derived. It’s still pretty well at the cocktail party theory stage,

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And now it’s time to go clean up the back yard from wind displacements…

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New Scientist for April 6, 2013 has an article called “Ring of Fire” speculating about the collision of grand theories. Is a Black Hole surrounded by a ring of fire? If not, why not?

Everything is based on theories with very little experimental evidence, and there seems to be no rush to do crucial experiments regarding relativity vs., ether and other such fundamentals. Of course as Bob Bussard used to say, the easy stuff has already been done. But as far as I can see we are no closer to an understanding of fundamentals than we were when Richard Feynman used to say that we would not understand gravity in our lifetimes, but he hoped that one day someone would. I gather that he said that fairly often; certainly he did so at a lunch with me. John McCarthy, and Marvin Minsky. Marvin and I are still around, but I don’t think we’re much closer to understanding gravity than we were then. It still looks like spooky action at a distance. And reading Feynman’s QED doesn’t really help a bit: as it shows. we know how to make spooky things happen, and we have no idea of why they work.

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If you don’t follow the rapid developments in paleontology you might have missed the fact that the raptors in Jurassic Park 1 were all wrong: current evidence says they had feathers. Indeed, even Tyrannosaurus Rex may have had a good coat of feathers. Alas, the director of Jurassic Park 4 has recently signaled NO FEATHERS #JP4.  CGI is capable of putting feathers on the dinosaurs, but apparently the human programmers aren’t ready for such a change.

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A large fertilizer plant just north of Waco, Texas has exploded. It had earlier reported a fire and fire fighters were in the plant when it blew up.

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